Working Papers
From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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- 2014: Real-time nowcasting the US output gap: Singular spectrum analysis at work

- António Rua and Miguel de Carvalho
- 2014: Exports and Domestic Demand Pressure: a Dynamic Panel Data Model for the Euro Area Countries

- António Rua, Paulo Esteves and Elena Bobeica
- 2014: Fiscal devaluation in the euro area: a model-based analysis

- Sandra Gomes and Pascal Jacquinot
- 2014: A Dynamic Quantitative Macroeconomic Model of Bank Runs

- Ettore Panetti and Elena Mattana
- 2014: Global Value Chains: A View From the Euro Area

- João Amador and Rita Cappariello
- 2014: Misallocation and productivity in the lead up to the Eurozone crisis

- Daniel Dias
- 2014: Capital Inflows and euro area long-term interest rates

- Daniel Carvalho
- 2014: Labour Demand Research: Towards a Better Match between Better Theory and Better Data

- Pedro Portugal and John Addison
- 2014: Euro area structural reforms in times of a global crisis

- Sandra Gomes
- 2014: Financial Integration and the Great Leveraging

- Daniel Carvalho
- 2014: Persistence in the Banking Industry: Fractional integration and breaks in memory

- Paulo Rodrigues and Uwe Hassler
- 2014: The Weather Effect: estimating the effect of voter turnout on electoral outcomes in Italy

- Alessandro Sforza
- 2014: Has US Household Deleveraging Ended? A Model-Based Estimate of Equilibrium Debt

- Ursel Baumann
- 2014: Global Value Chains: Surveying Drivers, Measures and Impacts

- João Amador and Sonia Cabral
- 2014: The risk-taking channel of monetary policy – exploring all avenues

- Carla Soares and Diana Bonfim
- 2014: Autoregressive augmentation of MIDAS regressions

- Cláudia Duarte
- 2013: Bank Capital and Lending: An Analysis of Commercial Banks in the United States

- Junghwan Mok
- 2013: Macroprudential Regulation and Macroeconomic Activity

- Sudipto Karmakar
- 2013: Inside PESSOA -A Detailed Description of the Model

- Gabriela Castro, José Maria and Paulo Júlio
- 2013: Output effects of a measure of tax shocks based on changes in legislation for Portugal

- Lara Wemans and Manuel Pereira
- 2013: Catastrophic Job Destruction

- Pedro Portugal and Anabela Carneiro
- 2013: Characterizing economic growth paths based on new structural change tests

- Paulo Rodrigues and Nuno Sobreira
- 2013: Survey evidence on price and wage rigidities in Portugal

- Fernando Martins
- 2013: Fiscal multipliers in a small euro area economy: How big can they get in crisis times?

- Gabriela Castro, José Maria and Paulo Júlio
- 2013: The Output Effects of (Non-Separable) Government Consumption at the Zero Lower Bound

- João Valle e Azevedo
- 2013: The sources of wage variation: a three-way high-dimensional fixed effects regression model

- Paulo Guimaraes, Pedro Portugal and Sónia Torres
- 2013: Competition in the portuguese economy: Estimated price-cost margins under imperfect labour markets

- Ana Cristina Soares and João Amador
- 2013: Monetary policy shocks: We got news!

- Nikolay Iskrev, Sandra Gomes and Caterina Mendicino
- 2013: Foreign direct investment and institutional reform: evidence and an application to Portugal

- Paulo Júlio and Ricardo Pinheiro-Alves
- 2013: Mind the gap! The relative wages of immigrants in the Portuguese labour market

- Cláudia Duarte and Sonia Cabral
- 2013: Ageing and fiscal sustainability in a small euro area economy

- Cláudia Braz, Gabriela Castro, José Maria, Paulo Júlio and Ricardo Félix
- 2013: Is there a role for domestic demand pressure on export performance?

- António Rua and Paulo Esteves
- 2013: Everything you always wanted to know about sex discrimination

- Paulo Guimaraes, Pedro Portugal and Ana Rute Cardoso
- 2013: Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Low-Frequency Filters

- João Valle e Azevedo
- 2012: Bank size and lending specialization

- Diana Bonfim and Qinglei Dai
- 2012: Liquidity risk in banking: is there herding?

- Diana Bonfim and Moshe Kim
- 2012: Competition in the Portuguese Economy: Insights from a profit elasticity approach

- Ana Cristina Soares and João Amador
- 2012: Systemic Risk Analysis using Forward-Looking Distance-to-Default Series

- Martin Saldias
- 2012: Identifying the determinants of downward wage rigidity: some methodological considerations and new empirical evidence

- Fernando Martins and Daniel Dias
- 2012: On International Policy Coordination and the Correction of Global Imbalances

- Cristina Manteu
- 2012: How to create indices for bank branch financial performance measurement using MCDA techniques: an illustrative example

- Paulo Rodrigues and Fernando A. F. Ferreira
- 2012: Wage rigidity and employment adjustment at the firm level: evidence from survey data

- Fernando Martins and Daniel Dias
- 2012: Collateral Requirements: Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Macro-Prudential Policy

- Caterina Mendicino
- 2012: The Effects of Public Spending Externalities

- João Valle e Azevedo and Valerio Ercolani
- 2012: Market perception of fiscal sustainability: An application to the largest euro area economies

- Maximiano Pinheiro
- 2012: Competition in the Portuguese Economy:An overview of classical indicators

- Ana Cristina Soares and João Amador
- 2012: Quantile regression for long memory testing: A case of realized volatility

- Paulo Rodrigues and Uwe Hassler
- 2012: The dynamics of capital structure decisions

- Diana Bonfim and Paula Antão
- 2012: Excess worker turnover and fixed-term contracts: Causal evidence in a two-tier system

- Mário Centeno and Álvaro A. Novo
- 2012: Cohesion within the euro area and the U. S.: a wavelet-based view

- António Rua and Artur Silva Lopes
- 2012: A wavelet-based assessment of market risk: The emerging markets case

- António Rua and Luis Nunes
- 2012: Asset pricing with a bank risk factor

- António Rua and João Pedro Pereira
- 2012: Public-private wage gaps in the period prior to the adoption of the euro: an application based on longitudinal data

- Maria Campos