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CESifo Working Paper Series

From CESifo
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13043: Global Flood Risk in the 2026/27 El Niño: An Empirical Estimate from the Historical Relationship Downloads
Stephane Hallegatte
13042: Will Fixed Book Prices Fix It? Common Agency and Vertical Integration of Publishers and Bookstores Downloads
Kurt R. Brekke, Odd Rune Straume and Lars Sørgard
13041: Return-to-Work Policies for Disability Insurance Recipients: The Role of Financial Incentives Downloads
Guida Ayza Estopà, Bart Cockx, Sébastien Fontenay and Ilan Tojerow
13040: Access to Jobs and Individual Labor Market Outcomes Downloads
Andreas Mense, Wolfgang Dauth and Matthias Wrede
13039: Financial Inclusion: A Meta-analytic Evidence from Global Research Downloads
Samuel Fiifi Eshun and Evžen Kočenda
13038: Justifying Sustainability While Taming Longtermism: A Pluralistic Approach to Intergenerational Justice Downloads
Geir B. Asheim and Wolfgang Buchholz
13037: Oil Prices and Global Activity in a General Equilibrium Model with Dynamic Elasticities Downloads
Romain Houssa and Jolan Mohimont
13036: Repression, Exit, and Dissent in an Autocracy Downloads
Max Deter, Kalle Kappner and Hans Lueders
13035: Double Selection in Causal Inference Downloads
Christian Alemán, Christopher Busch, Raül Santaeulàlia-Llopis and Tetyana Surovtseva
13034: Opportunity-Sensitive Social Welfare Downloads
Tim Wienand, Brice Magdalou, Richard Nock and Paul Hufe
13033: Platform Liability, Product Safety and Optimal Pricing Downloads
Herbert Dawid, Ali Kashefi and Gerd Muehlheusser
13032: Disruption in the Classroom: Experimental Evidence from Ecuador Downloads
Pedro Carneiro, Yyannu Cruz-Aguayo, Francesca Salvati and Norbert Schady
13031: Sorting in a Market for Lemons Downloads
Xiaoming Cai and Pieter Gautier
13030: Everyone Is a Manager: AI Use as an Act of Management Downloads
Benjamin T. Leyden and Daniela Scur
13029: How Knowledge Crosses Borders: Evidence from Semiconductor Manufacturing Downloads
Pinelopi Goldberg, Reka Juhasz, Giulia Lo Forte and Jeff Thurk
13028: Optimal Paternalistic Regulation of Markets Downloads
Julien Combe and Yves Le Yaouanq
13027: Rotating Leadership and Coalitional Stability Downloads
Ola Andersson, Carlos Kurschilgen, Michael Kurschilgen and Daniel Spiro
13026: A Cyclical Long Memory Model for US Unemployment Downloads
Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Sergio Di Nallo Serrano, Sergio E. García Bermejo and Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana
13025: Do Agricultural Price Shocks Persist? A Fractional Integration Analysis for the MENA Agricultural Markets Downloads
Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana and Oluwadare O. Ojo
13024: Dynamic Risk Externalities, Institutional Inertia, and the Limits of Viability Downloads
Ingrid Ott and Susanne Soretz
13023: Integrated vs. Separated Schooling for Refugee Children: Long-Term Effects on Education and Assimilation Downloads
Caterina Pavese, Simon ter Meulen and Ludger Woessmann
13022: Long-Run Trends in the Age of Labor Market Entry Downloads
Isabella Mantel and Regina T. Riphahn
13021: Gang Crackdowns Downloads
Nikita Melnikov, Carlos Schmidt-Padilla and María Micaela Sviatschi
13020: AI-driven Technological Progress, Finite Change and Wages Downloads
Rajat Acharyya, Hamid Beladi, Gouranga G. Das, Shrimoyee Ganguly and Sugata Marjit
13019: Capital-Skill Complementarity Beyond Firm Boundaries Downloads
Gert Bijnens, Anders Humlum and Stijn Vanormelingen
13018: The Influence of the Vocal Few: Evidence from Social Media Comments Downloads
Dante Donati and Lena Song
13017: Childhood, Well-Being and Fairness Downloads
Marie-Louise Leroux, Pierre Pestieau and Gregory Ponthiere
13016: Long-Term Care with Myopia Downloads
Justina Klimaviciute, Pierre Pestieau and Jerome Schoenmaeckers
13015: The Invisible Continent. Counting the Missing Poor in Developing Countries Downloads
Mathieu Lefebvre, Harun Onder, Pierre Pestieau, Gregory Ponthière and Emi Suzuki
13014: The Contribution of International Master Students to Entrepreneurship in the World Downloads
Michel Beine, Giovanni Peri, Morgan Raux and Lilie Timricht
13013: Dividend Taxes and the Passage to Maturity Downloads
Paolo M. Panteghini
13012: Organizing Expertise with Externalities: Evidence from Primary Care Downloads
Amanda Dahlstrand, Shan Huang, Nestor Le Nestour and Guy Michaels
13011: Carbon Dioxide Removal and Mitigation Deterrence: A Tractable Benchmark Model Downloads
Daniel Heyen, Joshua Bißbort and Frederik Holtel
13010: When the Right to Work from Home Works Downloads
Marco Alberto De Benedetto, Maria De Paola and Marco Francesconi
13009: Hedging Trade-Cost Uncertainty Downloads
Hartmut Egger, Peter Egger, Katharina Erhardt and Leandro Navarro
13008: Collateral Advantage: Exchange Rates, Capital Flows, and Global Cycles Downloads
Michael B. Devereux, Charles Engel and Steve Pak Yeung Wu
13007: Quantifying Non-Tariff Barriers: Brexit, Input Sourcing and Firm Performance Downloads
Gustaf Dillner, Rebecca Freeman, Kalina B. Manova and Thomas Sampson
13006: Will AI Help or Hurt Work and the Economy? What People Around the World Expect Downloads
Claudia Bruschi, Francesco D'Acunto, Fiorella De Fiore, Damiano Sandri and Michael Weber
13005: Social Sorting and Political Cleavages: Evidence from 2.5 Million Electoral Candidates Downloads
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Carlos Sanz
13004: Birth, Life, and Death of AI Models Downloads
Aaron P. Kaye, Kazimier Smith and Neil Thompson
13003: Educating like China Downloads
Federica Coelli, Difei Ouyang, Weidi Yuan and Yuan Zi
13002: Local Trade Wars Downloads
Wei Li, Jie Ouyang, Bin Qiu, Zi Wang and Yuan Zi
13001: AI Events, Persistence, and Volatility in US Utility and AI-Exposed Stocks: The AI-Power Channel Downloads
Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana and Alex Medina Sosa
13000: AI Intensity and Financial Market Responses to Economic Shocks: Evidence from US Industries Downloads
Christina Anderl and Guglielmo Maria Caporale
12999: The Stories We Tell: Societal Narratives and Support for the Far Right Downloads
Malte Baader, Kai Barron, Anna Hochleitner and Jonas P. Kaiser
12998: Shipping to America Downloads
Xiwen Bai, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Ricardo Marto, Yiliang Li and Francesco Zanetti
12997: Terra Incognita: The Economics of a Shrinking World Downloads
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Patrick Norrick
12996: Who Benefits from Copyright? The Evidence So Far and a Research Agenda Downloads
Christian Peukert
12995: Inheritance Customs and the European Marriage Pattern Downloads
Matthew Curtis, Paula E. Gobbi, Marc Goñi and Joanne Haddad
12994: The Early Impacts of AI on Employment Among Recent College Graduates Downloads
Robert Fairlie and Jane Wu
12993: Assessing Hypothetical Scenarios for Estimating Labor Supply Responses: Evidence from a Pension Reform Downloads
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Jonas Jessen, Pinchuan Ong and Jessica Pan
12992: Occupational License Portability and the Misallocation of Labor Downloads
Mark Colas
12991: Implications of Inflation Forecast Targeting for Fiscal Policy Downloads
Zeno Enders and Sophia Oberbrinkmann
12990: Inherited Repugnance: Slavery's Legacy on Market Acceptance in Benin Downloads
Marco Fabbri, Nicola Lacetera and Plinio Limata
12989: So Far Away? Hiring Discrimination Against Female Commuters Downloads
Sascha Becker, Ana Fernandes, Nurlan Lalayev and Doris Weichselbaumer
12988: Flexible Demand Estimation with Search Data Downloads
Tomomichi Amano, Markus Brobeil, Andrew Rhodes and Stephan Seiler
12987: Optimal Taxation with Migration and Regional Externalities Downloads
Eren Gürer
12986: Patents, Pay and People: How Innovation Reshapes the Workforce Downloads
Çiğdem Ekiz, Eren Gürer and Erol Taymaz
12985: Is It a Lie If I Don’t Know? Mechanisms and Mitigation of Dishonesty Under Ignorance Downloads
Sven A. Simon
12984: Voice AI in Firms: A Natural Field Experiment on Automated Job Interviews Downloads
Brian Jabarian and Luca Henkel
12983: (How) Do We Teach Emotions? Downloads
Anjali Adukia, Matthew Bonci, Paula Dastres Gallardo, Emileigh Harrison, Jake Nicoll and Teodora Szasz
12982: Comparative Statics of Information Acquisition and Risk Aversion Downloads
Antonio Cabrales, Gregorio Curello, Olivier Gossner and Roberto Serrano
12981: Recommendation Quality and the Concentration of Consumption: Experimental Evidence from Netflix Downloads
Guy Aridor, Winston Chou, Nathan Kallus, Antoine Scheid, Allen Tran and Kevin Zielnicki
12980: The Fed Put and Bank Risk-Taking: Evidence from the Loan Book Downloads
Xudong An, Jan Harren, Saket Hegde, Mete Kilic and Rodney Ramcharan
12979: The Long Term Effects of School Prayer Downloads
Benjamin W. Arold, Afonso Alves Monteiro and Constantine Yannelis
12978: Consistent Non-Utilitarian Welfare Weights Downloads
Katy Bergstrom and William Dodds
12977: Income, Wealth, and Redistribution in a Tax Haven: Distributional National Accounts for Switzerland Downloads
Enea Baselgia, Remo Gurtner, Julian Koller and Isabel Z. Martínez
12976: Risk Perceptions as a Multivariate System: Crowding Out, Affect Generalization, and Heterogeneous Belief Updating Downloads
Armin A. Bolouri, Tim Lohse and Salmai Qari
12975: Regulatory Delay, Uncertainty, and the Cost of Foreign Investment Screening Downloads
Phillip McCalman and Andrew Walter
12974: The Dynamics of Household Financial Fragility: Natural Disasters and Asymmetric Regime Transitions Downloads
Peter Grajzl and Benedikt Wick
12973: Natural Resources, Democracy, and Labour-Market Outcomes in the Public Sector Downloads
Tania Masi and Roberto Ricciuti
12972: Zero-Shot Conditional Forecasting and the Information Content of Central Bank Paths Downloads
Vegard H. Larsen and Leif Anders Thorsrud
12971: Minimum Wages and Race Disparities Downloads
David Neumark and Jyotsana Kala
12970: The Costs and Benefits of Mediocrity: Endogenous Auction Design in Procurement Downloads
Frank Stähler and Andrea Tulli
12969: Childcare for Informal-Sector Workers: Delivery Models, Access, and Welfare Downloads
Jacklyn Makaaru Arinaitwe, George Bogere, Anna Fiore, Sylvan Herskowitz, Megan Lang, Francis Mwesigye and Tracy Nalumansi
12968: Male Dominance and Cultural Extinction Downloads
Eleonora Guarnieri and Ana Tur-Prats
12967: Political Rupture and the Origins of Secularization: Evidence from the French Revolution Downloads
Rabah Arezki and Dao Van Le
12966: Moving the Quality Needle? Provider Choice, Waiting Times, and Clinical Outcomes Downloads
Joan Costa-i-Font and Juan David Garcia Corchero
12965: Beyond Optimization and Blind Selection: Reflexive Agency in Economic Evolution Downloads
Dennis J. Snower
12964: Systemic Runs and the Dimension of Financial Fragility Downloads
Gerrit Meyerheim
12963: Control without Ownership: Public Insurance, Firm Boundaries, and Buyer Authority in Fixed-Factor Supply Chains Downloads
Gerrit Meyerheim
12962: Post-Defense Returns: Dynamic Strategic States and the Value of Low-Return Actions Downloads
Gerrit Meyerheim
12961: Beyond the Facts: Familiarity, Credibility, and Persuasion Downloads
Evangelos Dioikitopoulos, Rigissa Megalokonomou, Tommaso Sartori and Yves Zenou
12960: The Role of AI in Online Reviews Downloads
Valeria Lermana, Oren Rigbi and Yaniv Dover
12959: Rust in Motion: The Political Environmental Trap of Vehicle Tax Exemptions Downloads
Gabriel Facundes Monteiro and Edson R. Severnini
12958: Neonatal Health and Long-Term Outcomes: Twin-Based Evidence From Linked Scandinavian Registers Downloads
Evelina Björkegren, Aline Bütikofer, Gabriella Conti, Marten Palme and Kjell G Salvanes
12957: The Intangible Economy Downloads
Radek Šauer
12956: Call It Femicide: Legal Recognition, Victim Protection, and Domestic Violence Downloads
Rui Costa, Olivia Masi, Beatriz Ribeiro and Matteo Sandi
12955: The STEM Next Door: Early Exposure to Science-Trained Neighbors and Long-Run Outcomes Downloads
Petter Lundborg and Adrian Nieto
12954: Economic Preferences Predict Higher-Education Choices Downloads
Thomas F. Epper, Ernst Fehr, Kristoffer B. Hvidberg, Claus T. Kreiner, Søren Leth-Petersen and Basit Zafar
12953: Carbon Taxation and Firm Behavior in Emerging Economies: Evidence from South Africa Downloads
Johannes Gallé, Rodrigo Oliveira, Daniel Overbeck, Nadine Riedel and Edson R. Severnini
12952: A Model of Global Firms and Capital Markets Downloads
Loukas Karabarbounis, Bruno Pellegrino and Juliana Salomao
12951: Pensions and Turbulence: Automatic Adjustment, Risk, and Fairness in Long-Term Pension Design Downloads
Peter Diamond
12950: Modeling Supply-Chain and Transport Resilience to Climate Risks: Lessons from Four Regions Downloads
Celian Colon and Stephane Hallegatte
12949: Trade Fragmentation, International Cartels, and Welfare: How Does Domestic Market Structure Matter? Downloads
Delina E. Agnosteva, Constantinos Syropoulos and Yoto Yotov
12948: Perceived Protection: Tariff Spillovers to Product Substitutes in the Used Car Market Downloads
Sebastien Bradley, Mian Dai, Blaize Giangiulio and Yoto Yotov
12947: Perverse Trade Sanction Effects Downloads
Gabriel Felbermayr, Ohyun Kwon, Constantinos Syropoulos and Yoto Yotov
12946: Chained Indices Unchained: Structural Transformation and the Welfare Foundations of Income Growth Measurement Downloads
Omar Licandro and Juan Ignacio Vizcaino
12945: News Consumption in the Digital Age Downloads
Francesco Capozza, Ingar Haaland, Christopher Roth and Johannes Wohlfart
12944: Agriculture, Land Use and Optimal Second-Best Environmental and Climate Policy with Greenhouse Gas Leakage Downloads
Peter K. Kruse-Andersen, Peter Birch Sørensen, Anders Pretzmann Gotfredsen, Francesco Clora and Wusheng Yu
Page updated 2026-10-09
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