CESifo Working Paper Series

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10615: The Bright Side of Tax Evasion

Wladislaw Mill and Cornelius Schneider

10614: Do Public Sector Employment Reductions Promote Informality?

Antonis Adam and Thomas Moutos

10613: Population Aging and Economic Growth: From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Drag?

Rainer Kotschy, David E. Bloom and Rainer Franz Kotschy

10612: Complementing Business Training with Access to Finance: Evidence from SMEs in Kenya

Anik Ashraf and Elizabeth Lyons

10611: Resource Risk and the Origins of Inequality: Evidence from a Pastoralist Economy

Konstantinos Angelopoulos, Spyridon Lazarakis, Rebecca Mancy, Dorice Agol and Elissaios Papyrakis

10610: Can Policy Packaging Help Overcome Pigouvian Tax Aversion? A Lab Experiment on Combining Taxes and Subsidies

Gøril L. Andreassen, Steffen Kallbekken and Knut Einar Rosendahl

10609: Cultural Distance and Ethnic Civil Conflict

Eleonora Guarnieri

10608: Occupational Aspirations and Investments in Education: Experimental Evidence from Cambodia

Esther Gehrke, Friederike Lenel and Claudia Schupp

10607: Giving and Costless Retaliation in the Power-to-Take Game

Michalis Drouvelis, Nobuyuki Hanaki and Yuta Shimodaira

10606: An Experimental Analysis of In-Group Favoritism and Out-Group Discrimination in the Gain and Loss Domain

Armenak Antinyan, Tigran Aydinyan, Anna Ressi and Lilia Wasserka-Zhurakhovska

10605: Attitudes to Migration and the Market for News

Razi Farukh, Matthias Heinz, Anna Kerkhof and Heiner Schumacher

10604: Optimal Weights for Marital Sorting Measures

Frederik Almar and Bastian Schulz

10603: Can Central Banks Do the Unpleasant Job That Governments Should Do?

Vasiliki Dimakopoulou, George Economides, Apostolis Philippopoulos and Vanghelis Vassilatos

10602: When Women’s Work Disappears: Marriage and Fertility Decisions in Peru

Hani Mansour, Pamela Medina and Andrea Velasquez

10601: The Short-Term Effects of Generative Artificial Intelligence on Employment: Evidence from an Online Labor Market

Xiang Hui, Oren Reshef and Luofeng Zhou

10600: A Probabilistic Solution to High-Dimensional Continuous-Time Macro and Finance Models

Ji Huang

10599: Nudging: An Experiment on Transparency, Controlling for Reactance and Decision Time

Tobias Schütze, Carsten Spitzer, Philipp C. Wichardt and Philipp Christoph Wichardt

10598: Cybercrime on the Ethereum Blockchain

Lars Hornuf, Paul P. Momtaz, Rachel J. Nam and Ye Yuan

10597: How Do Financial Crises Redistribute Risk?

Kris J. Mitchener, Angela Vossmeyer and Kris James Mitchener

10596: Hold Your Fire! Influence of Female Legislators on Gun Legislation in the US

Rajeev Goel and Michael Nelson

10595: The Robustness of Preferences during a Crisis: The Case of Covid-19

Paul Bokern, Jona Linde, Arno Riedl and Peter Werner

10594: Population Aging, Retirement, and Aggregate Productivity

Klaus Gründler and Niklas Potrafke

10593: Taxes, Profit Shifting, and the Real Activities of MNEs: Evidence from Corporate Tax Notches

Jaqueline Hansen, Valeria Merlo and Georg Wamser

10592: Don’t Stop Believin’ – Heterogeneous Updating of Intergenerational Mobility Perceptions across Income Groups

Anna Schwarz and Philipp Warum

10591: Behavioural Responses to Unfair Institutions: Experimental Evidence on Rule Compliance, Norm Polarisation, and Trust

Simon Columbus, Lars Feld, Matthias Kasper and Matthew Rablen

10590: Drivers of Large Recessions and Monetary Policy Responses

Giovanni Melina and Stefania Villa

10589: The Cost of Regulatory Compliance in the United States

Francesco Trebbi, Miao Ben Zhang and Michael Simkovic

10588: Why Is the Roy-Borjas Model Unable to Predict International Migrant Selection on Education? Evidence from Urban and Rural Mexico

Stefan Leopold, Jens Ruhose and Simon Wiederhold

10587: Unraveling the Impact of Higher Uncertainty on Profits and Inflation

Engin Kara and Ahmed Pirzada

10586: The Role of Informality in Moderating the Impact of Adverse Macroeconomic Shocks

Sugata Marjit, Ranajoy Bhattacharyya and Lei Yang

10585: Differential Games of Public Investment

Niko Jaakkola, Florian Wagener and Florian O.O. Wagener

10584: (How) Do Electoral Surprises Drive Business Cycles? Evidence from a New Dataset

Thiemo Fetzer and Ivan Yotzov

10583: Price Equilibrium with Selling Constraints

Jose Moraga-Gonzalez, Makoto Watanabe and José Luis Moraga Gonzalez

10582: On Defaults, Framing, and Local Tax Policy: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Portugal

Christian Bruns and Mariana Lopes da Fonseca

10581: Outside Options and Worker Motivation

Alexander Ahammer, Matthias Fahn and Flora Stiftinger

10580: Taxes and Gender Equality: The Incidence of the ‘Tampon Tax’

Thiess Büttner, Frank Hechtner and Boryana Madzharova

10579: Permanent Residency and Refugee Immigrants’ Skill Investment

Jacob Arendt, Christian Dustmann and Hyejin Ku

10578: Gender Stereotypes in User-Generated Content

Anna Kerkhof and Valentin Reich

10577: Competition and Career Advancement

Julian Johnsen, Hyejin Ku and Kjell G Salvanes

10576: Debunking “Fake News” on Social Media: Short-Term and Longer-Term Effects of Fact Checking and Media Literacy Interventions

Lara Marie Berger, Anna Kerkhof, Felix Mindl and Johannes Münster

10575: Intervening against the Fed

Alexander Rodnyansky, Yannick Timmer and Naoki Yago

10574: What People Believe about Monetary Finance and What We Can(‘t) Do about It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment

Cars Hommes, Julien Pinter and Isabelle Salle

10573: Hidden Havens: State and Local Governments as Tax Havens?

David Agrawal

10572: Does Unfairness Hurt Women? The Effects of Losing Unfair Competitions

Stefano Piasenti, Marica Valente, Roel van Veldhuizen, Gregor Pfeifer and Gregor-Gabriel Pfeifer

10571: Who Reports the Mood in German Boardrooms? Evidence from the ifo Business Survey

Jonas Hennrich, Stefan Sauer and Klaus Wohlrabe

10570: Precautionary Savings, Loss Aversion, and Risk: Theory and Evidence

Sanjit Dhami, Narges Hajimoladarvish and Konstantinos Georgalos

10569: The Epistemic Vices of Democracies in the Age of Populism

Luigi Bonatti

10568: Can Competition Reduce Conflict?

Teevrat Garg, Caterina Gennaioli, Stefania Lovo and Gregor Singer

10567: Property Rights to the World’s (Linear) Ocean Fisheries in Customary International Law

Scott Barrett

10566: The Heterogeneous Effects of Entry on Prices

Kai Fischer, Simon Martin and Philipp Schmidt-Dengler

10565: Consumption Patterns of Indebted Households: Unravelling the Relevance of Fiscal Policy

Antonio Afonso and Eduardo de Sá Fortes Leitão Rodrigues

10564: Measuring Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: The Effect of Guided vs Non-Guided Inflation Questions

Bernd Hayo and Pierre-Guillaume Méon

10563: Financial Integration and Economic Growth in Europe

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Anamaria Diana Sova and Robert Sova

10562: Comprehensive National Accounting for Carbon Emissions

Geir Asheim and Rintaro Yamaguchi

10561: Brothers in Arms: The Value of Coalitions in Sanctions Regimes

Sonali Chowdhry, Julian Hinz, Katrin Kamin and Joschka Wanner

10560: Cultural Distance, Firm Boundaries, and Global Sourcing

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Bohdan Kukharskyy and Gérard Roland

10559: Give Me Your Best Shot! Diffusion of Complete versus Booster Covid-19 Vaccines across US Counties

Rajeev Goel and Michael Nelson

10558: The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area

Antonio Afonso, José Alves and Serena Ionta

10557: Regional Economic Impacts of the Øresund Cross-Border Fixed Link: Cui Bono?

Michael Funke, Kadri Männasoo and Helery Tasane

10556: Trends and Persistence in the Greenland Ice Sheet Mass

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and Laura Sauci

10555: Importer Dynamics: Do Peers Matter?

Gregory Corcos and Stefanie Haller

10554: Identifying Partisan Gerrymandering and Its Consequences: Evidence from the 1990 US Census Redistricting

Navid Sabet and Noam Yuchtman

10553: Resource Dependence, Recycling, and Trade

Peter Egger and Christian Keuschnigg

10552: Carbon Pricing and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from France

Jannik Hensel, Giacomo Mangiante and Luca Moretti

10551: Optimal Ownership and Firm Performance: An Analysis of China’s FDI Liberalization

Peter Eppinger and Hong Ma

10550: Who Does the Talking Here? The Impact of Gender Composition on Team Interactions

David Hardt, Lea Mayer and Johannes Rincke

10549: The Oral Contraceptive Pill and Adolescents’ Mental Health

Ana Costa-Ramón, N. Meltem Daysal and Ana Rodríguez-González

10548: The Many Channels of Firm’s Adjustment to Energy Shocks: Evidence from France

Lionel Fontagné, Philippe Martin, Gianluca Orefice and Lionel Gérard Fontagné

10547: The Economic Effects of Covid-19 in Sweden: A Report on Income, Taxes, Distribution, and Government Support Policies

Nikolay Angelov and Daniel Waldenström

10546: E-Globalization and Trade Agreements

Phillip McCalman

10545: Privacy Regulation and Quality-Enhancing Innovation

Yassine Lefouili, Leonardo Madio and Ying Lei Toh

10544: Elections and Policies: Evidence from the Covid Pandemic

Daryna Grechyna

10543: Natural Resources, Demand for Skills, and Schooling Choices

Aline Bütikofer, Antonio Dalla-Zuanna and Kjell G Salvanes

10542: (Breaking) Intergenerational Transmission of Mental Health

Aline Bütikofer, Rita Ginja, Krzysztof Karbownik and Fanny Landaud

10541: Incentive Complexity, Bounded Rationality and Effort Provision

Johannes Abeler, David Huffman, Collin Raymond and David B. Huffman

10540: FamData: Database for Family Business Companies in Germany Covering Company Key Figures and Survey Data

Johanna Garnitz, Annette von Maltzan and Klaus Wohlrabe

10539: Inflation Literacy, Inflation Expectations, and Trust in the Central Bank: A Survey Experiment

Lena Dräger and Giang Nghiem

10538: Risk and Heterogeneity in Benefits from Vocational versus General Secondary Education: Estimates for Early and Mature Career Stages in Portugal

Joop Hartog, Pedro Raposo and Hugo Reis

10537: Images Say More than Just Words: Effectiveness of Visual and Text Communication in Dispelling the Rent-Control Misconception

Jordi Brandts, Isabel Busom, Cristina Lopez-Mayan and Judith Panadés

10536: The (Option-) Value of Overstaying

Romuald Méango and François Poinas

10535: Narratives about the Macroeconomy

Peter Andre, Ingar Haaland, Christopher Roth, Johannes Wohlfart and Ingar K. Haaland

10534: Social Preferences under the Shadow of the Future

Felix Kölle, Simone Quercia and Egon Tripodi

10533: Conservation by Lending

Bard Harstad and Kjetil Storesletten

10532: Difference-in-Difference Causal Forests, with an Application to Payroll Tax Incidence in Norway

Evelina Gavrilova, Audun Langørgen, Floris T. Zoutman and Floris Zoutman

10531: The Political Effects of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Weimar Germany

Stefan Bauernschuster, Matthias Blum, Erik Hornung and Christoph Koenig

10530: The Effects of Cash for Clunkers on Local Air Quality

Ines Helm, Nicolas Koch and Alexander Rohlf

10529: Using GPT-4 for Financial Advice

Christian Fieberg, Lars Hornuf and David J. Streich

10528: Financial Crime and Punishment: A Meta-Analysis

Laure de Batz, Evžen Kočenda and Evžen Kocenda

10527: Mobility Restrictions and Alcohol Use during Lockdown: “A Still and Dry Pandemic for the Many"?

Martina Celidoni, Joan Costa-i-Font and Luca Salmasi

10526: Sibling Spillovers May Enhance the Efficacy of Targeted School Policies

David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Umut Özek and David N. Figlio

10525: Access to Guns in the Heat of the Moment: More Restrictive Gun Laws Mitigate the Effect of Temperature on Violence

Jonathan Colmer and Jennifer L. Doleac

10524: Environmental Policy and Renewable Energy in an Imperfectly Competitive Market

Alexander Haupt

10523: German Firms in International Trade: Evidence from Recent Microdata

Matthias Fauth, Benjamin Jung and Wilhelm Kohler

10522: Global Taxation and National Welfare States

Priyaranjan Jha and Rahul Mukherjee

10521: On the Preferred Creditor Status of Multilateral Development Banks

J. Atsu Amegashie

10520: Firms’ Pass-Through Dynamics: A Survey Approach

Isabel Gödl-Hanisch and Manuel Menkhoff

10519: Supplier Encroachment with Mutual Outsourcing

Chrysovalantou Milliou and Konstantinos Serfes

10518: Improving Human Deception Detection Using Algorithmic Feedback

Marta Serra-Garcia and Uri Gneezy

10517: The Renaissance of Ordoliberalism in the 1970s and 1980s

Tim Krieger and Daniel Nientiedt

10516: Isolating a Culture of Son Preference Among Armenian, Georgian, and Azeri Parents in Soviet-Era Russia

Matthias Schief, Sonja Vogt, Elena Churilova and Charles Efferson