CESifo Working Paper Series

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12566: Climate Change, Macroeconomic Factors and the Nigerian Indigenous Meat and Milk Industry: A Long-Memory Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Samuel Chibuzor Umeh, Faith Ani James and Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana

12565: Gender Diversity Improves Performance but Reinforces Gendered Roles

Xiaoyue Shan

12564: Plurilateral Trade Agreements: A Complementary Margin to Preferential Liberalization

Lasha Chochua, James Lake and Gerald Willmann

12563: Effective Families or Effective Schools? Experimental Evidence on Fostering Children's Numeracy

Samuel Berlinski, Michele Giannola and Alessandro Toppeta

12562: Trump Tariffs and Persistence in Crude Oil Prices: A Long-Memory Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana and Oluwadare O. Ojo

12561: How Economic Worries Affect Attitudes Towards Migration — Evidence from a Survey Experiment in Germany

Lena von Deylen, Erik Wengström and Philipp Christoph Wichardt

12560: Long Memory in Kenyan Commodity Prices

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Mwangi Victor Njoroge and Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana

12559: Long-Run Linkages and Parameter Instability in the Gold–Silver Relationship, 2010–2025

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Antonio Fons Palomares and Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana

12558: Do Elections Moderate or Polarize Political Rhetoric?

Tito Boeri, Nina Nikiforova and Guido Tabellini

12557: Trade, Commuting and City Structure

Pol Cosentino

12556: Monetary Policy and Interest rate Volatility – The Role of Inequality and Imperfect Credit Market

Sugata Marjit, Suryaprakash Mishra, Sanghita Mandal and Mayukh Basu

12555: Who Scores from Hosting Sports Events? Local Spending Effects of the EURO 2024

Florian Dorn, Marie-Theres Gasser, Kevin Kloiber, Simon Krause and Carla Krolage

12554: Monopolistic Competition Under Horizontal and Vertical Differentiation

Sergei Kichko, Marco Marini, Riccardo D. Saulle and Jacques-François Thisse

12553: Energy Markets at War: The Effect of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine on Refinery Margins

Leonard Gregor and Justus Haucap

12552: Returns to Scale and Strategic Regimes in Innovation Races

Julia Müller and Thorsten Upmann

12551: It’s a Man’s World: Culture of Abuse, #Metoo and Worker Flows

Cyprien Batut, Caroline Coly and Sarah Schneider-Strawczynski

12550: Refugee Return

Joop Age Harm Adema, Cevat Giray Aksoy, Yvonne Giesing, Panu Poutvaara and Yunus Aksoy

12549: Heat Exposure and Mortality in Aotearoa New Zealand: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study

Siyi Lu, Ilan Noy and Daithi Stone

12548: Dynamic Investment and Product Market Rivalry: The Network Q Model

Maria Cecilia Bustamante and Bruno Pellegrino

12547: “Us vs Them”: Salient Conflict and Belief Polarization

Nicola Gennaioli, Frederik Schwerter and Guido Tabellini

12546: Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Labor Market Dynamics

Federico Mandelman, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

12545: The Economics of Age at School Entry: Insights from Evidence and Methods

Mariagrazia Cavallo, Elizabeth Dhuey, Luca Fumarco, Levi Halewyck and Simon ter Meulen

12544: On the Asymmetry Between Conflict and Development: Evidence from Sustainable Development Goals

Rabah Arezki and Hieu Nguyen

12542: Targeting Foundational Skills at Scale: Skill Specificity and Transfer

Andreas de Barros and Theresa Lubozha

12541: Compensation for Indirect Carbon Costs — Impacts on Electricity Efficiency, Production, and Emissions

Cathrine Hagem, Snorre Kverndokk and Knut Einar Rosendahl

12540: Renewable Investment and Electricity Rationing: Evidence from South Africa

Mario Liebensteiner and Johannes Paha

12539: Timing of Environmental Regulation and the Adoption of Low-Pollution Technologies: An Experiment

Lidia Vidal-Melia, Eva Camacho-Cuena, Till Requate and Israel Waichman

12538: Gender Role Attitudes and Marital Sorting: Implications for Household Inequality

Marco Francesconi, Cheti Nicoletti and Khushboo Surana

12537: Does Religiosity Make Communities More Economically Resilient? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Christos A. Makridis and Byron Johnson

12536: Lobbying for Regulations: When Big Business Says Yes

Luca Macedoni and Ariel Weinberger

12535: Mission Possible: The Collection of High-Quality Data

Can Celebi, Christine Exley, Soren Harrs, Hannu Kivimaki, Marta Serra-Garcia and Jeffrey Yusof

12534: The Accuracy and Malleability of Parental Beliefs About Child Socio-Emotional Health

Audrey Bousselin, Isabelle Brocas, Giorgia Menta and Eugenio Proto

12533: Work from Home and Fertility

Cevat Giray Aksoy, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Katelyn Cranney, Steven J. Davis, Mathias Dolls and Pablo Zarate

12532: Graded for Life? Long-Run Impacts of High-Stakes Exam Thresholds

Petri Böckerman, Mika Haapanen, Christopher Jepsen and Hannu Karhunen

12531: Electrifying Mobility Reshapes Cities, Energy Demand, and Emissions in Emerging Economies

Julius Berger, Felix Creutzig and Waldemar Marz

12530: Demand and Supply Linkages in Exporting Multiproduct Firms

Carsten Eckel, Lisandra Flach and Ning Meng

12529: Human-Capital Shocks and Innovation: Evidence from Britain’s Lost Generation

Luca Repetto, Davide Cipullo, Edward Pinchbeck and Jan Bietenbeck

12528: R&D Strategies of Polluting Firms Facing an Emissions Tax: Cost Reduction Versus Pollution Abatement

Shoji Haruna, Rajeev Goel and Kenta Yoshioka

12527: The Sequencing of Import Tariffs and Emissions Taxes: Does the Timing Impact Economic Performance?

Shoji Haruna and Rajeev Goel

12526: Automation Under Constraints: Exchange Rates Interest Rates and Investment

Meghana Ayyagari, Vojislav Maksimovic, Rodimiro Rodrigo and Ariel Weinberger

12525: The Changing Landscape of International Development: An Introduction

Pascaline Dupas, Pinelopi Goldberg and Rohini Pande

12524: Trade Finance Use by Heterogeneous Firms

Francesca de Nicola, Alexandros Ragoussis, Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr and Trang Thu Tran

12523: Peer Gender Composition and University Climate

Silvia Griselda, Paola Profeta and Giulia Savio

12522: Expertise and Prediction Accuracy

Elisabeth Grewenig, Klaus Gründler, Philipp Lergetporer, Niklas Potrafke, Katharina Werner and Helen Zeidler

12521: The Content Moderator's Dilemma: Removal of Toxic Content and Distortions to Online Discourse

Mahyar Habibi, Dirk Hovy and Carlo Rasmus Schwarz

12520: Economic Exposure and Climate Policy Support

Inge van den Bijgaart, Jacob Jordaan and Tommaso Felici

12519: The Hidden Objectivism of Revealed-Preference Welfare Economics

Martin Kolmar

12518: The Unintended Costs of Early Retirement Policies: Evidence from Italy’s Quota 100 Reform

Raffaele Fiorentino and Simona Mandile

12517: Reforming the Civil Service: Impacts on Engagement, Job Satisfaction, Burnout, and Turnover Intentions

Alessandra Fenizia and Christos A. Makridis

12516: Financial Development, Credit Rationing and Informal Credit Markets: Implications for Pattern of Trade

Rashmi Ahuja and Sugata Marjit

12515: Life’s Big Decisions in the Age of AI

Maryse Kathleen Ngangoue, Andrew Schotter and Bill Wang

12514: Co-Benefits of Substance Abuse Regulation on Temperature and Violent Crime

Filippo Pavanello and Guglielmo Zappalà

12513: Technology Adoption and Women’s Rights: Evidence from Switzerland

Björn Brey, Edoardo Cefala and Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa

12512: Sherlocking: The Effects of Platform-Owner Entry on the Competitive Behavior of Third-Party Firms

Benjamin T. Leyden

12511: Trade Liberalization and Third-Market Effects

Fabrice Defever and Emanuel Ornelas

12510: Tariffs and Firm Expectations

Klaus Abberger, Arbërim Bibaj, Hans Gersbach, Alexis Perakis, Alexander Rathke, Samad Sarferaz and Kieran Walsh

12509: Informal Economy and Trade in the Agricultural Sector

Shahroo Malik, Harald Oberhofer and Jordi Paniagua

12508: Does AI Cheapen Talk? Theory and Evidence From Global Entrepreneurship and Hiring

Bo Cowgill, Pablo Hernandez-Lagos and Nataliya Langburd Wright

12507: Conflict Intensity and Entrepreneurial Intentions: Evidence from Iraqi Regions

Hassan Gholipour Fereidouni, Georges Harb and Mohammad Reza Farzanegan

12506: Regional Favoritism: New Data, Larger Sample, Same Pattern

Christian Düben, Roland Hodler and Paul A. Raschky

12505: The Non-CO2 Aviation Emissions: How to Regulate the Elephant in the Room

Stef Proost

12504: From Imposition to Lifting: Estimating the Effects of Sanctions Over Their Lifecycle

Ohyun Kwon, Arne J. Nagengast, Jangsu Yoon and Yoto V. Yotov

12503: Wealth of Nations vs. Identity of Nations: Gains from Trade and the Erosion of Social Cohesion

Nicolas Dietl and Sebastian Krautheim

12502: Energy for Growth: Satellite Synthetic Control Evidence from Indonesia

Klaus Andresen, Ursula Müller and Hans-Jörg Schmerer

12501: From Gross to Net: Carbon Dioxide Removal in an Analytic Climate Economy

Felix Meier, Martin Quaas, Wilfried Rickels, Christian P. Traeger, Christian Traeger and Christian Traeger

12500: Did Foreigners Pay America’s Tariffs? Quantity Discounts, Scale Economies and Incomplete Pass-Through

Sharat Ganapati and Colin Hottman

12499: Intergenerational Spillovers of Environmental Attitudes and Behaviors

Shubhro Bhattacharya, Sara M. Constantino, Nirajana Mishra, Nishith Prakash, Shwetlena Sabarwal, Dighbijoy Samaddar and Raisa Sherif

12498: Science under Threat? A Natural Experiment in Economics

Dominic Rohner, Oliver Vanden Eynde and Philine Widmer

12497: Mental Models of High School Success

Theresa Hübsch, Robert Mahlstedt, Pia Pinger, Sonja Settele and Helene Willadsen

12496: Religion and the Wealth of Nations After 250 Years

Sascha O. Becker

12495: Industrial Policy in the Global Semiconductor Sector

Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg, Reka Juhasz, Nathan Lane, Giulia Lo Forte, Jeff Thurk and Pinelopi Goldberg

12494: Cultural Adaptation and the Uneven Emergence of Large-Scale Cooperation

Oded Galor

12493: ECB Council Members’ Objectives and Public Debt at Home – Evidence from an AI-Based Textual Analysis

Friedrich Heinemann and Jan Kemper

12492: Experts as Intermediaries

Klaus Gründler, Michael Lamla, Niklas Potrafke and Timo Wochner

12491: Wealth and Income Inequality Early in Life: Underage Children as Owners of Privately Held Firms

Tuuli Paukkeri and Terhi Helena Ravaska

12490: Institutions and Climate Change

Nauro Campos, Flavia Ginefra, Angelo Martelli, Alessio Terzi and Nauro F. Campos

12489: Contesting an International Environmental Agreement

Matthew Cole, James Lake and Benjamin Zissimos

12488: Retirement Under Policy Uncertainty

Piera Bello, Vincenzo Galasso and Alessandro Izzo

12487: Information Framing and Student Decisions: Evidence from an Opportunity Cost Intervention

Lars Behlen, Raphael Brade, Oliver Himmler and Robert Jäckle

12486: Entrepreneurial Coaching and Migration Intentions: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Senegal

Michel Beine, Arnaud Bourgain, Elisabeth Kempter and Melissa Tornari

12485: Social Media vs. Democracy: Evidence from the January 6th Insurrection

Karsten Müller, Carlo Rasmus Schwarz and Zekai Shen

12484: Subsidy for the First Hires and Firm Performance

Haotian Deng, Sam Desiere, Bart Cockx and Gert Bijnens

12483: Les Misérables? Labour Market Outcomes Among Artists in Europe

Ioannis Laliotis and Christos A. Makridis

12482: Inform and Persuade

Joshua Bißbort, Daniel Heyen and Soheil Shayegh

12481: How Absolute and Relative Payoffs Shape Dishonesty

Sarah Necker and Benoit Le Maux

12480: Climate Change, Climate Policy, and the Macroeconomy

Frederick van der Ploeg, Armon Rezai and Rick van der Ploeg

12479: The Output Convergence Debate Revisited: Lessons from Recent Developments in the Analysis of Panel Data Models

Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith

12478: Spin City: Local Externalities of Wind Turbines

Sven Heim, Mario Liebensteiner and Félix Michelet

12477: Demand for Home Pension and Reverse Mortgage: An Information Provision Survey Experiment

Duk Gyoo Kim and In Do Hwang

12476: The Potential and Utility of Land Value Taxation: A Theoretical Framework and Simulation for China

Yilin Hou, Michael Kumhof and Lei Shao

12475: Access to Clean Water and Human Capital Formation – Evidence from Indonesia

Lukas Pohn and Günther G. Schulze

12474: An Unholy Alliance: The Relationship Between Organized Crime and Corruption in Italy

Valentina Chiariello and Oguzhan C. Dincer

12473: Inflation and Human Capital Investment Decisions

Núria Rodríguez-Planas and Kerstin Westergren

12472: Putting the "Finance" Into "Public Finance": A Theory of Capital Gains Taxation

Mark Aguiar, Benjamin Moll, Florian Scheuer and Luis Aguiar

12471: Good Intentions, Informal Outcomes: The Formalization Trap in Global E-Waste Markets

Jessica Coria

12470: Lessons on State and Local Income Taxes from the Twenty-first Century and Challenges for the Future

David Agrawal

12469: Guns and Butter: The Fiscal Consequences of Rearmament and War

Johannes Marzian and Christoph Trebesch

12468: Classrooms as Workplaces: How Student Composition Affects Teacher Health

Krzysztof Karbownik, Helena Svaleryd, Jonas Vlachos and Xuemeng Wang

12467: The Insurance Value of Public Insurance Against Idiosyncratic Income Risk

Christopher Busch and Rocio Madera

12466: Residential Segregation and Unequal Access to Local Public Services in India: Evidence from 1.5m Neighborhoods

Sam Asher, Kritarth Jha, Paul Novosad, Anjali Adukia and Brandon Tan