CESifo Working Paper Series

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12874: Moral Characters: Social Media and Elections in the US

Edoardo Grillo, Juan S. Morales and Alessandra Moresi

12873: Legal Threats and Online Dissent: Evidence from Social Media Regulation in Turkey

Arvind Magesan, Juan S. Morales and Arieda Muço

12872: Carbon Crediting When Better Measurement Is Not Enough

Daniel Heyen and Frederik Holtel

12871: The Economic Impacts of Hurricanes on Fisheries in the United States

Renato Molina, Juan Carlos Villaseñor-Derbez and Juan Agar

12870: Religious Upbringing and Adult Human Development: Longitudinal Evidence from 22 Study Sites

Christos A. Makridis

12869: Russia’s Wartime Economy: Measuring Regional Inequalities from Outer Space

Irakli Barbakadze, Jan Fidrmuc, Martin Hulényi and Ketevani Kapanadze

12868: MICHELE: The Computation of Healthy Life Expectancy from Mortality Schedules

Astrid Krenz and Holger Strulik

12867: Healthy Life Expectancy for Individuals

Astrid Krenz and Holger Strulik

12866: The Best Buy? From Global Evidence to Government Practice

Hosam Ibrahim, Andreas de Barros, Sarah Deschênes and Paul Glewwe

12865: How Does the Cost of Capital Affect Oil Production?

Helena Cordt, Julien Daubanes, Yiding Ma and Julien Xavier Daubanes

12864: Smartphones and Children's Mental Health

Gregory F. Veramendi

12863: Changing Gender Norms Across Generations: Evidence from a Paternity Leave Reform

Lídia Farré, Christina Felfe, Libertad González and Patrick Schneider

12862: Emergent Strategic Behaviour in a Macroeconomic Agent-Based Model with Reinforcement Learning

Domenico Delli Gatti, Andrea Coletta, Aldo Glielmo, Filippo Gusella, Enrico Maria Turco and Alessia Lo Turco

12861: Political Capture and Bureaucratic Behavior: Evidence from Mafia-Infiltrated Municipalities

Maria Carreri, Davide Cipullo, Marco Le Moglie and Alberto Perego

12860: Coal in Order to Reach Renewables: Carbon Capture, Synthetic Fuels, and the Atmospheric Ceiling

Mireille Chiroleu-Assouline and Michel Moreaux

12859: Platform Power in News Aggregation

Andrey Simonov, Daniil Mikhailov, Ruben Enikolopov and Ruben Durante

12858: Who Competes for Whom? Monopsony in Ability-Segregated Labor Markets

Luca Lorenzini

12857: Majority Lost: Global Evidence and Field Experiments on Electoral Miscoordination

Francesco Capozza, Ruben Durante and Siddharth George

12856: Disambiguating Information Interventions: Recovering Beliefs and Ambiguity Attitudes from Virtual Twins

Aurelien Baillon, Francesco Capozza and Vahid Moghani

12855: Social Media Toxicity and Mental Health

George Beknazar-Yuzbashev, Francesco Capozza, Kylan Rutherford and Mateusz Stalinski

12854: Polarized Media and Inflation Expectations

Selva Demiralp, Orkun Saka and Michael Weber

12853: A Regressive Shock? The Distributional Consequences of Middle East Conflict-Driven Inflation for German Households

Michael Christl, Andreas Peichl and Tiphaine Wibault

12852: Do Markets Deliver? Competition and Choice in European Healthcare Markets

Carol Propper

12851: The Price of Regulatory Risk in Housing Markets: Evidence from Berlin

Mathias Dolls, Clemens Fuest, David Gstrein, Carla Krolage and Florian Neumeier

12850: Expert Inflation Preferences and the Evaluation of Monetary Policy

Timo Wochner, Lukas Hack and Niklas Potrafke

12849: Belief Disagreement, Instability, and Uncertainty under Stochastic Recall

Pei Kuang, Li Tang, Michael Weber and Michael Weber

12848: Trust but Verify: Benchmarking Gallup World Poll Employment Data Against the EU-Labour Force Survey

Ioannis Laliotis and Christos A. Makridis

12847: Behavioral Environmental Economics

Matthias Rodemeier and Christoph Semken

12846: Clause and Effect: Theory and Field Experimental Evidence on Noncompete Clauses

Bo Cowgill, Brandon Freiberg and Evan Starr

12845: Taxing Cross-Border Services

Shafik Hebous, Brendan Crowley, Rasmi Das, Tibor Hanappi, Cory Hillier, Adam Jakubik, Eric Robert and Christophe Waerzeggers

12844: Preference Shocks and Policy Responses to Transition Risk

Stefano Carattini, Givi Melkadze and Inès Mourelon

12843: The Sound of Streaming: Globalization and Acoustic Convergence in Popular Music Markets

Klaus Wohlrabe and Gerome Wolf

12842: Detecting Critical Junctures as They Unfold: Foundations, Measurement, and Applications from 120 Years of Reporting

Michael J. Callen, Gregory Levy, Saipremnath Muthukumaran, Jonathan Weigel and Noam Yuchtman

12841: Firms as Foragers

Vasco Carvalho, Lukas Freund and Lukas B. Freund

12840: Persistence in Remittances: Evidence from Africa and Latin America

Luis Rodrigo Asturias, Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana and Carlos Ramirez

12839: Motivating Job Seekers. A Field Experiment

Bart Cockx, Johan Egebark, Greet Van Hoye, Emilie Videnord and Johan Vikström

12838: Peatland Rewetting for Climate Change Mitigation

Dewy Verhoeven, Deniz Kilic, Suphi Sen and Hans-Peter Weikard

12837: Putting AI to the Test: Evidence from a Large-Scale RCT in Rural China

Yue Ma, Tianli Feng, Robert W. Fairlie, Chengfang Liu, Prashant Loyalka, Scott Rozelle and Xinwu Zhang

12836: From Fuel Dependence to Network Dependence: Cross-Border Electricity Interdependence and Strategic Vulnerability in Europe's Energy Transition

José Alves and João Estevão

12835: Divergent Perceptions, Divergent Pay: Inflation and the Gender Wage Gap

Lovisa Reiche and Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli

12834: Transport Mode and the Geography of Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Davide Del Prete, Aminur Rahman and Edoardo Tolva

12833: Do Microenterprises Maximize Profits? A Nonrandomized Vegetable-Market Experiment in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Greg Fischer, Dean S. Karlan, Matt Lowe, Benjamin Roth and Matthew Lowe

12832: Sovereign Ratings and Risk Pricing, Agency Divergences in the European Union

Antonio Afonso, José Alves, Periklis Gogas and Theophilos Papadimitriou

12831: Local Opioid Exposure and Corporate Debt Structure

Giray Gözgör, Thang Ho and Jing Li

12830: Taxing Wealth Unlocks Capital Gains: An Efficiency Rationale for Wealth Taxes

Sergio Ocampo, Guttorm Schjelderup and Floris Zoutman

12829: Machine Learning and Liquidity Dynamics in European Stock Markets

Veni Arakelia, Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Mirto M. Gasparinatou and Menelaos Karanasos

12828: Environmental Taxation and Financial Frictions in Green Lending

Joshua Greubel and Fabian Herweg

12827: Blue Lies

Gary Charness, Eugen Dimant and Daniela Grieco

12826: Growth and Debt Sustainability Trade-offs in the Presence of Climate Shocks and Uncertainties

Baris Tercioglu, Stephane Hallegatte, Charl Jooste and Florent McIsaac

12825: Caring Flexibly? Working Conditions and the Supply of Adult Care

Joan Costa-i-Font and Wanying Wang

12824: COVID-19 Pandemic and Prosociality: An Experiment with Healthcare Professionals

Joan Costa-i-Font, Nicolò Gatti, Gilberto Turati and Daniel Wiesen

12823: Stablecoins under Stress in a National Economy: Transaction-Level Evidence from Austrian Crypto-Asset Service Providers

Pietro Saggese, Michael Sigmund, Burkhard Raunig, Esther Segalla, Bernhard Haslhofer and Christos A. Makridis

12822: Life After Divorce: Effects of Joint Custody on Parents and Children

Stella Canessa, Gordon B. Dahl, Anna Hasselqvist, Costas Meghir, Susan Niknami, Palme Mårten, Helmut Rainer, Olof Rosenqvist and Pengpeng Xiao

12821: Policy Thresholds as Growth Barriers: Theory and Evidence from a Payroll Tax Notch

Sami Jysmä, Youssef Benzarti and Jarkko Harju

12820: Heterogeneous Globalization: Offshoring and Reorganization

Andrew B. Bernard, Teresa Fort, Valerie Smeets and Frederic Warzynski

12819: Taxi Market Deregulation: Effects on Market Outcomes, Tax Evasion and Crime

Jarkko Harju, Ida Kankaanranta and Kaisa Kotakorpi

12818: A Simple Model of Government Decision-Making and Plurilateral Cooperation on Critical Materials

Spiros Bougheas, Bernard Hoekman and Douglas R. Nelson

12817: Immigrants' Regularization and Native Workers' Response

Gianluca Orefice, Giovanni Peri and Gianluca Santoni

12816: Evaluation and Assignment with Networked Competition and Spillovers

Antonio Cabrales and Wenhao Cheng

12815: The Effect of Vehicle Taxes on Fleet Exit

Markus Gehrsitz and Christian Traxler

12814: Imperfect Self-knowledge about Skills and Skill Mismatch

Daniel Goller, Enzo Brox and Stefan C. Wolter

12813: Tax-Induced Emigration: Who Flees High Taxes? Evidence from the Netherlands

José Victor C. Giarola, Olivier Marie, Frank Cörvers and Hans Schmeets

12812: The Social and Statistical Construction of Race

Anjali Adukia, Richard Hornbeck, Daniel Keniston and Ben Lualdi

12811: Federal Research Funding and STEM Education

Emily Cook, Devaki Ghose and Ekaterina Khmelnitskaya

12810: The Labor Market Impacts of GLP-1s

Meltem N. Daysal, Camille Fredrickson, Ida Lykke Kristiansen, Mircea Trandafir, Jonathan Zhang and N. Meltem Daysal

12809: Gender Differences in Self-Promotion and Career Advice

Rigissa Megalokonomou, Juliana Silva-Goncalves and Roel van Veldhuizen

12808: Equilibrium Excess Demand in the Low Income Rental Housing Market: Theory and Experimental Evidence

Katherine Cuff, Nicolas Marceau, Reyhaneh Nikoonejad and Bradley Ruffle

12807: Technological Lock-in Due to Environmental Taxation

Mireille Chiroleu-Assouline and Xavier Koch

12806: Long Memory and Asymmetric Uncertainty Effects on Stock Returns and Volatility: A Fractional Integration Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and Jesus Pantoja Cárdenas

12805: Enforcement Spillovers and the Efficiency Costs of Means-Tested Transfers: Evidence from Workplace Networks

Joan Vilá, Marcelo Bérgolo, Guillermo Cruces and Marcelo Bergolo

12804: Ambiguity and the Value of Late Resolution of Uncertainty

Asen Kochov

12803: AI Adoption, Carbon Intensity, and Rebound Effect: Evidence from China

Sébastien Houde and Wenjun Wang

12802: Child Disability and Effects on Sibling Mental Health

Janet Currie, N. Meltem Daysal, Mette Gørtz, Jonas Hirani and Jonathan Zhang

12801: The Societal Response Index: Measuring Public Response to Sexual Misconduct Disclosure

Núria Rodríguez-Planas

12800: AI, Task-based Production in General Equilibrium and Distribution of Labour Incomes

Rajat Acharyya and Sugata Marjit

12799: How Do Money and Tax Illusion Impact Long-Term Investments? An Experiment

Kay Blaufus, Lena Dräger, Michael Milde and Judith C. Schneider

12798: The Regional Specialization Trade-off

Lukas Boehnert

12797: Trade, Risk, and Resilience in General Equilibrium

Erdal Yalcin

12796: Planning Against Disasters in Dynamic Production Networks

Vasco M. Carvalho, Matias Covarrubias and Galo Nuño Barrau

12795: Banking on a Corporate Rebrand

Matthew Jaremski, Kris James Mitchener and Kilian Rieder

12794: Job Ads as Signals: Evidence from a Priced Amenity and Worker Beliefs

Pawel Adrjan, Maria Balgova, Simon Jager, Jonas Jessen, Jason Sockin and Simon Jäger

12793: Ports, Technology and Inter-City Trade: The Economics and Geopolitics of Evolving Maritime Transport Networks

Reka Juhasz, Dávid Krisztián Nagy, Claudia Steinwender and Woan Foong Wong

12792: Identity Uncertainty

Anujit Chakraborty, Arkadev Ghosh, Matt Lowe, Gareth Nellis and Tanika Chakraborty

12791: Modern Difference-in-Differences, Same Old Answer: What Event-Study Estimates Really Tell Us About the Effects of Minimum Wages on Jobs

David Neumark and Antonio Rodriguez-Lopez

12790: Measuring the Value of Disability Insurance from Take-Up Decisions

Andreas Haller and Stefan Staubli

12789: Offshoring and Firm-level Innovation

Udo Kreickemeier, Zhan Qu and Florian Unger

12788: International Sanctions and Constitutional Compliance

Jerg Gutmann, Pascal Langer and Matthias Neuenkirch

12787: Tariff Confusion

Kalina Manova, Dennis Novy, Aaron Tang, Thomas Sampson and Kalina B. Manova

12786: Local Land-Use Regulations: Incentives for Adoption and Desirability of State-Level Override Laws

Jan K. Brueckner

12785: Voter Preferences, Party Politics and Environmental Policy Reform

Martin Adler, Stefanie Peer and Antonio Russo

12784: Households’ Macroeconomic Beliefs: The Role of Education

Jessica Piccolo, Alessia Russo, Eleonora Granziera and Efrem Castelnuovo

12783: Liberalization and Growth in Vietnam

Kai Dutsch and Gunther Schnabl

12782: Anchored to the Floor: Persistence and Liquidity Regimes in the €STR – DFR Spread

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and León Bertram von Ondarza de Miquel

12781: Persistence in Real GDP Growth Rates: Univariate and Multivariate Evidence for the US, UK and Japan

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and Guillermo Perez Tellechea

12780: Navigating Change: Google Maps, Real-Time Information, and Transit Ridership

Rhiannon Jerch, Andrea La Nauze and Xinyi Peng

12779: The Price of Long Hours

Thimo De Schouwer, Sebastiaan Maes and Tom Potoms

12778: Causal Inference for Social Network Formation

Maximilian Kasy, Elizabeth Linos and Sanaz Mobasseri

12777: Literature Review and Evidence Aggregation: A Toolkit for Applied Micro

Peter Ganong, Avik Garg and Maximilian Kasy

12776: Tax Incentives and Venture Capital Risk-Taking: Evidence from the QSBS Program

Murillo Campello and Guilherme Junqueira

12775: The Value of Behavioral Policies

John List, Matthias Rodemeier, Sutanuka Roy and Gregory Sun