Economic Bulletin

2019 - 2026

From Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
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Financially Distressed Consumers May Have Turned to High-Cost Credit to Cope with Inflation pp. 3: Ying Lei Toh
Beyond Valuations: Long-Term Financial Risks from the AI Build-Out pp. 4: Pierce George and Padma Sharma
Has the Investment Boom Expanded U.S. Productive Capacity? pp. 4: Nida Cakir Melek

A Historical Analysis of the Federal Income Tax pp. 4: Stephen D. Vasiljevic
Private Nonprofit Colleges’ Growing Reliance on Graduate Students May Prove Unsustainable pp. 4: Emily Pollard
The Low-Hire, Low-Fire Labor Market Is Calm but Fragile pp. 4: Molly Hirner and Yusuf Mercan
Jackson Hole Economic Symposium Explored Innovation in Financial Markets pp. 4: Andrew Glover, Stefan Jacewitz and W. Blake Marsh

High Costs and Uncertainty Will Likely Keep Cattle Inventories Low and Beef Prices Elevated for Some Time pp. 4: Francisco Scott

In Recent Years, Inflation Expectations Increased After Oil Shocks and Stabilized Only Once Monetary Policy Tightened pp. 4: Andrew Glover

“Future of Banking: Powering Progress, Protecting Trust” Conference Explores Implications of Technological Change pp. 3: Samantha Ahal, Nicholas Baker, Stefan Jacewitz, W. Blake Marsh and Stephanie Ziadeh
Is the U.S. Labor Force Nearing Its Peak? pp. 3: Alison Felix
How Will Drought and Groundwater Depletion Affect Irrigated Farmland Values in the Tenth District? pp. 4: Ayesha Cooray

Can Healthcare Labor Supply Keep Up with Aging-Driven Demand? pp. 4: Elior Cohen
Deterioration in Farm Financial Conditions Remains Gradual pp. 4: Ty Kreitman
Resilience, Not Crisis, in the U.S. Agricultural Economy: Nathan Kauffman and Ty Kreitman

How Banks’ Technology Spending Affects Performance pp. 4: Thomas Désiré and Jordan Pandolfo

Introducing New Monthly Estimates of the Natural Rate of Interest and Natural Unemployment Rate pp. 3: Andrew Glover and Johnson Oliyide
Inflation Persistence as an Outcome of Monetary Policy pp. 3: Taeyoung Doh and Stephen D. Vasiljevic
A New U.S. Productivity Chapter? What Industry Data Say About AI pp. 4: Nida Cakir Melek and Sydney Miller
Mass Layoffs Can Disproportionately Disrupt Small Communities pp. 4: John McCoy
A Break in the Link Between Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations pp. 4: Jason Brown

Who Uses AI for Pricing? pp. 4: Jonathan Adams, Zheng Liu and Sydney Miller

Higher Tariffs Might Have Created Headwinds to Employment Growth in 2025 pp. 4: Mariia Dzholos and Johannes Matschke

An Alternative Version of the KC Fed LMCI Suggests the Level of Activity Was Little Changed but Momentum Decelerated Sharply in October pp. 3: Jose Mustre-del-Rio, Johnson Oliyide and Emily Pollard
Jackson Hole Economic Symposium Explored How Demographics and Technology Are Influencing Productivity and Labor Markets pp. 4: Andrew Glover
How Should Bank Supervision and Regulation Be Tailored? pp. 4: W. Blake Marsh
Higher Treasury Supply Is Likely to Put Upward Pressure on Interest Rates pp. 4: Huixin Bi, Maxime Phillot and Sarah Zubairy

An Alternative Version of the KC Fed LMCI Suggests Little Change in the Labor Market in September pp. 4: Jose Mustre-del-Rio, Johnson Oliyide and Emily Pollard
Declining Immigration and an Aging Population Are Reducing Breakeven Employment Growth pp. 4: Yusuf Mercan
Bank Funding and FHLB Advances pp. 4: Joshua A. Jacobs and Rajdeep Sengupta

Biofuel Policies Are Likely to Drive Future Demand for U.S. Corn and Soybeans pp. 4: Ayesha Cooray and Francisco Scott

"Future of Banking: Navigating Change” Conference Highlights Opportunities and Challenges for Community Banking pp. 3: Julian Alcazar, Nancy Fitzgerald, Stefan Jacewitz, W. Blake Marsh and Stephanie Ziadeh
Amid Rising Input Costs, Many Tenth District Firms Report Passing Along Fewer Costs to Customers pp. 4: Cortney Cowley and Chase Farha
Banks and Private Credit: Competitors or Partners? pp. 4: Jordan Pandolfo
Food and Agriculture Economic Summit Highlights Factors Influencing Investment in Food Production and Distribution pp. 4: Nathan Kauffman and Ty Kreitman
Stablecoins Could Increase Treasury Demand, but Only by Reducing Demand for Other Assets pp. 4: Stefan Jacewitz

Changes in International Trade Could Disproportionately Affect Employment in Pockets of the Tenth District pp. 4: John McCoy
The Changing Investor Composition of U.S. Treasuries, Part 1: Foreign Treasury Sales Could Raise U.S. Yields pp. 4: Karlye Dilts Stedman
The Changing Investor Composition of U.S. Treasuries, Pt. 2: Who’s Buying U.S. Treasuries? pp. 4: Joshua A. Jacobs and Rajdeep Sengupta

Is It Time to Add Food-at-Home Inflation to Measures of Core Inflation? pp. 4: Amaze Lusompa, Jose Mustre-del-Rio, Jalen Nichols and Francisco Scott
Some Segments of the Agricultural Economy Are Particularly Sensitive to Changes in the Foreign-Born Farm Labor Supply pp. 4: Alexandra Hill and Francisco Scott
Some Segments of the Agricultural Economy Are Particularly Sensitive to Changes in the Foreign-Born Farm Labor Supply pp. 4: Alexandra Hill and Francisco Scott

Canadian Oil Important for Midwest Gasoline Prices pp. 4: Bobby Beckemeyer and Jason Brown
Forecasting with Feelings: The Modest Link Between Consumer Sentiment and Spending pp. 4: Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Jalen Nichols

Subprime Credit Card Delinquencies Have Fallen pp. 3: Jordan Pandolfo
Key Agricultural Trade Partners Are Important for U.S. Farm Sector Revenues and Food Prices pp. 4: Ty Kreitman
Community Banks Have Maintained Profitability in a High-Interest Rate Environment pp. 4: Mariia Dzholos

KC Fed LMCI Can Help Sift Out Noise in Payroll Data pp. 3: Amaze Lusompa and Jose Mustre-del-Rio
First-Time Homeownership Became Less Affordable Across Most of the United States in Recent Years pp. 4: Chase Farha, John McCoy and David Rodziewicz
Did Importers Try to Front-Run Recent Tariffs on China? pp. 4: Thomas Cook and Mariia Dzholos
Labor Market Cooling Has Been Uneven Across Industries pp. 4: Karlye Dilts Stedman and Emily Pollard