Details about Lawrence H. Summers

Workplace:

Harvard Business School, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC) Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC) Department of Economics, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC) National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Lawrence H. Summers.

Last updated 2024-11-09. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: psu137

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Working Papers

2025

1. Technological Disruption in the Labor Market
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2024

2. The Cost of Money is Part of the Cost of Living: New Evidence on the Consumer Sentiment Anomaly
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)

2022

3. A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
   See also Journal Article A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing, Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier (2022) View citations (3) (2022)
4. Bad news for the Fed from the Beveridge space
   Policy Briefs, Peterson Institute for International Economics View citations (34)
5. Comparing Past and Present Inflation
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (12)
   See also Journal Article Comparing Past and Present Inflation*, Review of Finance, European Finance Association (2022) View citations (10) (2022)
6. How Tight are U.S. Labor Markets?
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (21)
7. Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform
   Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies.
   Also in Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department. (2021) View citations (1)
   Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2021) View citations (1)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform, Tax Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press (2022) (2022)
   Chapter Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (1) (2021)
8. The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (6)
   See also Journal Article The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation*, Review of Finance, European Finance Association (2022) View citations (6) (2022)

2021

9. Productivity and Pay in the US and Canada
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)

2020

10. A Calculation of the Social Returns to Innovation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (29)
    See also Chapter A Calculation of the Social Returns to Innovation, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (29) (2020)
11. Automatic stabilizers in a low-rate environment
    Policy Briefs, Peterson Institute for International Economics View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article Automatic Stabilizers in a Low-Rate Environment, AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association (2020) View citations (13) (2020)
12. The COVID-19 pandemic: a letter to G20 leaders
    LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library View citations (8)
13. The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis: An explanation for the recent evolution of the American economy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (105)
    See also Journal Article The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis: An Explanation for the Recent Evolution of the American Economy, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2020) View citations (15) (2020)
14. Understanding the Revenue Potential of Tax Compliance Investment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)

2019

15. Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (166)
    Also in Working Paper, Norges Bank (2019)
    See also Journal Article Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2024) View citations (3) (2024)
16. On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (66)
    See also Journal Article On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2019) View citations (8) (2019)
17. Shrinking the Tax Gap: Approaches and Revenue Potential
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)

2018

18. Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article Aging, Output Per Capita, and Secular Stagnation, American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association (2019) View citations (30) (2019)
19. How to convene an international health or development commission: ten key steps
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government
20. Jobs for the Heartland: Place-Based Policies in 21st Century America
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (91)
    See also Journal Article Jobs for the Heartland: Place-Based Policies in 21st-Century America, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2018) View citations (87) (2018)
21. Pandemic risk: how large are the expected losses?
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard Kennedy School of Government View citations (47)
22. Productivity and Pay: Is the Link Broken?
    Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics View citations (10)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017) View citations (44)

2017

23. Rethinking Stabilization Policy: Evolution or Revolution?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (28)

2016

24. A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation
    2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (94)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) View citations (77)
    See also Journal Article A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation, IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan (2016) View citations (83) (2016)
25. Multilateral development banking for this century’s development challenges: five recommendations to shareholders of the old and new multilateral development banks
    LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library View citations (3)
26. Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (92)
    See also Journal Article Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2016) View citations (92) (2016)
27. The Inclusive Cost of Pandemic Influenza Risk
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (16)
28. The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (32)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2015) View citations (24)
    See also Chapter The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017) View citations (8) (2017)
    Journal Article The permanent effects of fiscal consolidations, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2018) View citations (123) (2018)

2015

29. Inflation and Activity - Two Explorations and Their Monetary Policy Implications
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government View citations (440)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015) View citations (268)
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2015) View citations (380)
    Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics (2015) View citations (360)

2014

30. Asiaphoria Meets Regression to the Mean
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (80)
    See also Journal Article Asia-phoria meet regression to the mean, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2013) View citations (3) (2013)

2009

31. How Globalization Affects Tax Design
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (42)
    See also Chapter How Globalization Affects Tax Design, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) View citations (41) (2009)

2008

32. Policymaking for Posterity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (27)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2008) View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article Policymaking for posterity, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer (2008) View citations (28) (2008)

2007

33. Reflections on Global Account Imbalances and Emerging Markets Reserve Accumulation
    Working Papers, eSocialSciences View citations (4)

1996

34. From Halifax to Lyons: What Has Been Done About Crisis Management?
    Princeton Essays in International Economics, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University, View citations (6)
    Also in Princeton Studies in International Economics, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University, (1996) View citations (6)

1993

35. Finance and its reform: beyond laissez-faire
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (26)
36. Good Policy or Good Luck? Country Growth Performance and Temporary Shocks
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (484)
    See also Journal Article Good policy or good luck?: Country growth performance and temporary shocks, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1993) View citations (491) (1993)
37. Unemployment Benefits, Labor Market Transitions, and Spurious Flows: A Multinational Logit Model with Errors in Classification
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
38. Wealthier is healthier
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (75)
    See also Journal Article Wealthier is Healthier, Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press (1996) View citations (508) (1996)

1992

39. Investing in all the people
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (38)
    See also Journal Article Investing in All the People, The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (1992) View citations (37) (1992)
40. Taxation and the Structure of Labor Markets: The Case of Corporatism
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Taxation and the Structure of Labor Markets: The Case of Corporatism, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (1993) View citations (94) (1993)

1991

41. Japan's High Saving Rate Reaffirmed
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Japan's High Saving Rate Reaffirmed, Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan (1991) View citations (4) (1991)
42. The Survival of Noise Traders in Financial Markets
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (274)
    Also in J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department View citations (19)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988) View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article The Survival of Noise Traders in Financial Markets, The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press (1991) View citations (281) (1991)

1990

43. AN AGING SOCIETY: OPPORTUNITY OR CHALLENGE
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (280)
    See also Journal Article An Aging Society: Opportunity or Challenge?, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (1990) View citations (281) (1990)
44. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (15)
    Also in J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department
    See also Journal Article Equipment Investment and Economic Growth, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (1991) View citations (694) (1991)
45. Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (2170)
    Also in J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1990) View citations (2224) (1990)
46. Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (1026)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) View citations (106)
    See also Journal Article Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation, Journal of Finance, American Finance Association (1990) View citations (1010) (1990)
47. SPECULATIVE DYNAMICS
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (12)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article Speculative Dynamics, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1991) View citations (251) (1991)
48. SPECULATIVE DYNAMICS AND THE ROLE OF FEEDBACK TRADERS
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (183)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) View citations (181)
    See also Journal Article Speculative Dynamics and the Role of Feedback Traders, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1990) View citations (194) (1990)
49. THE STOCK MARKET, PROFIT AND INVESTMENT
    RCER Working Papers, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER) View citations (21)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) View citations (23)
    See also Journal Article The Stock Market, Profit, and Investment, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (1993) View citations (237) (1993)
50. The Noise Trader Approach to Finance
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (545)
    See also Journal Article The Noise Trader Approach to Finance, Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association (1990) View citations (553) (1990)

1989

51. Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (105)
    See also Chapter Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1991) View citations (214) (1991)
52. Employee Crime and the Monitoring Puzzle
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (73)
    See also Journal Article Employee Crime and the Monitoring Puzzle, Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press (1989) View citations (73) (1989)
53. Should Nations Learn to Live With Inflation?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (11)
54. The Size and Incidence of the Losses from Noise Trading
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (119)
    Also in Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics (1989) View citations (117)
    J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article The Size and Incidence of the Losses from Noise Trading, Journal of Finance, American Finance Association (1989) View citations (117) (1989)
55. WHEN FINANCIAL MARKETS WORK TOO WELL: A CAUTIOUS CASE FOR A SECURITIES TRANSACTIONS TAX
    Working Papers, Columbia - Center for Futures Markets View citations (194)

1988

56. Can Inter-Industry Wage Differentials Justify Strategic Trade Policy?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (24)
    See also Chapter Can Interindustry Wage Differentials Justify Strategic Trade Policy?, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) View citations (32) (1989)
57. Labor Hoarding, Inflexible Prices, and Procyclical Productivity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)
58. On the Existence and Interpretation of the "Unit Root" in U.S. GNP
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
59. Relative Wages, Efficiency Wages, and Keynesian Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (125)
    See also Journal Article Relative Wages, Efficiency Wages, and Keynesian Unemployment, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1988) View citations (139) (1988)
60. The Costs of Conflict Resolution and Financial Distress: Evidence from the Texaco-Pennzoil Litigation
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (45)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article The Costs of Conflict Resolution and Financial Distress: Evidence from the Texaco-Pennzoil Litigation, RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation (1988) View citations (36) (1988)
61. What Moves Stock Prices?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (189)
    Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1988) View citations (30)

1987

62. Breach of Trust in Hostile Takeovers
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (31)
    See also Chapter Breach of Trust in Hostile Takeovers, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988) View citations (430) (1988)
63. Employee Crime, Monitoring, and the Efficiency Wage Hypothesis
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
64. Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (30)
    See also Journal Article Mean reversion in stock prices: Evidence and Implications, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (1988) View citations (835) (1988)
65. Recent Evidence on Budget Deficits and National Savings
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
66. Should Tax Reform Level the Playing Field?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (11)
67. Tax Policy, Asset Prices, and Growth: A General Equilibrium Analysis
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Tax policy, asset prices, and growth: A general equilibrium analysis, Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier (1989) View citations (69) (1989)
68. The Economic Consequences of Noise Traders
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (32)
69. Why Have Private Saving Rates in the United States and Canada Diverged?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (36)
    See also Journal Article Why have private savings rates in the United States and Canada diverged?, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1987) View citations (57) (1987)

1986

70. Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (179)
    Also in Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1989) View citations (452) (1989)
71. Debt Problems and Macroeconomic Policies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article Debt problems and macroeconomic policies, Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (1986) View citations (6) (1986)
72. Did Henry Ford Pay Efficiency Wages?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Did Henry Ford Pay Efficiency Wages?, Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press (1987) View citations (75) (1987)
73. Efficiency Wages and the Wage Structure
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
74. Finite Lifetimes and the Crowding Out Effects of Budget Deficits
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
75. Finite Lifetimes and the Effects of Budget Deficits on National Savings
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Finite lifetimes and the effects of budget deficits on national saving, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1987) View citations (49) (1987)
76. Fiscal Increasing Returns, Hysteresis, Real Wages and Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (6)
    Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1986) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal increasing returns, hysteresis, real wages and unemployment, European Economic Review, Elsevier (1987) View citations (45) (1987)
77. Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (1042)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) View citations (1042)
    See also Chapter Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) View citations (1015) (1986)
78. Hysteresis in Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1071)
    See also Journal Article Hysteresis in unemployment, European Economic Review, Elsevier (1987) View citations (300) (1987)
79. Investment Incentives and the Discounting of Depreciation Allowances
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (8)
    See also Chapter Investment Incentives and the Discounting of Depreciation Allowances, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) View citations (50) (1987)
80. Notes on the Tax Treatment of Structures
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (27)
    See also Chapter Notes on the Tax Treatment of Structures, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) View citations (30) (1987)
81. Reflections on the Inter-Industry Wage Structure
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (142)
82. Tax Incidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (16)
    See also Chapter Tax incidence, Handbook of Public Economics, Elsevier (1987) View citations (43) (1987)
83. Tax Policy and International Competitiveness
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (28)
    See also Chapter Tax Policy and International Competitiveness, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988) View citations (163) (1988)
84. The Contribution of Intergenerational Transfers to Total Wealth: A Reply
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (26)
85. The Strategic Bequest Motive
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article The Strategic Bequest Motive, Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press (1986) View citations (26) (1986)

1985

86. A Tax-Based Test for Nominal Rigidities
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1985)
    See also Journal Article A Tax-Based Test for Nominal Rigidities, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1986) View citations (33) (1986)
87. A Theory of Dual Labor Markets with Application to Industrial Policy, Discrimination and Keynesian Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (111)
    See also Journal Article A Theory of Dual Labor Markets with Application to Industrial Policy,Discrimination, and Keynesian Unemployment, Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press (1986) View citations (334) (1986)
88. Gibson's Paradox and the Gold Standard
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Gibson's Paradox and the Gold Standard, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1988) View citations (52) (1988)
89. How Does the Market Value Unfunded Pension Liabilities?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (17)
    See also Chapter How Does the Market Value Unfunded Pension Liabilities?, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) View citations (24) (1987)
90. Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1986) View citations (98) (1986)
91. Issues in National Savings Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (12)
92. Poverty in America: Is Welfare the Answer or the Problem?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
93. Public Policy Implications of Declining Old-Age Mortality
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (3)
94. Taxation and the Size and Composition of the Capital Stock: An Asset Price Approach
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (6)

1984

95. Adjusting the Gross Changes Data: Implications for Labor Market Dynamics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
    Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1984) View citations (3)
96. Are Business Cycles Symmetric?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (53)
97. Are Tax Cuts Really Expansionary?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (8)
98. Bequests as a Means of Payment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (10)
99. Do Long-Term Interest Rates Overreact to Short-Term Interest Rates?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (143)
    See also Journal Article Do Long-Term Interest Rates Overreact to Short-Term Interest Rates?, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (1984) View citations (144) (1984)
100. Estimating the Long-Run Relationship Between Interest Rates and Inflation: A Response to McCallum
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
     See also Journal Article Estimating the long-run relationship between interest rates and inflation: A response to McCallum, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1986) View citations (11) (1986)
101. New Evidence that Taxes Affect the Valuation of Dividends
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (98)
     Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1984) View citations (101)
     See also Journal Article New Evidence that Taxes Affect the Valuation of Dividends, Journal of Finance, American Finance Association (1984) View citations (103) (1984)
102. The After Tax Rate of Return Affects Private Savings
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (28)
     See also Journal Article The After-Tax Rate of Return Affects Private Savings, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1984) View citations (27) (1984)
103. The Asset Price Approach to the Analysis of Capital Income Taxation
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
     See also Chapter The Asset Price Approach to the Analysis of Capital Income Taxation, Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan (1985) View citations (4) (1985)
104. The Changing Cyclical Variability of Economic Activity in the United States
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (46)
     See also Chapter The Changing Cyclical Variability of Economic Activity in the United States, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) View citations (76) (1986)
105. The Economic Effects of Dividend Taxation
     Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (16)
     Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1984) View citations (108)
106. The Persistence of Volatility and Stock Market Fluctuations
     Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (21)
     Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1984) View citations (14)
     See also Journal Article The Persistence of Volatility and Stock Market Fluctuations, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1986) View citations (229) (1986)

1983

107. Multiple Shooting in Rational Expectations Models
     NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (11)
108. Survey Response Variation in the Current Population Survey
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)

1982

109. Do We Really Know That Financial Markets Are Efficient?
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (8)
110. Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (24)
     See also Journal Article Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (1985) View citations (246) (1985)
111. Labor Force Participation: Timing and Persistence
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (24)
     See also Journal Article Labour Force Participation: Timing and Persistence, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1982) View citations (58) (1982)
112. Observations on the Indexation of Old Age Pensions
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
     See also Chapter Observations on the Indexation of Old Age Pensions, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1983) View citations (5) (1983)
113. Tax Policy, the Rate of Return, and Savings
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (38)
114. The Nonadjustment of Nominal Interest Rates: A Study of the Fisher Effect
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (24)
115. The Taxation of Risky Assets
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (51)
     See also Journal Article The Taxation of Risky Assets, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1984) View citations (82) (1984)
116. Unemployment Insurance and Labor Force Transitions
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)

1981

117. Dividend Taxes, Corporate Investment, and "Q"
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
     See also Journal Article Dividend taxes, corporate investment, and `Q', Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier (1983) View citations (73) (1983)
118. Inflation and the Valuation of Corporate Equities
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (15)
119. Tax Reform and Corporate Investment: A Microeconometric Simulation Study
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (30)
     See also Chapter Tax Reform and Corporate Investment: A Microeconometric Simulation Study, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1983) View citations (47) (1983)
120. The Adequacy of Savings
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
     Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (1980) View citations (2)
     See also Journal Article The Adequacy of Savings, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1982) View citations (42) (1982)

1980

121. Demographic Differences in Cyclical Employment Variation
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (22)
     See also Journal Article Demographic Differences in Cyclical Employment Variation, Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press (1981) View citations (109) (1981)
122. Inflation, Taxation, and Corporate Investment: A q-Theory Approach
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)
123. Inflation, the Stock Market, and Owner-Occupied Housing
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (10)
     See also Journal Article Inflation, the Stock Market, and Owner-Occupied Housing, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1981) View citations (42) (1981)
124. Tax Policy and Corporate Investment
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
125. The Role of Intergenerational Transfers in Aggregate Capital Accumulation
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (154)
     See also Journal Article The Role of Intergenerational Transfers in Aggregate Capital Accumulation, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1981) View citations (488) (1981)

1979

126. Inflation and the Taxation of Capital Income in the Corporate Sector
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (81)
     See also Chapter Inflation and the Taxation of Capital Income in the Corporate Sector, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1983) View citations (7) (1983)
127. Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term Interest Rates
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
     See also Chapter Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long-term Interest Rate, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1983) (1983)
     Journal Article Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term-Interest Rate, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (1978) View citations (40) (1978)
128. Optimal Inflation Policy
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
     See also Journal Article Optimal inflation policy, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1981) View citations (5) (1981)
129. The Investment Tax Credit: An Evaluation
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (13)

1978

130. Dividing Capital Accumulation Into Its Life Cycle and Intergenerational Transfer Components
     UCLA Economics Working Papers, UCLA Department of Economics
131. Labor Force Transitions and Unemployment
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
132. Long Run Tax Incidence and Variable Labor Supply Revisited
     UCLA Economics Working Papers, UCLA Department of Economics View citations (1)
133. Tax Policy in a Life Cycle Model
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)
134. The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (55)
     See also Chapter The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1982) View citations (100) (1982)

Undated

135. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth: How Robust Is the Nexus?
     J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department
136. How Does Macroeconomic Policy Matter?
     J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department View citations (36)
137. How Strongly Do Developing Countries Benefit from Equipment Investment?
     J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department View citations (3)
138. Macroeconomic Policy and Long-Run Growth
     J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department
     See also Journal Article Macroeconomic policy and long-run growth, Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (1992) View citations (18) (1992)
139. On the Existence and Interpretation of a `Unit Root' in U.S. Real GDP
     J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department

Journal Articles

2024

1. Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel
   The Review of Economic Studies, 2024, 91, (4), 2201-2275 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel, NBER Working Papers (2019) View citations (166) (2019)

2022

2. A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing
   Journal of Policy Modeling, 2022, 44, (4), 758-767 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper A labor market view on the risks of a U.S. hard landing, NBER Working Papers (2022) View citations (4) (2022)
3. Comparing Past and Present Inflation*
   (Supply and demand in disaggregated Keynesian economies with an application to the covid-19 crisis)
   Review of Finance, 2022, 26, (5), 1073-1100 View citations (10)
   See also Working Paper Comparing Past and Present Inflation, NBER Working Papers (2022) View citations (12) (2022)
4. Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform
   Tax Policy and the Economy, 2022, 36, (1), 1 - 33
   See also Working Paper Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform, Working Papers (2022) (2022)
   Chapter Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform, NBER Chapters, 2021, 1-33 (2021) View citations (1) (2021)
5. Symposium – Built Up: An Historical Perspective on the Contemporary Principles and Practices of Real Estate Development, by Patrice Derrington. London: Routledge (2021)
   Environment and Planning A, 2022, 54, (5), 1022-1066
6. The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation*
   (The repeat rent index)
   Review of Finance, 2022, 26, (5), 1051-1072 View citations (6)
   See also Working Paper The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation, NBER Working Papers (2022) View citations (6) (2022)

2021

7. Productivity and Pay in the United States and Canada
   International Productivity Monitor, 2021, 41, 3-30 View citations (8)

2020

8. Automatic Stabilizers in a Low-Rate Environment
   AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2020, 110, 125-30 View citations (13)
   See also Working Paper Automatic stabilizers in a low-rate environment, Policy Briefs (2020) View citations (13) (2020)
9. The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis: An Explanation for the Recent Evolution of the American Economy
   Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2020, 51, (1 (Spring)), 1-96 View citations (15)
   See also Working Paper The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis: An explanation for the recent evolution of the American economy, NBER Working Papers (2020) View citations (105) (2020)

2019

10. Aging, Output Per Capita, and Secular Stagnation
    American Economic Review: Insights, 2019, 1, (3), 325-42 View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation, NBER Working Papers (2018) View citations (16) (2018)
11. Comment
    NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2019, 33, (1), 157 - 162
12. On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2019, 50, (1 (Spring)), 1-76 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World, NBER Working Papers (2019) View citations (66) (2019)
13. Ripensare le politiche macroeconomiche: evoluzione o rivoluzione? (Evolution or Revolution? Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy after the Great Recession)
    Moneta e Credito, 2019, 72, (287), 171-195

2018

14. Jobs for the Heartland: Place-Based Policies in 21st-Century America
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2018, 49, (1 (Spring)), 151-255 View citations (87)
    See also Working Paper Jobs for the Heartland: Place-Based Policies in 21st Century America, NBER Working Papers (2018) View citations (91) (2018)
15. Secular Stagnation and Macroeconomic Policy
    IMF Economic Review, 2018, 66, (2), 226-250 View citations (10)
16. The permanent effects of fiscal consolidations
    Journal of International Economics, 2018, 112, (C), 238-250 View citations (123)
    See also Chapter The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations, NBER Chapters, 2017 (2017) View citations (8) (2017)
    Working Paper The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations, NBER Working Papers (2016) View citations (32) (2016)
17. TrumpEconomics: A first year evaluation
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2018, 40, (3), 529-545 View citations (3)

2017

18. Crises in Economic Thought, Secular Stagnation, and Future Economic Research
    NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2017, 31, (1), 557 - 577
    See also Chapter Crises in Economic Thought, Secular Stagnation, and Future Economic Research, NBER Chapters, 2016, 557-577 (2016) (2016)

2016

19. A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation
    IMF Economic Review, 2016, 64, (4), 581-634 View citations (83)
    See also Working Paper A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation, 2016 Meeting Papers (2016) View citations (94) (2016)
20. Comparing Real GDP Across Countries: Comment
    Economic Affairs, 2016, 36, (2), 221-223 View citations (2)
21. Reorienting health aid to meet post-2015 global health challenges: a case study of Sweden as a donor
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2016, 32, (1), 122-146 View citations (1)
22. Secular Stagnation and Monetary Policy
    Review, 2016, 98, (2) View citations (10)
23. Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy
    American Economic Review, 2016, 106, (5), 503-07 View citations (92)
    See also Working Paper Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy, NBER Working Papers (2016) View citations (92) (2016)
24. Understanding Bank Risk through Market Measures
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2016, 47, (2 (Fall)), 57-127 View citations (38)

2015

25. Demand Side Secular Stagnation
    American Economic Review, 2015, 105, (5), 60-65 View citations (198)
26. Foreword to "A Comparative Study of Two Global Crises¡±
    Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, 2015, 10, (3), 393-395
27. Have we Entered an Age of Secular Stagnation? IMF Fourteenth Annual Research Conference in Honor of Stanley Fischer, Washington, DC
    IMF Economic Review, 2015, 63, (1), 277-280 View citations (15)

2014

28. U.S. Economic Prospects: Secular Stagnation, Hysteresis, and the Zero Lower Bound
    Business Economics, 2014, 49, (2), 65-73 View citations (569)

2013

29. Asia-phoria meet regression to the mean
    Proceedings, 2013, (Nov), 1-35 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Asiaphoria Meets Regression to the Mean, NBER Working Papers (2014) View citations (80) (2014)

2012

30. China: Imposing economic threat or unprecedented growth opportunity?
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2012, 34, (4), 529-532 View citations (1)
31. Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2012, 43, (1 (Spring)), 233-297 View citations (506)

2010

32. Principles for Economic Recovery and Renewal
    Business Economics, 2010, 45, (1), 3-7

2008

33. Policymaking for posterity
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2008, 37, (2), 115-140 View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper Policymaking for Posterity, NBER Working Papers (2008) View citations (27) (2008)

2007

34. Solutions Within Reach
    Innovations: Technology, Governance, Globalization, 2007, 2, (4), 10-15

2006

35. Comments on Richard Zeckhauser's Investing in the Unknown and Unknowable
    Capitalism and Society, 2006, 1, (2), 4 View citations (1)

2004

36. General discussion: global demographic change: dimensions and economic significance
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2004, (Aug), 73-81 View citations (3)
37. General discussion: the impact of population aging on financial markets
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2004, (Aug), 229-242 View citations (1)

2003

38. Cyclical dynamics in the new economy
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2003, 25, (5), 525-530 View citations (6)

2001

39. The 'new economy': background, historical perspective, questions, and speculations
    Economic Review, 2001, 86, (Q IV), 29-59 View citations (7)
    Also in Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2001, 11-43 (2001) View citations (9)

2000

40. International Financial Crises: Causes, Prevention, and Cures
    American Economic Review, 2000, 90, (2), 1-16 View citations (357)

1999

41. Building an International Financial Architecture for the 21st Century
    Cato Journal, 1999, 18, (3), 321-329 View citations (8)
42. Distinguished Lecture on Economics in Government: Reflections on Managing Global Integration
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1999, 13, (2), 3-18 View citations (9)

1996

43. Wealthier is Healthier
    Journal of Human Resources, 1996, 31, (4), 841-868 View citations (508)
    See also Working Paper Wealthier is healthier, Policy Research Working Paper Series (1993) View citations (75) (1993)
44. Why are central banks pursuing long-run price stability? (commentary)
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 1996, 35-43

1995

45. La ilusión científica en la macroeconomía empírica
    Revista Cuadernos de Economia, 1995
46. Unemployment Benefits and Labor Market Transitions: A Multinomial Logit Model with Errors in Classification
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1995, 77, (2), 207-16 View citations (74)

1994

47. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth: Reply
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1994, 109, (3), 803-807 View citations (10)
48. The Clinton Administration’s International Economic Policy
    Challenge, 1994, 37, (2), 24-27

1993

49. Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance: Some Comparative Evidence
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1993, 25, (2), 151-62 View citations (707)
50. Central bank independence, growth, investment, and real rates
    Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1993, 39, (1), 95-140 View citations (80)
51. Good policy or good luck?: Country growth performance and temporary shocks
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1993, 32, (3), 459-483 View citations (491)
    See also Working Paper Good Policy or Good Luck? Country Growth Performance and Temporary Shocks, NBER Working Papers (1993) View citations (484) (1993)
52. How strongly do developing economies benefit from equipment investment?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1993, 32, (3), 395-415 View citations (100)
53. Keynote Speech: Population Problem Confronted by the World Economy: A Summary
    Public Finance = Finances publiques, 1993, 48, (Supplement), 1-3 View citations (1)
54. Recent Lessons of Development
    The World Bank Research Observer, 1993, 8, (2), 241-54 View citations (8)
55. Should Governments Learn to Live with Inflation? Reply
    American Economic Review, 1993, 83, (1), 312-13 View citations (2)
56. Taxation and the Structure of Labor Markets: The Case of Corporatism
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1993, 108, (2), 385-411 View citations (94)
    See also Working Paper Taxation and the Structure of Labor Markets: The Case of Corporatism, NBER Working Papers (1992) View citations (6) (1992)
57. The Stock Market, Profit, and Investment
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1993, 108, (1), 115-136 View citations (237)
    See also Working Paper THE STOCK MARKET, PROFIT AND INVESTMENT, RCER Working Papers (1990) View citations (21) (1990)
58. The Structural-Adjustment Debate
    American Economic Review, 1993, 83, (2), 383-89 View citations (22)

1992

59. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth: How Strong Is the Nexus?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1992, 23, (2), 157-212 View citations (113)
60. Investing in All the People
    The Pakistan Development Review, 1992, 31, (4), 367-404 View citations (37)
    See also Working Paper Investing in all the people, Policy Research Working Paper Series (1992) View citations (38) (1992)
61. Macroeconomic policy and long-run growth
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 1992, 93-128 View citations (18)
    Also in Economic Review, 1992, 77, (Q IV), 5-29 (1992) View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper Macroeconomic Policy and Long-Run Growth, J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers

1991

62. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1991, 106, (2), 445-502 View citations (694)
    See also Working Paper Equipment Investment and Economic Growth, NBER Working Papers (1990) View citations (15) (1990)
63. How Should Long-Term Monetary Policy Be Determined? Panel Discussion
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1991, 23, (3), 625-31 View citations (192)
64. Japan's High Saving Rate Reaffirmed
    Monetary and Economic Studies, 1991, 9, (2), 63-78 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Japan's High Saving Rate Reaffirmed, NBER Working Papers (1991) View citations (2) (1991)
65. Panel discussion: price stability; How should long-term monetary policy be determined?
    Proceedings, 1991, 625-631 View citations (107)
66. Regionalism and the world trading system
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 1991, 295-301 View citations (43)
67. Speculative Dynamics
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1991, 58, (3), 529-546 View citations (251)
    See also Working Paper SPECULATIVE DYNAMICS, Working papers (1990) View citations (12) (1990)
68. The Case for Corrective Taxation
    National Tax Journal, 1991, 44, (3), 289-92 View citations (9)
69. The Survival of Noise Traders in Financial Markets
    The Journal of Business, 1991, 64, (1), 1-19 View citations (281)
    See also Working Paper The Survival of Noise Traders in Financial Markets, Scholarly Articles (1991) View citations (274) (1991)

1990

70. An Aging Society: Opportunity or Challenge?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1990, 21, (1), 1-74 View citations (281)
    See also Working Paper AN AGING SOCIETY: OPPORTUNITY OR CHALLENGE, Working papers (1990) View citations (280) (1990)
71. Inflexible Prices and Procyclical Productivity
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1990, 105, (4), 851-874 View citations (59)
72. Les keynésiens doivent-ils se passer de la courbe de Phillips?
    Revue Française d'Économie, 1990, 5, (2), 3-28
73. Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
    Journal of Political Economy, 1990, 98, (4), 703-38 View citations (2224)
    See also Working Paper Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets, Scholarly Articles (1990) View citations (2170) (1990)
74. Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation
    Journal of Finance, 1990, 45, (2), 379-95 View citations (1010)
    See also Working Paper Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation, Scholarly Articles (1990) View citations (1026) (1990)
75. Price-Level "Flexibility" and the Coming of the New Deal: Reply to Sumner
    Cato Journal, 1990, 9, (3), 729-735
76. Soviet Federalism
    Challenge, 1990, 33, (5), 15-16
77. Speculative Dynamics and the Role of Feedback Traders
    American Economic Review, 1990, 80, (2), 63-68 View citations (194)
    See also Working Paper SPECULATIVE DYNAMICS AND THE ROLE OF FEEDBACK TRADERS, Working papers (1990) View citations (183) (1990)
78. The Noise Trader Approach to Finance
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1990, 4, (2), 19-33 View citations (553)
    See also Working Paper The Noise Trader Approach to Finance, Scholarly Articles (1990) View citations (545) (1990)

1989

79. Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1989, 56, (1), 1-19 View citations (452)
    See also Working Paper Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence, NBER Working Papers (1986) View citations (179) (1986)
80. Employee Crime and the Monitoring Puzzle
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1989, 7, (3), 331-47 View citations (73)
    See also Working Paper Employee Crime and the Monitoring Puzzle, Scholarly Articles (1989) View citations (73) (1989)
81. Industry Rents: Evidence and Implications
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1989, 20, (1989 Microeconomics), 209-290 View citations (287)
82. Should Governments Learn to Live with Inflation?
    American Economic Review, 1989, 79, (2), 382-87 View citations (70)
83. Some Simple Economics of Mandated Benefits
    American Economic Review, 1989, 79, (2), 177-83 View citations (316)
84. Tax policy, asset prices, and growth: A general equilibrium analysis
    Journal of Public Economics, 1989, 38, (3), 265-296 View citations (69)
    See also Working Paper Tax Policy, Asset Prices, and Growth: A General Equilibrium Analysis, NBER Working Papers (1987) View citations (12) (1987)
85. Taxation and Corporate Debt
    Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 1989, 2, (1), 45-51 View citations (2)
86. The Size and Incidence of the Losses from Noise Trading
    Journal of Finance, 1989, 44, (3), 681-696 View citations (117)
    See also Working Paper The Size and Incidence of the Losses from Noise Trading, NBER Working Papers (1989) View citations (119) (1989)

1988

87. Beyond the Natural Rate Hypothesis
    American Economic Review, 1988, 78, (2), 182-87 View citations (76)
88. Economic Priorities for the Next President
    Challenge, 1988, 31, (5), 21-26
89. Efficiency Wages and the Inter-industry Wage Structure
    Econometrica, 1988, 56, (2), 259-93 View citations (762)
90. Gibson's Paradox and the Gold Standard
    Journal of Political Economy, 1988, 96, (3), 528-50 View citations (52)
    See also Working Paper Gibson's Paradox and the Gold Standard, NBER Working Papers (1985) View citations (4) (1985)
91. How Does Macroeconomic Policy Affect Output?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1988, 19, (2), 433-494 View citations (238)
92. Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing? Reply
    American Economic Review, 1988, 78, (1), 273-76 View citations (3)
93. Mean reversion in stock prices: Evidence and Implications
    Journal of Financial Economics, 1988, 22, (1), 27-59 View citations (835)
    See also Working Paper Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications, NBER Working Papers (1987) View citations (30) (1987)
94. Money Demand and the Effects of Fiscal Policies: Reply
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1988, 20, (4), 715-17 View citations (7)
95. Postwar Developments in Business Cycle Theory: A Moderately Classical Perspective: Comment
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1988, 20, (3), 472-76 View citations (1)
96. Relative Wages, Efficiency Wages, and Keynesian Unemployment
    American Economic Review, 1988, 78, (2), 383-88 View citations (139)
    See also Working Paper Relative Wages, Efficiency Wages, and Keynesian Unemployment, NBER Working Papers (1988) View citations (125) (1988)
97. The Costs of Conflict Resolution and Financial Distress: Evidence from the Texaco-Pennzoil Litigation
    RAND Journal of Economics, 1988, 19, (2), 157-172 View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper The Costs of Conflict Resolution and Financial Distress: Evidence from the Texaco-Pennzoil Litigation, Scholarly Articles (1988) View citations (45) (1988)

1987

98. Corporatism, the laissez-faire, and the rise in unemployment: By A. Newell and J.S.V. Symons
    European Economic Review, 1987, 31, (3), 606-614
99. Did Henry Ford Pay Efficiency Wages?
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1987, 5, (4), S57-86 View citations (75)
    See also Working Paper Did Henry Ford Pay Efficiency Wages?, NBER Working Papers (1986) View citations (1) (1986)
100. Finite lifetimes and the effects of budget deficits on national saving
     Journal of Monetary Economics, 1987, 20, (2), 369-391 View citations (49)
     See also Working Paper Finite Lifetimes and the Effects of Budget Deficits on National Savings, Working papers (1986) View citations (4) (1986)
101. Fiscal increasing returns, hysteresis, real wages and unemployment
     European Economic Review, 1987, 31, (3), 543-560 View citations (45)
     See also Working Paper Fiscal Increasing Returns, Hysteresis, Real Wages and Unemployment, NBER Working Papers (1986) View citations (6) (1986)
102. Hysteresis in unemployment
     European Economic Review, 1987, 31, (1-2), 288-295 View citations (300)
     See also Working Paper Hysteresis in Unemployment, NBER Working Papers (1986) View citations (1071) (1986)
103. Why Is U.S. National Saving So Low?
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1987, 18, (2), 607-642 View citations (67)
104. Why have private savings rates in the United States and Canada diverged?
     Journal of Monetary Economics, 1987, 20, (2), 249-279 View citations (57)
     See also Working Paper Why Have Private Saving Rates in the United States and Canada Diverged?, NBER Working Papers (1987) View citations (36) (1987)

1986

105. A Tax-Based Test for Nominal Rigidities
     American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (4), 659-75 View citations (33)
     See also Working Paper A Tax-Based Test for Nominal Rigidities, Working papers (1985) (1985)
106. A Theory of Dual Labor Markets with Application to Industrial Policy,Discrimination, and Keynesian Unemployment
     Journal of Labor Economics, 1986, 4, (3), 376-414 View citations (334)
     See also Working Paper A Theory of Dual Labor Markets with Application to Industrial Policy, Discrimination and Keynesian Unemployment, NBER Working Papers (1985) View citations (111) (1985)
107. Debt problems and macroeconomic policies
     Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 1986, 165-208 View citations (6)
     See also Working Paper Debt Problems and Macroeconomic Policies, NBER Working Papers (1986) View citations (15) (1986)
108. Does the Stock Market Rationally Reflect Fundamental Values?
     Journal of Finance, 1986, 41, (3), 591-601 View citations (429)
109. Estimating the long-run relationship between interest rates and inflation: A response to McCallum
     Journal of Monetary Economics, 1986, 18, (1), 77-86 View citations (11)
     See also Working Paper Estimating the Long-Run Relationship Between Interest Rates and Inflation: A Response to McCallum, NBER Working Papers (1984) (1984)
110. Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?
     American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (5), 1031-44 View citations (98)
     See also Working Paper Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?, NBER Working Papers (1985) View citations (2) (1985)
111. Money Demand and the Effects of Fiscal Policies
     Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1986, 18, (4), 415-29 View citations (131)
112. Perspective
     Challenge, 1986, 29, (5), 47-50
113. Pourquoi les taux d'intérêts sont-ils aussi élevés
     Annals of Economics and Statistics, 1986, (3), 53-100 View citations (1)
114. Reporting Errors and Labor Market Dynamics
     Econometrica, 1986, 54, (6), 1319-38 View citations (154)
115. Some skeptical observations on real business cycle theory
     Quarterly Review, 1986, 10, (Fall), 23-27 View citations (134)
116. The Persistence of Volatility and Stock Market Fluctuations
     American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (5), 1142-51 View citations (229)
     See also Working Paper The Persistence of Volatility and Stock Market Fluctuations, Working papers (1984) View citations (21) (1984)
117. The Strategic Bequest Motive
     Journal of Labor Economics, 1986, 4, (3), S151-82 View citations (26)
     Also in Journal of Political Economy, 1985, 93, (6), 1045-76 (1985) View citations (659)
     See also Working Paper The Strategic Bequest Motive, Scholarly Articles (1986) View citations (22) (1986)
118. Why is the Unemployment Rate So Very High near Full Employment
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1986, 17, (2), 339-396 View citations (90)

1985

119. Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics
     The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (1), 225-251 View citations (246)
     See also Working Paper Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics, NBER Working Papers (1982) View citations (24) (1982)
120. Manifesto
     The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (1), iii
121. On Economics and Finance
     Journal of Finance, 1985, 40, (3), 633-35 View citations (43)

1984

122. Do Long-Term Interest Rates Overreact to Short-Term Interest Rates?
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1984, 15, (1), 223-248 View citations (144)
     See also Working Paper Do Long-Term Interest Rates Overreact to Short-Term Interest Rates?, NBER Working Papers (1984) View citations (143) (1984)
123. New Evidence that Taxes Affect the Valuation of Dividends
     Journal of Finance, 1984, 39, (5), 1397-1415 View citations (103)
     See also Working Paper New Evidence that Taxes Affect the Valuation of Dividends, NBER Working Papers (1984) View citations (98) (1984)
124. Perspectives on High World Real Interest Rates
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1984, 15, (2), 273-334 View citations (103)
125. The After-Tax Rate of Return Affects Private Savings
     American Economic Review, 1984, 74, (2), 249-53 View citations (27)
     See also Working Paper The After Tax Rate of Return Affects Private Savings, NBER Working Papers (1984) View citations (28) (1984)
126. The Taxation of Risky Assets
     Journal of Political Economy, 1984, 92, (1), 20-39 View citations (82)
     See also Working Paper The Taxation of Risky Assets, NBER Working Papers (1982) View citations (51) (1982)

1983

127. Dividend taxes, corporate investment, and `Q'
     Journal of Public Economics, 1983, 22, (2), 135-167 View citations (73)
     See also Working Paper Dividend Taxes, Corporate Investment, and "Q", NBER Working Papers (1981) View citations (2) (1981)
128. `On the economics of private money' by Robert G. King
     Journal of Monetary Economics, 1983, 12, (1), 159-162

1982

129. 'Economic policy in the face of declining productivity growth' by Nordhaus
     European Economic Review, 1982, 18, (1), 163-169 View citations (2)
     Also in European Economic Review, 1982, 18, (2), 163-169 (1982) View citations (2)
130. Capital Formation and Economic Policy
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1982, 13, (2), 273-326 View citations (8)
131. Labour Force Participation: Timing and Persistence
     The Review of Economic Studies, 1982, 49, (5), 825-844 View citations (58)
     See also Working Paper Labor Force Participation: Timing and Persistence, NBER Working Papers (1982) View citations (24) (1982)
132. Multiple Shooting in Rational Expectations Models [The Solution of Linear Difference Models under Rational Expectations]
     Econometrica, 1982, 50, (5), 1329-33 View citations (15)
133. The Adequacy of Savings
     American Economic Review, 1982, 72, (5), 1056-69 View citations (42)
     See also Working Paper The Adequacy of Savings, NBER Working Papers (1981) View citations (2) (1981)
134. The Effects of Dividends on Common Stock Prices: Tax Effects or Information Effects? Discussion
     Journal of Finance, 1982, 37, (2), 472-74

1981

135. Capital Taxation and Accumulation in a Life Cycle Growth Model
     American Economic Review, 1981, 71, (4), 533-44 View citations (258)
136. Demographic Differences in Cyclical Employment Variation
     Journal of Human Resources, 1981, 16, (1), 61-79 View citations (109)
     See also Working Paper Demographic Differences in Cyclical Employment Variation, NBER Working Papers (1980) View citations (22) (1980)
137. Inflation, the Stock Market, and Owner-Occupied Housing
     American Economic Review, 1981, 71, (2), 429-34 View citations (42)
     See also Working Paper Inflation, the Stock Market, and Owner-Occupied Housing, NBER Working Papers (1980) View citations (10) (1980)
138. Measuring Unemployment
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1981, 12, (2), 609-620 View citations (1)
139. Optimal inflation policy
     Journal of Monetary Economics, 1981, 7, (2), 175-194 View citations (5)
     See also Working Paper Optimal Inflation Policy, NBER Working Papers (1979) View citations (3) (1979)
140. Taxation and Corporate Investment: A q-Theory Approach
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1981, 12, (1), 67-140 View citations (366)
141. The Role of Intergenerational Transfers in Aggregate Capital Accumulation
     Journal of Political Economy, 1981, 89, (4), 706-32 View citations (488)
     See also Working Paper The Role of Intergenerational Transfers in Aggregate Capital Accumulation, NBER Working Papers (1980) View citations (154) (1980)

1980

142. The Labour Scarcity Controversy Reconsidered
     Economic Journal, 1980, 90, (357), 129-39 View citations (6)

1979

143. Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployemnt: A Reconsideration
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1979, 10, (1), 13-72 View citations (166)
144. Tax Incidence in a Life Cycle Model with Variable Labor Supply
     The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1979, 93, (4), 705-718 View citations (25)

1978

145. Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term-Interest Rate
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1978, 9, (1), 61-110 View citations (40)
     See also Working Paper Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term Interest Rates, NBER Working Papers (1979) View citations (4) (1979)
     Chapter Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long-term Interest Rate, NBER Chapters, 1983, 153-185 (1983) (1983)

1977

146. Is the Rate of Profit Falling?
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1977, 8, (1), 211-228 View citations (50)

Books

1990

1. Tax Policy and the Economy: Volume 4
   NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

1989

2. Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 3
   NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (14)

1988

3. Tax Policy and the Economy: Volume 2
   NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)

1987

4. Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 1
   NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (8)

Edited books

1990

1. Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 4, vol 4
   MIT Press Books, The MIT Press

Chapters

2021

1. Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform
   A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 36, 2021, pp 1-33 View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform, University of Chicago Press (2022) (2022)
   Working Paper Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies. (2022) (2022)

2020

2. A Calculation of the Social Returns to Innovation
   A chapter in Innovation and Public Policy, 2020, pp 13-59 View citations (29)
   See also Working Paper A Calculation of the Social Returns to Innovation, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (29) (2020)

2018

3. Comment on "Government Guarantees and the Valuation of American Banks"
   A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2018, volume 33, 2018, pp 157-162

2017

4. The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
   A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2017, 2017 View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) View citations (32) (2016)
   Journal Article The permanent effects of fiscal consolidations, Elsevier (2018) View citations (123) (2018)

2016

5. Crises in Economic Thought, Secular Stagnation, and Future Economic Research
   A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31, 2016, pp 557-577
   See also Journal Article Crises in Economic Thought, Secular Stagnation, and Future Economic Research, University of Chicago Press (2017) (2017)

2014

6. Low Equilibrium Real Rates, Financial Crisis, and Secular Stagnation
   Chapter 2 in Across the Great Divide: New Perspectives on the Financial Crisis, 2014 View citations (10)

2009

7. How Globalization Affects Tax Design
   A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 23, 2009, pp 123-157 View citations (41)
   See also Working Paper How Globalization Affects Tax Design, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) View citations (42) (2009)

1991

8. Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence
   A chapter in National Saving and Economic Performance, 1991, pp 305-348 View citations (214)
   See also Working Paper Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) View citations (105) (1989)
9. Macroeconomic Consequences of Financial Crises
   A chapter in The Risk of Economic Crisis, 1991, pp 135-182 View citations (3)
10. Should Keynesian Economics Dispense with the Phillips Curve?
    Palgrave Macmillan View citations (2)

1990

11. Who Benefits from Capital Gains Tax Reductions?
    A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy: Volume 4, 1990, pp 1-24 View citations (4)
12. Why Do Firms Monitor Workers?
    Palgrave Macmillan View citations (2)

1989

13. Can Interindustry Wage Differentials Justify Strategic Trade Policy?
    A chapter in Trade Policies for International Competitiveness, 1989, pp 85-124 View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper Can Inter-Industry Wage Differentials Justify Strategic Trade Policy?, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988) View citations (24) (1988)

1988

14. Breach of Trust in Hostile Takeovers
    A chapter in Corporate Takeovers: Causes and Consequences, 1988, pp 33-68 View citations (430)
    See also Working Paper Breach of Trust in Hostile Takeovers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) View citations (31) (1987)
15. Tax Policy and International Competitiveness
    A chapter in International Aspects of Fiscal Policies, 1988, pp 349-386 View citations (163)
    See also Working Paper Tax Policy and International Competitiveness, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) View citations (28) (1986)

1987

16. Corporate Capital Budgeting Practices and the Effects of Tax Policies on Investment
    A chapter in Taxes and Capital Formation, 1987, pp 27-36
17. How Does the Market Value Unfunded Pension Liabilities?
    A chapter in Issues in Pension Economics, 1987, pp 81-110 View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper How Does the Market Value Unfunded Pension Liabilities?, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1985) View citations (17) (1985)
18. Investment Incentives and the Discounting of Depreciation Allowances
    A chapter in The Effects of Taxation on Capital Accumulation, 1987, pp 295-304 View citations (50)
    See also Working Paper Investment Incentives and the Discounting of Depreciation Allowances, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) View citations (8) (1986)
19. Notes on the Tax Treatment of Structures
    A chapter in The Effects of Taxation on Capital Accumulation, 1987, pp 223-258 View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper Notes on the Tax Treatment of Structures, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) View citations (27) (1986)
20. Tax incidence
    Chapter 16 in Handbook of Public Economics, 1987, vol. 2, pp 1043-1092 View citations (43)
    See also Working Paper Tax Incidence, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) View citations (16) (1986)

1986

21. Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1986, Volume 1, 1986, pp 15-90 View citations (1015)
    See also Working Paper Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1986) View citations (1042) (1986)
22. The Changing Cyclical Variability of Economic Activity in the United States
    A chapter in The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change, 1986, pp 679-734 View citations (76)
    See also Working Paper The Changing Cyclical Variability of Economic Activity in the United States, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1984) View citations (46) (1984)

1985

23. The Asset Price Approach to the Analysis of Capital Income Taxation
    Palgrave Macmillan View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper The Asset Price Approach to the Analysis of Capital Income Taxation, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1984) View citations (3) (1984)

1983

24. Inflation and the Taxation of Capital Income in the Corporate Sector
    A chapter in Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation, 1983, pp 116-152 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Inflation and the Taxation of Capital Income in the Corporate Sector, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1979) View citations (81) (1979)
25. Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long-term Interest Rate
    A chapter in Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation, 1983, pp 153-185
    See also Working Paper Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term Interest Rates, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1979) View citations (4) (1979)
    Journal Article Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term-Interest Rate, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (1978) View citations (40) (1978)
26. Observations on the Indexation of Old Age Pensions
    A chapter in Financial Aspects of the United States Pension System, 1983, pp 231-258 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Observations on the Indexation of Old Age Pensions, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1982) View citations (4) (1982)
27. Tax Reform and Corporate Investment: A Microeconometric Simulation Study
    A chapter in Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis, 1983, pp 247-288 View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper Tax Reform and Corporate Investment: A Microeconometric Simulation Study, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1981) View citations (30) (1981)

1982

28. The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment
    A chapter in The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences, 1982, pp 199-234 View citations (100)
    See also Working Paper The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1978) View citations (55) (1978)