Details about Justin Wolfers
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| Homepage: | http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers
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| Phone: | +1-(267) 432-4372 |
| Postal address: | University of Michigan Department of Economics 611 Tappan Street, Rm 319 Lorch Hall Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 |
| Workplace: | Economics Department, University of Michigan, (more information at EDIRC)
Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy, University of Michigan, (more information at EDIRC)
School of Economics, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, University of Sydney, (more information at EDIRC)
Economic Studies, Brookings Institution, (more information at EDIRC)
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics (IIE), (more information at EDIRC)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC)
Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, (more information at EDIRC)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), (more information at EDIRC)
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), (more information at EDIRC)
CESifo, (more information at EDIRC)
Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), (more information at EDIRC)
National Centre for Econometric Research (NCER), (more information at EDIRC)
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Access statistics for papers by Justin Wolfers.
Last updated 2022-03-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pwo9
Jump to Journal Articles Books Chapters
Working Papers
2021
- Gender and the Dynamics of Economics Seminars
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc  View citations (16)
2017
- How the Growing Gap in Life Expectancy May Affect Retirement Benefits and Reforms
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley View citations (8)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017) View citations (23)
See also Journal Article in The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice (2017)
2014
- Awareness Reduces Racial Bias
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (8)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2014)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2014)
See also Journal Article in Management Science (2018)
2013
- Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (195)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2013) View citations (94)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (190)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2013) View citations (190)
See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2013)
- Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2013) View citations (4)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2013) View citations (4)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (4)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (4)
See also Journal Article in The Journal of Legal Studies (2012)
- The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (9)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (9)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2013) View citations (9)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2012) View citations (74)
2012
- Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (15)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2012) View citations (14)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2012) View citations (14)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2012) View citations (15)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012) View citations (15)
See also Chapter (2013)
2011
- How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (23)
Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2011) View citations (23)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2011) View citations (23)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011) View citations (26)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011) View citations (23)
- Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (101)
Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2011) View citations (96)
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2011) View citations (93)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011) View citations (96)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2011) View citations (96)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2011) View citations (96)
See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2011)
2010
- Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (139)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) View citations (100)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2010) View citations (141)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (103)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (2010)
- Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (119)
Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2010) View citations (48)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2010) View citations (113)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2010) View citations (114)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (119)
2009
- The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (184)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2009) View citations (186)
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2009) View citations (176)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009) View citations (182)
See also Journal Article in American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (2009)
2008
- Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (748)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2008) View citations (648)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2008) View citations (649)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) View citations (635)
See also Journal Article in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (2008)
- Happiness Inequality in the United States
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (102)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) View citations (101)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2008) View citations (100)
See also Journal Article in The Journal of Legal Studies (2008)
2007
- Marriage and Divorce: Changes and their Driving Forces
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (459)
Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007) View citations (462)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007) View citations (462)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2007) View citations (457)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Perspectives (2007)
- Racial Discrimination Among NBA Referees
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (44)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2007) View citations (34)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007) View citations (34)
See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (2010)
2006
- Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2006) View citations (2)
Working Papers, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics (2006)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (1)
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (3)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2007)
- An Information-Based Explanation for Industry Comovement
2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
- Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (36)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2006) View citations (37)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (37)
CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University (2005) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article in The Economic Record (2006)
- Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (120)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (120)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (115)
See also Journal Article in Journal of the European Economic Association (2006)
- Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (24)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (24)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (24)
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (15)
- Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia Is Not a Paradox
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (40)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (40)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (40)
CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University (2005)
- Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (95)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (74)
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (45)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2006) View citations (72)
- Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty and Risk
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (9)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (15)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2005) View citations (32)
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2005) View citations (11)
See also Chapter (2005)
- Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business View citations (6)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2006) View citations (34)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (14)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (4)
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (4)
See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (2007)
- Party Influence in Congress and the Economy
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)
See also Journal Article in Quarterly Journal of Political Science (2007)
- Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (13)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (13)
Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2006) View citations (13)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2006) View citations (13)
- Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (20)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2006) View citations (20)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (32)
2005
- Measuring the Effects of Employment Protection on Job Flows: Evidence from Seasonal Cycles
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics View citations (14)
2004
- Disagreement about Inflation Expectations
Yale School of Management Working Papers, Yale School of Management View citations (233)
Also in Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research (2003) View citations (338)
Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2003) View citations (511)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (508)
See also Chapter (2004)
- Prediction Markets
Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research View citations (155)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) View citations (180)
Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2004) View citations (186)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Perspectives (2004)
2003
- Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress
Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business View citations (11)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (11)
See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (2006)
- Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results
Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business View citations (34)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (17)
See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2006)
- Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Well-Being
Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business View citations (140)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (125)
See also Journal Article in International Finance (2003)
- What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (51)
Also in Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2003) View citations (53)
2002
- Are Voters Rational? Evidence from Gubernatorial Elections
Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business View citations (77)
1999
- The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (121)
See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2000)
Journal Articles
2018
- Awareness Reduces Racial Bias
Management Science, 2018, 64, (11), 4988-4995 View citations (19)
See also Working Paper (2014)
- The "Standard Error" of Event Studies: Lessons from the 2016 Election
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2018, 108, 584-89 View citations (8)
2017
- How the Growing Gap in Life Expectancy May Affect Retirement Benefits and Reforms
The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 2017, 42, (3), 475-499 View citations (23)
See also Working Paper (2017)
2013
- Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?
American Economic Review, 2013, 103, (3), 598-604 View citations (189)
See also Working Paper (2013)
2012
- BIASED REFEREES?: RECONCILING RESULTS WITH THE NBA'S ANALYSIS
Contemporary Economic Policy, 2012, 30, (3), 320-328 View citations (3)
- Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress
The Journal of Legal Studies, 2012, 41, (2), 459 - 493 View citations (12)
See also Working Paper (2013)
2011
- Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle
American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (3), 281-87 View citations (96)
See also Working Paper (2011)
2010
- Explaining the Favorite-Long Shot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?
Journal of Political Economy, 2010, 118, (4), 723-746 View citations (131)
See also Working Paper (2010)
- Racial Discrimination Among NBA Referees
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2010, 125, (4), 1859-1887 View citations (138)
See also Working Paper (2007)
2009
- Estimating the Impact of the Death Penalty on Murder
American Law and Economics Review, 2009, 11, (2), 249-309 View citations (12)
- The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2009, 1, (2), 190-225 View citations (194)
See also Working Paper (2009)
- Using Markets to Inform Policy: The Case of the Iraq War
Economica, 2009, 76, (302), 225-250 View citations (56)
2008
- Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2008, 39, (1 (Spring)), 1-102 View citations (730)
See also Working Paper (2008)
- Happiness Inequality in the United States
The Journal of Legal Studies, 2008, 37, (S2), S33-S79 View citations (96)
See also Working Paper (2008)
- Racial Bias in the NBA: Implications in Betting Markets
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2008, 4, (2), 1-21 View citations (11)
2007
- Aggregate shocks or aggregate information? Costly information and business cycle comovement
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (Supplement 1), 37-55 View citations (58)
See also Working Paper (2006)
- Marriage and Divorce: Changes and their Driving Forces
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2007, 21, (2), 27-52 View citations (464)
See also Working Paper (2007)
- Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2007, 122, (2), 807-829 View citations (150)
See also Working Paper (2006)
- Party Influence in Congress and the Economy
Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 2007, 2, (3), 277-286 View citations (24)
See also Working Paper (2006)
2006
- Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2006, 121, (1), 267-288 View citations (320)
See also Working Paper (2003)
- Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets
The Economic Record, 2006, 82, (258), 325-340 View citations (37)
See also Working Paper (2006)
- Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender
Journal of the European Economic Association, 2006, 4, (2-3), 531-541 View citations (117)
See also Working Paper (2006)
- Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results
American Economic Review, 2006, 96, (5), 1802-1820 View citations (572)
See also Working Paper (2003)
- Letter: A Reply to Rubin on the Death Penalty
The Economists' Voice, 2006, 3, (5), 1-3 View citations (1)
- New uses for new macro derivatives
FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (aug25)
- Point Shaving: Corruption in NCAA Basketball
American Economic Review, 2006, 96, (2), 279-283 View citations (67)
- The Death Penalty: No Evidence for Deterrence
The Economists' Voice, 2006, 3, (5), 1-6 View citations (8)
2005
- Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk [with Comments]
NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2005, 2005, (1), 11 - 64
2004
- Experimental Political Betting Markets and the 2004 Election
The Economists' Voice, 2004, 1, (2), 1-8 View citations (12)
- Prediction Markets
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004, 18, (2), 107-126 View citations (264)
See also Working Paper (2004)
2003
- Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Well‐Being
International Finance, 2003, 6, (1), 1-26 View citations (175)
See also Working Paper (2003)
2000
- The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence
Economic Journal, 2000, 110, (462), C1-33 View citations (1599)
See also Working Paper (1999)
Books
2015
- Raising Lower-Level Wages: When and Why It Makes Economic Sense
PIIE Briefings, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Chapters
2013
- Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
Elsevier View citations (11)
See also Working Paper (2012)
2011
- Trends in Marital Stability
Chapter 4 in Research Handbook on the Economics of Family Law, 2011 View citations (2)
2009
- Comment on "Marriage and Divorce since World War II: Analyzing the Role of Technological Progress on the Formation of Households"
A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, 2009, pp 291-309 View citations (2)
2005
- Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk
A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005, 2005, pp 11-50 View citations (19)
See also Working Paper (2006)
2004
- Disagreement about Inflation Expectations
A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, 2004, pp 209-270 View citations (242)
See also Working Paper (2004)
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