Details about Philip Garcia
Access statistics for papers by Philip Garcia.
Last updated 2018-11-13. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pga1003
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Working Papers
2018
- Estimating Cost of Volatility Risk in Agricultural Commodity Markets
2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
2017
- Measuring Price Discovery between Nearby and Deferred Contracts in Storable and Non-Storable Commodity Futures Markets
Papers, arXiv.org View citations (3)
2016
- Does the Boxed Beef Price Inform the Live Cattle Futures Price?
2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
- GMO Contamination Price Effects in the U.S. Corn Market: StarLink and MIR162
2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
- Intraday Market Effects in Electronic Soybean Futures Market during Non-Trading and Trading Hour Announcements
2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association 
See also Journal Article Intraday market effects in electronic soybean futures market during non-trading and trading hour announcements, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2018) View citations (9) (2018)
- The Electronic Live Cattle Futures Market Bid Ask Spread Behaviors and Components
2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
2013
- Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (28)
See also Chapter Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2014) View citations (10) (2014)
- Dissecting Corn Price Movements with Directed Acyclic Graphs
2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
- Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies
Economic Information Bulletin, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (18)
2012
- Intraday Bid Ask Spread Variation in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market
2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
- Measuring Risk Attitude and Relation to Marketing Behavior
2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
2011
- Accounting for Heterogeneity in Hedging Behavior: Comparing & Evaluating Grouping Methods
2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland, European Association of Agricultural Economists
- Forecasting Corn Futures Volatility in the Presence of Long Memory, Seasonality and Structural Change
2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
- Risk Attitude & the Structure of Decision Making: Evidence from the Hog Industry
2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
2010
- Evolving Market Performance in Brazilian Futures Contracts Using Relative Efficiency
2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
- Purpose and potential for commodity exchanges in African economies
IFPRI discussion papers, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) View citations (9)
2009
- Bid-Ask Spreads, Volume, and Volatility: Evidence from Livestock Markets
2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association 
See also Journal Article Bid-Ask Spreads, Volume, and Volatility: Evidence from Livestock Markets, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2010) View citations (13) (2010)
- Do Composite Procedures Really Improve the Accuracy of Outlook Forecasts?
2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (1)
- Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting
2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management 
See also Journal Article Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association (2011) View citations (4) (2011)
- Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions
Marketing and Outlook Research Reports, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics View citations (12)
- The Effect of Prior Gains and Losses on Current Risk-Taking Using Quantile Regression
2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (1)
2008
- Cash Settlement of Lean Hog Futures Contracts Reexamined
2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (1)
- Do Transaction Costs and Risk Preferences Influence Marketing Arrangements in the Illinois Hog Industry?
2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Do Transaction Costs and Risk Preferences Influence Marketing Arrangements in the Illinois Hog Industry?, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association (2009) View citations (11) (2009)
- Dynamic Decision Making in Agricultural Futures and Options Markets
2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (1)
- How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market
2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
- Market Depth in Lean Hog and Live Cattle Futures Markets
2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (3)
2007
- Basis Risk and Weather Hedging Effectiveness
101st Seminar, July 5-6, 2007, Berlin Germany, European Association of Agricultural Economists View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Basis risk and weather hedging effectiveness, Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2008) View citations (37) (2008)
- Information Content in Deferred Futures Prices: Live Cattle and Hogs
2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management 
See also Journal Article Information Content in Deferred Futures Prices: Live Cattle and Hogs, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association (2008) View citations (2) (2008)
- Insights into Trader Behavior: Risk Aversion and Probability Weighting
2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (3)
- Measuring Liquidity Costs in Agricultural Futures Markets
2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (1)
Also in 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) (2006) 
See also Journal Article Measuring the cost of liquidity in agricultural futures markets: Conventional and Bayesian approaches, Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists (2011) (2011)
- Spatial Aggregation and Weather Risk Management
2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (1)
- The Performance of Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts after Recent Changes in Speculative Limits
2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (6)
- To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?
2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management 
See also Journal Article To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press (2008) View citations (5) (2008)
2006
- Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth?
2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- Farmers' Subjective Perceptions of Yield and Yield Risk
2006 Conference, April 17-18, 2006, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (1)
- Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Aggregation?
2006 Conference, April 17-18, 2006, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
- Probability Distortion and Loss Aversion in Futures Hedging
2006 Conference, April 17-18, 2006, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
- Producers' Yield and Yield Risk: Perceptions versus Reality and Crop Insurance Use
2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (3)
- What Drives Strategic Behavior? A Framework to Explain and Predict SMEs' Transition to Sustainable Production Systems
2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
2005
- Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies
2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (3)
- Intermediate Volatility Forecasts Using Implied Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected Agricultural Commodity Options
2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management 
See also Journal Article Intermediate Volatility Forecasts Using Implied Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected Agricultural Commodity Options, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association (2006) View citations (9) (2006)
- Portfolio Diversification with Commodity Futures: Properties of Levered Futures
2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
- Relaxing Standard Hedging Assumptions in the Presence of Downside Risk
2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Relaxing standard hedging assumptions in the presence of downside risk, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier (2008) View citations (9) (2008)
- Time-Varying Risk Premium or Informational Inefficiency? Further Evidence in Agricultural Futures Markets
2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Time-varying risk premium: further evidence in agricultural futures markets, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2009) View citations (27) (2009)
2004
- OPTIONS-BASED FORECASTS OF FUTURES PRICES IN THE PRESENCE OF LIMIT MOVES
2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management 
See also Journal Article Options-based forecasts of futures prices in the presence of limit moves, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2007) View citations (4) (2007)
- PERCEPTIONS OF FUTURES MARKET LIQUIDITY: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF CBOT & CME TRADERS
2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
- PRICE DISCOVERY IN THINLY TRADED MARKETS: CASH AND FUTURES RELATIONSHIPS IN BRAZILIAN AGRICULTURAL FUTURES MARKETS
2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (23)
- STRATEGIC RISK MANAGEMENT BEHAVIOR: WHAT CAN UTILITY FUNCTIONS TELL US?
2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
2003
- ENGAGING STUDENTS IN RESEARCH: THE USE OF STRUCTURED PROFESSIONAL DIALOGUE
2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (1)
- FUTURES MARKET DEPTH: REVEALED VS. PERCEIVED PRICE ORDER IMBALANCES
2003 Conference, April 21-22, 2003, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
- HOW TO GROUP MARKET PARTICIPANTS? HETEROGENEITY IN HEDGING BEHAVIOR
2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- THE FEASIBILITY OF A BOXED BEEF FUTURES CONTRACT: HEDGING WHOLESALE BEEF CUTS
2003 Conference, April 21-22, 2003, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (4)
- THE TERM STRUCTURE OF IMPLIED FORWARD VOLATILITY: RECOVERY AND INFORMATIONAL CONTENT IN THE CORN OPTIONS MARKET
2003 Conference, April 21-22, 2003, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (1)
See also Journal Article The Term Structure of Implied Forward Volatility: Recovery and Informational Content in the Corn Options Market, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2007) View citations (31) (2007)
2002
- AN EVALUATION OF CROP FORECAST ACCURACY FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS: USDA AND PRIVATE INFORMATION SERVICES
2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (3)
2001
- Local Polynomial Kernel Forecasts and Management of Price Risks using Futures Markets
2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
- Unobserved Heterogeneity: Evidence and Implications for SMEs' Hedging Behavior
2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (2)
2000
- THE EFFECTS OF THE MICRO-MARKET STRUCTURE ON ILLINOIS ELEVATOR SPATIAL CORN PRICE DIFFERENTIALS
2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management
- TIME-VARYING MULTIPRODUCT HEDGE RATIO ESTIMATION IN THE SOYBEAN COMPLEX: A SIMPLIFIED APPROACH
2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (7)
1999
- FACTORS EXPLAINING THE DIFFUSION OF HYBRID MAIZE: EVIDENCE FROM LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN IN SUPPORT OF THE LIFE CYCLE THEORY OF SEED INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT
1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- TOWARDS MEASURING PRODUCER WELFARE UNDER OUTPUT PRICE UNCERTAINTY AND RISK NON-NEUTRALITY
1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
1998
- A NONLINEAR MODEL OF INFORMATION AND COORDINATION IN HOG PRODUCTION: TESTING THE COASIAN-FOWLERIAN DYNAMIC HYPOTHESES
1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (1)
- The Forecasting Value of New Crop Futures: A Decision-Making Framework
Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany
1997
- Did Producer Hedging Opportunities in the Live Hog Contract Decline?
Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)
- Estimation of Time-Varying Hedge Ratios for Corn and Soybeans: BGARCH and Random Coefficient Approaches
Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (38)
1991
- MEATPACKER CONDUCT AND PRICE DYNAMICS: AN INVESTIGATION OF LIVE CATTLE MARKETS
1991 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Manhattan, Kansas, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
1988
- BASIS EXEPECTATIONS AND SOYBEAN HEDGING EFFECTIVENESS
Working Papers, Columbia - Center for Futures Markets
See also Journal Article Basis Expectations and Soybean Hedging Effectiveness, Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (1990) View citations (14) (1990)
1986
- Incorporating Basis Expectation into Hedging Effectiveness Measures
1986 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Reno, Nevada, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- THE EFFECTS OF AGRICULTURAL GROWTH ON AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
1986 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Reno, Nevada, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (7)
See also Journal Article The Effects of Agricultural Growth on Agricultural Imports in Developing Countries, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (1986) View citations (7) (1986)
Undated
- Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work?
2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association 
See also Journal Article Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work?, Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2016) View citations (6) (2016)
Journal Articles
2018
- Graphical Illustration of Interaction Effects in Binary Choice Models: A Note
Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2018, 69, (3), 852-858
- Intraday market effects in electronic soybean futures market during non-trading and trading hour announcements
Applied Economics, 2018, 50, (11), 1188-1202 View citations (9)
See also Working Paper Intraday Market Effects in Electronic Soybean Futures Market during Non-Trading and Trading Hour Announcements, 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts (2016) (2016)
- Short-term price density forecasts in the lean hog futures market
European Review of Agricultural Economics, 2018, 45, (1), 121-142 View citations (2)
- Speculation and corn prices
Applied Economics, 2018, 50, (44), 4724-4744 View citations (16)
- The components of the bid†ask spread: Evidence from the corn futures market
Agricultural Economics, 2018, 49, (3), 381-393 View citations (11)
2017
- New Evidence that Index Traders Did Not Drive Bubbles in Grain Futures Markets
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2017, 42, (01), 23 View citations (10)
- Risk attitudes and the structure of decision†making: evidence from the Illinois hog industry
Agricultural Economics, 2017, 48, (1), 41-50 View citations (7)
2016
- Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work?
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 2016, 38, (1), 152-173 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work?, 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Price Density Forecasts in the U.S. Hog Markets: Composite Procedures
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2016, 98, (5), 1529-1544 View citations (3)
2015
- $25 spring wheat was a bubble, right?
Agricultural Finance Review, 2015, 75, (1), 114-132 View citations (2)
- Futures Market Failure?
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2015, 97, (1), 40-64 View citations (34)
- Price Explosiveness, Speculation, and Grain Futures Prices
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2015, 97, (1), 65-87 View citations (39)
2014
- Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2014, 42, (C), 129-155 View citations (111)
- Gone in Ten Minutes: Intraday Evidence of Announcement Effects in the Electronic Corn Futures Market
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 2014, 36, (3), 504-526 View citations (47)
- Measuring the effect of risk attitude on marketing behavior
Agricultural Economics, 2014, 45, (5), 525-535 View citations (15)
- The Behavior of Bid-Ask Spreads in the Electronically-Traded Corn Futures Market
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2014, 96, (2), 557-577 View citations (13)
2013
- Returns to individual traders in agricultural futures markets: skill or luck?
Applied Economics, 2013, 45, (25), 3650-3666 View citations (9)
- Solving the Commodity Markets’ Non-Convergence Puzzle
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2013, (07), 1
2012
- Composite and Outlook Forecast Accuracy
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2012, 37, (2), 19 View citations (5)
- Crop Production Contracts and Marketing Strategies: What Drives Their Use?
Agribusiness, 2012, 28, (3), 324-340 View citations (17)
- Measuring the degree to which probability weighting affects risk-taking Behavior in financial decisions
Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, 2012, 1, (2), 1 View citations (1)
- Volatility Spillovers in U.S. Crude Oil, Ethanol, and Corn Futures Markets
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2012, 37, (2), 16 View citations (100)
2011
- Improving the accuracy of outlook price forecasts
Agricultural Economics, 2011, 42, (3), 357-371 View citations (7)
- Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2011, 36, (01), 20 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting, 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri (2009) (2009)
- Measuring the cost of liquidity in agricultural futures markets: Conventional and Bayesian approaches
Agricultural Economics, 2011, 42, 131-140 
See also Working Paper Measuring Liquidity Costs in Agricultural Futures Markets, 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois (2007) View citations (1) (2007)
- Spreads and Non-Convergence in Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures: Are Index Funds to Blame?
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 2011, 33, (1), 116-142 View citations (32)
Also in Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 2011, 33, (1), 116-142 (2011) View citations (30)
2010
- Bid-Ask Spreads, Volume, and Volatility: Evidence from Livestock Markets
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2010, 93, (1), 209-225 View citations (13)
See also Working Paper Bid-Ask Spreads, Volume, and Volatility: Evidence from Livestock Markets, 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin (2009) (2009)
- Is Hedging a Habit? Hedging Ratio Determination of Cotton Producers
Journal of Agribusiness, 2010, 28, (01), 18 View citations (2)
- RISK AND HEDGING BEHAVIOR: THE ROLE AND DETERMINANTS OF LATENT HETEROGENEITY
Journal of Financial Research, 2010, 33, (4), 373-401 View citations (3)
2009
- Do Transaction Costs and Risk Preferences Influence Marketing Arrangements in the Illinois Hog Industry?
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2009, 34, (2), 19 View citations (11)
See also Working Paper Do Transaction Costs and Risk Preferences Influence Marketing Arrangements in the Illinois Hog Industry?, 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri (2008) View citations (2) (2008)
- Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Spatial Aggregation?
Journal of Agribusiness, 2009, 27, (01-2), 20 View citations (2)
- Managing price risks using and local polynomial kernel forecasts
Applied Economics, 2009, 41, (23), 3015-3026 View citations (1)
- The informational content of the shape of utility functions: financial strategic behavior
Managerial and Decision Economics, 2009, 30, (2), 83-90 View citations (10)
- Time-varying risk premium: further evidence in agricultural futures markets
Applied Economics, 2009, 41, (6), 715-725 View citations (27)
See also Working Paper Time-Varying Risk Premium or Informational Inefficiency? Further Evidence in Agricultural Futures Markets, 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri (2005) View citations (2) (2005)
- Understanding heterogeneous preferences of cooperative members
Agribusiness, 2009, 25, (1), 90-111 View citations (19)
2008
- Basis risk and weather hedging effectiveness
Agricultural Finance Review, 2008, 68, (1), 99-117 View citations (37)
See also Working Paper Basis Risk and Weather Hedging Effectiveness, 101st Seminar, July 5-6, 2007, Berlin Germany (2007) View citations (5) (2007)
- Information Content in Deferred Futures Prices: Live Cattle and Hogs
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2008, 33, (01), 12 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Information Content in Deferred Futures Prices: Live Cattle and Hogs, 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois (2007) (2007)
- Probability weighting and loss aversion in futures hedging
Journal of Financial Markets, 2008, 11, (4), 433-452 View citations (7)
- Producers' complex risk management choices
Agribusiness, 2008, 24, (1), 31-54 View citations (12)
- Recent Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts
Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, 2008, 23, (2), 6 View citations (9)
- Relaxing standard hedging assumptions in the presence of downside risk
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2008, 48, (1), 78-93 View citations (9)
See also Working Paper Relaxing Standard Hedging Assumptions in the Presence of Downside Risk, 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri (2005) View citations (3) (2005)
- To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2008, 40, (1), 73-87 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?, 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois (2007) (2007)
- Weather Derivatives, Spatial Aggregation, and Systemic Risk: Implications for Reinsurance Hedging
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2008, 33, (01), 18 View citations (12)
2007
- Is there Evidence of Learning-by-Exporting in Turkish Manufacturing Industries?
International Review of Applied Economics, 2007, 21, (2), 293-305 View citations (8)
- Options-based forecasts of futures prices in the presence of limit moves
Applied Economics, 2007, 39, (2), 145-152 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper OPTIONS-BASED FORECASTS OF FUTURES PRICES IN THE PRESENCE OF LIMIT MOVES, 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri (2004) (2004)
- Predicting S&P 500 volatility for intermediate time horizons using implied forward volatility
Applied Economics Letters, 2007, 15, (1), 31-34 View citations (1)
- The Term Structure of Implied Forward Volatility: Recovery and Informational Content in the Corn Options Market
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2007, 89, (1), 1-11 View citations (31)
See also Working Paper THE TERM STRUCTURE OF IMPLIED FORWARD VOLATILITY: RECOVERY AND INFORMATIONAL CONTENT IN THE CORN OPTIONS MARKET, 2003 Conference, April 21-22, 2003, St. Louis, Missouri (2003) View citations (1) (2003)
2006
- Intermediate Volatility Forecasts Using Implied Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected Agricultural Commodity Options
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2006, 31, (3), 21 View citations (9)
See also Working Paper Intermediate Volatility Forecasts Using Implied Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected Agricultural Commodity Options, 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri (2005) (2005)
2005
- Measuring producer welfare under output price uncertainty and risk non-neutrality
Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2005, 49, (01), 21 View citations (1)
Also in Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2005, 49, (1), 1-21 (2005) View citations (4)
- The poverty challenge: How individual decision-making behavior influences poverty
Economics Letters, 2005, 88, (1), 115-119 View citations (3)
- Towards a Theory of Revealed Economic Behavior: The Economic-Neurosciences Interface
Journal of Bioeconomics, 2005, 7, (2), 113-127
2004
- A selected review of agricultural commodity futures and options markets
European Review of Agricultural Economics, 2004, 31, (3), 235-272 View citations (57)
- Hedging behavior in small and medium-sized enterprises: The role of unobserved heterogeneity
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2004, 28, (5), 951-978 View citations (38)
2003
- A statistical method of multi-market welfare analysis applied to Japanese beef policy liberalization
Journal of Policy Modeling, 2003, 25, (3), 237-256 View citations (12)
- An Evaluation of Crop Forecast Accuracy for Corn and Soybeans: USDA and Private Information Agencies
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2003, 35, (1), 79-95 View citations (34)
- Engaging Students in Research: The Use of Professional Dialogue
Review of Agricultural Economics, 2003, 25, (2), 569-577 View citations (2)
Also in Review of Agricultural Economics, 2003, 25, (2), 569-577 (2003)
- What Killed the Diammonium Phosphate Futures Contract?
Review of Agricultural Economics, 2003, 25, (2), 483-505 View citations (5)
Also in Review of Agricultural Economics, 2003, 25, (2), 483-505 (2003) View citations (4)
2001
- Factors explaining the diffusion of hybrid maize in Latin America and the Caribbean region
Agricultural Economics, 2001, 26, (3), 267-280 View citations (4)
- Market Liberalisation, Vertical Integration and Price Behaviour in Tanzania's Coffee Auction
Development Policy Review, 2001, 19, (2), 205-222 View citations (3)
- Measuring Producers' Risk Preferences: A Global Risk-Attitude Construct
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2001, 83, (4), 993-1009 View citations (79)
1999
- Testing the Efficient Redistribution Hypothesis: An Application to Japanese Beef Policy
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1999, 81, (2), 408-423 View citations (5)
1998
- The Incidence of Producer Welfare Losses from Food Safety Regulation in the Meat Industry
Review of Agricultural Economics, 1998, 20, (1), 186-201 View citations (9)
1997
- MEAT-PACKER CONDUCT IN FED CATTLE PRICING: MULTIPLE-MARKET OLIGOPSONY POWER
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 1997, 22, (01), 17 View citations (30)
- The value of public information in commodity futures markets
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 1997, 32, (4), 559-570 View citations (40)
1996
- Ex ante basis risk in the live hog futures contract: Has hedgers' risk increased?
Journal of Futures Markets, 1996, 16, (4), 421-440 View citations (5)
- Recovering probabilistic information from option markets: Tests of distributional assumptions
Journal of Futures Markets, 1996, 16, (5), 545-560 View citations (14)
- The Value of Information to Hedgers in the Presence of Futures and Options
Review of Agricultural Economics, 1996, 18, (3), 437-447 View citations (4)
- The demise of the high fructose corn syrup futures contract: A case study
Journal of Futures Markets, 1996, 16, (6), 697-724 View citations (14)
1994
- Aggregate Versus Disaggregate Analysis: Corn and Soybean Acreage Response in Illinois
Review of Agricultural Economics, 1994, 16, (1), 17-26 View citations (7)
- ESTIMATING CORN YIELD RESPONSE MODELS TO PREDICT IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 1994, 19, (01), 11 View citations (23)
- Noncompetitive Pricing and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Selected U.S. and Thai Rice Markets
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 1994, 26, (2), 406-416 View citations (16)
- THE USE OF MEAN-VARIANCE FOR COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS HEDGING DECISIONS
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 1994, 19, (01), 14 View citations (15)
- The Returns and Forecasting Ability of Large Traders in the Frozen Pork Bellies Futures Market
The Journal of Business, 1994, 67, (3), 459-73 View citations (29)
1993
- Meatpacker Conduct in Fed Cattle Pricing: An Investigation of Oligopsony Power
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1993, 75, (3), 537-548 View citations (42)
- Robust live hog pricing strategies under uncertain prices and risk preferences
Journal of Futures Markets, 1993, 13, (8), 849-864 View citations (1)
- TECHNICAL EFFICIENCY: A COMPARISON OF PRODUCTION FRONTIER METHODS
Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1993, 44, (3), 479-489 View citations (13)
1992
- The Effects of Spain's Entry into the European Community on the Spanish Hog Market
European Review of Agricultural Economics, 1992, 19, (4), 455-71 View citations (3)
1991
- EFFICIENCY MEASURES USING THE RAY-HOMOTHETIC FUNCTION: A MULTIPERIOD ANALYSIS
Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1991, 23, (2), 9 View citations (4)
Also in Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 1991, 23, (2), 113-122 (1991) View citations (3)
1990
- Basis Expectations and Soybean Hedging Effectiveness
Review of Agricultural Economics, 1990, 12, (1), 125-136 View citations (14)
See also Working Paper BASIS EXEPECTATIONS AND SOYBEAN HEDGING EFFECTIVENESS, Working Papers (1988) (1988)
- Dominant‐satellite relationships between live cattle cash and futures markets
Journal of Futures Markets, 1990, 10, (2), 123-136 View citations (14)
- PRICE FORECASTING WITH TIME-SERIES METHODS AND NONSTATIONARY DATA: AN APPLICATION TO MONTHLY U.S. CATTLE PRICES
Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1990, 15, (01), 10 View citations (5)
1989
- Exchange Rate Uncertainty and the Demand for U.S. Soybeans
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1989, 71, (3), 721-729 View citations (11)
- Using a Decision Support Framework to Evaluate Forecasts
Review of Agricultural Economics, 1989, 11, (2), 233-242
1988
- IDENTIFYING CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN NONSTATIONARY STOCHASTIC PROCESSES: AN EXAMINATION OF ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES IN SMALL SAMPLES
Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1988, 13, (2), 14 View citations (5)
- Pricing Efficiency in the Live Cattle Futures Market: Further Interpretation and Measurement
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1988, 70, (1), 162-169 View citations (23)
- THE PRICING EFFICIENCY OF AGRICULTURAL FUTURES MARKETS: AN ANALYSIS OF PREVIOUS RESEARCH RESULTS
Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1988, 20, (01), 12 View citations (22)
Also in Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 1988, 20, (1), 119-130 (1988) View citations (20)
1987
- Size Distribution and Growth in a Sample of Illinois Cash Grain Farms
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1987, 69, (2), 471-476 View citations (18)
- The Distribution of Gains from Technological Advance When Input Quality Varies
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1987, 69, (2), 321-327
- Usefulness of Pretests for Estimating Underlying Technologies Using Dual Profit Functions
International Economic Review, 1987, 28, (3), 623-33 View citations (9)
1986
- Lead‐lag relationships between trading volume and price variability: New evidence
Journal of Futures Markets, 1986, 6, (1), 1-10 View citations (21)
- Measuring the benefits of environmental change using a duality approach: The case of ozone and Illinois cash grain farms
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1986, 13, (1), 69-80 View citations (6)
- The Effects of Agricultural Growth on Agricultural Imports in Developing Countries
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1986, 68, (5), 1347-1352 View citations (7)
See also Working Paper THE EFFECTS OF AGRICULTURAL GROWTH ON AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, 1986 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Reno, Nevada (1986) View citations (7) (1986)
1985
- Primal versus Dual Methods for Measuring the Impact of Ozone on Cash Grain Farmers
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1985, 67, (2), 402-406 View citations (3)
1984
- Basis Risk: Measurement and Analysis of Basis Fluctuations for Selected Livestock Markets
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1984, 66, (4), 499-504 View citations (9)
- COMBINING ECONOMIC AND BIOLOGICAL DATA TO ESTIMATE THE IMPACT OF POLLUTION ON CROP PRODUCTION
Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1984, 09, (2), 10 View citations (1)
- Farm Size, Tenure, and Economic Efficiency in a Sample of Illinois Grain Farms: Reply
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1984, 66, (4), 517-519
1983
- A Multivariate Logit Analysis of Farmers' Use of Financial Information
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1983, 65, (1), 136-141 View citations (5)
1982
- Farm Size, Tenure, and Economic Efficiency in a Sample of Illinois Grain Farms
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1982, 64, (1), 119-123 View citations (30)
- The Impact of Price Risk on Sow Farrowings, 1967–78
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1982, 64, (3), 565-568 View citations (5)
1981
- The Price-Forecasting Performance of Futures Markets for Live Cattle and Hogs: A Disaggregated Analysis
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1981, 63, (2), 209-215 View citations (45)
Chapters
2014
- Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files
A chapter in The Economics of Food Price Volatility, 2014, pp 211-253 View citations (10)
See also Working Paper Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (28) (2013)
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