Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

2018 - 2025

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Volume 118, issue 52, 2021

Are Americans less likely to reply to emails from Black people relative to White people? pp. -

Ray Block, Charles Crabtree, John B. Holbein and J. Quin Monson

The role of non–COVID-specific and COVID-specific factors in predicting a shift in willingness to vaccinate: A panel study pp. -

Kathleen Hall Jamieson, Daniel Romer, Patrick E. Jamieson, Kenneth M. Winneg and Josh Pasek

Ethics and society review: Ethics reflection as a precondition to research funding pp. -

Michael S. Bernstein, Margaret Levi, David Magnus, Betsy A. Rajala, Debra Satz and Charla Waeiss

Volume 118, issue 51, 2021

Historical redlining and cardiovascular health: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis pp. e2110986118

Mahasin S. Mujahid, Xing Gao, Loni P. Tabb, Colleen Morris and Tené T. Lewis

The US COVID-19 Trends and Impact Survey: Continuous real-time measurement of COVID-19 symptoms, risks, protective behaviors, testing, and vaccination pp. e2111454118

Joshua A. Salomon, Alex Reinhart, Alyssa Bilinski, Eu Jing Chua, Wichada La Motte-Kerr, Minttu M. Rönn, Marissa B. Reitsma, Katherine A. Morris, Sarah LaRocca, Tamer H. Farag, Frauke Kreuter, Roni Rosenfeld and Ryan J. Tibshirani

Global monitoring of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic through online surveys sampled from the Facebook user base pp. e2111455118

Christina M. Astley, Gaurav Tuli, Kimberly A. Mc Cord, Emily L. Cohn, Benjamin Rader, Tanner J. Varrelman, Samantha L. Chiu, Xiaoyi Deng, Kathleen Stewart, Tamer H. Farag, Kristina M. Barkume, Sarah LaRocca, Katherine A. Morris, Frauke Kreuter and John S. Brownstein

Why ex post peer review encourages high-risk research while ex ante review discourages it pp. e2111615118

Kevin Gross and Carl T. Bergstrom

Volume 118, issue 50, 2021

A polygenic score for educational attainment partially predicts voter turnout pp. e2022715118

Christopher T. Dawes, Aysu Okbay, Sven Oskarsson and Aldo Rustichini

Economic evaluation of disease elimination: An extension to the net-benefit framework and application to human African trypanosomiasis pp. e2026797118

Marina Antillon, Ching-I Huang, Kat S. Rock and Fabrizio Tediosi

Link recommendation algorithms and dynamics of polarization in online social networks pp. e2102141118

Fernando P. Santos, Yphtach Lelkes and Simon A. Levin

Polarized information ecosystems can reorganize social networks via information cascades pp. e2102147118

Christopher K. Tokita, Andrew M. Guess and Corina E. Tarnita

The emergence and perils of polarization pp. e2116863118

Delia Baldassarri and Scott E. Page

Volume 118, issue 48, 2021

Rational regulation of water-seeking effort in rodents pp. e2111742118

Pamela Reinagel

Volume 118, issue 47, 2021

Economic games can be used to promote cooperation in the field pp. e2026046118

Stefan Meyer, Paulo Santos and Fue Yang

Volume 118, issue 46, 2021

Estimating experienced racial segregation in US cities using large-scale GPS data pp. e2026160118

Susan Athey, Billy Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow and Tobias Schmidt

Comparing information diffusion mechanisms by matching on cascade size pp. e2100786118

Jonas L. Juul and Johan Ugander

COVID-19 within families amplifies the prosociality gap between adolescents of high and low socioeconomic status pp. e2110891118

Camille Terrier, Daniel L. Chen and Matthias Sutter

Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan pp. e2112605118

Akira Endo, Mitsuo Uchida, Naoki Hayashi, Yang Liu, Katherine E. Atkins, Adam J. Kucharski and Sebastian Funk

Volume 118, issue 45, 2021

Functional genomics and metabolomics advance the ethnobotany of the Samoan traditional medicine “matalafi” pp. e2100880118

Seeseei Molimau-Samasoni, Victoria Helen Woolner, Su’emalo Talie Foliga, Katharina Robichon, Vimal Patel, Sarah K. Andreassend, Jeffrey P. Sheridan, Tama Te Kawa, David Gresham, Darach Miller, Daniel J. Sinclair, Anne C. La Flamme, Alexey V. Melnik, Allegra Aron, Pieter C. Dorrestein, Paul H. Atkinson, Robert A. Keyzers and Andrew B. Munkacsi

Quantifying contributions of natural variability and anthropogenic forcings on increased fire weather risk over the western United States pp. e2111875118

Yizhou Zhuang, Rong Fu, Benjamin D. Santer, Robert E. Dickinson and Alex Hall

Volume 118, issue 42, 2021

The association of opening K–12 schools with the spread of COVID-19 in the United States: County-level panel data analysis pp. e2103420118

Victor Chernozhukov, Hiroyuki Kasahara and Paul Schrimpf

Spatial social dilemmas promote diversity pp. e2105252118

Christoph Hauert and Michael Doebeli

Improving health and economic security by reducing work schedule uncertainty pp. e2107828118

Kristen Harknett, Daniel Schneider and Véronique Irwin

Opt-out choice framing attenuates gender differences in the decision to compete in the laboratory and in the field pp. e2108337118

Joyce C. He, Sonia K. Kang and Nicola Lacetera

Frequency of enforcement is more important than the severity of punishment in reducing violation behaviors pp. e2108507118

Kinneret Teodorescu, Ori Plonsky, Shahar Ayal and Rachel Barkan

Volume 118, issue 41, 2021

Slowed canonical progress in large fields of science pp. e2021636118

Johan S. G. Chu and James A. Evans

Adolescent civic engagement: Lessons from Black Lives Matter pp. e2109860118

Arielle Baskin-Sommers, Cortney Simmons, May Conley, Shou-An Chang, Suzanne Estrada, Meghan Collins, William Pelham, Emil Beckford, Haley Mitchell-Adams, Nia Berrian, Susan F. Tapert, Dylan G. Gee and B. J. Casey

The Strategic Council for Research Excellence, Integrity, and Trust pp. e2116647118

Marcia McNutt, France A. Córdova and David B. Allison

Volume 118, issue 40, 2021

Inequality in mortality between Black and White Americans by age, place, and cause and in comparison to Europe, 1990 to 2018 pp. e2104684118

Hannes Schwandt, Janet Currie, Marlies Bär, James Banks, Paola Bertoli, Aline Bütikofer, Sarah Cattan, Beatrice Zong-Ying Chao, Claudia Costa, Libertad Gonzalez, Veronica Grembi, Kristiina Huttunen, René Karadakic, Lucy Kraftman, Sonya Krutikova, Stefano Lombardi, Peter Redler, Carlos Riumallo-Herl, Ana Rodríguez-González, Kjell G Salvanes, Paula Santana, Josselin Thuilliez, Eddy Van Doorslaer, Tom Van Ourti, Joachim K. Winter, Bram Wouterse and Amelie Wuppermann

Individual choices and universal rights for drinking water in rural Africa pp. e2105953118

Rob Hope and Paola Ballon

Learning from near misses from COVID-19 pp. e2108269118

Chander Velu and Sriya Iyer

China's low fertility may not hinder future prosperity pp. e2108900118

Guillaume Marois, Stuart Gietel-Basten and Wolfgang Lutz

Reply to Velu and Iyer: The promise and limits of “near-miss” pandemic-related research pp. e2112944118

Tim Johnson and Dalton Conley

Volume 118, issue 39, 2021

Constrained public benefits from global catch share fisheries pp. e2021580118

Abdulrahman Ben-Hasan, Santiago De La Puente, Diana Flores, Michael C. Melnychuk, Emily Tivoli, Villy Christensen, Wei Cui and Carl J. Walters

Excess mortality from COVID and non-COVID causes in minority populations pp. e2101386118

Christopher Cronin and William Evans

Gender inequities in the online dissemination of scholars’ work pp. e2102945118

Orsolya Vásárhelyi, Igor Zakhlebin, Staša Milojević and Emőke-Ágnes Horvát

Globalization mitigates the risk of conflict caused by strategic territory pp. e2105624118

Quentin Gallea and Dominic Rohner

Market forces determine the distribution of a leaky function in a simple microbial community pp. e2109813118

Sarah J. Adkins-Jablonsky, Colleen M. Clark, Spiridon E. Papoulis, Matthew D. Kuhl and J. Jeffrey Morris

Volume 118, issue 38, 2021

Citizens from 13 countries share similar preferences for COVID-19 vaccine allocation priorities pp. e2026382118

Raymond Duch, Laurence Roope, Mara Violato, Matias Fuentes Becerra, Thomas S. Robinson, Jean-François Bonnefon, Jorge Friedman, Peter John Loewen, Pavan Mamidi, Alessia Melegaro, Mariana Blanco, Juan Vargas, Julia Seither, Paolo Candio, Ana Gibertoni Cruz, Xinyang Hua, Adrian Barnett and Philip M. Clarke

Postmortem memory of public figures in news and social media pp. e2106152118

Robert West, Jure Leskovec and Christopher Potts

Volume 118, issue 37, 2021

Ethnic studies increases longer-run academic engagement and attainment pp. e2026386118

Sade Bonilla, Thomas Dee and Emily K. Penner

The global effectiveness of fact-checking: Evidence from simultaneous experiments in Argentina, Nigeria, South Africa, and the United Kingdom pp. e2104235118

Ethan Porter and Thomas J. Wood

Individualistic culture increases economic mobility in the United States pp. e2107273118

Bryan Leonard and Steven M. Smith

Rising nonmarital first childbearing among college-educated women: Evidence from three national studies pp. e2109016118

Andrew J. Cherlin

COVID-19 and mental health of individuals with different personalities pp. e2109282118

Eugenio Proto and Anwen Zhang

Volume 118, issue 36, 2021

Task complexity moderates group synergy pp. e2101062118

Abdullah Almaatouq, Mohammed Alsobay, Ming Yin and Duncan J. Watts

Priming COVID-19 salience increases prejudice and discriminatory intent against Asians and Hispanics pp. e2105125118

Yao Lu, Neeraj Kaushal, Xiaoning Huang and S. Michael Gaddis

Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries pp. e2105709118

Arnstein Aassve, Nicolò Cavalli, Letizia Mencarini, Samuel Plach and Seth Sanders

Global kidney chains pp. e2106652118

Afshin Nikzad, Mohammad Akbarpour, Michael A. Rees and Alvin Roth

The COVID-19 pandemic adds another 200,000 deaths (50%) to the annual toll of excess mortality in the United States pp. e2107590118

Patrick Heuveline

Reply to Heuveline: Important extension of analysis pp. e2109981118

Samuel H. Preston and Yana C. Vierboom

Volume 118, issue 35, 2021

Using time-use diaries to track changing behavior across successive stages of COVID-19 social restrictions pp. e2101724118

Oriel Sullivan, Jonathan Gershuny, Almudena Sevilla, Francesca Foliano, Margarita Vega-Rapun, Juana Lamote de Grignon, Teresa Harms and Pierre Walthéry

Poverty-related bandwidth constraints reduce the value of consumption pp. e2102794118

Heather Schofield and Atheendar S. Venkataramani

Dynamical system model predicts when social learners impair collective performance pp. e2106292118

Vicky Chuqiao Yang, Mirta Galesic, Harvey McGuinness and Ani Harutyunyan

Psychological ownership interventions increase interest in claiming government benefits pp. e2106357118

Wendy De La Rosa, Eesha Sharma, Stephanie M. Tully, Eric Giannella and Gwen Rino

Testing and improving technology forecasts for better climate policy pp. e2109417118

Jessika E. Trancik

Volume 118, issue 34, 2021

Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system pp. e2103081118

Simon Dietz, James Rising, Thomas Stoerk and Gernot Wagner

On the value(s) of time: Workers’ value of their time depends on mode of valuation pp. e2105710118

Gal Smitizsky, Wendy Liu and Uri Gneezy

Volume 118, issue 33, 2021

The long-run effects of religious persecution: Evidence from the Spanish Inquisition pp. e2022881118

Mauricio Drelichman, Jordi Vidal-Robert and Hans-Joachim Voth

Measuring the scientific effectiveness of contact tracing: Evidence from a natural experiment pp. e2100814118

Thiemo Fetzer and Thomas Graeber

Socioeconomic privilege and political ideology are associated with racial disparity in COVID-19 vaccination pp. e2107873118

Ritu Agarwal, Michelle Dugas, Jui Ramaprasad, Junjie Luo, Gujie Li and Guodong (Gordon) Gao

Volume 118, issue 32, 2021

Examining the consumption of radical content on YouTube pp. e2101967118

Homa Hosseinmardi, Amir Ghasemian, Aaron Clauset, Markus Mobius, David M. Rothschild and Duncan J. Watts

Elite party cues increase vaccination intentions among Republicans pp. e2106559118

Sophia L. Pink, James Chu, James N. Druckman, David G. Rand and Robb Willer

Emphasize personal health benefits to boost COVID-19 vaccination rates pp. e2108225118

Madison Ashworth, Linda Thunström, Todd Cherry, Stephen C. Newbold and David Finnoff

Hallucinations and the meaning and structure of absorption pp. e2108467118

Devin B. Terhune and Graham A. Jamieson

Reply to Terhune and Jamieson: The nature of absorption pp. e2109120118

Tanya Marie Luhrmann, Kara Weisman, Felicity Aulino, Joshua D. Brahinsky, John C. Dulin, Vivian A. Dzokoto, Cristine H. Legare, Michael Lifshitz, Emily Ng, Nicole Ross-Zehnder and Rachel E. Smith

Centenarians may hold a key to continued rise of human longevity pp. e2110032118

Johan Bredberg and Anders Bredberg

Reply to Bredberg and Bredberg: Do some individuals age more slowly than others? pp. e2110693118

James W. Vaupel and Francisco Villavicencio

Volume 118, issue 30, 2021

Reward-specific satiety affects subjective value signals in orbitofrontal cortex during multicomponent economic choice pp. e2022650118

Alexandre Pastor-Bernier, Arkadiusz Stasiak and Wolfram Schultz

A method for measuring investigative journalism in local newspapers pp. e2105155118

Eray Turkel, Anish Saha, Rhett Carson Owen, Gregory J. Martin and Shoshana Vasserman

Contact with Child Protective Services is pervasive but unequally distributed by race and ethnicity in large US counties pp. e2106272118

Frank Edwards, Sara Wakefield, Kieran Healy and Christopher Wildeman

Volume 118, issue 29, 2021

On design-based empirical research and its interpretation and ethics in sustainability science pp. e2023343118

Christopher Barrett

A call for structured ethics appendices in social science papers pp. e2024570118

Edward Asiedu, Dean Karlan, Monica Lambon-Quayefio and Christopher Udry

Mapping partner drug resistance to guide antimalarial combination therapy policies in sub-Saharan Africa pp. e2100685118

Hanna Y. Ehrlich, Amy K. Bei, Daniel M. Weinberger, Joshua L. Warren and Sunil Parikh

Transmission dynamics are crucial to COVID-19 vaccination policy pp. e2105878118

Jonathan Dushoff, Caroline Colijn, David J. D. Earn and Benjamin M. Bolker

Optimal vaccination age varies across countries pp. e2105987118

Héctor Pifarré i Arolas, Enrique Acosta and Mikko Myrskylä

Reply to Dushoff et al. and Pifarré i Arolas et al.: Age prioritization for COVID-19 vaccination does save lives and years of life pp. e2107654118

Joshua R. Goldstein, Thomas Cassidy and Kenneth W. Wachter

Awareness and use of (emergency) sick leave: US employees’ unaddressed sick leave needs in a global pandemic pp. e2107670118

Emma Jelliffe, Paul Pangburn, Stefan Pichler and Nicolas Ziebarth

In high school math, more instructional time helps, but the tracking dilemma remains pp. e2109648118

Adam Gamoran

Reduced fertility from better access to contraception may not improve women’s health pp. e2110170118

David Lam

Volume 118, issue 28, 2021

Thirty-five years later: Long-term effects of the Matlab maternal and child health/family planning program on older women’s well-being pp. e2101160118

Tania Barham, Brachel Champion, Andrew D. Foster, Jena D. Hamadani, Warren C. Jochem, Gisella Kagy, Randall Kuhn, Jane Menkenb, Abdur Razzaque, Elisabeth Dowling Root and Patrick Turner

Volume 118, issue 27, 2021

Comparing expert elicitation and model-based probabilistic technology cost forecasts for the energy transition pp. e1917165118

Jing Meng, Rupert Way, Elena Verdolini and Laura Diaz Anadon

Effects of double-dose algebra on college persistence and degree attainment pp. e2019030118

Takako Nomi, Stephen W. Raudenbush and Jake J. Smith

Walrasian equilibrium behavior in nature pp. e2020961118

Ted Loch-Temzelides

Emergent inequality and business cycles in a simple behavioral macroeconomic model pp. e2025721118

Yuki M. Asano, Jakob J. Kolb, Jobst Heitzig and J. Farmer

The potential stickiness of pandemic-induced behavior changes in the United States pp. e2106499118

Deborah Salon, Matthew Wigginton Conway, Denise Capasso da Silva, Rishabh Singh Chauhan, Sybil Derrible, Abolfazl (Kouros) Mohammadian, Sara Khoeini, Nathan Parker, Laura Mirtich, Ali Shamshiripour, Ehsan Rahimi and Ram M. Pendyala

GWAS deems parents guilty by association pp. e2109433118

Arbel Harpak and Michael D. Edge

Volume 118, issue 26, 2021

How quantifying the shape of stories predicts their success pp. e2011695118

Olivier Toubia, Jonah Berger and Jehoshua Eliashberg

Sunsetting as an adaptive strategy pp. e2015258118

Roberta Romano and Simon A. Levin

The landscape of innovation in bacteria, battleships, and beyond pp. e2015565118

Terence C. Burnham and Michael Travisano

Social finance as cultural evolution, transmission bias, and market dynamics pp. e2015568118

Erol Akçay and David Hirshleifer

Evolved attitudes to risk and the demand for equity pp. e2015569118

Arthur Robson and H. Allen Orr

Moonshots, investment booms, and selection bias in the transmission of cultural traits pp. e2015571118

David Hirshleifer and Joshua B. Plotkin

The origin of cooperation pp. e2015572118

Nihal Koduri and Andrew Lo

High-frequency trading and networked markets pp. e2015573118

Federico Musciotto, Jyrki Piilo and Rosario Mantegna

How market ecology explains market malfunction pp. e2015574118

Maarten P. Scholl, Anisoara Calinescu and J. Farmer

Evolution in pecunia pp. e2016514118

Rabah Amir, Igor V. Evstigneev, Thorsten Hens, Valeriya Potapova and Klaus Schenk-Hoppé

Estimating seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Ohio: A Bayesian multilevel poststratification approach with multiple diagnostic tests pp. e2023947118

David Kline, Zehang Li, Yue Chu, Jon Wakefield, William C. Miller, Abigail Norris Turner and Samuel J. Clark

Monitoring the COVID-19 epidemic with nationwide telecommunication data pp. e2100664118

Joel Persson, Jurriaan F. Parie and Stefan Feuerriegel

Volume 118, issue 25, 2021

Estimating genetic nurture with summary statistics of multigenerational genome-wide association studies pp. e2023184118

Yuchang Wu, Xiaoyuan Zhong, Yunong Lin, Zijie Zhao, Jiawen Chen, Boyan Zheng, James J. Li, Jason Fletcher and Qiongshi Lu

Overcoming COVID-19 vaccination resistance when alternative policies affect the dynamics of conformism, social norms, and crowding out pp. e2104912118

Katrin Schmelz and Samuel Bowles

Volume 118, issue 24, 2021

Intracounty modeling of COVID-19 infection with human mobility: Assessing spatial heterogeneity with business traffic, age, and race pp. e2020524118

Xiao Hou, Song Gao, Qin Li, Yuhao Kang, Nan Chen, Kaiping Chen, Jinmeng Rao, Jordan S. Ellenberg and Jonathan A. Patz

The US Department of Justice stumbles on visual perception pp. e2102702118

Thomas D. Albright

Early life stress is associated with earlier emergence of permanent molars pp. e2105304118

Cassidy L. McDermott, Katherine Hilton, Anne T. Park, Ursula A. Tooley, Austin L. Boroshok, Muralidhar Mupparapu, JoAnna M. Scott, Erin E. Bumann and Allyson P. Mackey

Volume 118, issue 23, 2021

Converging evidence for greater male variability in time, risk, and social preferences pp. e2026112118

Christian Thöni and Stefan Volk

The effect of mass shootings on daily emotions is limited by time, geographic proximity, and political affiliation pp. e2100846118

Patrick Sharkey and Yinzhi Shen

News Feature: Keeping Black students in STEM pp. e2108401118

Melissa Suran

Volume 118, issue 22, 2021

What we know about effective public engagement on CRISPR and beyond pp. e2004835117

Dietram A. Scheufele, Nicole M. Krause, Isabelle Freiling and Dominique Brossard

Setting ethical limits on human gene editing after the fall of the somatic/germline barrier pp. e2004837117

John H. Evans

Policy and weather influences on mobility during the early US COVID-19 pandemic pp. e2018185118

Yihan Wu, Todd A. Mooring and Marianna Linz

Wolves make roadways safer, generating large economic returns to predator conservation pp. e2023251118

Jennifer Raynor, Corbett Grainger and Dominic Parker

Volume 118, issue 21, 2021

Quantifying collective intelligence in human groups pp. e2005737118

Christoph Riedl, Young Ji Kim, Pranav Gupta, Thomas W. Malone and Anita Williams Woolley

Gender roles produce divergent economic expectations pp. e2008534118

Francesco D’Acunto, Ulrike Malmendier and Michael Weber

Scaling up real networks by geometric branching growth pp. e2018994118

Muhua Zheng, Guillermo García-Pérez, Marián Boguñá and M. Ángeles Serrano

Carceral-community epidemiology, structural racism, and COVID-19 disparities pp. e2026577118

Eric Reinhart and Daniel L. Chen

The unintended consequences of US immigration enforcement policies pp. e2103000118

Emily Ryo

Volume 118, issue 20, 2021

Death rates at specific life stages mold the sex gap in life expectancy pp. e2010588118

Virginia Zarulli, Ilya Kashnitsky and James W. Vaupel

Retrieval-constrained valuation: Toward prediction of open-ended decisions pp. e2022685118

Zhihao Zhang, Shichun Wang, Maxwell Good, Siyana Hristova, Andrew S. Kayser and Ming Hsu

A megastudy of text-based nudges encouraging patients to get vaccinated at an upcoming doctor’s appointment pp. e2101165118

Katherine Milkman, Mitesh S. Patel, Linnea Gandhi, Heather N. Graci, Dena M. Gromet, Hung Ho, Joseph S. Kay, Timothy W. Lee, Modupe Akinola, John Beshears, Jonathan E. Bogard, Alison Buttenheim, Christopher F. Chabris, Gretchen B. Chapman, James Choi, Hengchen Dai, Craig R. Fox, Amir Goren, Matthew D. Hilchey, Jillian Hmurovic, Leslie K. John, Dean Karlan, Melanie Kim, David Laibson, Cait Lamberton, Brigitte Madrian, Michelle N. Meyer, Maria Modanu, Jimin Nam, Todd Rogers, Renante Rondina, Silvia Saccardo, Maheen Shermohammed, Dilip Soman, Jehan Sparks, Caleb Warren, Megan Weber, Ron Berman, Chalanda N. Evans, Christopher K. Snider, Eli Tsukayama, Christophe Van den Bulte, Kevin G. Volpp and Angela L. Duckworth

Inequality in learning is a major concern after school closures pp. e2105243118

Herman G. van de Werfhorst

Volume 118, issue 19, 2021

Belief polarization in a complex world: A learning theory perspective pp. e2010144118

Nika Haghtalab, Matthew Jackson and Ariel D. Procaccia

Interacting regional policies in containing a disease pp. e2021520118

Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Matthew Jackson and Samuel Thau

Inequalities in jail incarceration across the life course pp. e2104744118

Kristin Turney

Volume 118, issue 17, 2021

Highly public anti-Black violence is associated with poor mental health days for Black Americans pp. e2019624118

David S. Curtis, Tessa Washburn, Hedwig Lee, Ken R. Smith, Jaewhan Kim, Connor D. Martz, Michael R. Kramer and David H. Chae

Life-course trajectories of body mass index from adolescence to old age: Racial and educational disparities pp. e2020167118

Yang Claire Yang, Christine E. Walsh, Moira P. Johnson, Daniel W. Belsky, Max Reason, Patrick Curran, Allison E. Aiello, Marianne Chanti-Ketterl and Kathleen Mullan Harris

Learning loss due to school closures during the COVID-19 pandemic pp. e2022376118

Per Engzell, Arun Frey and Mark D. Verhagen

Volume 118, issue 16, 2021

Predicting social tipping and norm change in controlled experiments pp. e2014893118

James Andreoni, Nikos Nikiforakis and Simon Siegenthaler

The cumulative risk of jail incarceration pp. e2023429118

Bruce Western, Jaclyn Davis, Flavien Ganter and Natalie Smith

Excess mortality in the United States in the 21st century pp. e2024850118

Samuel H. Preston and Yana C. Vierboom

Dynamic prioritization of COVID-19 vaccines when social distancing is limited for essential workers pp. e2025786118

Jack H. Buckner, Gerardo Chowell and Michael R. Springborn

Volume 118, issue 13, 2021

Health and economic impact of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in hindering antimicrobial resistance in China pp. e2004933118

Ember (Yiwei) Lu, Hui-Han Chen, Hongqing Zhao and Sachiko Ozawa

Least-cost targets and avoided fossil fuel capacity in India’s pursuit of renewable energy pp. e2008128118

Ranjit Deshmukh, Amol Phadke and Duncan S. Callaway

Supportive management practice and intrinsic motivation go together in the public service pp. e2015124118

Dan Honig

Exposure density and neighborhood disparities in COVID-19 infection risk pp. e2021258118

Boyeong Hong, Bartosz J. Bonczak, Arpit Gupta, Lorna E. Thorpe and Constantine E. Kontokosta

Frontrunning the signals: As arbitrage between sophisticates pp. e2025524118

George Akerlof and Hui Tong

Opinion: Past is future for the era of COVID-19 research in the social sciences pp. e2104155118

Dalton Conley and Tim Johnson

Volume 118, issue 12, 2021

Years of good life is a well-being indicator designed to serve research on sustainability pp. e1907351118

Wolfgang Lutz, Erich Striessnig, Anna Dimitrova, Simone Ghislandi, Anastasia Lijadi, Claudia Reiter, Sonja Spitzerr and Dilek Yildiz

Impacts of introducing and lifting nonpharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 daily growth rate and compliance in the United States pp. e2021359118

Surya Singh, Mujaheed Shaikh, Katharina Hauck and Marisa Miraldo

Extreme weather events and military conflict over seven centuries in ancient Korea pp. e2021976118

Tackseung Jun and Rajiv Sethi

Volume 118, issue 11, 2021

Focusing climate negotiations on a uniform common commitment can promote cooperation pp. e2013070118

Klaus M. Schmidt and Axel Ockenfels

Bots are less central than verified accounts during contentious political events pp. e2013443118

Sandra González-Bailón and Manlio De Domenico

Life expectancy in adulthood is falling for those without a BA degree, but as educational gaps have widened, racial gaps have narrowed pp. e2024777118

Anne Case and Angus Deaton

Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 via fomite, especially cold chain, should not be ignored pp. e2026093118

Weilong Ji, Xue Li, Si Chen and Linzhu Ren

Vaccinating the oldest against COVID-19 saves both the most lives and most years of life pp. e2026322118

Joshua R. Goldstein, Thomas Cassidy and Kenneth W. Wachter

Pandemic response policies’ democratizing effects on online learning pp. e2026725118

Rene F. Kizilcec, Christos Makridis and Katharine C. Sadowski

Opinion: Academic-humanitarian technology partnerships: an unhappy marriage? pp. e2102713118

Louis Potter, Dikolela Kalubi and Klaus Schönenberger

Volume 118, issue 8, 2021

Effects of short birth spacing on birth-order differences in child stunting: Evidence from India pp. e2017834118

Sunaina Dhingra and Prabhu L. Pingali

Pandemic precarity: COVID-19 is exposing and exacerbating inequalities in the American heartland pp. e2020685118

Brea L. Perry, Brian Aronson and Bernice A. Pescosolido

Volume 118, issue 6, 2021

What are the legacies of war exposure on civic engagement? Recent evidence suggests that domestic war may have short-term effects on participation in social organizations. Yet, it is unclear whether these effects will be present in internationalized conflicts and persist over long periods of time. Further, the pathways of persistence by which war exposure leads to greater civic engagement in the long term are even less understood. In this paper, I contribute to both questions using unique evidence from the Vietnam War. Empirically, I combine a unique US military dataset containing bombing intensity with respondents’ wartime place of residence to generate an objective indicator of conflict intensity. Then, I exploit the distance to the arbitrarily drawn border at the 17th parallel as an instrument for conflict intensity. The results show that individuals who lived in a province heavily affected by the conflict during the war tend to be more engaged in social organizations and hold greater expressive values, at least 26 y later. Further, I empirically explore the mechanisms of persistence. The empirical evidence suggests that both persistence within individuals and community-wide transmission jointly account for the long-term increase of civic engagement after conflict pp. e2015539118

Joan Barceló

Volume 118, issue 5, 2021

The golden age of social science pp. e2002923118

Anastasia Buyalskaya, Marcos Gallo and Colin Camerer

Reductions in 2020 US life expectancy due to COVID-19 and the disproportionate impact on the Black and Latino populations pp. e2014746118

Theresa Andrasfay and Noreen Goldman

Sensing the presence of gods and spirits across cultures and faiths pp. e2016649118

Tanya Marie Luhrmann, Kara Weisman, Felicity Aulino, Joshua D. Brahinsky, John C. Dulin, Vivian A. Dzokoto, Cristine H. Legare, Michael Lifshitz, Emily Ng, Nicole Ross-Zehnder and Rachel E. Smith

Volume 118, issue 4, 2021

The joint dynamics of investor beliefs and trading during the COVID-19 crash pp. e2010316118

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen Utkus

Equity for women and underrepresented minorities in STEM: Graduate experiences and career plans in chemistry pp. e2020508118

Jean Stockard, Celeste M. Rohlfing and Geraldine L. Richmond

Volume 118, issue 2, 2021

Six-year follow-up study of residential displacement and health outcomes following the 2011 Japan Earthquake and Tsunami pp. e2014226118

Hiroyuki Hikichi, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo and Ichiro Kawachi

Volume 118, issue 1, 2021

Incorporating ethics and welfare into randomized experiments pp. e2008740118

Yusuke Narita

Filling the gaps in the global prevalence map of clinical antimicrobial resistance pp. e2013515118

Rik Oldenkamp, Constance Schultsz, Emiliano Mancini and Antonio Cappuccio

Nursing home staff networks and COVID-19 pp. e2015455118

M. Keith Chen, Judith Chevalier and Elisa F. Long

Enforcement may crowd out voluntary support for COVID-19 policies, especially where trust in government is weak and in a liberal society pp. e2016385118

Katrin Schmelz

Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on rural America pp. e2019378118

J. Tom Mueller, Kathryn McConnell, Paul Berne Burow, Katie Pofahl, Alexis A. Merdjanoff and Justin Farrell

Opinion: We need to improve the welfare of life science trainees pp. e2024143118

Daniele Simoneschi