CESifo Working Paper Series

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7897: Small Firms and Domestic Bank Dependence in Europe's Great Recession

Mathias Hoffmann, Egor Maslov and Bent Sorensen

7896: Interest Rate Spillovers from the United States: Expectations, Term Premia and Macro-Financial Vulnerabilities

Aaron Mehrotra, Richhild Moessner and Chang Shu

7895: Political Alignment and Bureaucratic Pay

Jon Fiva, Benny Beys, Tom-Reiel Heggedal and Rune J. Sørensen

7894: Rising to the Challenge: Bayesian Estimation and Forecasting Techniques for Macroeconomic Agent-Based Models

Domenico Delli Gatti and Jakob Grazzini

7893: TBTs, Firm Organization and Labour Structure - The Effect of Technical Barriers to Trade on Skills

Giorgio Barba Navaretti, Lionel Fontagné, Gianluca Orefice, Giovanni Pica and Anna Rosso

7892: Stable Money and Central Bank Independence: Implementing Monetary Institutions in Postwar Germany

Carsten Hefeker

7891: What Drives Inventory Accumulation? News on Rates of Return and Marginal Costs

Christoph Görtz, Christopher Gunn and Thomas A. Lubik

7890: Citations and Incentives in Academic Contests

J. Atsu Amegashie

7889: Price Trends Over the Product Life Cycle and the Optimal Inflation Target

Klaus Adam and Henning Weber

7888: How Do Trade and Communication Costs Shape the Spatial Organization of Firms?

Toshitaka Gokan, Sergey Kichko, Jacques Thisse and Sergei Kichko

7887: Stimulant or Depressant? Resource-Related Income Shocks and Conflict

Kai Gehring, Sarah Langlotz and Stefan Kienberger

7886: Reopening Pandora's Box in Search of a WTO-Compatible Industrial Policy? The Brazil-Taxation Dispute

Emanuel Ornelas and Laura Puccio

7885: Under/Over-Investment and Early Renegotiation in Public-Private Partnerships

Daniel Danau and Annalisa Vinella

7884: Are Equity Crowdfunding Investors Active Investors?

Lars Hornuf, Tobias Schilling and Armin Schwienbacher

7883: Net Capital Flows and Portfolio Diversification

Constantin Bürgi, Vida Bobic and Min Wu

7882: Revealed Political Favoritism: Evidence from the Allocation of State Lottery Grants in Israel

Momi Dahan and Itamar Yakir

7881: CO2 Emissions and GDP: Evidence from China

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Gloria Claudio-Quiroga and Luis Gil-Alana

7880: Dynamic Games of Common-Property Resource Exploitation When Self-Image Matters

Ngo Long

7879: Pharmaceutical Prices: The Impact of the Launch Strategy - An Analysis of German Data

Yvonne-Beatrice Böhler, Christian Lamping, Philipp Christoph Wichard and Philipp Christoph Wichardt

7878: The Effective Rate of Interest on Target Balances

Hans-Werner Sinn

7877: Occupation Growth, Skill Prices, and Wage Inequality

Michael J. Böhm, Hans-Martin von Gaudecker, Felix Schran and Hans-Martin von Gaudecker

7876: Joint Income-Wealth Inequality: An Application Using Administrative Tax Data

David Gallusser and Matthias Krapf

7875: Airline Mitigation of Propagated Delays: Theory and Empirics on the Choice of Schedule Buffers

Jan Brueckner, Achim I. Czerny and Alberto Gaggero

7874: Individual Behavior and Collective Action: The Path to Iceland's Financial Collapse

Thorvaldur Gylfason and Gylfi Zoega

7873: Non-Competitive Wage-Setting as a Cause of Unfriendly and Inefficient Leadership

Robert Dur, Ola Kvaløy and Anja Schöttner

7872: An Investment-and-Marriage Model with Differential Fecundity

Hanzhe Zhang

7871: Building an Equilibrium: Rules Versus Principles in Relational Contracts

Robert Gibbons, Manuel Grieder, Holger Herz and Christian Zehnder

7870: Preterm Births and Educational Disadvantage: Heterogeneous Effects Across Families and Schools

Anna Baranowska-Rataj, Kieron Barclay, Joan Costa-i-Font, Mikko Myrskylä and Berkay Özcan

7869: The Affordable Care Act and the Market for Higher Education

Rajashri Chakrabarti and Maxim Pinkovskiy

7868: Pareto-Improving Reforms of Tax Deductions

Sebastian Koehne and Dominik Sachs

7867: Dynamics of Policy Adoption with State Dependence

David Agrawal and Gregory A. Trandel

7866: Academic Achievement and Tracking - A Theory Based on Grading Standards

Tim Ehlers and Robert Schwager

7865: Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents

David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson, Gary Pisano and Pian Shu

7864: The Impact of Food Prices on Conflict Revisited

Jasmien De Winne and Gert Peersman

7863: The Economics of the Digital Services Tax

Wolfram Richter

7862: Endogenous Emission Caps Always Induce a Green Paradox

Reyer Gerlagh, Roweno J.R.K. Heijmans and Knut Einar Rosendahl

7861: Do Minorities Misrepresent Their Ethnicity to Avoid Discrimination?

Nikoloz Kudashvili and Philipp Lergetporer

7860: Synergizing Ventures

Ufuk Akcigit, Emin Dinlersoz, Jeremy Greenwood and Veronika Penciakova

7859: The Real U.S. Unemployment Rate Is Twice the Official Rate, and the Phillips Curve

John Komlos

7858: Service Imports, Workforce Composition, and Firm Performance: Evidence from Finnish Microdata

Andrea Ariu, Katariina Nilsson Hakkala, J. Jensen and Saara Tamminen

7857: A Note on Moral Licensing and Foot-In-The-Door Effect

Alistair Ulph, Luca Panzone and Denis Hilton

7856: China and the World Bank - How Contrasting Development Approaches Affect the Stability of African States

Kai Gehring, Lennart Kaplan and Melvin H. L. Wong

7855: Direct and Indirect Effects Based on Changes-in-Changes

Martin Huber, Mark Schelker and Anthony Strittmatter

7854: What Happened to U.S. Business Dynamism?

Ufuk Akcigit and Sina T. Ates

7853: Exclusive Data, Price Manipulation and Market Leadership

Yiquan Gu, Leonardo Madio and Carlo Reggiani

7852: Multi-Part Tariffs and Differentiated Commodity Taxation

Anna D'Annunzio, Mohammed Mardan and Antonio Russo

7851: Policy Uncertainty and Information Flows: Evidence from Pension Reform Expectations

Emanuele Ciani, Adeline Delavande, Ben Etheridge and Marco Francesconi

7850: Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Experts and Representative Samples

Peter Andre, Carlo Pizzinelli, Christopher Roth and Johannes Wohlfart

7849: Ten Facts on Declining Business Dynamism and Lessons from Endogenous Growth Theory

Ufuk Akcigit and Sina T. Ates

7848: Do Health Insurance Mandates Spillover to Education? Evidence from Michigan's Autism Insurance Mandate

Riley Acton, Scott Imberman and Michael Lovenheim

7847: Trade Tariff, Wage Gap and Public Spending

Michele Giuranno and Antonella Nocco

7846: Forecasting Exports across Europe: What Are the Superior Survey Indicators?

Robert Lehmann

7845: Growth and Long-Run Sustainability

Robert Cairns and Vincent Martinet

7844: Does It Matter When Labor Market Reforms Are Implemented? The Role of the Monetary Policy Environment

Povilas Lastauskas and Julius Stakénas

7843: Prices, Schedules, and Passenger Welfare in Multi-Service Transportation Systems

Etienne Billette de Villemeur and Annalisa Vinella

7842: State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing? New Evidence from a Monthly Firm-Level Survey: 1980-2017

Huw Dixon and Christian Grimme

7841: Vote Buying in the US Congress

Ulrich Matter, Paolo Roberti and Michaela Slotwinski

7840: A Jackknife Model Averaging Analysis of RMB Misalignment Estimates

Yin-Wong Cheung and Wenhao Wang

7839: Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators

Nikolay Hristov and Markus Roth

7838: The Distributional Effects of Peer and Aspirational Pressure

Konstantinos Angelopoulos, Spyridon Lazarakis and Jim Malley

7837: Taxes on Unhealthy Food and Externalities in the Parental Choice of Children's Diet

Zarko Kalamov and Marco Runkel

7836: Charitable Constributions by Businesses: A Tax Policy Perspective

Tomer Blumkin, Yoram Margalioth, Efraim Sadka and Adi Sharoni

7835: The Distributional Consequences of Rent Seeking

Angelos Angelopoulos, Konstantinos Angelopoulos, Spyridon Lazarakis and Apostolis Philippopoulos

7834: Institutions, Holdup and Automation

Giorgio Presidente

7833: Impulse Purchases, Gun Ownership, and Homicides: Evidence from a Firearm Demand Shock

Christoph Koenig and David Schindler

7832: On the Relationship between Trade Openness and Government Size

Mohammad Farhad and Michael Jetter

7831: Overcoming History through International Organizations - Historical Roots of EU Support and Euroscepticism

Kai Gehring

7830: Climate Change, Migration and Voice: An Explanation for the Immobility Paradox

Michel Beine, Ilan Noy and Christopher Parsons

7829: Exposure to More Female Peers Widens the Gender Gap in STEM Participation

Anne Brenøe and Ulf Zölitz

7828: Beliefs about Racial Discrimination and Support for Pro-Black Policies

Ingar Haaland and Christopher Roth

7827: Gender Differences in Wage Expectations: Sorting, Children, and Negotiation Styles

Lukas Kiessling, Pia Pinger, Philipp Seegers and Jan Bergerhoff

7826: The Interplay between Oil and Food Commodity Prices: Has It Changed over Time?

Gert Peersman, Sebastian Rüth and Wouter Van der Veken

7825: From Theory to Policy with Gravitas: A Solution to the Mystery of the Excess Trade Balances

Gabriel Felbermayr and Yoto Yotov

7824: Do Corporate Tax Cuts Increase Income Inequality

Suresh Nallareddy, Ethan Rouen and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato

7823: Bilateral Trade Imbalances

Alejandro Cunat and Robert Zymek

7822: The Central Bank Governor and Interest Rate Setting by Committee

Emile van Ommeren and Giulia Piccillo

7821: Gender Differences in Political Career Progression: Evidence from U.S. Elections

Ryan Brown, Hani Mansour, Stephen O'Connell and James Reeves

7820: More Giving or More Givers? The Effects of Tax Incentives on Charitable Donations in the UK

Miguel Almunia, Irem Guceri, Ben Lockwood, Kimberley Scharf and Benjamin Lockwood

7819: The Three Meaningful Votes: Voting on Brexit in the British House of Commons

Toke Aidt, Felix Grey and Alexandru Savu

7818: Profit-Sharing Rules and the Taxation of Multinational Internet Platforms

Francis Bloch and Gabrielle Demange

7817: Taxation and the Superrich

Florian Scheuer and Joel Slemrod

7816: Corruption and Economic Growth: New Empirical Evidence

Klaus Gründler and Niklas Potrafke

7815: The Countercyclical Capital Buffer and the Composition of Bank Lending

Raphael Auer and Steven Ongena

7814: Tax Avoidance through E-Commerce and Cross-Border Shopping

Benjamin Harbolt

7813: Poverty and Economic Behavior: Gambling at Social Security Paydays

Momi Dahan

7812: The Rise of the 'No Party' in England

Toke Aidt and Christopher Rauh

7811: Consequences of Parental Job Loss on the Family Environment and on Human Capital Formation - Evidence from Plant Closures

Eva Maria Mörk, Anna Sjögren and Helena Svaleryd

7810: Do Digital Skill Certificates Help New Workers Enter the Market? Evidence from an Online Labour Platform

Otto Kässi and Vili Lehdonvirta

7809: Corporate Taxes and Multi-Product Exporters: Theory and Evidence from Trade Dynamics

Lisandra Flach, Michael Irlacher and Florian Unger

7808: Rent Extraction and Prosocial Behavior

Tobias Cagala, Ulrich Glogowsky, Veronika Grimm, Johannes Rincke and Amanda Tuset-Cueva

7807: Compliance in Teams - Implications of Joint Decisions and Shared Consequences

Tim Lohse and Sven Simon

7806: Parental Leave and Long-Term Life Satisfaction of Children - Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Former East Germany

Katharina Heisig and Larissa Zierow

7805: Multiple Applications, Competing Mechanisms, and Market Power

James Albrecht, Xiaoming Cai, Pieter Gautier and Susan Vroman

7804: The Consequences of Unilateral Withdrawals from the Paris Agreement

Mario Larch and Joschka Wanner

7803: The Brexit Conundrum Worsens the UK's Relationship with the European Union

John Ryan

7802: What Do We Really Know about the Transatlantic Current Account?

Martin Braml and Gabriel Felbermayr

7801: The Political Economy of the Prussian Three-Class Franchise

Sascha Becker and Erik Hornung

7800: Does Eviction Cause Poverty? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Cook County, IL

John Humphries, Nicholas Mader, Daniel Tannenbaum and Winnie van Dijk

7799: Reference Points for Retirement Behavior: Evidence from German Pension Discontinuities

Arthur Seibold

7798: Exposure to Daily Price Changes and Inflation Expectations

Francesco D'Acunto, Ulrike M. Malmendier, Juan Ospina-Tejeiro, Michael Weber and Michael Weber