Working Papers

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2017: Goods and Factor Market Integration: A Quantitative Assessment of the EU Enlargement

Luca David Opromolla and Lorenzo Caliendo

2017: A Theory of Government Bailouts in a Heterogeneous Banking System

Ettore Panetti and Filomena Garcia

2017: The Portuguese post-2008 period: A narrative from an estimated DSGE model

José Maria and Paulo Júlio

2017: Entrepreneurial Risk and Diversification through Trade

Federico Esposito

2017: Banks’ Liquidity Management and Systemic Risk

Ettore Panetti and Luca Deidda

2017: Inefficiency Distribution of the European Banking System

João Gouveia-Oliveira

2017: Boom, Slump, Sudden stops, Recovery, and Policy Options. Portugal and the Euro

Pedro Portugal and Olivier Blanchard

2017: Modelling currency demand in a small open economy within a monetary union

António Rua

2017: Impact of uncertainty measures on the Portuguese economy

Cristina Manteu and Sara Serra

2017: Lending relationships and the real economy: evidence in the context of the euro area sovereign debt crisis

Luciana Barbosa

2017: Who's who in global value chains? A weighted network approach

João Amador, Sonia Cabral and Rossana Mastrandrea

2017: Disentangling the channels from birthdate to educational attainment

Luís Martins and Manuel Pereira

2017: International Banking and Cross-border Effects of Regulation: Lessons from Portugal

Diana Bonfim and Sónia Costa

2017: Labor market imperfections and the firm’s wage setting policy

Pedro Portugal and Sónia Félix

2017: Zooming the Ins and Outs of the U.S. Unemployment

António Rua and Pedro Portugal

2017: Upward Nominal Wage Rigidity

Fernando Martins, Paulo Guimaraes and Pedro Portugal

2017: The Diffusion of Knowledge via Managers' Mobility

Luca David Opromolla and Giordano Mion

2016: Public debt expansions and the dynamics of the household borrowing constraint

António Antunes

2016: Surviving the perfect storm: the role of the lender of last resort

Carla Soares, Diana Bonfim and Nuno Alves

2016: Leverage and Risk Weighted Capital Requirements

Leonardo Gambacorta

2016: The unsecured interbank money market: A description of the Portuguese case

Sofia Saldanha

2016: A tale of two sectors: why is misallocation higher in services than in manufacturing?

Daniel Dias

2016: Forecasting banking crises with dynamic panel probit models

António Antunes, Diana Bonfim, Nuno Monteiro and Paulo Rodrigues

2016: A wavelet-based multivariate multiscale approach for forecasting

António Rua

2016: Temporary contracts' transitions: the role of training and institutions

Sara Serra

2016: EAGLE-FLI - A macroeconomic model of banking and financial interdependence in the euro area

Sandra Gomes and N. Bokan

2016: Market integration and the persistence of electricity prices

António Rua, Paulo Rodrigues and João Pedro Pereira

2016: The Effect of Quantitative Easing on Lending Conditions

Gil Nogueira, Luísa Farinha and Laura Blattner

2016: Sorry, We're Closed: Loan Conditions When Bank Branches Close and Firms Transfer to Another Bank

Diana Bonfim, Gil Nogueira and Steven Ongena

2016: Understanding the public sector pay gap

Maria Campos and Domenico Depalo

2016: Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression

Paulo Rodrigues and Matei Demetrescu

2016: Productivity and Organization in Portuguese Firms

Luca David Opromolla and Lorenzo Caliendo

2016: Output and unemployment, Portugal, 2008–2012

José Maria

2016: Monetary Developments and Expansionary Fiscal Consolidations: Evidence from the EMU

Luís Martins and Antonio Afonso

2016: A Mixed Frequency Approach to Forecast Private Consumption with ATM/POS Data

Cláudia Duarte

2016: Public debt sustainability:Methodologies and debates in European institutions

Cláudia Braz, João Amador, Lara Wemans, Maria Campos and Sharmin Sazedj

2015: House prices: bubbles, exuberance or something else? Evidence from euro area countries

Paulo Rodrigues and Rita Fradique Lourenço

2015: Networks of value added trade

João Amador and Sonia Cabral

2015: The Effect of Bank Shocks on Firm-Level and Aggregate Investment

João Amador and Arne Nagengast

2015: A New Regression-Based Tail Index Estimator: An Application to Exchange Rates

Paulo Rodrigues and João Nicolau

2015: Assessing European Firms’ Exports and Productivity Distributions: The CompNet Trade Module

Ana Cristina Soares and Antoine Berthou

2015: Sources of the Union Wage Gap: Results from High-Dimensional Fixed Effects Regression Models

Pedro Portugal and John Addison

2015: Decomposing the wage losses of displaced workers: the role of the reallocation of workers into firms and job titles

Pedro Portugal and Pedro Raposo

2015: Income smoothing mechanisms after labor market transitions

Carlos Martins and Nuno Alves

2015: Central Bank Interventions, Demand for Collateral, and Sovereign Borrowing Costs

Luís Fonseca

2015: Financial Fragmentation Shocks

Gabriela Castro, José Maria and Paulo Júlio

2015: Covariate-augmented unit root tests with mixed-frequency data

Cláudia Duarte

2015: Unions and Collective Bargaining in the Wake of the Great Recession

Pedro Portugal and John Addison

2015: Seriously Strengthening the Tax-Benefit Link

Pedro Portugal and Pedro Raposo

2015: Expectation-Driven Cycles: Time-varying Effects

Antonello D’Agostino

2015: Capital Regulation in a Macroeconomic Model with Three Layers of Default

Laurent Clerc

2015: Macroeconomic Forecasting Starting from Survey Nowcasts

João Valle e Azevedo and Inês Maria Gonçalves

2015: Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?

Gabriela Castro, José Maria, Paulo Júlio and Ricardo Félix

2015: Quarterly Series for the Portuguese Economy: 1977-2014

Ana Sequeira and Fátima Cardoso