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Details about Lawrence H. Summers

Workplace:Harvard Business School, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC)
Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC)
Department of Economics, Harvard University, (more information at EDIRC)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Lawrence H. Summers.

Last updated 2017-04-30. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: psu137


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Working Papers

2016

  1. A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation
    2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (26)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) Downloads View citations (19)

    See also Journal Article in IMF Economic Review (2016)
  2. Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2016)
  3. The Inclusive Cost of Pandemic Influenza Risk
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  4. The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2015) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Chapter (2017)

2015

  1. Inflation and Activity - Two Explorations and Their Monetary Policy Implications
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government Downloads
    Also in Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics (2015) Downloads View citations (41)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015) Downloads View citations (35)
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2015) Downloads View citations (29)

2014

  1. Asiaphoria Meets Regression to the Mean
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article in Proceedings (2013)

2009

  1. How Globalization Affects Tax Design
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Chapter (2009)

2008

  1. Policymaking for Posterity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (18)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2008) Downloads View citations (18)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Risk and Uncertainty (2008)

2007

  1. Reflections on Global Account Imbalances and Emerging Markets Reserve Accumulation
    Working Papers, eSocialSciences Downloads

1996

  1. From Halifax to Lyons: What Has Been Done About Crisis Management?
    Princeton Essays in International Economics, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University, View citations (6)
    Also in Princeton Studies in International Economics, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University, (1996) View citations (6)

1993

  1. Finance and its reform: beyond laissez-faire
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank Downloads View citations (16)
  2. Good Policy or Good Luck? Country Growth Performance and Temporary Shocks
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (279)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1993)
  3. Unemployment Benefits, Labor Market Transitions, and Spurious Flows: A Multinational Logit Model with Errors in Classification
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Wealthier is healthier
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank Downloads View citations (69)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Human Resources (1996)

1992

  1. Investing in all the people
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article in The Pakistan Development Review (1992)
  2. Taxation and the Structure of Labor Markets: The Case of Corporatism
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (1993)

1991

  1. Japan's High Saving Rate Reaffirmed
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Monetary and Economic Studies (1991)
  2. The Survival of Noise Traders in Financial Markets
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (185)
    Also in J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads View citations (20)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988) Downloads View citations (1)

1990

  1. AN AGING SOCIETY: OPPORTUNITY OR CHALLENGE
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (155)
    See also Journal Article in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1990)
  2. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads

    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (1991)
  3. Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (1192)
    Also in J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads View citations (22)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (1990)
  4. Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (561)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) Downloads View citations (105)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Finance (1990)
  5. SPECULATIVE DYNAMICS
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (11)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (1991)
  6. SPECULATIVE DYNAMICS AND THE ROLE OF FEEDBACK TRADERS
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (112)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) Downloads View citations (41)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1990)
  7. THE STOCK MARKET, PROFIT AND INVESTMENT
    RCER Working Papers, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER) View citations (12)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) Downloads View citations (15)

    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (1993)

1989

  1. Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (96)
    See also Chapter (1991)
  2. Employee Crime and the Monitoring Puzzle
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (58)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Labor Economics (1989)
  3. Should Nations Learn to Live With Inflation?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
  4. The Size and Incidence of the Losses from Noise Trading
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (79)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) Downloads View citations (74)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Finance (1989)
  5. WHEN FINANCIAL MARKETS WORK TOO WELL: A CAUTIOUS CASE FOR A SECURITIES TRANSACTIONS TAX
    Working Papers, Columbia - Center for Futures Markets View citations (109)

1988

  1. Can Inter-Industry Wage Differentials Justify Strategic Trade Policy?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Chapter (1989)
  2. Labor Hoarding, Inflexible Prices, and Procyclical Productivity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
  3. On the Existence and Interpretation of the "Unit Root" in U.S. GNP
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Relative Wages, Efficiency Wages, and Keynesian Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1988)
  5. The Costs of Conflict Resolution and Financial Distress: Evidence from the Texaco-Pennzoil Litigation
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (23)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in RAND Journal of Economics (1988)
  6. What Moves Stock Prices?
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (7)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988) Downloads View citations (166)

1987

  1. Breach of Trust in Hostile Takeovers
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Chapter (1988)
  2. Employee Crime, Monitoring, and the Efficiency Wage Hypothesis
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Financial Economics (1988)
  4. Recent Evidence on Budget Deficits and National Savings
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  5. Should Tax Reform Level the Playing Field?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)
  6. Tax Policy, Asset Prices, and Growth: A General Equilibrium Analysis
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Public Economics (1989)
  7. The Economic Consequences of Noise Traders
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (22)
  8. Why Have Private Saving Rates in the United States and Canada Diverged?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1987)

1986

  1. Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (177)
    Also in Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (1989)
  2. Debt Problems and Macroeconomic Policies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole (1986)
  3. Did Henry Ford Pay Efficiency Wages?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Labor Economics (1987)
  4. Efficiency Wages and the Wage Structure
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  5. Finite Lifetimes and the Crowding Out Effects of Budget Deficits
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  6. Finite Lifetimes and the Effects of Budget Deficits on National Savings
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1987)
  7. Fiscal Increasing Returns, Hysteresis, Real Wages and Unemployment
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (1987)
  8. Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (209)
    Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1986) View citations (511)

    See also Chapter (1986)
  9. Hysteresis in Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (1987)
  10. Investment Incentives and the Discounting of Depreciation Allowances
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Chapter (1987)
  11. Notes on the Tax Treatment of Structures
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Chapter (1987)
  12. Reflections on the Inter-Industry Wage Structure
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (127)
  13. Tax Incidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Chapter (1987)
  14. Tax Policy and International Competitiveness
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Chapter (1988)
  15. The Contribution of Intergenerational Transfers to Total Wealth: A Reply
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (20)
  16. The Strategic Bequest Motive
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Labor Economics (1986)

1985

  1. A Tax-Based Test for Nominal Rigidities
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1985)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1986)
  2. A Theory of Dual Labor Markets with Application to Industrial Policy, Discrimination and Keynesian Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (103)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Labor Economics (1986)
  3. Gibson's Paradox and the Gold Standard
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (1988)
  4. How Does the Market Value Unfunded Pension Liabilities?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Chapter (1987)
  5. Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1986)
  6. Issues in National Savings Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (8)
  7. Poverty in America: Is Welfare the Answer or the Problem?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
  8. Public Policy Implications of Declining Old-Age Mortality
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (3)
  9. Taxation and the Size and Composition of the Capital Stock: An Asset Price Approach
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)

1984

  1. Adjusting the Gross Changes Data: Implications for Labor Market Dynamics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1984) View citations (2)
  2. Are Business Cycles Symmetric?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (46)
  3. Are Tax Cuts Really Expansionary?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
  4. Bequests as a Means of Payment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (9)
  5. Do Long-Term Interest Rates Overreact to Short-Term Interest Rates?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (31)
    See also Journal Article in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1984)
  6. Estimating the Long-Run Relationship Between Interest Rates and Inflation: A Response to McCallum
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1986)
  7. New Evidence that Taxes Affect the Valuation of Dividends
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (15)
    Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1984) View citations (67)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Finance (1984)
  8. The After Tax Rate of Return Affects Private Savings
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1984)
  9. The Asset Price Approach to the Analysis of Capital Income Taxation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
  10. The Changing Cyclical Variability of Economic Activity in the United States
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (44)
    See also Chapter (1986)
  11. The Economic Effects of Dividend Taxation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (93)
    Also in Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics (1984) View citations (2)
  12. The Persistence of Volatility and Stock Market Fluctuations
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (13)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1984) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1986)

1983

  1. Multiple Shooting in Rational Expectations Models
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Survey Response Variation in the Current Population Survey
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)

1982

  1. Do We Really Know That Financial Markets Are Efficient?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (1985)
  3. Labor Force Participation: Timing and Persistence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (1982)
  4. Observations on the Indexation of Old Age Pensions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Chapter (1983)
  5. Tax Policy, the Rate of Return, and Savings
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (22)
  6. The Nonadjustment of Nominal Interest Rates: A Study of the Fisher Effect
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (24)
  7. The Taxation of Risky Assets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (50)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (1984)
  8. Unemployment Insurance and Labor Force Transitions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)

1981

  1. Dividend Taxes, Corporate Investment, and "Q"
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Public Economics (1983)
  2. Inflation and the Valuation of Corporate Equities
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Tax Reform and Corporate Investment: A Microeconometric Simulation Study
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Chapter (1983)
  4. The Adequacy of Savings
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (1980) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1982)

1980

  1. Demographic Differences in Cyclical Employment Variation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Human Resources (1981)
  2. Inflation, Taxation, and Corporate Investment: A q-Theory Approach
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Inflation, the Stock Market, and Owner-Occupied Housing
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1981)
  4. Tax Policy and Corporate Investment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  5. The Role of Intergenerational Transfers in Aggregate Capital Accumulation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (151)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (1981)

1979

  1. Inflation and the Taxation of Capital Income in the Corporate Sector
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (58)
    See also Chapter (1983)
  2. Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term Interest Rates
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Chapter (1983)
    Journal Article in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1978)
  3. Optimal Inflation Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1981)
  4. The Investment Tax Credit: An Evaluation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)

1978

  1. Dividing Capital Accumulation Into Its Life Cycle and Intergenerational Transfer Components
    UCLA Economics Working Papers, UCLA Department of Economics Downloads
  2. Labor Force Transitions and Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Long Run Tax Incidence and Variable Labor Supply Revisited
    UCLA Economics Working Papers, UCLA Department of Economics Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Tax Policy in a Life Cycle Model
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
  5. The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (51)
    See also Chapter (1982)

Undated

  1. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth: How Robust Is the Nexus?
    J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads
  2. How Does Macroeconomic Policy Matter?
    J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads View citations (38)
  3. How Strongly Do Developing Countries Benefit from Equipment Investment?
    J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Macroeconomic Policy and Long-Run Growth
    J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic Review (1992)
  5. On the Existence and Interpretation of a `Unit Root' in U.S. Real GDP
    J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads
  6. The Size and Incidence of Losses from Noise Trading
    J. Bradford De Long's Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Economics Department Downloads View citations (3)

Journal Articles

2016

  1. A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation
    IMF Economic Review, 2016, 64, (4), 581-634 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  2. Comparing Real GDP Across Countries: Comment
    Economic Affairs, 2016, 36, (2), 221-223 Downloads
  3. Reorienting health aid to meet post-2015 global health challenges: a case study of Sweden as a donor
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2016, 32, (1), 122-146 Downloads
  4. Secular Stagnation and Monetary Policy
    Review, 2016, 98, (2), 93-110 Downloads
  5. Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy
    American Economic Review, 2016, 106, (5), 503-07 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  6. Understanding Bank Risk through Market Measures
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2016, 47, (2 (Fall)), 57-127 Downloads

2015

  1. Demand Side Secular Stagnation
    American Economic Review, 2015, 105, (5), 60-65 Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Have we Entered an Age of Secular Stagnation? IMF Fourteenth Annual Research Conference in Honor of Stanley Fischer, Washington, DC
    IMF Economic Review, 2015, 63, (1), 277-280 Downloads

2014

  1. U.S. Economic Prospects: Secular Stagnation, Hysteresis, and the Zero Lower Bound
    Business Economics, 2014, 49, (2), 65-73 Downloads View citations (97)

2013

  1. Asia-phoria meet regression to the mean
    Proceedings, 2013, (Nov), 1-35 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2014)

2012

  1. China: Imposing economic threat or unprecedented growth opportunity?
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2012, 34, (4), 529-532 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2012, 43, (1 (Spring)), 233-297 Downloads View citations (96)

2010

  1. Principles for Economic Recovery and Renewal
    Business Economics, 2010, 45, (1), 3-7 Downloads

2008

  1. Policymaking for posterity
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2008, 37, (2), 115-140 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2007

  1. Solutions Within Reach
    Innovations: Technology, Governance, Globalization, 2007, 2, (4), 10-15 Downloads

2006

  1. Comments on Richard Zeckhauser's Investing in the Unknown and Unknowable
    Capitalism and Society, 2006, 1, (2), 1-4 Downloads View citations (1)

2004

  1. General discussion: global demographic change: dimensions and economic significance
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2004, (Aug), 73-81 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. General discussion: the impact of population aging on financial markets
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2004, (Aug), 229-242 Downloads View citations (1)

2003

  1. Cyclical dynamics in the new economy
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2003, 25, (5), 525-530 Downloads View citations (5)

2001

  1. The 'new economy': background, historical perspective, questions, and speculations
    Economic Review, 2001, (Q IV), 29-59 Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2001, 11-43 (2001) Downloads View citations (6)

2000

  1. International Financial Crises: Causes, Prevention, and Cures
    American Economic Review, 2000, 90, (2), 1-16 Downloads View citations (227)

1999

  1. Building an International Financial Architecture for the 21st Century
    Cato Journal, 1999, 18, (3), 321-329 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Distinguished Lecture on Economics in Government: Reflections on Managing Global Integration
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1999, 13, (2), 3-18 Downloads View citations (5)

1996

  1. Wealthier is Healthier
    Journal of Human Resources, 1996, 31, (4), 841-868 Downloads View citations (237)
    See also Working Paper (1993)
  2. Why are central banks pursuing long-run price stability? (commentary)
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 1996, 35-43 Downloads

1995

  1. La ilusión científica en la macroeconomía empírica
    REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, 1995 Downloads
  2. Unemployment Benefits and Labor Market Transitions: A Multinomial Logit Model with Errors in Classification
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1995, 77, (2), 207-16 Downloads View citations (41)

1994

  1. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth: Reply
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1994, 109, (3), 803-807 Downloads View citations (4)

1993

  1. Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance: Some Comparative Evidence
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1993, 25, (2), 151-62 Downloads View citations (437)
  2. Central bank independence, growth, investment, and real rates
    Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1993, 39, (1), 95-140 Downloads View citations (50)
  3. Good policy or good luck?: Country growth performance and temporary shocks
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1993, 32, (3), 459-483 Downloads View citations (312)
    See also Working Paper (1993)
  4. How strongly do developing economies benefit from equipment investment?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1993, 32, (3), 395-415 Downloads View citations (56)
  5. Keynote Speech: Population Problem Confronted by the World Economy: A Summary
    Public Finance = Finances publiques, 1993, 48, (Supplement), 1-3
  6. Recent Lessons of Development
    World Bank Research Observer, 1993, 8, (2), 241-54 View citations (4)
  7. Should Governments Learn to Live with Inflation? Reply
    American Economic Review, 1993, 83, (1), 312-13 Downloads View citations (1)
  8. Taxation and the Structure of Labor Markets: The Case of Corporatism
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1993, 108, (2), 385-411 Downloads View citations (79)
    See also Working Paper (1992)
  9. The Stock Market, Profit, and Investment
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1993, 108, (1), 115-136 Downloads View citations (161)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
  10. The Structural-Adjustment Debate
    American Economic Review, 1993, 83, (2), 383-89 View citations (8)

1992

  1. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth: How Strong Is the Nexus?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1992, 23, (2), 157-212 Downloads View citations (48)
  2. Investing in All the People
    The Pakistan Development Review, 1992, 31, (4), 367-404 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (1992)
  3. Macroeconomic policy and long-run growth
    Economic Review, 1992, (Q IV), 5-29 Downloads View citations (14)
    Also in Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 1992, 93-128 (1992) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Working Paper

1991

  1. Equipment Investment and Economic Growth
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1991, 106, (2), 445-502 Downloads View citations (481)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
  2. How Should Long-Term Monetary Policy Be Determined? Panel Discussion
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1991, 23, (3), 625-31 Downloads View citations (89)
  3. Japan's High Saving Rate Reaffirmed
    Monetary and Economic Studies, 1991, 9, (2), 63-78 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (1991)
  4. Panel discussion: price stability; How should long-term monetary policy be determined?
    Proceedings, 1991, 625-631 View citations (63)
  5. Regionalism and the world trading system
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 1991, 295-301 Downloads View citations (38)
  6. Speculative Dynamics
    Review of Economic Studies, 1991, 58, (3), 529-546 Downloads View citations (178)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
  7. The Case for Corrective Taxation
    National Tax Journal, 1991, 44, (3), 289-92 Downloads View citations (7)
  8. The Scientific Illusion in Empirical Macroeconomics
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 1991, 93, (2), 129-48 View citations (71)

1990

  1. An Aging Society: Opportunity or Challenge?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1990, 21, (1), 1-74 Downloads View citations (134)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
  2. Inflexible Prices and Procyclical Productivity
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1990, 105, (4), 851-874 Downloads View citations (33)
  3. Les keynésiens doivent-ils se passer de la courbe de Phillips?
    Revue Française d'Économie, 1990, 5, (2), 3-28 Downloads
  4. Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
    Journal of Political Economy, 1990, 98, (4), 703-38 Downloads View citations (1217)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
  5. Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation
    Journal of Finance, 1990, 45, (2), 379-95 Downloads View citations (576)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
  6. Price-Level "Flexibility" and the Coming of the New Deal: Reply to Sumner
    Cato Journal, 1990, 9, (3), 729-735 Downloads
  7. Speculative Dynamics and the Role of Feedback Traders
    American Economic Review, 1990, 80, (2), 63-68 Downloads View citations (123)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
  8. The Noise Trader Approach to Finance
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1990, 4, (2), 19-33 Downloads View citations (293)

1989

  1. Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence
    Review of Economic Studies, 1989, 56, (1), 1-19 Downloads View citations (279)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  2. Employee Crime and the Monitoring Puzzle
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1989, 7, (3), 331-47 Downloads View citations (56)
    See also Working Paper (1989)
  3. Should Governments Learn to Live with Inflation?
    American Economic Review, 1989, 79, (2), 382-87 Downloads View citations (41)
  4. Some Simple Economics of Mandated Benefits
    American Economic Review, 1989, 79, (2), 177-83 Downloads View citations (179)
  5. Tax policy, asset prices, and growth: A general equilibrium analysis
    Journal of Public Economics, 1989, 38, (3), 265-296 Downloads View citations (51)
    See also Working Paper (1987)
  6. Taxation and Corporate Debt
    Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 1989, 2, (1), 45-51 Downloads View citations (2)
  7. The Size and Incidence of the Losses from Noise Trading
    Journal of Finance, 1989, 44, (3), 681-696 Downloads View citations (73)
    Also in Journal of Finance, 1989, 44, (3), 681-96 (1989) Downloads View citations (77)

    See also Working Paper (1989)

1988

  1. Beyond the Natural Rate Hypothesis
    American Economic Review, 1988, 78, (2), 182-87 Downloads View citations (48)
  2. Efficiency Wages and the Inter-industry Wage Structure
    Econometrica, 1988, 56, (2), 259-93 Downloads View citations (573)
  3. Gibson's Paradox and the Gold Standard
    Journal of Political Economy, 1988, 96, (3), 528-50 Downloads View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper (1985)
  4. How Does Macroeconomic Policy Affect Output?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1988, 19, (2), 433-494 Downloads View citations (132)
  5. Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing? Reply
    American Economic Review, 1988, 78, (1), 273-76 Downloads View citations (1)
  6. Mean reversion in stock prices: Evidence and Implications
    Journal of Financial Economics, 1988, 22, (1), 27-59 Downloads View citations (542)
    See also Working Paper (1987)
  7. Money Demand and the Effects of Fiscal Policies: Reply
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1988, 20, (4), 715-17 Downloads View citations (7)
  8. Postwar Developments in Business Cycle Theory: A Moderately Classical Perspective: Comment
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1988, 20, (3), 472-76 Downloads View citations (1)
  9. Relative Wages, Efficiency Wages, and Keynesian Unemployment
    American Economic Review, 1988, 78, (2), 383-88 Downloads View citations (77)
    See also Working Paper (1988)
  10. The Costs of Conflict Resolution and Financial Distress: Evidence from the Texaco-Pennzoil Litigation
    RAND Journal of Economics, 1988, 19, (2), 157-172 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (1988)

1987

  1. Corporatism, the laissez-faire, and the rise in unemployment: By A. Newell and J.S.V. Symons
    European Economic Review, 1987, 31, (3), 606-614 Downloads
  2. Did Henry Ford Pay Efficiency Wages?
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1987, 5, (4), S57-86 Downloads View citations (34)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  3. Finite lifetimes and the effects of budget deficits on national saving
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1987, 20, (2), 369-391 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  4. Fiscal increasing returns, hysteresis, real wages and unemployment
    European Economic Review, 1987, 31, (3), 543-560 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  5. Hysteresis in unemployment
    European Economic Review, 1987, 31, (1-2), 288-295 Downloads View citations (157)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  6. Why Is U.S. National Saving So Low?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1987, 18, (2), 607-642 Downloads View citations (31)
  7. Why have private savings rates in the United States and Canada diverged?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1987, 20, (2), 249-279 Downloads View citations (42)
    See also Working Paper (1987)

1986

  1. A Tax-Based Test for Nominal Rigidities
    American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (4), 659-75 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (1985)
  2. A Theory of Dual Labor Markets with Application to Industrial Policy,Discrimination, and Keynesian Unemployment
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1986, 4, (3), 376-414 Downloads View citations (211)
    See also Working Paper (1985)
  3. Debt problems and macroeconomic policies
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 1986, 165-208 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  4. Does the Stock Market Rationally Reflect Fundamental Values?
    Journal of Finance, 1986, 41, (3), 591-601 Downloads View citations (259)
  5. Estimating the long-run relationship between interest rates and inflation: A response to McCallum
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1986, 18, (1), 77-86 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (1984)
  6. Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?
    American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (5), 1031-44 Downloads View citations (68)
    See also Working Paper (1985)
  7. Money Demand and the Effects of Fiscal Policies
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1986, 18, (4), 415-29 Downloads View citations (88)
  8. Pourquoi les taux d'intérêts sont-ils aussi élevés
    Annals of Economics and Statistics, 1986, (3), 53-100 Downloads View citations (1)
  9. Reporting Errors and Labor Market Dynamics
    Econometrica, 1986, 54, (6), 1319-38 Downloads View citations (85)
  10. Some skeptical observations on real business cycle theory
    Quarterly Review, 1986, (Fall), 23-27 Downloads View citations (81)
  11. The Persistence of Volatility and Stock Market Fluctuations
    American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (5), 1142-51 Downloads View citations (155)
    See also Working Paper (1984)
  12. The Strategic Bequest Motive
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1986, 4, (3), S151-82 Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in Journal of Political Economy, 1985, 93, (6), 1045-76 (1985) Downloads View citations (468)

    See also Working Paper (1986)
  13. Why is the Unemployment Rate So Very High near Full Employment
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1986, 17, (2), 339-396 Downloads View citations (52)

1985

  1. Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (1), 225-251 Downloads View citations (182)
    See also Working Paper (1982)
  2. Manifesto
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (1), iii Downloads
  3. On Economics and Finance
    Journal of Finance, 1985, 40, (3), 633-35 Downloads View citations (17)

1984

  1. Do Long-Term Interest Rates Overreact to Short-Term Interest Rates?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1984, 15, (1), 223-248 Downloads View citations (95)
    See also Working Paper (1984)
  2. New Evidence that Taxes Affect the Valuation of Dividends
    Journal of Finance, 1984, 39, (5), 1397-1415 Downloads View citations (68)
    See also Working Paper (1984)
  3. Perspectives on High World Real Interest Rates
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1984, 15, (2), 273-334 Downloads View citations (66)
  4. The After-Tax Rate of Return Affects Private Savings
    American Economic Review, 1984, 74, (2), 249-53 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (1984)
  5. The Taxation of Risky Assets
    Journal of Political Economy, 1984, 92, (1), 20-39 Downloads View citations (69)
    See also Working Paper (1982)

1983

  1. Dividend taxes, corporate investment, and `Q'
    Journal of Public Economics, 1983, 22, (2), 135-167 Downloads View citations (50)
    See also Working Paper (1981)
  2. `On the economics of private money' by Robert G. King
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1983, 12, (1), 159-162 Downloads

1982

  1. 'Economic policy in the face of declining productivity growth' by Nordhaus
    European Economic Review, 1982, 18, (2), 163-169 Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in European Economic Review, 1982, 18, (1), 163-169 (1982) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Capital Formation and Economic Policy
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1982, 13, (2), 273-326 Downloads View citations (7)
  3. Labour Force Participation: Timing and Persistence
    Review of Economic Studies, 1982, 49, (5), 825-844 Downloads View citations (42)
    See also Working Paper (1982)
  4. Multiple Shooting in Rational Expectations Models [The Solution of Linear Difference Models under Rational Expectations]
    Econometrica, 1982, 50, (5), 1329-33 Downloads View citations (12)
  5. The Adequacy of Savings
    American Economic Review, 1982, 72, (5), 1056-69 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (1981)
  6. The Effects of Dividends on Common Stock Prices: Tax Effects or Information Effects? Discussion
    Journal of Finance, 1982, 37, (2), 472-74 Downloads

1981

  1. Capital Taxation and Accumulation in a Life Cycle Growth Model
    American Economic Review, 1981, 71, (4), 533-44 Downloads View citations (164)
  2. Demographic Differences in Cyclical Employment Variation
    Journal of Human Resources, 1981, 16, (1), 61-79 Downloads View citations (60)
    See also Working Paper (1980)
  3. Inflation, the Stock Market, and Owner-Occupied Housing
    American Economic Review, 1981, 71, (2), 429-34 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper (1980)
  4. Measuring Unemployment
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1981, 12, (2), 609-620 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Optimal inflation policy
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1981, 7, (2), 175-194 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (1979)
  6. Taxation and Corporate Investment: A q-Theory Approach
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1981, 12, (1), 67-140 Downloads View citations (252)
  7. The Role of Intergenerational Transfers in Aggregate Capital Accumulation
    Journal of Political Economy, 1981, 89, (4), 706-32 Downloads View citations (350)
    See also Working Paper (1980)

1980

  1. The Labour Scarcity Controversy Reconsidered
    Economic Journal, 1980, 90, (357), 129-39 Downloads View citations (4)

1979

  1. Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployemnt: A Reconsideration
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1979, 10, (1), 13-72 Downloads View citations (132)
  2. Tax Incidence in a Life Cycle Model with Variable Labor Supply
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1979, 93, (4), 705-718 Downloads View citations (18)

1978

  1. Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term-Interest Rate
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1978, 9, (1), 61-110 Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper (1979)
    Chapter (1983)

1977

  1. Is the Rate of Profit Falling?
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1977, 8, (1), 211-228 Downloads View citations (31)

Books

1990

  1. Tax Policy and the Economy: Volume 4
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

1989

  1. Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 3
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)

1988

  1. Tax Policy and the Economy: Volume 2
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)

1987

  1. Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 1
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)

Edited books

1990

  1. Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 4, vol 4
    MIT Press Books, The MIT Press

Chapters

2017

  1. The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2017, 2017
    See also Working Paper (2016)

2016

  1. Crises in Economic Thought, Secular Stagnation, and Future Economic Research
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31, 2016, pp 557-577 Downloads

2014

  1. Low Equilibrium Real Rates, Financial Crisis, and Secular Stagnation
    Chapter 2 in Across the Great Divide: New Perspectives on the Financial Crisis, 2014 Downloads View citations (3)

2009

  1. How Globalization Affects Tax Design
    A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 23, 2009, pp 123-157 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

1991

  1. Consumption Growth Parallels Income Growth: Some New Evidence
    A chapter in National Saving and Economic Performance, 1991, pp 305-348 Downloads View citations (117)
    See also Working Paper (1989)
  2. Macroeconomic Consequences of Financial Crises
    A chapter in The Risk of Economic Crisis, 1991, pp 135-182 Downloads View citations (2)

1990

  1. Who Benefits from Capital Gains Tax Reductions?
    A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy: Volume 4, 1990, pp 1-24 Downloads View citations (2)

1989

  1. Can Interindustry Wage Differentials Justify Strategic Trade Policy?
    A chapter in Trade Policies for International Competitiveness, 1989, pp 85-124 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (1988)

1988

  1. Breach of Trust in Hostile Takeovers
    A chapter in Corporate Takeovers: Causes and Consequences, 1988, pp 33-68 Downloads View citations (169)
    See also Working Paper (1987)
  2. Tax Policy and International Competitiveness
    A chapter in International Aspects of Fiscal Policies, 1988, pp 349-386 Downloads View citations (69)
    See also Working Paper (1986)

1987

  1. Corporate Capital Budgeting Practices and the Effects of Tax Policies on Investment
    A chapter in Taxes and Capital Formation, 1987, pp 27-36 Downloads
  2. How Does the Market Value Unfunded Pension Liabilities?
    A chapter in Issues in Pension Economics, 1987, pp 81-110 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (1985)
  3. Investment Incentives and the Discounting of Depreciation Allowances
    A chapter in The Effects of Taxation on Capital Accumulation, 1987, pp 295-304 Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  4. Notes on the Tax Treatment of Structures
    A chapter in The Effects of Taxation on Capital Accumulation, 1987, pp 223-258 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  5. Tax incidence
    Chapter 16 in Handbook of Public Economics, 1987, vol. 2, pp 1043-1092 Downloads View citations (40)
    See also Working Paper (1986)

1986

  1. Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1986, Volume 1, 1986, pp 15-90 Downloads View citations (377)
    See also Working Paper (1986)
  2. The Changing Cyclical Variability of Economic Activity in the United States
    A chapter in The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change, 1986, pp 679-734 Downloads View citations (48)
    See also Working Paper (1984)

1983

  1. Inflation and the Taxation of Capital Income in the Corporate Sector
    A chapter in Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation, 1983, pp 116-152 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (1979)
  2. Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long-term Interest Rate
    A chapter in Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation, 1983, pp 153-185 Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1978)
    Working Paper (1979)
  3. Observations on the Indexation of Old Age Pensions
    A chapter in Financial Aspects of the United States Pension System, 1983, pp 231-258 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1982)
  4. Tax Reform and Corporate Investment: A Microeconometric Simulation Study
    A chapter in Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis, 1983, pp 247-288 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper (1981)

1982

  1. The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment
    A chapter in The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences, 1982, pp 199-234 Downloads View citations (51)
    See also Working Paper (1978)
 
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