CESifo Working Paper Series

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5793: Unconventional Fiscal Policy, Inflation Expectations, and Consumption Expenditure

Francesco D'Acunto, Daniel Hoang, Michael Weber and Michael Weber

5792: Altruistic Observational Learning

Christoph March and Anthony Ziegelmeyer

5791: Evolutionary Stability in Fiscal Competition

Andreas Wagener

5790: Tackling Spillovers by Taxing Corporate Income in the European Union at Source

Sijbren Cnossen

5789: Public Provision and Local Income Tax Competition

Florian Kuhlmey and Beat Hintermann

5788: Trends and Patterns of Growth, Development, Achievements of China and India: A Comparative Analysis

Biswa Nath Bhattacharyay and Madhurima Bhattacharyay

5787: Stranded Assets, the Social Cost of Carbon, and Directed Technical Change: Macroeconomic Dynamics of Optimal Climate Policy

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Armon Rezai

5786: Fighting Collusion by Permitting Price Discrimination

Magdalena Helfrich and Fabian Herweg

5785: A Fairness Justification of Utilitarianism

Paolo Giovanni Piacquadio

5784: Improving the Availability of Trade Finance in Developing Countries: An Assessment of Remaining Gaps

Marc Auboin

5783: Adaptive Social Learning

Christoph March

5782: A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil

Christiane Baumeister and Lutz Kilian

5781: Estimating Participation Responses Using Transfer Program Reform

Spencer Bastani, Ylva Moberg and Håkan Selin

5780: Political Advertising and Election Outcomes

Jörg Spenkuch and David Toniatti

5779: Après Nous le Déluge? Direct Democracy and Intergenerational Conflicts in Ageing Societies

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Wolfgang Maennig and Malte Steenbeck

5778: Extracurricular Educational Programs and School Readiness: Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment with Preschool Children

Anna Makles and Kerstin Schneider

5777: Identity-Driven Cooperation versus Competition

Dennis Snower and Steven Bosworth

5776: Financial Development and Inequality in the Global Economy

Maximilian von Ehrlich and Tobias Seidel

5775: Fiscal Delegation in a Monetary Union with Decentralized Public Spending

Henrique Basso and James Costain

5774: Balanced Growth Despite Uzawa

Gene Grossman, Elhanan Helpman, Ezra Oberfield and Thomas Sampson

5773: Candid Lame Ducks

Mariana Lopes da Fonseca

5772: Racial Differences in Labor Market Transitions and the Great Recession

Kenneth Couch, Robert Fairlie and Huanan Xu

5771: Job Creation Tax Credits, Fiscal Foresight, and Job Growth: Evidence from U.S. States

Bob Chirinko and Daniel Wilson

5770: Firm-Productivity and Export under Non-Constant Marginal Costs

Arijit Mukherjee

5769: Migration, Knowledge Diffusion and the Comparative Advantage of Nations

Dany Bahar and Hillel Rapoport

5768: Comparing Default Predictions in the Rating Industry for Different Sets of Obligors

Walter Kraemer and Simon Neumärker

5767: Reconciling Insurance with Market Discipline: A Blueprint for a European Fiscal Union

Mathias Dolls, Clemens Fuest, Friedrich Heinemann and Andreas Peichl

5766: The Economics of Investor Protection: ISDS versus National Treatment

Wilhelm Kohler and Frank Stähler

5765: Expressive Voting and Political Ideology in a Laboratory Democracy

Rasmus Wiese and Richard Jong-A-Pin

5764: Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand

John Coglianese, Lucas Davis, Lutz Kilian and James H. Stock

5763: Cooperation, Motivation and Social Balance

Steven Bosworth, Tania Singer and Dennis Snower

5762: Monetary Union, Even Higher Integration, or Back to National Currencies?

George Economides, Apostolis Philippopoulos and Petros Varthalitis

5761: Old-Age Provision in Transition: The Case of Croatia

Martin Werding and Marko Primorac

5760: One Pillar Crumbling, the Others too Short: Old-Age Provision in Germany

Martin Werding

5759: Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump

Christiane Baumeister, Lutz Kilian and Thomas K. Lee

5758: Does Homeownership Promote Wealth Accumulation?

Leo Kaas, Georgi Kocharkov and Edgar Preugschat

5757: Political Dynasties and the Incumbency Advantage in Party-Centered Environments

Jon Fiva and Daniel M. Smith

5756: "Now that you mention it": A Survey Experiment on Information, Salience and Online Privacy

Helia Marreiros, Mirco Tonin, Michael Vlassopoulos and M.C. Schraefel

5755: Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014

Christiane Baumeister and Lutz Kilian

5754: Adverse Effects of Ultra-Loose Monetary Policies on Investment, Growth and Income Distribution

Andreas Hoffmann and Gunther Schnabl

5753: On Estimating the Size of the Shadow Economy

Gebhard Kirchgässner

5752: The Duverger-Demsetz Perspective on Electoral Competitiveness and Fragmentation: With Application to the Canadian Parliamentary System, 1867-2011

J. Stephen Ferris, Stanley Winer and Bernard Grofman

5751: The Impact of the Fracking Boom on Arab Oil Producers

Lutz Kilian

5750: Voluntary Disclosure Schemes for Offshore Tax Evasion: An Analysis

Matthew Gould and Matthew Rablen

5749: Reforming the EU Energy Tax Directive: Assessing the Options

Ian Parry and Herman R.J. Vollebergh

5748: Macro News and Exchange Rates in the BRICS

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Fabio Spagnolo and Nicola Spagnolo

5747: Bread and Bullets

George Akerlof and Dennis Snower

5746: Joint Confidence Sets for Structural Impulse Responses

Atsushi Inoue and Lutz Kilian

5745: Dollarization of Deposits in the Short and Long Run: Evidence from CESE Countries

Branko Uroševic and Ivana Rajkovic

5744: The Many Faces of Human Sociality: Uncovering the Distribution and Stability of Social Preferences

Adrian Bruhin, Ernst Fehr and Daniel Schunk

5743: The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions

Lutz Kilian and Robert Vigfusson

5742: Urbanization and Economic Development: A Tale of Two Barriers

Eric Bond, Raymond Riezman and Ping Wang

5741: A Signaling Model of University Selection

Ivan Anic, Vladimir Bozin and Branko Uroševic

5740: Pro-poor Price Trends and Inequality - The Case of India

Ingvild Almås and Anders Kjelsrud

5739: What Forces Dictate the Design of Pollution Monitoring Networks?

Nicholas Muller and Paul Ruud

5738: Taxing Away M&A: The Effect of Corporate Capital Gains Taxes on Acquisition Activity

Lars Feld, Martin Ruf, Ulrich Schreiber, Maximilian Todtenhaupt and Johannes Voget

5737: Global Cycles: Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015

Carmen Reinhart, Vincent Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

5736: China's Bilateral Currency Swap Lines

Zhitao Lin, Zhan Wenjie and Yin-Wong Cheung

5735: Did Chinese Outward Activity Attenuate or Aggravate the Great Recession in Developing Countries?

Bastian Gawellek, Jingjing Lyu and Bernd Süssmuth

5734: Subsidizing Health-Conscious Behavior Now or Later

Kamila Danilowicz-Gösele and Robert Schwager

5733: Personality Traits and the Evaluation of Start-Up Subsidies

Marco Caliendo, Steffen Künn and Martin Weißenberger

5732: Pleasures of Skill and Moral Conduct

Armin Falk and Nora Szech

5731: Mean Univariate-GARCH VaR Portfolio Optimization: Actual Portfolio Approach

Vladimir Rankovic, Mikica Drenovak, Branko Uroševic and Ranko Jelic

5730: Impulse Response Matching Estimators for DSGE Models

Pablo Guerron, Atsushi Inoue and Lutz Kilian

5729: The Political Economy of Mitigation and Adaptation

Wolfgang Habla and Kerstin Roeder

5728: Incumbents' Performance and Political Polarization

Marina Dodlova and Galina Zudenkova

5727: Modelling the Egyptian Shadow Economy: A Currency Demand and A MIMIC Model Approach

Mai Hassan and Friedrich Schneider

5726: Taking the Temperature: A Meta-Ranking of Economics Journals

Klaus Wohlrabe

5725: Unraveling Firms: Demand, Productivity and Markups Heterogeneity

Emanuele Forlani, Ralf Martin, Giordano Mion and Mirabelle Muls

5724: Learning and the Value of Relationships in International Trade

Ryan Monarch and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr

5723: The Impact of the Shale Oil Revolution on U.S. Oil and Gasoline Prices

Lutz Kilian

5722: The Gender Wage Gap: Extent, Trends, and Explanations

Francine Blau and Lawrence Kahn

5721: Second-Best Renewable Subsidies to De-Carbonize the Economy: Commitment and the Green Paradox

Armon Rezai and Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

5720: Returns to ICT Skills

Oliver Falck, Alexandra Heimisch-Röcker and Simon Wiederhold

5719: Mincer Earnings Functions for the Netherlands 1962-2012

Joop Hartog and Sander Gerritsen

5718: Student Loans: When is Risk Sharing Desirable?

Bernhard Eckwert and Itzhak Zilcha

5717: The Exploitation Hypothesis in a Public Good Economy: Some Extensions

Wolfgang Buchholz and Todd Sandler

5716: Islamic Banking, Credit and Economic Growth: Some Empirical Evidence

Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Mohamad Husam Helmi

5715: Taxing Pensions of an Internationally Mobile Labor Force: Portability Issues and Taxation Options

Robert Holzmann

5714: Aging, Taxes and Pensions in Switzerland

Christian Keuschnigg

5713: Accelerated Depreciation, Default Risk and Investment Decisions

Paolo Panteghini and Sergio Vergalli

5712: The Quantitative View of Myerson Regularity

Nikolaus Schweizer and Nora Szech

5711: Optimal Energy Taxation in Cities

Rainald Borck and Jan Brueckner

5710: Strategic Technology Policy as a Supplement to Renewable Energy Standards

Carolyn Fischer, Mads Greaker and Knut Einar Rosendahl

5709: Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us

Christiane Baumeister and Lutz Kilian

5708: Self-Enforcing Agreements under Unequal Nationally Determined Contributions

Emilson Silva

5707: Law Enforcement, Municipal Budgets and Spillover Effects: Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in Italy

Sergio Galletta

5706: Safeguarding Quality of Higher Education in the Netherlands: Closing the Gap between Policy and Research

Joop Hartog

5705: Home Ownership and Household Portfolio Choice

Thomas Michielsen, Remco Mocking and Sander Veldhuizen

5704: Implicit Preferences Inferred from Choice

Tom Cunningham and Jonathan de Quidt

5703: What's Left for the WTO?

Chad Bown

5702: The Taxation of Internationally Portable Pensions: Fiscal Issues and Policy Options

Bernd Genser and Robert Holzmann

5701: Price Changes - Stickiness and Internal Coordination in Multiproduct Firms

Wilko Letterie and Øivind Nilsen

5700: Immediate Manager Gender and Female Wages - The Importance of Manager Position

Karin Halldén, Jenny Säve-Söderbergh and Asa Rosen

5699: Express Delivery to the Suburbs. The Effect of Transportation in Europe's Heterogeneous Cities

Miquel-Àngel Garcia-López, Ilias Pasidis and Elisabet Viladecans-Marsal

5698: Cooperation on Climate-Change Mitigation

Charles Mason, Stephen Polasky and Nori Tarui

5697: Policy and Politics: Trade Adjustment Assistance in the Crossfire

Christopher Laincz, Xenia Matschke and Yoto Yotov

5696: Debt Brakes in the German States: Governments' Rhetoric and Actions

Niklas Potrafke, Marina Riem and Christoph Schinke

5695: Working Time Reductions at the End of the Career. Do they Prolong the Time Spent in Employment?

Andrea Albanese, Bart Cockx and Yannick Thuy

5694: Market Interaction and Efficient Cooperation

Jordi Brandts and Arno Riedl