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Details about Maik Wolters

Homepage:https://sites.google.com/site/maikwolters
Workplace:Volkswirtschaftliches Institut (Department of Economics), Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration), Bayerische Julius-Maximilians-Universität Würzburg (University of Wurzburg), (more information at EDIRC)
Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Maik Wolters.

Last updated 2020-10-26. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pwo153


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Working Papers

2020

  1. Global financial cycles since 1880
    Bank of England working papers, Bank of England Downloads
    Also in Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) (2019) Downloads
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2019) Downloads
  2. Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2019) Downloads
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2019) Downloads

2019

  1. Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2019 - Deutsche Wirtschaft im Abwärtssog
    (German Economy Autumn 2019 - Germany at the brink of recession)
    Kieler Konjunkturberichte, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. Deutsche Wirtschaft in der Rezession?
    IfW-Box, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. German Economy Autumn 2019 - Germany at the brink of recession
    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  4. Growth prospects, the natural interest rate, and monetary policy
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2019)
  5. Labor productivity, effort and the euro area business cycle
    Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads
  6. Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model
    Jena Economic Research Papers, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2017) Downloads View citations (22)
    Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2017) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2020)

2018

  1. Deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2018 - Deutsche Wirtschaft: Luftloch im konjunkturellen Höhenflug
    (German Economy Summer 2018 - German economy: Temporary slowdown, boom not over yet)
    Kieler Konjunkturberichte, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. German Economy Summer 2018 - German economy: Temporary slowdown, boom not over yet
    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model-based output gap estimates
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2016) Downloads View citations (1)
    Jena Economic Research Papers, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena (2017) Downloads
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) (2016) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2018)
  4. Schwacher Jahresauftakt 2018: Delle oder Beginn eines Abschwungs?
    IfW-Box, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads

2017

  1. Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2017 - Deutsche Wirtschaft nähert sich der Hochkonjunktur
    (German Economy Autumn 2017 - German economy approaches boom period)
    Kieler Konjunkturberichte, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. German Economy Autumn 2017 - German economy approaches boom period
    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. Normaler Abschwung oder schwere Rezession? Ein neues Modell für die Prognose der Konjunkturphasen in Deutschland
    IfW-Box, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (4)
  4. The impact of growth on unemployment in a low vs. a high inflation environment
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) Downloads
    Also in Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics (2017) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Dynamics (2018)

2016

  1. Weltkonjunktur im Frühjahr 2016 - Getrübte Aussichten für die Weltkonjunktur
    (World Economy Spring 2016 - Clouded outlook for the world economy)
    Kieler Konjunkturberichte, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. World Economy Spring 2016 - Clouded outlook for the world economy
    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. Zu Produktionspotenzial und Produktionslücke in den Vereinigten Staaten
    IfW-Box, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (4)

2015

  1. Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2015 - Deutschland auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur
    Kieler Konjunkturberichte, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2015 - Deutschland: Expansion trotzt weltwirtschaftlicher Unruhe
    (Robust German economy in an uncertain international environment)
    Kieler Konjunkturberichte, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Makroökonometrische Simulationen zur US-Zinspolitik
    IfW-Box, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?
    Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads View citations (28)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics (2015) Downloads View citations (26)
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) (2015) Downloads View citations (23)

    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Central Banking (2019)
  5. Quantitative Lockerung: Transmission, Auswirkung und Risiken
    IfW-Box, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  6. Robust German economy in an uncertain international environment
    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  7. The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation in Dynamic General Equilibrium
    Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) (2014) Downloads View citations (2)
  8. Weakness in emerging markets weighs on global growth
    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  9. Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2015 - Schwäche in den Schwellenländern bremst Weltkonjunktur
    (Weakness in emerging markets weighs on global growth)
    Kieler Konjunkturberichte, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (5)
  10. Weltkonjunktur im Sommer 2015 - Erholung der Weltkonjunktur vorübergehend gebremst
    (World Economy Summer 2015 - Faltering recovery of the world economy)
    Kieler Konjunkturberichte, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  11. World Economy Summer 2015 - Faltering recovery of the world economy
    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  12. Zwischen GREMAIN und GREXIT: Euroraum in der Bewährungskrise
    Kiel Policy Brief, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads

2014

  1. Estimating monetary policy rules when the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates is approached
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Estimating the impact of climate change on agricultural production: Accounting for technology heterogeneity across countries
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck (2014) Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2014) Downloads View citations (5)
  4. Is there a threat of self-reinforcing deflation in the Euro area? A view through the lens of the Phillips curve
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Kiel Policy Brief, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) (2014) Downloads View citations (1)
  5. The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach
    Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) (2014) Downloads View citations (5)
    MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung) (2012) Downloads View citations (4)
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2012) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (2015)
  6. The short- and long-run effects of fiscal consolidation in dynamic general equilibrium
    Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads View citations (4)
  7. Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2014
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (3)
  8. Wie wahrscheinlich ist eine "Deflationsspirale" im Euroraum? Eine Analyse anhand einer Phillips-Kurve
    IfW-Box, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads

2013

  1. Do large recessions reduce output permanently?
    Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads View citations (18)
    Also in Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) (2012) Downloads View citations (4)
    Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics (2012) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2013)
  2. Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models
    Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2012) Downloads View citations (25)
    Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2011) Downloads View citations (5)
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2012) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2015)
  3. Fiscal Consolidation Strategy: An Update For The Budget Reform Proposal of March 2013
    Economics Working Papers, Hoover Institution, Stanford University Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2013) Downloads View citations (4)
    Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (2013) Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Möglichkeiten und Grenzen von makroökonomischen Modellen zur (exante) Evaluierung wirtschaftspolitischer Maßnahmen
    Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung Downloads View citations (6)
  5. Sticky Information Models in Dynare
    CEF.UP Working Papers, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2013) Downloads View citations (2)
    Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP (2013) Downloads View citations (2)
    Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics (2013) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article in Computational Economics (2014)

2012

  1. A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (126)
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2012) Downloads View citations (79)
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2012) Downloads View citations (90)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2012)
  2. Fiscal Consolidation Strategy
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2012) Downloads View citations (1)
    Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (2012) Downloads View citations (4)
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2012) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2013)
  3. Forecasting and policy making
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) Downloads View citations (46)
    See also Chapter (2013)

2010

  1. Does Trade Integration Alter Monetary Policy Transmission?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (2008) Downloads
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2008) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2011)
  2. Estimating Monetary Policy Reaction Functions Using Quantile Regressions
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Macroeconomics (2012)
  3. The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) Downloads View citations (9)
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2010) Downloads View citations (9)

    See also Journal Article in Economic Theory (2011)

Journal Articles

2020

  1. Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2020, 36, (3), 829-850 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2019)

2019

  1. Growth prospects, the natural interest rate, and monetary policy
    Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2019, 13, 1-34 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  2. Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2019, 15, (4), 81-126 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
  3. Rezessionsrisiko der deutschen Wirtschaft deutlich erhöht
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (05), 28-31 Downloads

2018

  1. Forecasting with large datasets: compressing information before, during or after the estimation?
    Empirical Economics, 2018, 55, (2), 573-596 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimates
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2018, 33, (5), 680-689 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
  3. Schwächephase oder beginnender Abschwung?
    (Temporary Lull or Start of a Downturn?)
    Wirtschaftsdienst, 2018, 98, (7), 531-532 Downloads
  4. The Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. High Inflation Environment
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2018, 28, 34-50 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
    Software Item (2017)

2017

  1. Effectiveness of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: An Assessment Based on a Literature Survey
    Credit and Capital Markets, 2017, 50, (4), 455-488

2016

  1. Is Globalization Reducing the Ability of Central Banks to Control Inflation? A Literature Review with an Application to the Euro Area
    Review of Economics, 2016, 67, (3), 231-253 Downloads

2015

  1. Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2015, 30, (1), 74-96 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  2. Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Transmission Channels and Risks
    Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, 2015, 50, (4), 206-212 Downloads View citations (8)
  3. The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach
    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2015, 19, (2), 161-182 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper (2014)

2014

  1. Sticky Information Models in Dynare
    Computational Economics, 2014, 43, (3), 357-370 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2013)

2013

  1. Do large recessions reduce output permanently?
    Economics Letters, 2013, 121, (3), 516-519 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  2. Fiscal consolidation strategy
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2013, 37, (2), 404-421 Downloads View citations (56)
    See also Working Paper (2012)

2012

  1. A new comparative approach to macroeconomic modeling and policy analysis
    Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2012, 83, (3), 523-541 Downloads View citations (85)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  2. Estimating monetary policy reaction functions using quantile regressions
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2012, 34, (2), 342-361 Downloads View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

2011

  1. Does trade integration alter monetary policy transmission?
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2011, 35, (4), 545-564 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy
    Economic Theory, 2011, 47, (2), 247-292 Downloads View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

Chapters

2013

  1. Forecasting and Policy Making
    Elsevier Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper (2012)

Software Items

2017

  1. Code and data files for "The Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. High Inflation Environment"
    Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Dynamics (2018)
 
Page updated 2020-10-27