LSE Research Online Documents on Economics

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24434: Forecasting bankruptcy and physical default intensity

Ping Zhou

24433: Do reputational concerns lead to reliable ratings?

Beatriz Mariano

24432: Do errors in forecasting inflation lead to errors in forecasting interest rates?

Charles Goodhart and Wen Bin Lim

24431: Interest rate forecasts: a pathology

Charles Goodhart and Wen Bin Lim

24428: Asset pricing tests with long run risks in consumption growth

George Constantinides and Anisha Ghosh

24427: From fiction to fact: the impact of CEO social networks

Thomas Kirchmaier and Konstantinos Stathopoulos

24425: Bond supply and excess bond returns

Robin Greenwood and Dimitri Vayanos

24424: Ambiguity, information acquisition and price swings in asset markets

Antonio Mele and Francesco Sangiorgi

24423: An institutional theory of momentum and reversal

Dimitri Vayanos and Paul Woolley

24422: Large powerful shareholders and cash holding

Ronald W. Anderson and Malika Hamadi

24421: Does beta move with news? Systematic risk and firm-specific information flows

Andrew Patton and Michela Verardo

24419: The effect of credit rationing on the shape of the competition-innovation relationship

Jan Bena

24418: Labor hiring, investment and stock return predictability in the cross section

Santiago Bazdrech, Frederico Belo and Xiaoji Lin

24417: Rents, learning and risk in the financial sector and other innovative industries

Bruno Biais, Jean Rochet and Paul Woolley

24416: Banking stability measures

Miguel A. Segoviano and Charles Goodhart

24415: Understanding portfolio efficiency with conditioning information

Francisco Peñaranda

24414: The credit crisis and the dynamics of asset backed commercial paper programs

Nikolaj Schmidt

24374: The value of rude health: employees' well being, absence and workplace performance

David Marsden and Simone Moriconi

24369: British jobs for British workers? UK industrial action and free movement of services in EU law

Claire Kilpatrick

24345: An outline of the case for a ‘green’ stimulus

Alex Bowen, Sam Fankhauser, Nicholas Stern and Dimitri Zenghelis

24233: Individual rationality and bargaining

Abraham Diskin and Dan S. Felsenthal

24230: Qualified majority voting explained

Dan S. Felsenthal and Moshé Machover

24206: The future of development management: examining possibilities and potential

Nilima Gulrajani

24149: Nonlinear time series modelling of highly fluctuating biological population over space - main results

Howell Tong, Nils Chr Stenseth and Qiwei Yao

24135: Bootstrap tests for simple structures in nonparametric time series regression

Jens-Peter Kreiss, Michael H. Neumann and Qiwei Yao

24133: Spatial smoothing, Nugget effect and infill asymptotics

Zudi Lu, Dag Tjostheim and Qiwei Yao

24132: Testing for multivariate volatility functions using minimum volume sets and inverse regression

Wolfgang Polonik and Qiwei Yao

24106: On determination of cointegration ranks

Qiaoling Li, Jiazhu Pan and Qiwei Yao

23984: The impact of policy change on job retention and advancement

Richard Dickins and Abigail McKnight

23983: Family ties: women’s work and family histories and their association with incomes in later life in the UK

Tom Sefton, Maria Evandrou and Jane Falkingham

23916: Further calculations for Israeli options

Erik J. Baurdoux and Andreas E. Kyprianou

23915: The failure of German business and economic policy towards Iraq in the 1930s: an example of the German arms and steel company Otto Wolff, Cologne

Dennis Kumetat

23893: Redistribution and financing schools in England under Labour: are resources going where needs are greatest?

Anne West

23858: A representation of time discounting

Conrad Heilmann

23811: Fiscal federalism, subsidiarity and the EU budget review

Iain Begg

23656: Access, choice and participation in higher education

Stephen Gibbons and Anna Vignoles

23654: School quality, child wellbeing and parents' satisfaction

Stephen Gibbons and Olmo Silva

23577: Internet service classes under competition

R. Gibbens, R. Mason and Richard Steinberg

23550: Returns to apprenticeship training in Austria: evidence from failed firms

Josef Fersterer, Jorn-Steffen Pischke and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

23536: The impact of recent immigration on the London economy

Ian Gordon, Tony Travers and Christine M E Whitehead

23450: Financial liberalisation and globalisation: impact and effects in South East European countries

Fikret Causevic

23444: Applied macroeconometrics in transition economy: Croatian experience

Natasa Erjavec

23441: Macedonia's economic arrangements with international organisations: gains and losses

Silvana Mojsovska

23438: Beyond the perimeter fence: oil and armed conflict in Casanare, Colombia

Jenny Pearce

23378: Cities after socialism as a research issue

Mina Petrovic

23375: Designing an incentive-compatible safety net in a financial system in transition: the case of Serbia

Srdjan T. Marinkovic

23374: Trade policy of the European Union as a factor of regional trade in Southeast Europe

Predrag Bjelic

23373: Intra-regional cooperation in the Western Balkans: under which conditions does it foster economic progress?

Claudia Grupe and Siniša Kušić

23366: Exchange rate regimes and monetary policies in emerging markets: a showdown for few theoretical misconceptions

Marko Malovic

23360: Can development prevent conflict? Integrated area-based development in the Western Balkans – theory, practice and policy recommendations

Rastislav Vrbensky

23354: Wither participatory banking?: experiences with village banks in South Africa

Gareth A. Jones and Anthea Dallimore

23328: The territorial dynamics of innovation: a Europe-United States comparative analysis

Riccardo Crescenzi, Andrés Rodríguez-Pose and Michael Storper

23326: Research and development, spillovers, innovation systems, and the genesis of regional growth in Europe

Andrés Rodríguez-Pose and Riccardo Crescenzi

23323: Infrastructure endowment and investment as determinants of regional growth in the European Union

Riccardo Crescenzi and Andrés Rodríguez-Pose

23322: Mountains in a flat world: why proximity still matters for the location of economic activity

Andrés Rodríguez-Pose and Riccardo Crescenzi

23317: Undermining the principle of concentration?: European Union regional policy and the socio-economic disadvantage of European regions

Riccardo Crescenzi

23311: The convergence of compulsory schooling in Western Europe: 1950-2000

Fabrice Murtin and Martina Viarengo

23309: Does money matter for schools?

Helena Holmlund, Sandra McNally and Martina Viarengo

23271: The effect of health on consumption decisions in later life: evidence from the UK

Eleni Karagiannaki

23209: Resources, techniques and strategies south of the Sahara: revising the factor endowments perspective on African economic development, 1500-2000

Gareth Austin

23192: Ten years of EMU: convergence, divergence and new policy priorities

Nicos Christodoulakis

23183: “Deae ex Machina”: migrant women, care work and women’s employment in Greece

Antigone Lyberaki

23110: From local to global: the rise of AIM as a stock market for growing companies: a comprehensive report analysing the growth of AIM

Sridhar Arcot, Julia Black and Geoffrey Owen

23105: Really responsive regulation

Robert Baldwin and Julia Black

23103: Forms and paradoxes of principles-based regulation

Julia Black

22876: Modelling multiple time series via common factors

Jiazhu Pan and Qiwei Yao

22875: Modelling multivariate volatilities via conditionally uncorrelated components

Jianqing Fan, Mingjin Wang and Qiwei Yao

22874: Nonparametric regression under dependent errors with infinite variance

Liang Peng and Qiwei Yao

22871: Pay for performance where output is hard to measure: the case of performance pay for school teachers

David Marsden and Richard Belfield

22750: Utility theory from Jeremy Bentham to Daniel Kahneman

Daniel Read

22742: Transparent prioritisation, budgeting and resource allocation with multi-criteria decision analysis and decision conferencing

Lawrence D. Phillips and Carlos A. Bana e Costa

22740: Prioritisation of public investments in social infra-structures using multicriteria value analysis and decision conferencing: a case-study

Carlos A. Bana e Costa, Tania G. Fernandez and Paulo V. D. Correia

22711: Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research

Lawrence D. Phillips and Detlof von Winterfeldt

22710: Beyond discounting: the tradeoff model of intertemporal choice

Marc Scholten and Daniel Read

22709: Combining scenario planning and multi-criteria decision analysis in practice

Gilberto Montibeller, Haidee Gummer and Daniele Tumidei

22697: Development of reusable bid evaluation models for the Portugese Electric Transmission Company

Carlos A. Bana e Costa, João C. Lourenço, Manuel P. Chagas and João C. Bana e Costa

22695: Beyond matrices and black-box algorithms: setting marketing priorities with marketing strategy conferences

Martin S. Schilling and Paul J. Schulze-Cleven

22694: In search of value-for-money in collective bargaining: an analytic-interactive mediation process

Martin S. Schilling and Matthew Mulford

22693: Structuring multi-criteria portfolio analysis models

Gilberto Montibeller, Alberto Franco, Ewan Lord and Aline Iglesias

22647: Conditional boundary crossing probabilities and two-stage tests for a change-point

Qiwei Yao

22557: Regional GDP in Britain, 1871-1911: some estimates

Nicholas Crafts

22556: Market potential in British regions, 1871-1931

Nicholas Crafts

22555: How did the location of industry respond to falling transport costs in Britain before World War 1?

Nicholas Crafts and Abay Mulatu

22554: Social savings as a measure of the contribution of a new technology to economic growth

Nicholas Crafts

22553: Total factor productivity growth on Britain's railways, 1852-1912: a reappraisal of the evidence

Nicholas Crafts, Terence C. Mills and Abay Mulatu

22552: Efficiency among private railway companies in a weakly regulated system: the case of Britain's railways in 1893-1912

Abay Mulatu and Nicholas Crafts

22551: Time is money: a re-assessment of the passenger social savings from Victorian British railways

Tim Leunig

22549: Were British railway companies well-managed in the early twentieth century?

Nicholas Crafts, Tim Leunig and Abay Mulatu

22545: Experimental farming and Ricardo's political arithmetic of distribution

Mary S. Morgan

22542: Market disciplines in Victorian Britain

Paul Johnson

22539: Mapping poverty in Agar Town: economic conditions prior to the development of St. Pancras Station in 1866

Steven P. Swensen

22537: Institutional facts and standardisation: the case of measurements in the London coal trade

Aashish Velkar

22535: Measuring instruments in economics and the velocity of money

Mary S. Morgan

22530: Rodney Hilton, Marxism and the transition from feudalism to capitalism

Stephan R. Epstein

22520: Battle in the planning office: biased experts versus normative statisticians

Marcel Boumans

22515: Apprenticeship and training in premodern England

Patrick Wallis

22505: The regulation of pharmacies in six countries: report prepared for the Office of Fair Trading

Elias Mossialos and Monique F. Mrazek

22504: What happens to facts after their construction?: characteristics and functional roles of facts in the dissemination of knowledge across modelling communities

Erika Mansnerus

22503: ‘Voice’ and the facts and observations of experience

Mary S. Morgan

22502: Dilemmas in the constitution of and exportation of ethological facts

Richard Burkhardt