CESifo Working Paper Series

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12608: The Price Ceiling that Minimizes an Exporter’s Profits Without Raising the Buyers’ Price Excessively

Stephen Salant, Diego S. Cardoso and Julien Xavier Daubanes

12607: Imperfect Information, Composition of Demand Shocks, and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve

Tatsushi Okuda, Tomohiro Tsuruga and Francesco Zanetti

12606: The Effects of Geopolitical Oil Price Shocks

Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos and Francesco Zanetti

12605: Opt-in or Opt-out? The Power of Defaults in Pension Enrollment Choices

Tabea Bucher-Koenen, Luisa Wallossek and Joachim Winter

12604: Work from Home and Disability Employment

Nicholas Bloom, Gordon Dahl and Dan-Olof Rooth

12603: Do People Have Economic Expectations?

Peter Andre, Felix Chopra, Luca Michels and Johannes Wohlfart

12602: Quantifying Climate Damages When Regions Trade: A Structural Gravity Approach

Jeanne Astier, Geoffrey Barrows, Raphael Calel and Helene Ollivier

12601: Tax Reforms and Multi-Dimensional Screening

Felix J. Bierbrauer, Pierre Boyer, Andreas Peichl and Daniel Weishaar

12600: Should I Stay or Should I Go? The Impact of Taxation on Canadian Inter-Provincial Migration

Adam Lavecchia, Robert McKercher and Alisa Tazhitdinova

12599: Sticky Gravity

Mario Larch, Leandro Navarro and Dennis Novy

12598: Firm-to-Firm Financial Linkages and Dollar Risk Transmission

Bryan Hardy, Felipe Saffie and Ina Simonovska

12597: Trade Models, Trade Elasticities, and the Gains from Trade

Ina Simonovska and Michael Waugh

12596: Contract Enforcement and Young Firm Capital Structure: A Global Perspective

Gonzalo Basante Pereira and Ina Simonovska

12595: Optimal City Size with Endogenous Fertility

Rainald Borck, Tadashi Morita and Yasuhiro Sato

12594: Restricting Temporary Contracts Increases Firm-Provided Training: Evidence from Spain

Pawel Adrjan, Jonas Jessen and Carlos Victoria Lanzón

12593: Bad News and Policy Views: Expectations, Disappointment, and Opposition to Affirmative Action

Louis-Pierre Lepage, Heather Sarsons and Michael Thaler

12592: Industrial Policy with Network Externalities: Race to the Bottom vs. Win-Win Outcome

Nigar Hashimzade and Haoran Sun

12591: Unemployment Narratives

Robert Mahlstedt, Sonja Settele and Johannes Wohlfart

12590: The Original Ideas Game and the Vanishing of the Absurd Heroes: Academic Reputation Hierarchies and Their Implications

Joao Faria and Rajeev Goel

12589: The Global Variation in Risk and Time Preferences

Anke Becker, Christina Borner, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David B. Huffman and Uwe Sunde

12588: Prices and Immigration: A Firm Level Analysis

Ryan Kim, Justin H. Leung and Ariel Weinberger

12587: Special Education Substantially Improves Learning: Evidence from Three States

Stephanie Coffey, Joshua Goodman, Amy Schwartz, Leanna Stiefel, Marcus A. Winters and Yunee H. Yoon

12586: The Labor Market Returns to Delaying Pregnancy

Yana Gallen, Juanna Joensen, Eva Rye Johansen and Gregory Veramendi

12585: Can't Shake It Off: Earthquakes and Social Cohesion in Italy

Daria Denti, Alessandra Faggian, Marco Modica and Ilan Noy

12584: Mind the Gap: AI Adoption in Europe and the US

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, David Deming, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln and Jonas Jessen

12583: Reforming Fossil Fuel Subsidies with Citizens' Approval: The Case of Colombia

Charlotte Sophia Bez, Jorge A. Bonilla, Brigitte Castañeda Rodríguez, Jorge H. García, Leonard Missbach, Farah Mohammadzadeh Valencia and Jan Steckel

12582: Carbon Taxes and ESG Compensation

Rainer Niemann and Anna Rohlfing-Bastian

12581: Homeownership and Aerosol Air Pollution

Frank Simmen and Bernd Süssmuth

12580: Him Too? Analyzing the Effects of Epstein Connections

Marina Gertsberg, Michaela Pagel and Ekaterina Volkova

12579: AI, Output, and Employment

Andrew Johnston and Christos A. Makridis

12578: Inflation Persistence in the SCO Countries: A Fractional Integration Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana, Oluwadare O. Ojo and Ruka O. Jimoh

12577: What Makes New Work Different from More Work?

David Autor, Caroline Chin, Anna Salomons and Bryan Seegmiller

12576: Political Determinants of the News Market: Novel Data and Quasi-Experimental Evidence from India

Julia Cagé, Guilhem Cassan and Francesca R. Jensenius

12575: Growing the Civic Mind: Civic Education, Civic Behavior, and Political Institutions

Enrico Rubolino

12574: Income Inequality and Campaign Contributions: Evidence from the 1986 Reagan Tax Cut

Valentino Larcinese and Alberto Parmigiani

12573: A Brave New World of Hiring: A Natural Field Experiment on How Asynchronous Interviews and AI Assessment Reshape Recruitment

Mallory Avery, Edwin Ip, Andreas Leibbrandt and Joseph Vecci

12572: Spinning Jennies and Silicon: The Economics of Innovating or Evaporating – Creative Destruction and Public Policies

Balázs Égert

12571: Estimating Passenger Benefits from Airline Service Quality: Nonstop vs. Connecting Flight Frequencies

Jan K. Brueckner and Ricardo Flores-Fillol

12570: Dynamic Adjustment to Trade Shocks

Junyuan Chen, Carlos Góes, Marc-Andreas Muendler and Fabian Trottner

12569: Gender Differences in Pension Investment: The Role of Biased Advice

Claudia Curi, Andreas Dibiasi, Matteo Ploner and Mirco Tonin

12568: Product Testing in Markets for Experience Goods

Florian Spitzer, Steffen Huck and Jean-Robert Tyran

12567: Safety Switches: The Macroeconomic Consequences of Time-Varying Asset Safety

Andrea Foschi

12566: Climate Change, Macroeconomic Factors and the Nigerian Indigenous Meat and Milk Industry: A Long-Memory Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Samuel Chibuzor Umeh, Faith Ani James and Luis Gil-Alana

12565: Gender Diversity Improves Performance but Reinforces Gendered Roles

Xiaoyue Shan

12564: Plurilateral Trade Agreements: A Complementary Margin to Preferential Liberalization

Lasha Chochua, James Lake and Gerald Willmann

12563: Effective Families or Effective Schools? Experimental Evidence on Fostering Children's Numeracy

Samuel Berlinski, Michele Giannola and Alessandro Toppeta

12562: Trump Tariffs and Persistence in Crude Oil Prices: A Long-Memory Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and Oluwadare O. Ojo

12561: How Economic Worries Affect Attitudes Towards Migration — Evidence from a Survey Experiment in Germany

Lena von Deylen, Erik Wengström and Philipp Christoph Wichardt

12560: Long Memory in Kenyan Commodity Prices

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Mwangi Victor Njoroge and Luis Gil-Alana

12559: Long-Run Linkages and Parameter Instability in the Gold–Silver Relationship, 2010–2025

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Antonio Fons Palomares and Luis Gil-Alana

12558: Do Elections Moderate or Polarize Political Rhetoric?

Tito Boeri, Nina Nikiforova and Guido Tabellini

12557: Trade, Commuting and City Structure

Pol Cosentino

12556: Monetary Policy and Interest rate Volatility – The Role of Inequality and Imperfect Credit Market

Sugata Marjit, Suryaprakash Mishra, Sanghita Mandal and Mayukh Basu

12555: Who Scores from Hosting Sports Events? Local Spending Evidence from the EURO 2024

Florian Dorn, Marie-Theres Gasser, Kevin Kloiber, Simon Krause and Carla Krolage

12554: Monopolistic Competition Under Horizontal and Vertical Differentiation

Sergey Kichko, Marco Marini, Riccardo D. Saulle and Jacques-François Thisse

12553: Energy Markets at War: The Effect of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine on Refinery Margins

Leonard Gregor and Justus Haucap

12552: Returns to Scale and Strategic Regimes in Innovation Races

Julia Müller and Thorsten Upmann

12551: It’s a Man’s World: Culture of Abuse, #Metoo and Worker Flows

Cyprien Batut, Caroline Coly and Sarah Schneider-Strawczynski

12550: Refugee Return

Joop Age Harm Adema, Cevat Giray Aksoy, Yvonne Giesing and Panu Poutvaara

12549: Heat Exposure and Mortality in Aotearoa New Zealand: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study

Siyi Lu, Ilan Noy and Daithi Stone

12548: Dynamic Investment and Product Market Rivalry: The Network Q Model

Maria Cecilia Bustamante and Bruno Pellegrino

12547: “Us vs Them”: Salient Conflict and Belief Polarization

Nicola Gennaioli, Frederik Schwerter and Guido Tabellini

12546: Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Labor Market Dynamics

Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

12545: The Economics of Age at School Entry: Insights from Evidence and Methods

Mariagrazia Cavallo, Elizabeth Dhuey, Luca Fumarco, Levi Halewyck and Simon ter Meulen

12544: On the Asymmetry Between Conflict and Development: Evidence from Sustainable Development Goals

Rabah Arezki and Hieu Nguyen

12542: Targeting Foundational Skills at Scale: Skill Specificity and Transfer

Andreas de Barros and Theresa Lubozha

12541: Compensation for Indirect Carbon Costs — Impacts on Electricity Efficiency, Production, and Emissions

Cathrine Hagem, Snorre Kverndokk and Knut Einar Rosendahl

12540: Renewable Investment and Electricity Rationing: Evidence from South Africa

Mario Liebensteiner and Johannes Paha

12539: Timing of Environmental Regulation and the Adoption of Low-Pollution Technologies: An Experiment

Lidia Vidal-Melia, Eva Camacho-Cuena, Till Requate and Israel Waichman

12538: Gender Role Attitudes and Marital Sorting: Implications for Household Inequality

Marco Francesconi, Cheti Nicoletti and Khushboo Surana

12537: Does Religiosity Make Communities More Economically Resilient? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Christos A. Makridis and Byron Johnson

12536: Lobbying for Regulations: When Big Business Says Yes

Luca Macedoni and Ariel Weinberger

12535: The Collection of High-Quality Online Data

Can Celebi, Christine Exley, Sören Harrs, Hannu Kivimaki, Marta Serra-Garcia and Jeffrey Yusof

12534: The Accuracy and Malleability of Parental Beliefs About Child Socio-Emotional Health

Audrey Bousselin, Isabelle Brocas, Giorgia Menta and Eugenio Proto

12533: Work from Home and Fertility

Cevat Giray Aksoy, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Katelyn Cranney, Steven J. Davis, Mathias Dolls and Pablo Zárate

12532: Graded for Life? Long-Run Impacts of High-Stakes Exam Thresholds

Petri Böckerman, Mika Haapanen, Christopher Jepsen and Hannu Karhunen

12531: Electrifying Mobility Reshapes Cities, Energy Demand, and Emissions in Emerging Economies

Julius Berger, Felix Creutzig and Waldemar Marz

12530: Demand and Supply Linkages in Exporting Multiproduct Firms

Carsten Eckel, Lisandra Flach and Ning Meng

12529: Human-Capital Shocks and Innovation: Evidence from Britain’s Lost Generation

Luca Repetto, Davide Cipullo, Edward Pinchbeck and Jan Bietenbeck

12528: R&D Strategies of Polluting Firms Facing an Emissions Tax: Cost Reduction Versus Pollution Abatement

Shoji Haruna, Rajeev Goel and Kenta Yoshioka

12527: The Sequencing of Import Tariffs and Emissions Taxes: Does the Timing Impact Economic Performance?

Shoji Haruna and Rajeev Goel

12526: Automation Under Constraints: Exchange Rates Interest Rates and Investment

Meghana Ayyagari, Vojislav Maksimovic, Rodimiro Rodrigo and Ariel Weinberger

12525: The Changing Landscape of International Development: An Introduction

Pascaline Dupas, Pinelopi Goldberg and Rohini Pande

12524: Trade Finance Use by Heterogeneous Firms

Francesca de Nicola, Alexandros Ragoussis, Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr and Trang Thu Tran

12523: Peer Gender Composition and University Climate

Silvia Griselda, Paola Profeta and Giulia Savio

12522: Expertise and Prediction Accuracy

Elisabeth Grewenig, Klaus Gründler, Philipp Lergetporer, Niklas Potrafke, Katharina Werner and Helen Zeidler

12521: The Content Moderator's Dilemma: Removal of Toxic Content and Distortions to Online Discourse

Mahyar Habibi, Dirk Hovy and Carlo Rasmus Schwarz

12520: Economic Exposure and Climate Policy Support

Inge van den Bijgaart, Jacob Jordaan and Tommaso Felici

12519: The Hidden Objectivism of Revealed-Preference Welfare Economics

Martin Kolmar

12518: The Unintended Costs of Early Retirement Policies: Evidence from Italy’s Quota 100 Reform

Raffaele Fiorentino and Simona Mandile

12517: Personnel Reform and the Federal Workforce

Alessandra Fenizia and Christos A. Makridis

12516: Financial Development, Credit Rationing and Informal Credit Markets: Implications for Pattern of Trade

Rashmi Ahuja and Sugata Marjit

12515: Life’s Big Decisions with AI Advice

Maryse Kathleen Ngangoue, Andrew Schotter and Bill Wang

12514: Co-Benefits of Substance Abuse Regulation on Temperature and Violent Crime

Filippo Pavanello and Guglielmo Zappalà

12513: Technology Adoption and Women’s Rights: Evidence from Switzerland

Björn Brey, Edoardo Cefala and Cecilia Garcia-Penalosa

12512: Sherlocking: The Effects of Platform-Owner Entry on the Competitive Behavior of Third-Party Firms

Benjamin Leyden

12511: Trade Liberalization and Third-Market Effects

Fabrice Defever and Emanuel Ornelas

12510: Tariffs and Firm Expectations

Klaus Abberger, Arbërim Bibaj, Hans Gersbach, Alexis Perakis, Alexander Rathke, Samad Sarferaz and Kieran Walsh

12509: Informal Economy and Trade in the Agricultural Sector

Shahroo Malik, Harald Oberhofer and Jordi Paniagua

12508: Does AI Cheapen Talk? Theory and Evidence From Global Entrepreneurship and Hiring

Bo Cowgill, Pablo Hernandez-Lagos and Nataliya Langburd Wright