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PIER Working Paper Archive

From Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania
133 South 36th Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104.
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22-030: Learning Through Repetition? A Dynamic Evaluation of Grade Retention in Portugal Downloads
Emilio Borghesan, Hugo Reis and Petra Todd
22-029: A New Test forMarket Efficiency and Uncovered Interest Parity Downloads
Richard Baillie, Francis Diebold, George Kapetanios and Kun Ho Kim
22-028: Assessing and Comparing Fixed-Target Forecasts of Arctic Sea Ice:Glide Charts for Feature-Engineered Linear Regression and Machine Learning Models Downloads
Francis Diebold, Maximilian Gobel and Philippe Goulet Coulombe
22-027: Distributional Effects of Local Minimum Wages: A Spatial Job Search Approach Downloads
Petra Todd and Weilong Zhang
22-026: A Stage-Based Identification of Policy Effects Downloads
Christian Aleman Pericon, Christopher Busch, Alexander Ludwig and Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis
22-025: Regional Employment Polarization in a Time of Crisis: The case of Interwar Britain Downloads
Ivan Luzardo-Luna
22-024: Late-childhood foundational cognitive skills predict educational outcomes through adolescence and into young adulthood: evidence from Ethiopia and Peru Downloads
Jennifer Lopez, Jere Behrman, Santiago Cueto, Marta Favara and Alan Sánchez
22-023: Neoclassical Growth with Long-Term One-Sided Commitment Contracts Downloads
Dirk Krueger and Harald Uhlig
22-022: Social protection and foundational cognitive skills during adolescence: evidence from a large Public Works Programme Downloads
Richard Freund, Marta Favara, Catherine Porter Catherine Porter and Jere Behrman
22-021: Housing Wealth and Online Consumer Behavior:Evidence from Xiong'an New Area in China Downloads
Hanming Fang, Long Wang and Yang Yang
22-020: Anti-Corruption Campaign and the Resurgence of the SOEs in China:Evidence from the Real Estate Sector Downloads
Hanming Fang, Jing Wu, Rongjie Zhang and Li-An Zhou
22-019: The impact of the JUNTOS conditional cash transfer programme on foundational cognitive skills: Does age of enrollment matter? Downloads
Douglas Scott, Jennifer Lopez, Alan Sánchez and Jere Behrman
22-018: Bayesian Persuasion: Reduced Form Approach Downloads
Juuso Toikka, Akhil Vohra and Rakesh Vohra
22-017: Information Spillovers and Sovereign Debt: Theory Meets the Eurozone Crisis Downloads
Harold Cole, Daniel Neuhann and Guillermo Ordonez
22-016: Does Schooling Improve Cognitive Abilities at Older Ages: Causal Evidence from Nonparametric Bounds Downloads
Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Jason M. Fletcher Jason M. Fletcher, Carlos A. Flores, Alfonso Flores-Lagunes and Hans-Peter Kohler
22-015: Caution and Reference Effects Downloads
Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, David Dillenberger and Pietro Ortoleva
22-014: Substance Abuse during the Pandemic: Implications for Labor-Force Participation Downloads
Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Karen Kopecky
22-013: Economic Theories and Their Dueling Interpretations Downloads
Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelsonl and David Schmeidler
22-012: On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression Downloads
Richard T. Baillie, Francis Diebold, George Kapetanios and Kun Ho Kim
22-011: When Will Arctic Sea Ice Disappear? Projections of Area, Extent, Thickness, and Volume Downloads
Francis Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch, Maximilian Gobel, Philippe Goulet Coulombe and Boyuan Zhang
22-010: (Near) Substitute Preferences and Equilibria with Indivisibilities Downloads
Thành Nguyen and Rakesh Vohra
22-009: Systemic Discrimination: Theory and Measurement Downloads
J. Aislinn Bohren, Peter Hull and Alex Imas
22-008: Economic Theory: Economics, Methods and Methodology Downloads
Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelsonl and David Schmeidler
22-007: Partial Default Downloads
Cristina Arellano, Xavier Mateos-Planas and Jose-Victor Rios-Rull
22-006: Procyclical Productivity in New Keynesian Models Downloads
Zhesheng Qiu and Jose-Victor Rios-Rull
22-005: The Downward Spiral Downloads
Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Karen A. Kopecky
22-004: Private Private Information Downloads
Kevin He, Fedor Sandomirskiy and Omer Tamuz
22-003: Observability, Dominance, and Induction in Learning Models Downloads
Daniel Clark, Drew Fudenberg and Kevin He
22-002: A Benchmark Model for Fixed-Target Arctic Sea Ice Forecasting Downloads
Francis Diebold and Maximilian Gobel
22-001: Real-Time Real Economic Activity:Entering and Exiting the Pandemic Recession of 2020 Downloads
Francis Diebold
21-029: Contagion and Equlilbria in Diversified Financial Networks Downloads
Victor Amelkin, Santosh Venkatesh and Rakesh Vohra
21-028: “Golden Ages”: A Tale of the Labor Markets in China and the United States Downloads
Hanming Fang and Xincheng Qiu
21-027: An Economy of Neural Networks:Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences Downloads
Artem Kuriksha
21-025: Prospering through Prospera: CCT Impacts on Educational Attainment and Achievement in Mexico Downloads
Jere Behrman, Susan Parker, Petra Todd and Weilong Zhang
21-024: Heterogenous Trajectories in Physical, Mental and Cognitive Health among Older Americans: Roles of Genetics and Earlier SES Downloads
Cung Truong Hoang, Vikesh Amin, Jere Behrman, Hans-Peter Kohler and Illiana V. Kohler
21-023: The A?ordable Care Act After a Decade:Its Impact on the Labor Market and the Macro Economy Downloads
Hanming Fang and Dirk Krueger
21-022: Red Scare? A Study of Ethnic Prejudice in the Prosecutions under the Economic Espionage Act Downloads
Hanming Fang and Ming Li
21-021: Aggregative Efficiency of Bayesian Learning in Networks Downloads
Krishna Dasaratha and Kevin He
21-020: Evolutionarily Stable (Mis)specifications:Theory and Applications Downloads
Kevin He and Jonathan Libgober
21-019: A Multi-Agent Model of Misspeci?ed Learning with Overcon?dence Downloads
Cuimin Ba and Alice Gindin
21-018: Robust Model Misspeci?cation and Paradigm Shifts Downloads
Cuimin Ba
21-017: Physician-Induced Demand: Evidence from China’s Drug Price Zero-Markup Policy Downloads
Hanming Fang, Xiaoyan Lei, Julie Shi and Lisa Xuejie Yi
21-016: The Asian Games, Air Pollution and Birth Outcomes in South China: an Instrumental Variable Approach Downloads
Xiaoying Liu, Huazhang Miao, Jere Behrman, Emily Hannum, Zhijiang Liang and Qingguo Zhao
21-015: Fighting COVID-19: Patterns in International Data, Expanded Downloads
Roberto S. Mariano and Suleyman Ozmucur
21-014: Delay the Pension Age or Adjust the Pension Bene?t? Implications for Labor Supply and Individual Welfare in China Downloads
Yuanyuan Deng, Hanming Fang, Katja Hanewald and Shang Wu
21-013: Price Levels, Size, Distribution and Growth of the World Economy: Insights from recent International Comparisons of Prices and Real Product Downloads
Alan Heston and D.S. Prasada Rao
21-012: The Economics of the Public Option:Evidence from Local Pharmaceutical Markets Downloads
Juan Pablo Atal, Jose Ignacio Cuestaann, Felipe González and Cristóbal Otero
21-011: Information Spillovers in Sovereign Debt Markets Downloads
Harold Cole, Daniel Neuhann and Guillermo Ordonez
21-010: Adolescent Cognitive Gender Gaps Reflect Differential Dynamic Associations with Undernutrition and Poverty in Preschool and Preadolescent Ages Downloads
Le Thuc Duc and Jere Behrman
21-009: Cryptocurrencies and All That:Two Ideas from Monetary Economics Downloads
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde
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