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Details about George William Evans

Homepage:https://pages.uoregon.edu/gevans/
Phone:541-346-4662
Postal address:Department of Economics, 1285 University of Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403-1285 USA
Workplace:Department of Economics, University of Oregon, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by George William Evans.

Last updated 2025-03-14. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pev4


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Working Papers

2022

  1. Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy: a Nonlinear Analysis
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020) Downloads

    See also Journal Article EXPECTATIONS, STAGNATION, AND FISCAL POLICY: A NONLINEAR ANALYSIS, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2022) Downloads View citations (5) (2022)

2021

  1. A Unified Model of Learning to Forecast
    Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics Downloads View citations (1)

2019

  1. Are Long-Horizon Expectations (De-)Stabilizing? Theory and Experiments
    Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article Are long-horizon expectations (de-)stabilizing? Theory and experiments, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2022) Downloads View citations (1) (2022)
  2. Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models
    PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL View citations (4)
    Also in PSE Working Papers, HAL (2010) Downloads View citations (1)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2010) Downloads
    Working Papers, HAL (2010) Downloads View citations (1)
    Post-Print, HAL (2019) View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models, The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2019) Downloads View citations (4) (2019)

2017

  1. Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy
    2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2016) Downloads View citations (8)
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2016) Downloads View citations (2)

2016

  1. Revisiting Coase on anticipations and the cobweb model
    Post-Print, HAL
    Also in PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL (2016)

    See also Chapter Revisiting Coase on anticipations and the cobweb model, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2016) Downloads (2016)

2015

  1. Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy
    Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra (2005) Downloads View citations (3)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2001) Downloads View citations (5)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2005) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy, The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter (2007) Downloads View citations (11) (2007)

2013

  1. Are Sunspots Learnable? An Experimental Investigation in a Simple General-Equilibrium Model
    Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada Downloads View citations (15)

2012

  1. Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2012) Downloads
  2. Finite Horizon Learning
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) Downloads View citations (15)
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2010) Downloads
  3. Fiscal Policy and Learning
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2012) Downloads
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2012) Downloads View citations (9)
  4. Liquidity Traps and Expectation Dynamics: Fiscal Stimulus or Fiscal Austerity?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2012) Downloads View citations (3)
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2012) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Liquidity traps and expectation dynamics: Fiscal stimulus or fiscal austerity?, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2014) Downloads View citations (54) (2014)
  5. Policy Change and Learning in the RBC Model
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2011) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Policy change and learning in the RBC model, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2013) Downloads View citations (19) (2013)

2011

  1. Learning as a Rational Foundation for Macroeconomics and Finance
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (16)
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2011) Downloads
  2. Notes on Agents’ Behavioral Rules Under Adaptive Learning and Studies of Monetary Policy
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) Downloads View citations (17)
  3. The Stagnation Regime of the New Keynesian Model and Current US Policy
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2010) Downloads

2010

  1. Does Ricardian Equivalence Hold When Expectations are not Rational?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2010) Downloads
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2010) Downloads View citations (6)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2010) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Does Ricardian Equivalence Hold When Expectations Are Not Rational?, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2012) Downloads View citations (29) (2012)
  2. Expectations, Deflation Traps and Macroeconomic Policy
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2009) Downloads
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009) Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Learning about Risk and Return: A Simple Model of Bubbles and Crashes
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads

    See also Journal Article Learning about Risk and Return: A Simple Model of Bubbles and Crashes, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2011) Downloads View citations (109) (2011)
  4. Monetary Policy and Heterogeneous Expectations
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2010) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article Monetary policy and heterogeneous expectations, Economic Theory, Springer (2011) Downloads View citations (37) (2011)

2009

  1. A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2007) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article A MODEL OF NEAR-RATIONAL EXUBERANCE, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2010) Downloads View citations (18) (2010)

2008

  1. Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (5)
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2007) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article Anticipated fiscal policy and adaptive learning, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2009) Downloads View citations (54) (2009)
  2. Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Rersearch
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (25)
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2007) Downloads View citations (1)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2008) Downloads View citations (21)
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2008) Downloads View citations (22)

    See also Chapter Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Research, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile (2009) Downloads View citations (19) (2009)
  3. Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2005) Downloads View citations (16)
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2005) Downloads View citations (19)
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (17)

    See also Journal Article GENERALIZED STOCHASTIC GRADIENT LEARNING, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2010) View citations (36) (2010)
  4. Learning and Macroeconomics
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Learning and Macroeconomics, Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews (2009) Downloads View citations (67) (2009)
  5. Representations and Sunspot Stability
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article REPRESENTATIONS AND SUNSPOT STABILITY, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2011) Downloads View citations (9) (2011)
  6. Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules
    CDMA Conference Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2007) Downloads View citations (1)
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2008) Downloads View citations (1)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) Downloads

    See also Chapter Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile (2009) Downloads View citations (12) (2009)

2007

  1. Liquidity Traps, Learning and Stagnation
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) Downloads View citations (20)
    Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2007) Downloads View citations (41)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (11)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2007) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Liquidity traps, learning and stagnation, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (66) (2008)
  2. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in 2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2006) Downloads View citations (3)
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2004) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention and the Volatility Trade-off, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2009) View citations (21) (2009)
  3. Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Learning in the Presence of a Liquidity Trap
    IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan Downloads
    See also Journal Article Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Learning in the Presence of a Liquidity Trap, Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan (2008) Downloads (2008)
  4. Monetary policy, judgment and near-rational exuberance
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Monetary Policy, Judgment, and Near-Rational Exuberance, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2008) Downloads View citations (27) (2008)
  5. Policy Interaction, Learning and the Fiscal Theory of Prices
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2002) Downloads View citations (17)
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2002) Downloads

    See also Journal Article POLICY INTERACTION, LEARNING, AND THE FISCAL THEORY OF PRICES, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2007) Downloads View citations (19) (2007)

2006

  1. Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention, and Changes in Monetary Policy
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2006) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Can Perpetual Learning Explain the Forward Premium Puzzle?
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Can perpetual learning explain the forward-premium puzzle?, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (69) (2008)
  3. Implementing Optimal Monetary Policy in New-Keynesian Models with Inertia
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Implementing Optimal Monetary Policy in New-Keynesian Models with Inertia, The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter (2010) Downloads View citations (4) (2010)
  4. Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics (2005) View citations (9)

    See also Journal Article Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2007) Downloads View citations (71) (2007)
  5. Near-Rational Exuberance
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2004) Downloads
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2005) Downloads View citations (4)
    2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2004)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2005) Downloads View citations (10)
  6. Optimal Constrained Interest-rate Rules
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics (2004)

    See also Journal Article Optimal Constrained Interest-Rate Rules, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2007) View citations (13) (2007)
  7. Stable Finite-State Markov Sunspots
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads

2005

  1. A Simple Recursive Forecasting Model
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article A simple recursive forecasting model, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2006) Downloads View citations (192) (2006)
  2. An Interview with Thomas J. Sargent
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (38)
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2005) Downloads
  3. Are Hyperinflationary Paths Learnable?
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
  4. Coordination on Saddle-Path Solutions: The Eductive Viewpoint -- Linear Multivariate Models
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Post-Print, HAL (2005) View citations (17)
    DELTA Working Papers, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure) (2003) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Coordination on saddle-path solutions: the eductive viewpoint--linear multivariate models, Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier (2005) Downloads View citations (26) (2005)
  5. Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies, The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter (2005) Downloads View citations (12) (2005)
  6. Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2002) Downloads View citations (22)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2002) Downloads View citations (12)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2004) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment*, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell (2006) Downloads View citations (130) (2006)
  7. The E-correspondence Principle
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2004) Downloads

    See also Journal Article The E‐Correspondence Principle, Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science (2007) Downloads View citations (2) (2007)

2004

  1. "Adaptive Expectations, Underparameterization and the Lucas Critique
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego (2001) Downloads View citations (12)

    See also Journal Article Adaptive expectations, underparameterization and the Lucas critique, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2006) Downloads View citations (75) (2006)
  2. Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy Design
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2002) Downloads View citations (1)
    Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany (2004) Downloads View citations (5)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2003) Downloads View citations (150)

    See also Journal Article Adaptive learning and monetary policy design, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2003) View citations (147) (2003)
  3. Friedman’s money supply rule vs optimal interest rate policy
    Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2003) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article Friedman's Money Supply Rule vs. Optimal Interest Rate Policy, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society (2003) Downloads View citations (35) (2003)
  4. Intrinsic Heterogeneity in Expectation Formation
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics (2003) View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article Intrinsic heterogeneity in expectation formation, Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier (2006) Downloads View citations (160) (2006)
  5. Monetary Policy and Stable Indeterminacy with Inertia
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Monetary policy and stable indeterminacy with inertia, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2005) Downloads View citations (12) (2005)
  6. Monetary Policy, Indeterminacy and Learning
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2003) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article Monetary policy, indeterminacy and learning, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2005) Downloads View citations (69) (2005)
  7. Policy Interaction, Expectations and the Liquidity Trap
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2003) Downloads View citations (5)
    Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany (2004) Downloads View citations (1)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2003) Downloads View citations (4)
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2003) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Policy Interaction, Expectations and the Liquidity Trap, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2005) Downloads View citations (40) (2005)

2003

  1. Are Stationary Hyperinflation Paths Learnable?
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2003) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Comment on "Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy" by Athanasios Orphanides and John C. Williams
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
  3. Freidman's Money Supply Rule versus Optimal Interest Rate Policy
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (18)
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2003) Downloads
  4. Stable Sunspot Solutions in Models with Predetermined Variables
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Stable sunspot solutions in models with predetermined variables, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2005) Downloads View citations (32) (2005)

2002

  1. Existence of Adaptively Stable Sunspot Equilibria near an Indeterminate Steady State
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2001) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Existence of adaptively stable sunspot equilibria near an indeterminate steady state, Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier (2003) Downloads View citations (15) (2003)
  2. Expectational Stability of Stationary Sunspot Equilibria in a Forward-looking Linear Model
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Expectational stability of stationary sunspot equilibria in a forward-looking linear model, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2003) Downloads View citations (22) (2003)
  3. Stable Noisy K-state Markov Sunspots
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads

2001

  1. Coordination on saddle path solutions: the eductive viewpoint
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
  2. Expectational Stability of Resonant Frequency Sunspot Equilibria
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2001) Downloads View citations (21)
    University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics (2000) View citations (6)
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank (2000) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2003) Downloads View citations (216) (2003)

1999

  1. Coordination on Saddle Path Solutions: the Eductive Viewpoint. 1- Linear Univariate Models
    Working Papers, Laval - Laboratoire Econometrie
    Also in DELTA Working Papers, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure) (1999)

    See also Journal Article COORDINATION ON SADDLE-PATH SOLUTIONS: THE EDUCTIVE VIEWPOINT—LINEAR UNIVARIATE MODELS, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2003) Downloads View citations (20) (2003)

1998

  1. Stochastic Gradient Learning in the Cobweb Model
    University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article Stochastic gradient learning in the cobweb model, Economics Letters, Elsevier (1998) Downloads View citations (20) (1998)

1996

  1. Convergence in Monetary Inflation Models with Heterogeneous Learning Rules
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (23)
    See also Journal Article CONVERGENCE IN MONETARY INFLATION MODELS WITH HETEROGENEOUS LEARNING RULES, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2001) Downloads View citations (66) (2001)
  2. Convergence of Learning Algorithms without a Projection Facility
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Convergence of learning algorithms without a projection facility, Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier (1998) Downloads View citations (14) (1998)
  3. Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 1997, Society for Computational Economics Downloads View citations (57)

    See also Journal Article Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1998) Downloads View citations (71) (1998)
  4. Growth Cycles
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Home Pages, Stanford University Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Growth Cycles, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1998) Downloads View citations (92) (1998)

1994

  1. Information, forecasts and measurement of the business cycle
    ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles View citations (53)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (1993) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article Information, forecasts, and measurement of the business cycle, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1994) Downloads View citations (53) (1994)

1993

  1. Adaptive Forecasts
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (6)

1992

  1. Adaptive Learning and Expectational Stability: An Introduction - (Now published as Ch.4 in 'Learning Rationality in Economics', A Kirman and M Salmon (eds), 1995, Basil Blackwell, Oxford), pp.102-126.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE View citations (2)
  2. Information
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (3)
  3. Local Convergence of Recursive Learning to Steady States and Cycles in Stochastic Nonlinear Models - (Now published in 'Econometrica', vol.63 (1995), pp.195-206.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE
  4. On the Local Stability of Sunspot Equilibria Under Adaptive Learning Rules - (Now published in 'Journal of Economic Theory', vol.64 (1994), pp.142-161.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE
  5. Rationalizability, Strong Rationality and Expectational Stability
    DELTA Working Papers, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure)
    See also Journal Article Rationalizability, Strong Rationality, and Expectational Stability, Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier (1993) Downloads View citations (47) (1993)
  6. Rationalizability, Strong Rationality and Expectational Stability (Now published in Games and Economic Behavior, Special Issue on Learning Dynamics, vol.5 (Oct. 1993), pp.632-646).)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1991

  1. On the Preservation of Deterministic Cycles when some Agents Perceive them to be Random Fluctuations (Now published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol.17 (1993), pp.705-721.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1990

  1. Learning, Convergence, and Stability with Multiple Rational Expectations Equilibria - (Now published in 'European Economic Review', vol.38 (1994), pp.1071-1098.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1989

  1. Expectation Calculation and Macroeconomic Dynamics (Now published in American Economic Review, (March 1992).)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE
  2. On the Robustness of Bubbles in Linear RE Models (Now published in International Economic Review, vol.33, No.1 (1992), pp.1-14.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1988

  1. Calculation Equilibria
    Working Papers, Stanford - Institute for Thoretical Economics

Undated

  1. Asset Return Dynamics and Learning
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article Asset Return Dynamics and Learning, The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies (2010) Downloads View citations (62) (2010)

Journal Articles

2025

  1. Social learning and expectational stability
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2025, 172, (C) Downloads

2022

  1. Are long-horizon expectations (de-)stabilizing? Theory and experiments
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2022, 132, (C), 44-63 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Are Long-Horizon Expectations (De-)Stabilizing? Theory and Experiments, Staff Working Papers (2019) Downloads View citations (11) (2019)
  2. Bounded rationality and unemployment dynamics
    Economics Letters, 2022, 210, (C) Downloads
  3. EXPECTATIONS, STAGNATION, AND FISCAL POLICY: A NONLINEAR ANALYSIS
    International Economic Review, 2022, 63, (3), 1397-1425 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy: a Nonlinear Analysis, Discussion Papers (2022) Downloads View citations (6) (2022)
  4. The RPEs of RBCs and other DSGEs
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2022, 143, (C) Downloads View citations (2)

2021

  1. Learning when to say no
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2021, 194, (C) Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Theories of Learning and Economic Policy
    Revue d'économie politique, 2021, 131, (3), 583-608 Downloads

2020

  1. Are sunspots learnable? An experimental investigation in a simple macroeconomic model
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2020, 110, (C) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Equilibrium stability in a nonlinear cobweb model
    Economics Letters, 2020, 193, (C) Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Stable near-rational sunspot equilibria
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2020, 186, (C) Downloads View citations (4)

2019

  1. Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models
    The Economic Journal, 2019, 129, (618), 821-852 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models, PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) (2019) View citations (4) (2019)
  2. FISCAL POLICY MULTIPLIERS IN AN RBC MODEL WITH LEARNING
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2019, 23, (1), 240-283 Downloads View citations (10)

2018

  1. Equilibrium selection, observability and backward-stable solutions
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2018, 98, (C), 1-10 Downloads View citations (16)
  2. Interest‐Rate Pegs in New Keynesian Models
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2018, 50, (5), 939-965 Downloads View citations (22)

2017

  1. Unstable Inflation Targets
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2017, 49, (4), 767-806 Downloads View citations (12)

2014

  1. Liquidity traps and expectation dynamics: Fiscal stimulus or fiscal austerity?
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, 45, (C), 220-238 Downloads View citations (54)
    See also Working Paper Liquidity Traps and Expectation Dynamics: Fiscal Stimulus or Fiscal Austerity?, NBER Working Papers (2012) Downloads View citations (3) (2012)

2013

  1. Bubbles, crashes and risk
    Economics Letters, 2013, 120, (2), 254-258 Downloads View citations (6)
  2. E-stability in the stochastic Ramsey model
    Economics Letters, 2013, 118, (2), 407-410 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Policy change and learning in the RBC model
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2013, 37, (10), 1947-1971 Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper Policy Change and Learning in the RBC Model, CEPR Discussion Papers (2012) Downloads (2012)

2012

  1. Comment
    NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2012, 26, (1), 61 - 71 Downloads
  2. Does Ricardian Equivalence Hold When Expectations Are Not Rational?
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2012, 44, (7), 1259-1283 Downloads View citations (29)
    Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2012, 44, (7), 1259-1283 (2012) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Working Paper Does Ricardian Equivalence Hold When Expectations are not Rational?, CEPR Discussion Papers (2010) Downloads View citations (5) (2010)

2011

  1. Learning about Risk and Return: A Simple Model of Bubbles and Crashes
    American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2011, 3, (3), 159-91 Downloads View citations (109)
    See also Working Paper Learning about Risk and Return: A Simple Model of Bubbles and Crashes, SIRE Discussion Papers (2010) Downloads View citations (6) (2010)
  2. Monetary policy and heterogeneous expectations
    Economic Theory, 2011, 47, (2), 365-393 Downloads View citations (37)
    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy and Heterogeneous Expectations, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2010) Downloads (2010)
  3. REPRESENTATIONS AND SUNSPOT STABILITY
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2011, 15, (1), 80-92 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Representations and Sunspot Stability, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2008) Downloads (2008)

2010

  1. A MODEL OF NEAR-RATIONAL EXUBERANCE
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2010, 14, (2), 166-188 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance, SIRE Discussion Papers (2009) Downloads View citations (1) (2009)
  2. Asset Return Dynamics and Learning
    The Review of Financial Studies, 2010, 23, (4), 1651-1680 Downloads View citations (62)
    See also Working Paper Asset Return Dynamics and Learning, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers Downloads
  3. Corrigendum: Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2010, 112, (3), 640-641 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. GENERALIZED STOCHASTIC GRADIENT LEARNING
    International Economic Review, 2010, 51, (1), 237-262 View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2008) Downloads View citations (1) (2008)
  5. Implementing Optimal Monetary Policy in New-Keynesian Models with Inertia
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2010, 10, (1), 25 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Implementing Optimal Monetary Policy in New-Keynesian Models with Inertia, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2006) Downloads (2006)

2009

  1. Anticipated fiscal policy and adaptive learning
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2009, 56, (7), 930-953 Downloads View citations (54)
    See also Working Paper Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2008) Downloads (2008)
  2. Learning and Macroeconomics
    Annual Review of Economics, 2009, 1, (1), 421-451 Downloads View citations (67)
    See also Working Paper Learning and Macroeconomics, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2008) Downloads (2008)
  3. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention and the Volatility Trade-off
    Economic Journal, 2009, 119, (534), 123-157 View citations (21)
    Also in Economic Journal, 2009, 119, (534), 123-157 (2009) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2007) Downloads (2007)

2008

  1. Can perpetual learning explain the forward-premium puzzle?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008, 55, (3), 477-490 Downloads View citations (69)
    See also Working Paper Can Perpetual Learning Explain the Forward Premium Puzzle?, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2006) Downloads View citations (1) (2006)
  2. Liquidity traps, learning and stagnation
    European Economic Review, 2008, 52, (8), 1438-1463 Downloads View citations (66)
    See also Working Paper Liquidity Traps, Learning and Stagnation, Kiel Working Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (20) (2007)
  3. Monetary Policy, Judgment, and Near-Rational Exuberance
    American Economic Review, 2008, 98, (3), 1163-77 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper Monetary policy, judgment and near-rational exuberance, Working Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (6) (2007)
  4. Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Learning in the Presence of a Liquidity Trap
    Monetary and Economic Studies, 2008, 26, 59-86 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Learning in the Presence of a Liquidity Trap, IMES Discussion Paper Series (2007) Downloads (2007)

2007

  1. Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2007, 10, (2), 207-237 Downloads View citations (71)
    See also Working Paper Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2006) Downloads (2006)
  2. Optimal Constrained Interest-Rate Rules
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2007, 39, (6), 1335-1356 View citations (13)
    Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2007, 39, (6), 1335-1356 (2007) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Working Paper Optimal Constrained Interest-rate Rules, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2006) Downloads (2006)
  3. POLICY INTERACTION, LEARNING, AND THE FISCAL THEORY OF PRICES
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2007, 11, (5), 665-690 Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper Policy Interaction, Learning and the Fiscal Theory of Prices, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2007) Downloads (2007)
  4. Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2007, 7, (1), 38 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy, Working Papers (2015) Downloads View citations (3) (2015)
  5. The E‐Correspondence Principle
    Economica, 2007, 74, (293), 33-50 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper The E-correspondence Principle, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2005) Downloads (2005)

2006

  1. A simple recursive forecasting model
    Economics Letters, 2006, 91, (2), 158-166 Downloads View citations (192)
    See also Working Paper A Simple Recursive Forecasting Model, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2005) Downloads (2005)
  2. Adaptive expectations, underparameterization and the Lucas critique
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2006, 53, (2), 249-264 Downloads View citations (75)
    See also Working Paper "Adaptive Expectations, Underparameterization and the Lucas Critique, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2004) Downloads (2004)
  3. Are hyperinflation paths learnable?
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2006, 30, (12), 2725-2748 Downloads View citations (37)
  4. Intrinsic heterogeneity in expectation formation
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2006, 127, (1), 264-295 Downloads View citations (160)
    See also Working Paper Intrinsic Heterogeneity in Expectation Formation, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2004) Downloads (2004)
  5. Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment*
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2006, 108, (1), 15-38 Downloads View citations (130)
    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2005) Downloads (2005)

2005

  1. Coordination on saddle-path solutions: the eductive viewpoint--linear multivariate models
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2005, 124, (2), 202-229 Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper Coordination on Saddle-Path Solutions: The Eductive Viewpoint -- Linear Multivariate Models, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2005) Downloads (2005)
  2. Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2005, 5, (1), 46 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2005) Downloads (2005)
  3. Monetary policy and stable indeterminacy with inertia
    Economics Letters, 2005, 87, (1), 1-7 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy and Stable Indeterminacy with Inertia, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2004) Downloads (2004)
  4. Monetary policy, indeterminacy and learning
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 1809-1840 Downloads View citations (69)
    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy, Indeterminacy and Learning, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2004) Downloads (2004)
  5. Policy Interaction, Expectations and the Liquidity Trap
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 303-323 Downloads View citations (40)
    See also Working Paper Policy Interaction, Expectations and the Liquidity Trap, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2004) Downloads (2004)
  6. Stable sunspot solutions in models with predetermined variables
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (4), 601-625 Downloads View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper Stable Sunspot Solutions in Models with Predetermined Variables, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2003) Downloads (2003)
  7. The design of monetary and fiscal policy: a global perspective - comments
    Proceedings, 2005 Downloads View citations (4)

2003

  1. Adaptive learning and monetary policy design
    Proceedings, 2003, 1045-1084 View citations (147)
    See also Working Paper Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy Design, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2004) Downloads (2004)
  2. COORDINATION ON SADDLE-PATH SOLUTIONS: THE EDUCTIVE VIEWPOINT—LINEAR UNIVARIATE MODELS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2003, 7, (1), 42-62 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper Coordination on Saddle Path Solutions: the Eductive Viewpoint. 1- Linear Univariate Models, Working Papers (1999) (1999)
  3. Existence of adaptively stable sunspot equilibria near an indeterminate steady state
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2003, 111, (1), 125-134 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Existence of Adaptively Stable Sunspot Equilibria near an Indeterminate Steady State, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2002) Downloads (2002)
  4. Expectational stability of stationary sunspot equilibria in a forward-looking linear model
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2003, 28, (1), 171-181 Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper Expectational Stability of Stationary Sunspot Equilibria in a Forward-looking Linear Model, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2002) Downloads (2002)
  5. Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies
    The Review of Economic Studies, 2003, 70, (4), 807-824 Downloads View citations (216)
    See also Working Paper Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies, University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers (2001) Downloads (2001)
  6. Friedman's Money Supply Rule vs. Optimal Interest Rate Policy
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2003, 50, (5), 550-566 Downloads View citations (35)
    See also Working Paper Friedman’s money supply rule vs optimal interest rate policy, Macroeconomics (2004) Downloads (2004)

2001

  1. CONVERGENCE IN MONETARY INFLATION MODELS WITH HETEROGENEOUS LEARNING RULES
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2001, 5, (1), 1-31 Downloads View citations (66)
    See also Working Paper Convergence in Monetary Inflation Models with Heterogeneous Learning Rules, CEPR Discussion Papers (1996) Downloads View citations (23) (1996)
  2. Expectations in Macroeconomics Adaptive versus Eductive Learning
    Revue économique, 2001, 52, (3), 573-582 Downloads View citations (281)
    Also in Revue Économique, 2001, 52, (3), 573-582 (2001) Downloads View citations (280)

2000

  1. Convergence for difference equations with vanishing time-dependence, with applications to adaptive learning
    Economic Theory, 2000, 15, (3), 717-725 Downloads View citations (9)

1998

  1. CALCULATION, ADAPTATION AND RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1998, 2, (2), 156-182 Downloads View citations (21)
  2. Convergence of learning algorithms without a projection facility
    Journal of Mathematical Economics, 1998, 30, (1), 59-86 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper Convergence of Learning Algorithms without a Projection Facility, CESifo Working Paper Series (1996) Downloads View citations (1) (1996)
  3. Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1998, 65, (1), 23-44 Downloads View citations (71)
    See also Working Paper Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results, CESifo Working Paper Series (1996) Downloads View citations (2) (1996)
  4. Growth Cycles
    American Economic Review, 1998, 88, (3), 495-515 Downloads View citations (92)
    See also Working Paper Growth Cycles, NBER Working Papers (1996) Downloads View citations (4) (1996)
  5. Stochastic gradient learning in the cobweb model
    Economics Letters, 1998, 61, (3), 333-337 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper Stochastic Gradient Learning in the Cobweb Model, University of Helsinki, Department of Economics (1998) View citations (17) (1998)

1996

  1. Least squares learning with heterogeneous expectations
    Economics Letters, 1996, 53, (2), 197-201 Downloads View citations (18)

1995

  1. Local Convergence of Recursive Learning to Steady States and Cycles in Stochastic Nonlinear Models
    Econometrica, 1995, 63, (1), 195-206 Downloads View citations (51)

1994

  1. Convergence of least squares learning to a non-stationary equilibrium
    Economics Letters, 1994, 46, (2), 131-136 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Information, forecasts, and measurement of the business cycle
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1994, 33, (2), 233-254 Downloads View citations (53)
    See also Working Paper Information, forecasts and measurement of the business cycle, ULB Institutional Repository (1994) View citations (53) (1994)
  3. Learning, convergence, and stability with multiple rational expectations equilibria
    European Economic Review, 1994, 38, (5), 1071-1098 Downloads View citations (37)
  4. On the Local Stability of Sunspot Equilibria under Adaptive Learning Rules
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1994, 64, (1), 142-161 Downloads View citations (47)

1993

  1. Adaptive forecasts, hysteresis, and endogenous fluctuations
    Economic Review, 1993, 3-13 Downloads View citations (27)
  2. Learning and economic fluctuations: Using fiscal policy to steer expectations
    European Economic Review, 1993, 37, (2-3), 595-602 Downloads View citations (3)
  3. On the preservation of deterministic cycles when some agents perceive them to be random fluctuations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1993, 17, (5-6), 705-721 Downloads View citations (15)
  4. Rationalizability, Strong Rationality, and Expectational Stability
    Games and Economic Behavior, 1993, 5, (4), 632-646 Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper Rationalizability, Strong Rationality and Expectational Stability, DELTA Working Papers (1992) (1992)
  5. Sectoral Imbalance and Unemployment in the United Kingdom: 1963-84
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1993, 45, (3), 440-56 Downloads View citations (4)

1992

  1. Expectation Calculation and Macroeconomic Dynamics
    American Economic Review, 1992, 82, (1), 207-24 Downloads View citations (98)
  2. On the Robustness of Bubbles in Linear RE Models
    International Economic Review, 1992, 33, (1), 1-14 Downloads View citations (35)

1991

  1. Pitfalls in Testing for Explosive Bubbles in Asset Prices
    American Economic Review, 1991, 81, (4), 922-30 Downloads View citations (421)

1989

  1. A measure of the U.S. output gap
    Economics Letters, 1989, 29, (4), 285-289 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Output and Unemployment Dynamics in the United States: 1950-1985
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1989, 4, (3), 213-37 Downloads View citations (59)
  3. The Conduct of Monetary Policy and the Natural Rate of Unemployment: A Note
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1989, 21, (4), 498-507 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. The fragility of sunspots and bubbles
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1989, 23, (2), 297-317 Downloads View citations (50)

1987

  1. The structure of ARMA solutions to a general linear model with rational expectations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1987, 11, (1), 79-91 Downloads

1986

  1. A Complete Characterization of ARMA Solutions to Linear Rational Expectations Models
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1986, 53, (2), 227-239 Downloads View citations (18)
  2. A Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Sterling-Dollar Exchange Rate: 1981-84
    American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (4), 621-36 Downloads View citations (53)
  3. Selection criteria for models with non-uniqueness
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1986, 18, (2), 147-157 Downloads View citations (46)

1985

  1. Bottlenecks and the Phillips Curve: A Disaggregated Keynesian Model of Inflation, Output, and Unemployment
    Economic Journal, 1985, 95, (378), 345-57 Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Expectational Stability and the Multiple Equilibria Problem in Linear Rational Expectations Models
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (4), 1217-1233 Downloads View citations (89)

1984

  1. Tests for Rationality of the Carlson-Parkin Inflation Expectations Data
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1984, 46, (1), 1-19 View citations (20)

Chapters

2016

  1. Revisiting Coase on anticipations and the cobweb model
    Chapter 5 in The Elgar Companion to Ronald H. Coase, 2016, pp 51-67 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Revisiting Coase on anticipations and the cobweb model, HAL (2016) (2016)

2011

  1. Comment on "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing"
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011, Volume 26, 2011, pp 61-71 Downloads View citations (2)

2009

  1. Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Research
    Chapter 2 in Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, 2009, vol. 13, pp 027-076 Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Rersearch, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) Downloads View citations (25) (2008)
  2. Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules
    Chapter 5 in Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, 2009, vol. 13, pp 145-170 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis (2008) Downloads (2008)

1999

  1. Learning dynamics
    Chapter 07 in Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1999, vol. 1, Part A, pp 449-542 Downloads View citations (83)
 
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