Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

2018 - 2025

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Volume 116, issue 52, 2019

Opinion: Why green “climate gentrification†threatens poor and vulnerable populations pp. 26139-26143

Isabelle Anguelovski, James J. T. Connolly, Hamil Pearsall, Galia Shokry, Melissa Checker, Juliana Maantay, Kenneth Gould, Kenneth Gould, Tammy Lewis, Andrew Maroko and J. Timmons Roberts

A formula for the value of a stochastic game pp. 26435-26443

Luc Attia and Miquel Oliu-Barton

Climate variability reduces employment in New England fisheries pp. 26444-26449

Kimberly Oremus

Volume 116, issue 51, 2019

Heritability of education rises with intergenerational mobility pp. 25386-25388

Per Engzell and Felix C. Tropf

The Justinianic Plague: An inconsequential pandemic? pp. 25546-25554

Lee Mordechai, Merle Eisenberg, Timothy P. Newfield, Adam Izdebski, Janet E. Kay and Hendrik Poinar

Volume 116, issue 48, 2019

Quantification of the resilience of primary care networks by stress testing the health care system pp. 23930-23935

Donald Ruggiero Lo Sardo, Stefan Thurner, Johannes Sorger, Georg Duftschmid, Gottfried Endel and Peter Klimek

Normalized US hurricane damage estimates using area of total destruction, 1900−2018 pp. 23942-23946

Aslak Grinsted, Peter Ditlevsen and Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen

Volume 116, issue 46, 2019

Tuberculosis diagnosis and treatment under uncertainty pp. 22990-22997

Rachel Cassidy and Charles Manski

Volume 116, issue 45, 2019

Communicating racial segregation: Abstract versus concrete pp. 22435-22436

Tomasz Stepinski and Anna Dmowska

Reply to Stepinski and Dmowska: Segregation beyond scale and across space: Arbitrary versus objective analysis pp. 22437

Madalina Olteanu, Julien Randon-Furling and William A. V. Clark

Resource sharing can impose an economic trade-off: One person acquiring resources may mean that another cannot. However, if individuals value the social process itself that is a feature of economic exchanges, socio-structural manipulations might improve collective welfare. Using a series of online experiments with 600 subjects arrayed into 40 groups, we explore the welfare impact of 2 network interventions. We manipulated the degree assortativity of the groups (who were engaged in resource sharing) while keeping the number of people and connections fixed. Distinctly, we also manipulated the distribution of sharable resources by basing endowments on network degree. We show that structural manipulation (implementing degree assortativity) can facilitate the reciprocity that is achievable in exchanges and consequently affect group-level satisfaction. We also show that individuals are more satisfied with exchanges when each node is unequally endowed with resources that are proportional to the number of potential recipients, which again facilitates reciprocity. Collective welfare in settings involving resource sharing can be enhanced without the need for extra resources pp. 22442-22444

Hirokazu Shirado, George Iosifidis and Nicholas A. Christakis

Volume 116, issue 44, 2019

Efficient team structures in an open-ended cooperative creativity experiment pp. 22088-22093

Bernardo Monechi, Giulia Pullano and Vittorio Loreto

Shorter distances between papers over time are due to more cross-field references and increased citation rate to higher-impact papers pp. 22094-22099

Attila Varga

Work time and market integration in the original affluent society pp. 22100-22105

Rahul Bhui, Maciej Chudek and Joseph Henrich

Volume 116, issue 43, 2019

Opinion: Why institutional review boards should have a role in the open science movement pp. 21336-21338

Sean Grant and Kathryn E. Bouskill

Evidence for sharp increase in the economic damages of extreme natural disasters pp. 21450-21455

Matteo Coronese, Francesco Lamperti, Klaus Keller, Francesca Chiaromonte and Andrea Roventini

Quantifying the future lethality of terror organizations pp. 21463-21468

Yang Yang, Adam R. Pah and Brian Uzzi

Social, demographic, and economic correlates of food and chemical consumption measured by wastewater-based epidemiology pp. 21864-21873

Phil M. Choi, Francesco Lamperti, Saer Samanipour, Wayne D. Hall, Coral E. Gartner, Jochen F. Mueller, Kevin V. Thomas and Jake W. O’Brien

Volume 116, issue 42, 2019

Declining CO 2 price paths pp. 20886-20891

Kent D. Daniel, Robert Litterman and Gernot Wagner

Postdocs’ lab engagement predicts trajectories of PhD students’ skill development pp. 20910-20916

David F. Feldon, Kaylee Litson, Soojeong Jeong, Jennifer M. Blaney, Jina Kang, Candace Miller, Kimberly Griffin and Josipa Roksa

Volume 116, issue 41, 2019

Predicting kidney transplant outcomes with partial knowledge of HLA mismatch pp. 20339-20345

Charles Manski, Anat R. Tambur and Michael Gmeiner

Propinquity drives the emergence of network structure and density pp. 20360-20365

Lazaros K. Gallos, Shlomo Havlin, H. Eugene Stanley and Nina H. Fefferman

Volume 116, issue 40, 2019

Understanding the industrial contribution to pollution offers opportunities to further improve air quality in the United States pp. 19768-19770

Juan Moreno-Cruz

The value of thoughts and prayers pp. 19797-19798

Linda Thunström and Shiri Noy

Fine particulate matter damages and value added in the US economy pp. 19857-19862

Peter Tschofen, Inês L. Azevedo and Nicholas Muller

A field experiment on community policing and police legitimacy pp. 19894-19898

Kyle Peyton, Michael Sierra-Arévalo and David G. Rand

Volume 116, issue 39, 2019

Signaling the trustworthiness of science pp. 19231-19236

Kathleen Hall Jamieson, Marcia McNutt, Veronique Kiermer and Richard Sever

The long-term impact of the Communist Revolution on social stratification in contemporary China pp. 19392-19397

Yu Xie and Chunni Zhang

Volume 116, issue 38, 2019

Cross-national evidence of a negativity bias in psychophysiological reactions to news pp. 18888-18892

Stuart Soroka, Patrick Fournier and Lilach Nir

Volume 116, issue 37, 2019

Measuring the probability of a financial crisis pp. 18341-18346

Robert Engle and Tianyue Ruan

Volume 116, issue 36, 2019

Scientists who leave research to pursue other careers in science are still scientists pp. 17624-17624

Shane M. Hanlon

Reply to Hanlon: Transitions in science careers pp. 17625-17626

Staša Milojević, Filippo Radicchi and John P. Walsh

Risk attitudes and personality traits of entrepreneurs and venture team members pp. 17712-17716

Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr and Margaret Dalton

Disintermediating your friends: How online dating in the United States displaces other ways of meeting pp. 17753-17758

Michael J. Rosenfeld, Reuben J. Thomas and Sonia Hausen

Volume 116, issue 34, 2019

Standardizing the fee-waiver application increased naturalization rates of low-income immigrants pp. 16768-16772

Vasil Yasenov, Michael Hotard, Duncan Lawrence, Jens Hainmueller and David D. Laitin

Risk of being killed by police use of force in the United States by age, race–ethnicity, and sex pp. 16793-16798

Frank Edwards, Hedwig Lee and Michael Esposito

Subjective well-being in China’s changing society pp. 16799-16804

William A. V. Clark, Daichun Yi and Youqin Huang

Why foreign STEM PhDs are unlikely to work for US technology startups pp. 16805-16810

Michael Roach and John Skrentny

Volume 116, issue 32, 2019

Effects of policy-driven hypothetical air pollutant interventions on childhood asthma incidence in southern California pp. 15883-15888

Erika Garcia, Robert Urman, Kiros Berhane, Rob McConnell and Frank Gilliland

Volume 116, issue 31, 2019

The problem with delineating narrow criteria for citizen science pp. 15336-15337

Jeremy Auerbach, Erika L. Barthelmess, Darlene Cavalier, Caren B. Cooper, Heather Fenyk, Mordechai Haklay, Joseph M. Hulbert, Christopher C. M. Kyba, Lincoln R. Larson, Eva Lewandowski and Lea Shanley

Reply to Auerbach et al.: How our Opinion piece invites collaboration pp. 15338-15338

Florian Heigl, Barbara Kieslinger, Katharina T. Paul, Julia Uhlik and Daniel Dörler

Girls’ comparative advantage in reading can largely explain the gender gap in math-related fields pp. 15435-15440

Thomas Breda and Clotilde Napp

Predicting neighborhoods’ socioeconomic attributes using restaurant data pp. 15447-15452

Lei Dong, Carlo Ratti and Siqi Zheng

Volume 116, issue 30, 2019

Pervasive Arctic lead pollution suggests substantial growth in medieval silver production modulated by plague, climate, and conflict pp. 14910-14915

Joseph R. McConnell, Nathan J. Chellman, Andrew I. Wilson, Andreas Stohl, Monica M. Arienzo, Sabine Eckhardt, Diedrich Fritzsche, Sepp Kipfstuhl, Thomas Opel, Philip F. Place and Jørgen Peder Steffensen

Impacts of protected areas vary with the level of government: Comparing avoided deforestation across agencies in the Brazilian Amazon pp. 14916-14925

Diego Herrera, Alexander Pfaff and Juan Robalino

Evaluating the prevalence and quality of conference codes of conduct pp. 14931-14936

Alicia J. Foxx, Rebecca S. Barak, Taran M. Lichtenberger, Lea K. Richardson, Aireale J. Rodgers and Evelyn Webb Williams

Volume 116, issue 28, 2019

Opinion: Scaling trajectories of cities pp. 13759-13761

Marc Keuschnigg

Decoding team and individual impact in science and invention pp. 13885-13890

Mohammad Ahmadpoor and Benjamin Jones

Americans overestimate the intergenerational persistence in income ranks pp. 13909-13914

Siwei Cheng and Fangqi Wen

Volume 116, issue 27, 2019

Opinion: The National Institutes of Health needs to better balance funding distributions among US institutions pp. 13150-13154

Wayne P. Wahls

Social evolution leads to persistent corruption pp. 13276-13281

Joung-Hun Lee, Yoh Iwasa, Ulf Dieckmann and Karl Sigmund

Volume 116, issue 26, 2019

Association between medical cannabis laws and opioid overdose mortality has reversed over time pp. 12624-12626

Chelsea L. Shover, Corey S. Davis, Sanford C. Gordon and Keith Humphreys

Attendance trends threaten future operations of America’s state park systems pp. 12775-12780

Jordan W. Smith, Emily J. Wilkins and Yu-Fai Leung

On the psychology and economics of antisocial personality pp. 12781-12786

Jan Engelmann, B. Schmid, C. K. W. De Dreu, J. Chumbley and Ernst Fehr

Education rather than age structure brings demographic dividend pp. 12798-12803

Wolfgang Lutz, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Endale Kebede, Alexia Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, Warren Sanderson and Erich Striessnig

Volume 116, issue 25, 2019

Adaptation to diversity: Individual and societal processes pp. 12131-12133

Linda R. Tropp

Mangroves shelter coastal economic activity from cyclones pp. 12232-12237

Jacob Hochard, Stuart Hamilton and Edward Barbier

Humans adapt to social diversity over time pp. 12244-12249

Miguel R. Ramos, Matthew R. Bennett, Douglas S. Massey and Miles Hewstone

Segregation through the multiscalar lens pp. 12250-12254

Madalina Olteanu, Julien Randon-Furling and William A. V. Clark

The promise and peril of sexual harassment programs pp. 12255-12260

Frank Dobbin and Alexandra Kalev

Volume 116, issue 22, 2019

Productivity, prominence, and the effects of academic environment pp. 10729-10733

Samuel F. Way, Allison C. Morgan, Daniel B. Larremore and Aaron Clauset

Volume 116, issue 21, 2019

Second-order induction in prediction problems pp. 10323-10328

Rossella Argenziano and Itzhak Gilboa

A randomized control trial evaluating the effects of police body-worn cameras pp. 10329-10332

David Yokum, Anita Ravishankar and Alexander Coppock

Volume 116, issue 20, 2019

Science and Culture: Can the principles of topology help improve the world’s slums? pp. 9686-9689

Stephen Ornes

Volume 116, issue 19, 2019

Opinion: To create sustainable seafood industries, the United States needs a better accounting of imports and exports pp. 9142-9146

Jessica A. Gephart, Halley E. Froehlich and Trevor A. Branch

Inequality brokered pp. 9152-9154

Peter Hegarty

Lending practices to same-sex borrowers pp. 9293-9302

Hua Sun and Lei Gao

Systematic assessment of the sex ratio at birth for all countries and estimation of national imbalances and regional reference levels pp. 9303-9311

Fengqing Chao, Patrick Gerland, Alex R. Cook and Leontine Alkema

Volume 116, issue 18, 2019

Evolution of social norms and correlated equilibria pp. 8834-8839

Bryce Morsky and Erol Akçay

Volume 116, issue 17, 2019

Opinion: Toward an international definition of citizen science pp. 8089-8092

Florian Heigl, Barbara Kieslinger, Katharina T. Paul, Julia Uhlik and Daniel Dörler

Volume 116, issue 16, 2019

Communicating uncertainty in policy analysis pp. 7634-7641

Charles Manski

Conflict across representational gaps: Threats to and opportunities for improved communication pp. 7642-7649

Matthew A. Cronin and Laurie R. Weingart

Scientific communication in a post-truth society pp. 7656-7661

Shanto Iyengar and Douglas S. Massey

Science audiences, misinformation, and fake news pp. 7662-7669

Dietram A. Scheufele and Nicole M. Krause

Promises and perils of gene drives: Navigating the communication of complex, post-normal science pp. 7692-7697

Dominique Brossard, Pam Belluck, Fred Gould and Christopher D. Wirz

How to communicate large-scale social challenges: The problem of the disappearing American corporation pp. 7698-7702

Gerald F. Davis

Punishing and toxic neighborhood environments independently predict the intergenerational social mobility of black and white children pp. 7772-7777

Robert Manduca and Robert J. Sampson

Volume 116, issue 15, 2019

Opinion: Research community needs to better appreciate the value of sex-based research pp. 7154-7156

Nicole C. Woitowich and Teresa K. Woodruff

Reducing debt improves psychological functioning and changes decision-making in the poor pp. 7244-7249

Qiyan Ong, Walter Theseira and Irene Y. H. Ng

Using massive online choice experiments to measure changes in well-being pp. 7250-7255

Erik Brynjolfsson, Avinash Collis and Felix Eggers

Crowd wisdom enhanced by costly signaling in a virtual rating system pp. 7256-7265

Ofer Tchernichovski, Lucas C. Parra, Daniel Fimiarz, Arnon Lotem and Dalton Conley

Parental divorce is not uniformly disruptive to children’s educational attainment pp. 7266-7271

Jennie E. Brand, Ravaris Moore, Xi Song and Yu Xie

Volume 116, issue 14, 2019

Toward understanding the impact of artificial intelligence on labor pp. 6531-6539

Morgan R. Frank, David Autor, James Bessen, Erik Brynjolfsson, Manuel Cebrian, David Deming, Maryann Feldman, Matthew Groh, José Lobo, Esteban Moro, Dashun Wang, Hyejin Youn and Iyad Rahwan

Variations of wealth resemblance by family relationship types in modern Chinese families pp. 6548-6553

C. Y. Cyrus Chu, Kamhon Kan and Jou Chun Lin

Measuring the impact of interaction between children of a matrilineal and a patriarchal culture on gender differences in risk aversion pp. 6713-6719

Elaine Liu and Sharon Xuejing Zuo

Computer science skills across China, India, Russia, and the United States pp. 6732-6736

Prashant Loyalka, Ou Lydia Liu, Guirong Li, Igor Chirikov, Elena Kardanova, Lin Gu, Guangming Ling, Ningning Yu, Fei Guo, Liping Ma, Shangfeng Hu, Angela Sun Johnson, Ashutosh Bhuradia, Saurabh Khanna, Isak Froumin, Jinghuan Shi, Pradeep Choudhury, Tara Beteille, Francisco Marmolejo and Namrata Tognatta

Evidence that prenatal testosterone transfer from male twins reduces the fertility and socioeconomic success of their female co-twins pp. 6749-6753

Aline Bütikofer, David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Christopher W. Kuzawa and Kjell G Salvanes

Volume 116, issue 13, 2019

Optimizing schools’ start time and bus routes pp. 5943-5948

Dimitris Bertsimas, Arthur Delarue and Sebastien Martin

American geography of opportunity reveals European origins pp. 6045-6050

Thor Berger and Per Engzell

Volume 116, issue 12, 2019

Short-term impact of PM 2.5 on contemporaneous asthma medication use: Behavior and the value of pollution reductions pp. 5246-5253

Austin M. Williams, Daniel J. Phaneuf, Meredith A. Barrett and Jason G. Su

The low but uncertain measured benefits of US water quality policy pp. 5262-5269

David A. Keiser, Catherine Kling and Joseph Shapiro

On the use of group performance and rights for environmental protection and resource management pp. 5285-5292

Matthew J. Kotchen and Kathleen Segerson

Testing for crowd out in social nudges: Evidence from a natural field experiment in the market for electricity pp. 5293-5298

Alec Brandon, John List, Robert Metcalfe, Michael Price and Florian Rundhammer

Sustaining cooperation through self-sorting: The good, the bad, and the conditional pp. 5299-5304

Karen Hauge, Kjell Arne Brekke, Karine Nyborg and Jo Lind

Localized prosocial preferences, public goods, and common-pool resources pp. 5305-5310

Andrew R. Tilman, Avinash Dixit and Simon A. Levin

The blue paradox: Preemptive overfishing in marine reserves pp. 5319-5325

Grant R. McDermott, Kyle C. Meng, Gavin G. McDonald and Christopher J. Costello

Self-selection into payments for ecosystem services programs pp. 5326-5333

B. Kelsey Jack and Seema Jayachandran

Private provision of public goods by environmental groups pp. 5334-5340

Laura Grant and Christian Langpap

Volume 116, issue 10, 2019

The changing career trajectories of new parents in STEM pp. 4182-4187

Erin A. Cech and Mary Blair-Loy

Volume 116, issue 8, 2019

Stalls in Africa’s fertility decline partly result from disruptions in female education pp. 2891-2896

Endale Kebede, Anne Goujon and Wolfgang Lutz

Volume 116, issue 6, 2019

Data visualization literacy: Definitions, conceptual frameworks, exercises, and assessments pp. 1857-1864

Katy Börner, Andreas Bueckle and Michael Ginda

Branches from the same tree: The case for integration in higher education pp. 1865-1869

David Skorton

Interaction design of community-driven environmental projects (CDEPs): A case study from the Anacostia Watershed pp. 1886-1893

Jennifer Preece, Daniel Pauw and Tamara Clegg

A network’s gender composition and communication pattern predict women’s leadership success pp. 2033-2038

Yang Yang, Nitesh V. Chawla and Brian Uzzi

Parents mention sons more often than daughters on social media pp. 2039-2041

Elizaveta Sivak and Ivan Smirnov

Volume 116, issue 4, 2019

Leading a meaningful life at older ages and its relationship with social engagement, prosperity, health, biology, and time use pp. 1207-1212

Andrew Steptoe and Daisy Fancourt

Volume 116, issue 3, 2019

Designing combinatorial exchanges for the reallocation of resource rights pp. 786-791

Martin Bichler, Vladimir Fux and Jacob Goeree

Integration in emerging social networks explains academic failure and success pp. 792-797

Christoph Stadtfeld, András Vörös, Timon Elmer, Zsófia Boda and Isabel J. Raabe

Volume 116, issue 2, 2019

Opinion: How can we boost the impact of publications? Try better writing pp. 341-343

Benjamin Freeling, Zoë A. Doubleday and Sean D. Connell

Climate change and residential electricity consumption in the Yangtze River Delta, China pp. 472-477

Yating Li, William Pizer and Libo Wu

Analysis of research intensity on infectious disease by disease burden reveals which infectious diseases are neglected by researchers pp. 478-483

Yuki Furuse

Early patterns of skill acquisition and immigrants’ specialization in STEM careers pp. 484-489

Marcos A. Rangel and Ying Shi

Volume 116, issue 1, 2019

Newcomb–Benford law helps customs officers to detect fraud in international trade pp. 11-13

Lucas Lacasa

Estimation of emigration, return migration, and transit migration between all pairs of countries pp. 116-122

Jonathan J. Azose and Adrian E. Raftery