Working Papers

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2004: Accounting for the Hidden Economy: Barriers to Legality and Legal Failures

António Antunes and Tiago Cavalcanti

2004: Monetary Policy with Single Instrument Feedback Rules

Bernardino Adao and Pedro Teles

2004: Monetary Policy with State Contingent Interest Rates

Bernardino Adao and Pedro Teles

2004: Neoclassical Investment with Moral Hazard

João Ejarque

2004: Monetary Policy in a Currency Union with National Price Asymmetries

Sandra Gomes

2004: Nominal Wage Inertia in General Equilibrium Models

Nuno Alves

2004: The Monetary Transmission in the US and the Euro Area: Common Features and Common Frictions

Nuno Alves

2004: Reservation Wages, Search Duration, and Accepted Wages in Europe

Pedro Portugal and John Addison

2004: Key Elasticities in Job Search Theory: International Evidence

Pedro Portugal and John Addison

2004: The Locational Determinants of the U.S. Multinationals Activities

Felipa de Mello Sampayo

2004: Matching Workers to Jobs in the Fast Lane: the Operation of Fixed-term Contracts

Pedro Portugal and Jose Varejao

2004: Workers' Flows and Real Wage Cyclicality

Pedro Portugal and Anabela Carneiro

2004: Inflation Persistence: Facts or Artefacts?

Carlos Marques

2004: On the Fisher-Konieczny Index of Price Changes Synchronization

Daniel Dias

2004: A Flexible View on Prices

Nuno Alves

2004: Stylised Features of Price Setting Behaviour in Portugal: 1992-2001

Monica Costa Dias

2004: Oil prices assumptions in macroeconomic forecasts: should we follow futures market expectations?

Paulo Esteves and Carlos Coimbra

2004: On the Use of the First Principal Component as a Core Inflation Indicator

José Maria

2004: Real Exchange Rate and Human Capital in the Empirics of Economic Growth

Delfim Gomes Neto

2004: How Does the Unemployment Insurance System Shape the Time Profile of Jobless Duration?

Pedro Portugal and John Addison

2003: Uncertainty And Risk Analysis Of Macroeconomic Forecasts: Fan Charts Revisited

Maximiano Pinheiro

2003: Bargained Wages, Wage Drift and the Design of the Wage Setting System

Pedro Portugal and Ana Rute Cardoso

2003: Corruption, Credit Market Imperfections, and Economic Development

António Antunes and Tiago Cavalcanti

2003: Tracking Growth and the Business Cycle: a Stochastic Common Cycle Model for the Euro Area

António Rua, João Valle e Azevedo and Siem Jan Koopman

2003: The Careers of Top Managers and Firm Openness: Internal Versus External Labour Markets

Francisco Lima

2003: The Impact of Interest-rate Subsidies on Long-term Household Debt: Evidence from a Large Program

Nuno C. Martins

2003: The Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Is it Relevant for Policy?

Bernardino Adao and Pedro Teles

2003: Employment Dynamics and the Structure of Labor Adjustment Costs

Pedro Portugal and Jose Varejao

2003: Six Ways to Leave Unemployment

Pedro Portugal and John Addison

2003: Wages and the Risk of Displacement

Pedro Portugal and Anabela Carneiro

2003: Nonlinearities over the Business Cycle: an Application of the Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model to characterize GDP dynamics for the Euro-area and Portugal

Francisco Craveiro Dias

2003: Why do Firms Use Fixed-Term Contracts?

Pedro Portugal and Jose Varejao

2003: Coincident and Leading Indicators for the Euro Area: A Frequency Band Approach

António Rua and Luis Nunes

2003: The Distribution of Liquidity in a Monetary Union with Different Portfolio Rigidities

Nuno Alves

2003: Contagious Currency Crisis: A Spatial Probit Approach

Álvaro A. Novo

2003: Forecasting Euro Area Aggregates with Bayesian VAR and VECM Models

Luis Nunes

2003: Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy: Equivalence Results

Pedro Teles and Juan Pablo Nicolini

2003: The Timing and Probability of FDI: An Application to the United States Multinational Enterprises

José Brandão de Brito

2003: Founding Conditions and the Survival of New Firms

Pedro Portugal and Paul Geroski

2002: Institutions and Economic Development: How Strong is the Relation?

Tiago Cavalcanti

2002: Does Money Granger Cause Inflation in the Euro Area?

Joaquim Pina

2002: The Analysis of Seasonal Return Anomalies in the Portuguese Stock Market

Miguel Balbina

2002: Hedonic Prices Indexes for New Passenger Cars in Portugal (1997-2001)

Hugo Reis and João Santos Silva

2002: The Match Quality Gains from Unemployment Insurance

Mário Centeno

2002: Disentangling the Minimum Wage Puzzle: An Analysis of Worker Accessions and Separations from Longitudinal Matched Employer-Employee Data Set

Pedro Portugal and Ana Rute Cardoso

2002: Merge or Concentrate? Some Insights for Antitrust Policy

Margarida Catalão-Lopes

2002: An "Art", not a "Science"? Central Bank Management in Portugal under the Gold Standard, 1854-1891

Jaime Reis

2002: Business Cycles: Cyclical Comovement Within the European Union in the Period 1960-1999. A Frequency Domain Approach

João Valle e Azevedo

2002: Patterns of Entry, Post-Entry Growth and Survival: A Comparison Between Domestic and Foreign Owned Firms

Pedro Portugal and José Mata

2002: Modelling Taylor Rule Uncertainty

Fernando Martins, Paulo Esteves and José António Machado

2002: Should we Distinguish Between Static and Dynamic Long Run Equilibrium in Error Correction Models?

Susana Botas

2002: Quantile Regression Methods: na Application to U.S. Unemployment Duration

Pedro Portugal and José António Machado