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Working Papers

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2019: ECB, BoE and Fed Monetary-Policy announcements: price and volume effects on European securities markets Downloads
Eurico Ferreira and Ana Paula Serra
2019: Monthly Forecasting of GDP with Mixed Frequency Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis Downloads
António Rua, Hossein Hassani, Emmanuel Sirimal Silva and Dimitrios Thomakos
2019: Testing for breaks in the cointegrating relationship: On the stability of government bond markets’ equilibrium Downloads
Paulo Rodrigues, Philipp Sibbertsen and Michelle Voges
2019: The Neutrality of Nominal Rates: How Long is the Long Run? Downloads
João Ritto, João Valle e Azevedo and Pedro Teles
2019: Euro area fiscal policy changes: stylised features of the past two decades Downloads
Cláudia Braz and Nicolas Carnot
2019: A reexamination of inflation persistence dynamics in OECD countries: A new approach Downloads
Paulo Rodrigues, Gabriel Zsurkis and João Nicolau
2019: Into the heterogeneities in the Portuguese labour market: an empirical assessment Downloads
Fernando Martins and Domingos Seward
2019: The new ESCB methodology for the calculation of cyclically adjusted budget balances: an application to the Portuguese case Downloads
Cláudia Braz, Maria Campos and Sharmin Sazedj
2019: Testing for Episodic Predictability in Stock Returns Downloads
Paulo Rodrigues, Matei Demetrescu, Iliyan Georgiev and Robert Taylor
2019: Modelling the Demand for Euro Banknotes Downloads
António Rua
2019: What is the Impact of Increased Business Competition? Downloads
Sónia Félix and Chiara Maggi
2019: Vocational high school graduate wage gap: the role of cognitive skills and firms Downloads
Hugo Reis, Joop Hartog and Pedro Raposo
2019: How Responsive are Wages to Demand within the Firm? Evidence from Idiosyncratic Export Demand Shocks Downloads
Andrew Garin and Filipe Silvério
2019: The transmission of unconventional monetary policy to bank credit supply: evidence from the TLTRO Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Joana Sousa-Leite
2019: Economic consequences of high public debt and challenges ahead for the euro area Downloads
Maria Campos, Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Pascal Jacquinot, Pablo Burriel and Francesco Caprioli
2019: Sovereign exposures in the Portuguese banking system: evidence from an original dataset Downloads
Maria Campos, Ana Rita Mateus and Álvaro Pina
2019: A tentative exploration of the effects of Brexit on foreign direct investment vis-à-vis the United Kingdom Downloads
Ana de Almeida, Duncan Van Limbergen, Marco Hoeberichts and Teresa Sastre
2019: The Deepening of the Economic and Monetary Union Downloads
Cláudia Braz, João Amador and João Valle e Azevedo
2018: Credit Subsidies Downloads
Isabel Horta Correia, Pedro Teles, Fiorella De Fiore and Oreste Tristani
2018: Does domestic demand matter for firms’ exports? Downloads
António Rua, Paulo Esteves and Miguel Portela
2018: Bank credit allocation and productivity: stylised facts for Portugal Downloads
Nuno Azevedo, Márcio Mateus and Álvaro Pina
2018: Bank shocks and firm performance: New evidence from the sovereign debt crisis Downloads
Luísa Farinha, Marina-Eliza Spaliara and Serafeim Tsoukas
2018: Exploring the implications of different loan-to-value macroprudential policy designs Downloads
Sandra Gomes, Rita Basto and Diana Lima
2018: A General Equilibrium Theory of Occupational Choice under Optimistic Beliefs about Entrepreneurial Ability Downloads
Luca David Opromolla, Michele Dell'Era and Luis Santos-Pinto
2018: CEO Performance in Severe Crises: The Role of Newcomers Downloads
João Amador, Sharmin Sazedj and Jose Tavares
2018: Thirty Years of Economic Growth in Africa Downloads
António Santos and João Amador
2018: To Ask or Not To Ask? Collateral versus Screening in Lending Relationships Downloads
Sudipto Karmakar, Artashes Karapetyan and Hans Degryse
2018: Every cloud has a silver lining: micro-level evidence on the cleansing effects of the portuguese financial crisis Downloads
Carlos Marques and Daniel Dias
2018: Testing the fractionally integrated hypothesis using M estimation: With an application to stock market volatility Downloads
Paulo Rodrigues, Matei Demetrescu and Antonio Rubia
2018: When losses turn into loans: the cost of undercapitalized banks Downloads
Luísa Farinha, Francisca Rebelo and Laura Blattner
2018: Cross-border spillovers of monetary policy: what changes during a financial crisis? Downloads
Diana Bonfim, Luciana Barbosa, Sónia Costa and Mary Everett
2018: Structural Changes in the Duration of Bull Markets and Business Cycle Dynamics Downloads
Paulo Rodrigues, João Cruz and João Nicolau
2018: An integrated financial amplifier: the role of defaulted loans and occasionally binding constraints in output fluctuations Downloads
José Maria and Paulo Júlio
2018: Collateral Damage? Labour Market Effects of Competing with China - at Home and Abroad Downloads
Sonia Cabral, Pedro Martins, João Pereira dos Santos and Mariana Tavares
2018: Fear the walking dead: zombie firms, spillovers and exit barriers Downloads
Ana Fontoura Gouveia and Christian Osterhold
2018: International trade in services: Evidence for Portuguese firms Downloads
João Amador, Sonia Cabral and Birgitte Ringstad
2018: The effects of official and unofficial information on tax compliance Downloads
Luca David Opromolla, Filomena Garcia, Andrea Vezzulli and Rafael Marques
2018: Flexible wage components as a source of wage adaptability to shocks:evidence from European firms, 2010–2013 Downloads
Fernando Martins, Jan Babecký, Clémence Berson, Ludmila Fadejeva, Ana Lamo, Petra Marotzke and Paweł Strzelecki
2018: Did recent reforms facilitate EU labour market adjustment? Firm level evidence Downloads
Fernando Martins, Mario Izquierdo, Theodora Kosma, Ana Lamo and Simon Savsek
2018: Real Effects of Financial Distress: The Role of Heterogeneity Downloads
Sudipto Karmakar and Francisco Buera
2018: The returns to schooling unveiled Downloads
Hugo Reis, Paulo Guimaraes, Pedro Portugal and Ana Rute Cardoso
2018: The Effect of Firm Cash Holdings on Monetary Policy Downloads
Bernardino Adão and Andre Silva
2018: Sub-Optimality of the Friedman Rule with Distorting Taxes Downloads
Bernardino Adão and Andre Silva
2018: Are asset price data informative about news shocks? A DSGE perspective Downloads
Nikolay Iskrev
2018: Calibration and the estimation of macroeconomic models Downloads
Nikolay Iskrev
2017: Goods and Factor Market Integration: A Quantitative Assessment of the EU Enlargement Downloads
Luca David Opromolla, Lorenzo Caliendo, Fernando Parro and Alessandro Sforza
2017: A Theory of Government Bailouts in a Heterogeneous Banking System Downloads
Ettore Panetti and Filomena Garcia
2017: The Portuguese post-2008 period: A narrative from an estimated DSGE model Downloads
José Maria and Paulo Júlio
2017: Entrepreneurial Risk and Diversification through Trade Downloads
Federico Esposito
2017: Banks’ Liquidity Management and Systemic Risk Downloads
Ettore Panetti and Luca G. Deidda
2017: Inefficiency Distribution of the European Banking System Downloads
João Gouveia-Oliveira
2017: Boom, Slump, Sudden stops, Recovery, and Policy Options. Portugal and the Euro Downloads
Pedro Portugal and Olivier Blanchard
2017: Modelling currency demand in a small open economy within a monetary union Downloads
António Rua
2017: Impact of uncertainty measures on the Portuguese economy Downloads
Cristina Manteu and Sara Serra
2017: Lending relationships and the real economy: evidence in the context of the euro area sovereign debt crisis Downloads
Luciana Barbosa
2017: Who's who in global value chains? A weighted network approach Downloads
João Amador, Sonia Cabral, Rossana Mastrandrea and Franco Ruzzenenti
2017: Disentangling the channels from birthdate to educational attainment Downloads
Luís Martins and Manuel Pereira
2017: International Banking and Cross-border Effects of Regulation: Lessons from Portugal Downloads
Diana Bonfim and Sónia Costa
2017: Labor market imperfections and the firm’s wage setting policy Downloads
Pedro Portugal and Sónia Félix
2017: Zooming the Ins and Outs of the U.S. Unemployment Downloads
António Rua and Pedro Portugal
2017: Upward Nominal Wage Rigidity Downloads
Fernando Martins, Paulo Guimaraes and Pedro Portugal
2017: The Diffusion of Knowledge via Managers' Mobility Downloads
Luca David Opromolla, Giordano Mion and Alessandro Sforza
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