CESifo Working Paper Series

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12231: Rare Disasters, Tail Aversion, and Asset Pricing Puzzles

Gerrit Meyerheim

12230: Uncertainty and Investments in Data and R&D

Siavash Mohades and Maria Savona

12229: Interviews

Elliott Ash, Soumitra Shukla and Jason Sockin

12228: The Marginal Equity-Adjusted Cost of Public Funds

Katinka Kristine Holtsmark and Åsmund Sunde Valseth

12227: The Long-Term Effects of Rank in Elementary School

Elizabeth Dhuey, A. Abigail Payne and Justin Smith

12226: Funding and Defunding Military Spending - 200 Years of Evidence

Armin A. Bolouri, Tim Lohse and Salmai Qari

12225: Contemporaneous and Lagged 𝑅2 Decomposed Connectedness: Evidence for Stock Market Indices, Thematic ETFs, Bitcoin, Brent Crude Oil and Geopolitical Risks

Fekria Belhouichet, Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana

12224: The GATT vs Inflation: Tokyo Drift

Andrew Greenland, James Lake and John Lopresti

12223: Does Local Diversity Affect Charitable Giving?

Barış Yörük

12222: Unintended Consequences of Immigration Reform: Marriage Market, Intra-Household Bargaining, and Well-Being

Giulia Briselli and Wookun Kim

12221: Evaluating Search Cost Models: Estimation and Prediction

Adrian Düll, Heiko Karle, Simon Martin and Heiner Schumacher

12220: Populist Ideology, Policy and the Real Economy: Walking the Stick

Ege Asutay, Christopher Ball and Andreas Freytag

12219: A Loan You Can’t Refuse: Credit Rationing and Organized Crime Infiltration of Distressed Firms

Gianmarco Daniele, Marco De Simoni, Domenico J. Marchetti, Giovanna Marcolongo and Paolo Pinotti

12218: Dynamic Platform Competition 'In' and 'For' the Market

Axel Gautier and Jean-Christophe Poudou

12217: Intersecting Shocks: The Combined Labor Market Impacts of Automation and Immigration

Patrick Bennett and Julian Vedeler Johnsen

12216: Household Inflation Uncertainty and Wage Growth Expectations

Philip Schnattinger and Prachi Srivastava

12215: Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?

Lukas Hack and Davud Rostam-Afschar

12214: The Rise of Refinery Margins: The Case of the Energy Tax Cut in Germany

Leonard Gregor and Justus Haucap

12213: Heterogeneous Patience, Population Growth, and Wealth Accumulation

Stéphane Bouché and Mikhail Pakhnin

12212: Why Do Supply Disruptions Lead to Inflation? Survey Evidence from the COVID Pandemic

Thomas Andreas Kohler, Jean-Paul L’Huillier, Gregory Phelan and Maximilian Weiß

12211: The Impact of Cellphone Bans in Schools on Student Outcomes: Evidence from Florida

David N. Figlio and Umut Özek

12210: Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Okan Akarsu, Emrehan Aktuğ and Huzeyfe Torun

12209: Belief Distortions and Uncertainty About Inflation

Stefano Fasani, Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni, Valeria Patella and Lorenza Rossi

12208: Meritocracy Across Countries

Oriana Bandiera, Ananya Kotia, Ilse Lindenlaub, Christian Moser and Andrea Prat

12207: The Recent Decline in the Physical Stature of the U.S. Population Parallels the Diminution in the Rate of Increase in Life Expectancy

John Komlos

12206: Experiencing Carbon Pricing

Stefano Carattini, Ian Fletcher, Chad Kendall, Michael K. Price and Arthur Vu

12205: What Are the Effects of Macroeconomic Rates of Return of Investment on Wage Share?

José Alves, José Carlos Coelho and Bernardete Moreira

12204: The Demand for Economic Narratives

Sebastian Blesse, Klaus Gründler, Philipp Heil and Henning Hermes

12203: Equilibrium Trade Regimes: Power- vs. Rules-Based

Cecilia Carvalho, Daniel Monte and Emanuel Ornelas

12202: Shift or Share? Anatomy of Profit Shifting and Distributional Effects on Workers

Giulia Aliprandi, Alice Chiocchetti, Manon Francois and Laure Heidmann

12201: Generative AI and Firm Productivity: Field Experiments in Online Retail

Lu Fang, Zhe Yuan, Kaifu Zhang, Dante Donati and Miklos Sarvary

12200: On the Heresthetics of Salience: Competing over Voters’ Attention

Antonella Ianni, Margarita Katsimi and Helia Marreiros

12199: Populist Policymakers

Thushyanthan Baskaran, Zohal Hessami and Alexander Sohl

12198: Strategic Uncertainty and Sequential Play

Ala Avoyan and Daniela Valdivia

12197: The Long-Term Effects of Air Pollution on Health and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Socialist East Germany

Moritz Lubczyk and Maria Waldinger

12196: Climbing the Ladder: The Intergenerational Mobility of Second-Generation Immigrants in France

Simone Moriconi, Mikaël Pasternak, Ahmed Tritah and Nadiya Ukrayinchuk

12195: The Role of Fairness Ideals in Coordination Failure and Success

Andrzej Baranski, Ernesto Reuben and Arno Riedl

12194: Historical Newspaper Markets

Davide Cipullo, Luca V.A. Colombo, Michele Magnani and Massimiliano Gaetano Onorato

12193: Status Seeking Taxpayer and Tax Evasion

Sugata Marjit, Koushik Hati and Lei Yang

12192: Fiscal Drag in Theory and in Practice: A European Perspective

Esteban Garcia-Miralles, Maximilian Freier, Sara Riscado, Chrysa Leventi, Alberto Mazzoni, Glenn Abela, Laura Boyd, Baiba Brusbārde, Marion Cochard, David Cornille, Emanuele Dicarlo, Ian Debattista, Mar Delgado-Téllez, Mathias Dolls, Ludmila Fadejeva, Maria Flevotomou, Florian Henne, Alena Harrer-Bachleitner, Viktor Jaszberenyi-Kiraly, Max Lay, Laura Lehtonen, Mauro Mastrogiacomo, Tara McIndoe Calder, Mathias Moeser, Martin Nevický, Andreas Peichl, Myroslav Pidkuyko, Mojca Roter, Frederique Savignac, Andreja Strojan Kastelec, Vaidotas Tuzikas, Nikos Ventouris and Lara Wemans

12191: Bend It like Bolsonaro: Global Evidence on the Effect of Populism on Constitutional Compliance

Jerg Gutmann and Martin Rode

12190: On the Back Burner: Experimental Evidence for Energy Transitions

Meera Mahadevan, Adrian Martinez, Ryan McCord, Robyn Meeks and Manisha Pradhananga

12189: Parental Leave and Intimate Partner Violence

Dan Anderberg, Line Hjorth Andersen, N. Meltem Daysal and Mette Ejrnæs

12188: Unbundling the Effects of College on First-Job Search: Returns to Majors, Minors, and Extracurriculars

Jaime Arellano-Bover, Carolina Bussotti, John M. Nunley and R. Alan Seals

12187: Transshipment Hubs, Trade, and Supply Chains

Anh Do, Sharat Ganapati, Woan Foong Wong and Oren Ziv

12186: Fiscal Policy and Politicians’ Term Length

Davide Cipullo, Federico Franzoni and Jonas Klarin

12185: The Tragedy of the Common Heating Bill

Harald Mayr and Mateus Souza

12184: Gratitude in Fundraising: Do "Thank You in Advance" and Handwritten Thank-You Notes Impact Fundraising Success?

Maja Adena, Levent Neyse and Steffen Huck

12183: Worker Beliefs About Firm Training

Hanna Brosch, Philipp Lergetporer and Florian Schoner

12182: Culture and Constitutional Compliance

Jerg Gutmann, Anna Lewczuk-Czerwińska, Jacek Lewkowicz and Stefan Voigt

12181: Inequality and Market Power: Evidence from the United States and China

Yumin Hu, Luca Macedoni and Mingzhi (Jimmy) Xu

12180: Drivers of New Business Creation in the OECD: The Role of Education and Taxation

Antonio Afonso, M. Carmen Blanco-Arana and Ana J. Cisneros-Ruiz

12179: The 2025 Trade War: Dynamic Impacts Across U.S. States and the Global Economy

Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, Feodora A. Teti, Mauricio Ulate, Jose P. Vasquez, Roman D. Zarate, Feodora Teti and Feodora Teti

12178: Conflict and Democratic Preferences

Nicole Stoelinga and Tuuli Tähtinen

12177: Power and Values: The Gap Between Capitalist Mindsets and Capitalism

J. Atsu Amegashie

12176: Decomposing Comparative Development 1880-2020: A Quantitative Dynamic Analysis

Matteo Cervellati, Gerrit Meyerheim and Uwe Sunde

12175: Range Effects in Economic Choice: The Role of Complexity

Tommaso Bondi, Daniel Csaba, Evan Friedman and Salvatore Nunnari

12174: Income, Democracy, and Growth: Reconciling Evidence and Theory

Matteo Cervellati, Gerrit Meyerheim and Uwe Sunde

12173: Gender Gaps in Patience, Risk-Taking, Trust, and Prosociality Have Declined Across Birth Cohorts

Rainer Kotschy and Uwe Sunde

12172: Bargaining Over Taxes

Daniel Overbeck and Eliya Lungu

12171: Persistence in Stock Returns: Robotics and AI ETFs Versus Other Assets

Fekria Belhouichet, Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana

12170: Bridging the Ambition Gap in Climate Policy: The Emissions Reduction Potential of Bilateral Emissions Trading Under Article 6.2 of the Paris Agreement

Christoph Böhringer, Carsten Helm and Laura Schürer

12169: Not All Leisure Is Created Equal: Income-Induced Constraints on the Enjoyment of Leisure

Leila Gautham, Clemens Hetschko and Peter Howley

12168: You Get What You Pay For: Electricity Quality and Firm Dynamics

Meera Mahadevan

12167: The Impact of Interest: Firms' Investment Sensitivity to Interest Rates

Lea Best, Benjamin Born and Manuel Menkhoff

12166: The Curse of Flexibility Under Uncertainty

Engin Kara

12165: Ex Ante Heterogeneity, Separations, and Labor Market Dynamics

César Barreto and Christian Merkl

12163: A Tale of Two Startups: The Loss and Gain of Startups in the U.S. Economy in the Pandemic

Robert Fairlie, Frank M. Fossen, Ke Lyu and Robert W. Fairlie

12162: The Labor Market Consequences of Acquisitions

Jakob Beuschlein, Jósef Sigurdsson and Horng Chern Wong

12161: Clean Hydrogen Pathways: Expert Projections from Australia and Implications for the World

Zarah Thiel, Reza Fazeli, Frank Jotzo and Andreas Löschel

12160: Shaping Future Success: Evidence from an Early Childhood Human Capital Formation Intervention

Deepak Saraswat, Shwetlena Sabarwal, Lindsey Lacey, Natasha Jha, Nishith Prakash and Rachel Cohen

12159: Incorporating Non-Unitary Income Elasticities, Choke Prices and Choke Incomes into Applied General-Equilibrium Models

James R. Markusen

12158: Data, Power and Emissions: The Environmental Cost of AI

Alessandra Bonfiglioli, Rosario Crinò, Mattia Filomena and Gino Gancia

12157: Religious Barriers to Birth Control Access

Olivier Marie and Esmée Zwiers

12156: Endogenous Discounting and Economic Dynamics

Kirill Borissov, Stefano Bosi, Thai Ha-Huy, Nguyen Van-Quy and Mikhail Pakhnin

12155: Identity and Institutional Change: Evidence from First Names in Germany, 1700–1850

Matthias Weigand, Cathrin Mohr and Davide Cantoni

12154: Deception Aversion

Béla Elmshauser, Evan Friedman and Yoon Joo Jo

12153: Grouping by Achievement: The Importance of Ordinal Rank and Tutors’ Instructional Practices Evidence from a Large Norwegian Field Experiment

Hans Bonesrønning and Jon Marius

12152: Covariate Balancing and the Equivalence of Weighting and Doubly Robust Estimators of Average Treatment Effects

Tymon Słoczyński, Derya Uysal and Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

12151: Asylum Seekers, New Businesses, and Job Creation

Zohal Hessami, Sebastian Schirner and Clara Wobbe

12150: Work-from-Home and Wage Convergence Across Cities: An Exploration

Jan K. Brueckner and David Agrawal

12149: Taxing Corporate or Shareholder Income

Kristoffer Berg

12148: Luck Or Effort: Perceptions of the Role of Circumstances in Education and Demand for Targeted Spending

Elisabeth Grewenig, Katharina Wedel and Katharina Werner

12147: Identity as Self-Image

Roland Bénabou and Luca Henkel

12146: Renewable Energy Supply Shocks from Wind Electricity

Paula Patzelt

12145: Geopolitical Risk and Global Banking

Friederike Niepmann and Leslie Sheng Shen

12144: Distorted Prices and Targeted Taxes in the New Keynesian Network Model

Anastasiia Antonova and Gernot Müller

12143: Tail Connectedness Between Robotics and AI ETFs and Traditional Us Assets Under Different Market Conditions: A Quantile Var Approach

Fekria Belhouichet, Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Luis Gil-Alana

12142: Travel Shocks to the Chinese Economy: A Fractional Integration Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Gloria Claudio-Quiroga, Luis Gil-Alana and Andoni Maiza-Larrarte

12141: Gender Differences in University Enrollment and STEM Major: The Role of Tuition Policy in Australia

Katherine Cuff, Ana Gamarra Rondinel and A. Abigail Payne

12140: There Goes the Neighborhood? The Local Impacts of State Policies That Override Municipal Zoning

Hector Blanco and Noémie Sportiche

12139: The EU’s New Expenditure Rule and Its Implications for Monetary Policy

Vasilki Dimakopoulou, George Economides and Apostolis Philippopoulos

12138: Globalization and Gender Equality

Klaus Gründler, Niklas Potrafke, Ramona Schmid and Jan-Egbert Sturm

12137: The Changing Nature of International Trade and Its Implications for Development

Pinelopi Goldberg and Michele Ruta

12136: Political Capitalism vs the Public Interest: Influence in the Presence of Checks and Balances

Stergios Skaperdas and Samarth Vaidya

12135: Guns, Lawyers, and Markets: On Economic and Political Consequences of Costly Conflict

Stergios Skaperdas and Samarth Vaidya

12134: Flexclusivity: Exclusive Agreements with Competitive Flexibility

Philippe Choné and Laurent Linnemer

12133: Geopolitical Risk and Extreme Spillovers Among Oil-Based Energy Commodities

Evžen Kočenda, Peter Albrecht and Daniel Pastorek

12132: Corporate Crime in European Emerging Markets

Ichiro Iwasaki and Evžen Kočenda

12131: Workplace Peer Effects in Fertility Decisions

Maria De Paola, Roberto Nisticò and Vincenzo Scoppa