CESifo Working Paper Series

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7295: Personal Communication in an Automated World: Evidence from Loan Repayments

Christine Laudenbach, Jenny Pirschel and Stephan Siegel

7294: Comfort and Conformity: A Culture-based Theory of Migration

Ruxanda Berlinschi and Jan Fidrmuc

7293: Fertility Cost, Intergenerational Labor Division, and Female Employment

Haiyue Yu, Jin Cao and Shulong Kang

7292: Can Job Search Assistance Improve the Labour Market Integration for Refugees? Evidence from a Field Experiment

Michele Battisti, Yvonne Giesing and Nadzeya Laurentsyeva

7291: Heat and Learning

Joshua Goodman, Michael Hurwitz, Jisung Park and Jonathan Smith

7290: Public Expenditure Spillovers: An Explanation for Heterogeneous Tax Reaction Functions

Rosella Levaggi and Paolo Panteghini

7289: Electoral Reform and Voter Coordination

Jon Fiva and Simon Hix

7288: Global Investors, the Dollar, and U.S. Credit Conditions

Friederike Niepmann and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr

7287: New Output Gap Estimates for Assessing Fiscal Policy with Lessons for Euro Area Reform

Heikki Oksanen

7286: Is Western European Agriculture Resilient to High Temperatures?

Emanuele Massetti, Steven Van Passel and Camila Apablaza

7285: Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?

Klaus Adam, Dmitry Matveev and Stefan Nagel

7284: Good Mine, Bad Mine: Natural Resource Heterogeneity and Dutch Disease in Indonesia

Paul Pelzl and Steven Poelhekke

7283: Dynamics and Endogeneity of Firms' Recruitment Behaviour

Felix Ehrenfried and Christian Holzner

7282: Two Different Conflicts in Federal Systems: An Application to Canada

Jack Mintz

7281: Short-time Work Subsidies in a Matching Model

Volker Meier

7280: Bitcoin Fluctuations and the Frequency of Price Overreactions

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Alex Plastun and Viktor Oliinyk

7279: Energy Contagion Analysis: A New Perspective with Application to a Small Petroleum Economy

Scott Mahadeo, Reinhold Heinlein and Gabriella Legrenzi

7278: Politicians' Payments in a Proportional Party System

Heléne Berg

7277: How do Small Firms Respond to Tax Schedule Discontinuities? Evidence from South African Tax Registers

Wian Boonzaaier, Jarkko Harju, Tuomas Matikka and Jukka Pirttilä

7276: Complex Ballot Propositions, Individual Voting Behavior, and Status quo Bias

Zohal Hessami and Sven Resnjanskij

7275: Labor Responses, Regulation and Business Churn

Marta Aloi, Huw Dixon and Anthony Savagar

7274: Entry Barriers and the Labor Market Outcomes of Incumbent Workers: Evidence from a Deregulation Reform in the German Crafts Sector

Philipp Lergetporer, Jens Ruhose and Lisa Simon

7273: The Subminimum Wage Reform in Greece and the Labour-Labour Substitution Hypothesis

Theano Kakoulidou, Panagiotis Konstantinou and Thomas Moutos

7272: Great Volatility and Great Moderation

Jakob Grazzini and Domenico Massaro

7271: Optimal Need-Based Financial Aid

Mark Colas, Sebastian Findeisen and Dominik Sachs

7270: Future European Alliance - Europe as a Flexible Democracy

Bruno Frey, Armin Steuernagel and Jonas Friedrich

7269: Gender Bias in Teaching Evaluations

Friederike Mengel, Jan Sauermann and Ulf Zölitz

7268: The Wider Benefits of Adult Learning: Work-Related Training and Social Capital

Jens Ruhose, Stephan Thomsen and Insa Weilage

7267: Long-Term Changes in Married Couples' Labor Supply and Taxes: Evidence from the US and Europe Since the 1980s

Alexander Bick, Bettina Brüggemann, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln and Hannah Paule-Paludkiewicz

7266: Forensics, Elasticities and Benford's Law

Banu Demir, Beata Smarzynska Javorcik and Beata Smarzynska Javorcik

7265: Inheritance Taxation and Wealth Effects on the Labor Supply of Heirs

Fabian Kindermann, Lukas Mayr and Dominik Sachs

7264: Politics from the Bench? Ideology and Strategic Voting in the U.S. Supreme Court

Tom S. Clark, B. Pablo Montagnes and Jörg Spenkuch

7263: Is Social Responsibility a Normal Good?

Björn Bartling, Vanessa Valero and Roberto A. Weber

7262: Loss Attitudes in the U.S. Population: Evidence from Dynamically Optimized Sequential Experimentation (DOSE)

Jonathan Chapman, Erik Snowberg, Stephanie Wang and Colin Camerer

7261: Signalling in Auctions: Experimental Evidence

Olivier Bos, Francisco Gomez-Martinez, Sander Onderstal and Tom Truyts

7260: Fiscal Equalization as a Driver of Tax Increases: Empirical Evidence from Germany

Thiess Büttner and Manuela Krause

7259: Early Detection of Students at Risk – Predicting Student Dropouts Using Administrative Student Data and Machine Learning Methods

Johannes Berens, Kerstin Schneider, Simon Görtz, Simon Oster and Julian Burghoff

7258: Precipitation and Economic Growth

Michael Berlemann and Daniela Wenzel

7257: A Dynamic Theory of Secession

Joan Esteban, Sabine Flamand, Massimo Morelli and Dominic Rohner

7256: Prosociality, Political Identity, and Redistribution of Earned Income: Theory and Evidence

Sanjit Dhami, Emma Manifold and Ali al-Nowaihi

7255: Decentralized Environmental Regulations and Plant-Level Productivity

Vivek Ghosal, Andreas Stephan and Jan F. Weiss

7254: Effects of the 2010 Affordable Care Act Dependent Care Provision on Military Participation among Young Adults

Pinka Chatterji, Xiangshi Liu and Barış Yörük

7253: Urban Wage Premia, Cost of Living, and Collective Bargaining

Marianna Belloc, Paolo Naticchioni and Claudia Vittori

7252: Do Pilot and Demonstration Projects Work?

Christopher J. Blackburn, Mallory E. Flowers, Daniel C. Matisoff and Juan Moreno-Cruz

7251: Spotlight on Spatial Environmental Policy Spillovers: An Econometric Analysis of Wastewater Treatment in Mexican Municipalities

Lutz Philip Hecker, Frank Wätzold and Gunther Markwardt

7250: Fiscal Federalism and Economic Performance - New Evidence from Switzerland

Heiko Burret, Lars Feld and Christoph Schaltegger

7249: The Consequences of the TCJA's International Provisions: Lessons from Existing Research

Dhammika Dharmapala

7248: Jointly Optimal Taxes for Different Types of Income

Johannes Hermle and Andreas Peichl

7247: Racing With or Against the Machine? Evidence from Europe

Terry Gregory, Anna Salomons and Ulrich Zierahn-Weilage

7246: Negligible Senescence: An Economic Life Cycle Model for the Future

Davide Dragone and Holger Strulik

7245: Citizen Preferences and the Architecture of Government

Jean-Marc Bourgeon and Marie-Laure Breuillé

7244: Spin Doctors: A Model and an Experimental Investigation of Vague Disclosure

Marvin Deversi, Alessandro Ispano and Peter Schwardmann

7243: Persistence in the Russian Stock Market Volatility Indices

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and Trilochan Tripathy

7242: The Effects of the 2010 Affordable Care Act Dependent Care Provision on Family Structure and Public Program Participation among Young Adults

Pinka Chatterji, Xiangshi Liu and Barış Yörük

7241: Quantifying the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement

Gabriel Felbermayr, Fukunari Kimura, Toshihiro Okubo, Marina Steininger and Gabriel J. Felbermayr

7240: The Many Faces of Human Sociality: Uncovering the Distribution and Stability of Social Preferences

Adrian Bruhin, Ernst Fehr and Daniel Schunk

7239: Intraday Effect of News on Emerging European Forex Markets: An Event Study Analysis

Evžen Kocenda, Michala Moravcova and Evžen Kočenda

7238: All or Nothing: State Capacity and Optimal Public Goods Provision

Felix Bierbrauer and Justus Winkelmann

7237: Choking Under Pressure - Evidence of the Causal Effect of Audience Size on Performance

René Böheim, Dominik Grübl and Mario Lackner

7236: Which Ladder to Climb? Decomposing Life Cycle Wage Dynamics

Christian Bayer and Moritz Kuhn

7235: Justice Delayed is Assimilation Denied: Rightwing Terror, Fear and Social Assimilation of Turkish Immigrants in Germany

Sumit S. Deole

7234: Alternative Values-Based 'Recipes' for Life Satisfaction: German Results with an Australian Replication

Bruce Headey and Gert Wagner

7233: Inter-city Trade

Tomoya Mori and Jens Wrona

7232: The Evolution of Zipf's Law for U.S. Cities

Angelina Hackmann and Torben Klarl

7231: The German Productivity Paradox - Facts and Explanations

Steffen Elstner, Lars Feld and Christoph Schmidt

7230: Fiscal Sustainability in the EU After the Global Crisis: Is there any Progress?

Maciej Wysocki and Cezary Wójcik

7229: Missing Events in Event Studies: Identifying the Effects of Partially-Measured News Surprises

Refet Gürkaynak, Burçin Kısacıkoğlu and Jonathan Wright

7228: The Falling Elasticity of Global Trade to Economic Activity: Testing the Demand Channel

Marc Auboin and Floriana Borino

7227: Royalty Taxation under Tax Competition and Profit Shifting

Steffen Juranek, Dirk Schindler and Andrea Schneider

7226: Airline Alliances and Service Quality

Jan Brueckner and Ricardo Flores-Fillol

7225: On the Effects of Linking Voluntary Cap-and-Trade Systems for CO2 Emissions

Martin Weitzman and Bjart Holtsmark

7224: The Economic Effects of Brexit - Evidence from the Stock Market

Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy, Thomas Sampson and Ahmed Usman

7223: Exponent of Cross-sectional Dependence for Residuals

Natalia Bailey, George Kapetanios and Mohammad Pesaran

7222: Can Online Surveys Represent the Entire Population?

Elisabeth Grewenig, Philipp Lergetporer, Lisa Simon, Katharina Werner and Ludger Woessmann

7221: Understanding Monetary Policy and its Effects: Evidence from Canadian Firms Using the Business Outlook Survey

Matthieu Verstraete and Lena Suchanek

7220: Political Competitiveness and Fiscal Structure: A Time Series Analysis. Canada, 1870 - 2015

J. Stephen Ferris and Stanley Winer

7219: Beyond Equal Rights: Equality of Opportunity in Political Participation

Paul Hufe and Andreas Peichl

7218: Linking Tax Morale and Personal Income Tax in Spain

Pilar Rey del Castillo and Jaime Villanueva-Garcia

7217: Naturalization and Labor Market Performance of Immigrants in Germany

Regina Riphahn and Salwan Saif

7216: Measuring Electoral Competitiveness: With Application to the Indian States

J. Stephen Ferris and Stanley Winer

7215: The Adaptive Liar: An Interactionist Approach of Multiple Dishonesty Domains

Ximena Garcia-Rada, Heather E. Mann, Lars Hornuf, Matthias Sohn, Juan Tafurt, Edwin S. Iversen and Dan Ariely

7214: Productivity and Firm Boundaries

Wilhelm Kohler and Marcel Smolka

7213: Status Seeking Behavior of the Poor: A Study on India

Sugata Marjit, Sattwik Santra and Koushik Hati

7212: Not Welcome Anymore: The Effect of Electoral Incentives on the Reception of Refugees

Matteo Gamalerio

7211: Common Correlated Effects Estimation of Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Quantile Regression Models

Matthew Harding, Carlos Lamarche and Mohammad Pesaran

7210: Backlash in Attitudes After the Election of Extreme Political Parties

Magnus Carlsson, Gordon Dahl and Dan-Olof Rooth

7209: Physician Density and Infant Mortality: A Semiparametric Analysis of the Returns to Health Care Provision

Helge Liebert and Beatrice Mäder

7208: The Trade Effects of Anti-Dumping Duties: Firm-Level Evidence from China

Gabriel Felbermayr, Alexander-Nikolai Sandkamp and Gabriel J. Felbermayr

7207: Simple Rules for Climate Policy and Integrated Assessment

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Armon Rezai

7206: Characterizing Sustainability in Discrete Time

Geir Asheim and Tapan Mitra

7205: An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic

Jeremy Greenwood, Philipp Kircher, Cezar Santos and Michele Tertilt

7204: Have Capital Market Anomalies Worldwide Attenuated in the Recent Era of High Liquidity and Trading Activity?

Benjamin R. Auer and Horst Rottmann

7203: Insecure Property Rights and the Missing Middle

Aram Grigoryan and Mattias K Polborn

7202: Econographics

Jonathan Chapman, Mark Dean, Pietro Ortoleva, Erik Snowberg and Colin Camerer

7201: Oil Price Fluctuations and Exchange Rate Dynamics in the MENA Region: Evidence from Non-Causality-in- Variance and Asymmetric Non-Causality Tests

Ridha Nouira, Thouraya Hadj Amor and Christophe Rault

7200: Job Search Requirements, Effort Provision and Labor Market Outcomes

Patrick Arni and Amelie Schiprowski

7199: Is Hard Brexit Detrimental to EU Integration? Theory and Evidence

Irena Mikolajun and Jean-Marie Viaene

7198: Coups, Regime Transition, and the Dynamics of Press Freedom

Christian Bjørnskov, Andreas Freytag and Jerg Gutmann

7197: Labor-Market Returns to Higher Vocational Schooling

Petri Böckerman, Mika Haapanen and Christopher Jepsen

7196: International Value-Added Linkages in Development Accounting

Alejandro Cunat and Robert Zymek