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Details about Tucker Sprague McElroy

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Workplace:Census Bureau, Department of Commerce, Government of the United States, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Tucker Sprague McElroy.

Last updated 2022-10-31. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pmc150


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Working Papers

2017

  1. Labor Reallocation, Employment, and Earnings: Vector Autoregression Evidence
    Working Papers, U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies Downloads
    See also Journal Article Labor Reallocation, Employment, and Earnings: Vector Autoregression Evidence, LABOUR, CEIS (2019) Downloads View citations (2) (2019)

2013

  1. Spectral Density and Spectral Distribution Inference for Long Memory Time Series via Fixed-b Asymptotics
    University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego Downloads
    See also Journal Article Spectral density and spectral distribution inference for long memory time series via fixed-b asymptotics, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2014) Downloads View citations (6) (2014)

2012

  1. Distribution Theory for the Studentized Mean for Long, Short, and Negative Memory Time Series
    University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego Downloads View citations (14)
    Also in University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego (2011) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Distribution theory for the studentized mean for long, short, and negative memory time series, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2013) Downloads View citations (4) (2013)
  2. Multi-step ahead forecasting of vector time series
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Multistep ahead forecasting of vector time series, Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017) Downloads View citations (2) (2017)
  3. Signal extraction for nonstationary multivariate time series with illustrations for trend inflation
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Signal Extraction for Non-Stationary Multivariate Time Series with Illustrations for Trend Inflation, Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell (2015) Downloads View citations (3) (2015)

2009

  1. Fixed-b asymptotics for the studentized mean from time series with short, long or negative memory
    University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article FIXED-B ASYMPTOTICS FOR THE STUDENTIZED MEAN FROM TIME SERIES WITH SHORT, LONG, OR NEGATIVE MEMORY, Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press (2012) Downloads View citations (14) (2012)

2007

  1. Continuous time extraction of a nonstationary signal with illustrations in continuous low-pass and band-pass filtering
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (2)

Journal Articles

2023

  1. Identification of the differencing operator of a non-stationary time series via testing for zeroes in the spectral density
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2023, 177, (C) Downloads View citations (1)

2022

  1. A Review of Seasonal Adjustment Diagnostics
    International Statistical Review, 2022, 90, (2), 259-284 Downloads
  2. Assessing Residual Seasonality in the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts Aggregates
    Journal of Official Statistics, 2022, 38, (2), 399-428 Downloads
  3. Model identification via total Frobenius norm of multivariate spectra
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, 2022, 84, (2), 473-495 Downloads
  4. Optimal linear interpolation of multiple missing values
    Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 2022, 25, (3), 471-483 Downloads
  5. The Term Structure of Uncertainty: New Evidence from Survey Expectations
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2022, 54, (1), 39-71 Downloads View citations (3)

2021

  1. A Diagnostic for Seasonality Based Upon Polynomial Roots of ARMA Models
    Journal of Official Statistics, 2021, 37, (2), 367-394 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Nonlinear prediction via Hermite transformation
    Statistical Theory and Related Fields, 2021, 5, (1), 49-54 Downloads

2020

  1. Expectation Formation Following Large, Unexpected Shocks
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 102, (2), 287-303 Downloads View citations (37)
  2. The Multivariate Linear Prediction Problem: Model-Based and Direct Filtering Solutions
    Econometrics and Statistics, 2020, 14, (C), 112-130 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Time Series Seasonal Adjustment Using Regularized Singular Value Decomposition
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2020, 38, (3), 487-501 Downloads View citations (5)

2019

  1. Labor Reallocation, Employment, and Earnings: Vector Autoregression Evidence
    LABOUR, 2019, 33, (4), 463-487 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Labor Reallocation, Employment, and Earnings: Vector Autoregression Evidence, Working Papers (2017) Downloads (2017)
  2. Subsampling Inference for the Autocorrelations of GARCH Processes
    Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2019, 17, (3), 495-515 Downloads
  3. Testing collinearity of vector time series
    The Econometrics Journal, 2019, 22, (2), 97-116 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. The trilemma between accuracy, timeliness and smoothness in real-time signal extraction
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (3), 1072-1084 Downloads View citations (2)

2018

  1. Recursive Computation for Block†Nested Covariance Matrices
    Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2018, 39, (3), 299-312 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Seasonal adjustment subject to accounting constraints
    Statistica Neerlandica, 2018, 72, (4), 574-589 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. The Inverse Kullback–Leibler Method for Fitting Vector Moving Averages
    Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2018, 39, (2), 172-191 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. The multivariate bullwhip effect
    European Journal of Operational Research, 2018, 267, (1), 96-106 Downloads View citations (5)

2017

  1. Computation of vector ARMA autocovariances
    Statistics & Probability Letters, 2017, 124, (C), 92-96 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Multistep ahead forecasting of vector time series
    Econometric Reviews, 2017, 36, (5), 495-513 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Multi-step ahead forecasting of vector time series, Working Papers (2012) Downloads View citations (3) (2012)
  3. Multivariate Seasonal Adjustment, Economic Identities, and Seasonal Taxonomy
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2017, 35, (4), 611-625 Downloads View citations (8)
  4. Signal Extraction for Nonstationary Time Series with Diverse Sampling Rules
    Journal of Time Series Econometrics, 2017, 9, (1), 37 Downloads
  5. Signal extraction goodness-of-fit diagnostic tests under model parameter uncertainty: Formulations and empirical evaluation
    Econometric Reviews, 2017, 36, (4), 447-467 Downloads View citations (2)
  6. Time Series Econometrics Klaus Neusser Springer International Publishing, 2016, xxiv + 409 pages, £99.00, hardcover ISBN: 978-3-319-32861-4
    International Statistical Review, 2017, 85, (1), 181-183 Downloads

2016

  1. Computation of the autocovariances for time series with multiple long-range persistencies
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2016, 101, (C), 44-56 Downloads View citations (13)
  2. Corrigendum to ‘Subsampling Inference for the Mean of Heavy-Tailed Long-Memory Time Series’ by A. Jach, T. S. McElroy and D. N. Politis
    Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2016, 37, (5), 713-720 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Hermite expansion and estimation of monotonic transformations of Gaussian data
    Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 2016, 28, (1), 207-234 Downloads
  4. Nonnested model comparisons for time series
    Biometrika, 2016, 103, (4), 905-914 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Optimal Real-Time Filters for Linear Prediction Problems
    Journal of Time Series Econometrics, 2016, 8, (2), 155-192 Downloads View citations (1)

2015

  1. Model Estimation, Prediction, and Signal Extraction for Nonstationary Stock and Flow Time Series Observed at Mixed Frequencies
    Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2015, 110, (511), 1284-1303 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Signal Extraction for Non-Stationary Multivariate Time Series with Illustrations for Trend Inflation
    Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2015, 36, (2), 209-227 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Signal extraction for nonstationary multivariate time series with illustrations for trend inflation, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2012) Downloads View citations (4) (2012)
  3. When are Direct Multi‐step and Iterative Forecasts Identical?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 34, (4), 315-336 Downloads View citations (2)

2014

  1. Optimal Signal Extraction with Correlated Components
    Journal of Time Series Econometrics, 2014, 6, (2), 237-273 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Spectral density and spectral distribution inference for long memory time series via fixed-b asymptotics
    Journal of Econometrics, 2014, 182, (1), 211-225 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper Spectral Density and Spectral Distribution Inference for Long Memory Time Series via Fixed-b Asymptotics, University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series (2013) Downloads (2013)

2013

  1. Distribution theory for the studentized mean for long, short, and negative memory time series
    Journal of Econometrics, 2013, 177, (1), 60-74 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Distribution Theory for the Studentized Mean for Long, Short, and Negative Memory Time Series, University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series (2012) Downloads View citations (14) (2012)
  2. Forecasting continuous-time processes with applications to signal extraction
    Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 2013, 65, (3), 439-456 Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Multi-step-ahead estimation of time series models
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 29, (3), 378-394 Downloads View citations (5)

2012

  1. A Review of Some Modern Approaches to the Problem of Trend Extraction
    Econometric Reviews, 2012, 31, (6), 593-624 Downloads View citations (26)
  2. FIXED-B ASYMPTOTICS FOR THE STUDENTIZED MEAN FROM TIME SERIES WITH SHORT, LONG, OR NEGATIVE MEMORY
    Econometric Theory, 2012, 28, (2), 471-481 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper Fixed-b asymptotics for the studentized mean from time series with short, long or negative memory, University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series (2009) Downloads View citations (9) (2009)
  3. Subsampling inference for the autocovariances and autocorrelations of long-memory heavy- tailed linear time series
    Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2012, 33, (6), 935-953 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Subsampling inference for the mean of heavy‐tailed long‐memory time series
    Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2012, 33, (1), 96-111 Downloads View citations (10)
  5. Tail index estimation in the presence of long-memory dynamics
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2012, 56, (2), 266-282 Downloads View citations (2)
  6. The perils of inferring serial dependence from sample autocorrelations of moving average series
    Statistics & Probability Letters, 2012, 82, (9), 1632-1636 Downloads

2011

  1. A nonparametric method for asymmetrically extending signal extraction filters
    Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 30, (7), 597-621 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. On the Discretization of Continuous-Time Filters for Nonstationary Stock and Flow Time Series
    Econometric Reviews, 2011, 30, (5), 475-513 Downloads View citations (3)

2010

  1. A Nonlinear Algorithm for Seasonal Adjustment in Multiplicative Component Decompositions
    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2010, 14, (4), 23 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Signal Extraction Revision Variances as a Goodness-of-Fit Measure
    Journal of Time Series Econometrics, 2010, 2, (1), 32 Downloads View citations (3)

2009

  1. A local spectral approach for assessing time series model misspecification
    Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 2009, 100, (4), 604-621 Downloads View citations (3)

2008

  1. Exact formulas for the Hodrick-Prescott filter
    Econometrics Journal, 2008, 11, (1), 209-217 View citations (28)
  2. MATRIX FORMULAS FOR NONSTATIONARY ARIMA SIGNAL EXTRACTION
    Econometric Theory, 2008, 24, (4), 988-1009 Downloads View citations (27)

2006

  1. An iterated parametric approach to nonstationary signal extraction
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2006, 50, (9), 2206-2231 Downloads View citations (8)

2002

  1. ROBUST INFERENCE FOR THE MEAN IN THE PRESENCE OF SERIAL CORRELATION AND HEAVY-TAILED DISTRIBUTIONS
    Econometric Theory, 2002, 18, (5), 1019-1039 Downloads View citations (3)
 
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