CESifo Working Paper Series

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6458: Systematic Monetary Policy and the Macroeconomic Effects of Shifts in Loan-to-Value Ratios

Ruediger Bachmann and Sebastian Rüth

6457: Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle

Kai Carstensen, Markus Heinrich, Magnus Reif and Maik Wolters

6456: The Politics of International Trade

Wilfred J. Ethier and Arye L. Hillman

6455: Israel's High Fertility Rate and Anemic Skill Acquisition

Assaf Razin

6454: Growing Productivity without Growing Wages: The Micro-Level Anatomy of the Aggregate Labor Share Decline

Matthias Kehrig and Nicolas Vincent

6453: Financial Stability in Europe: Banking and Sovereign Risk

Jan Bruha and Evžen Kočenda

6452: Immigration, Unemployment and Wages: New Causality Evidence from the United Kingdom

Cigdem Börke Tunali, Jan Fidrmuc and Nauro Campos

6451: Entrepreneurship, Institutions and Skills in Low-Income Countries

Zuzana Brixiová Schwidrowski and Balázs Égert

6450: Understanding the Time to Court Case Resolution: A Competing Risks Analysis Using Belgian Data

Samantha Bielen, Peter Grajzl and Wim Marneffe

6449: Income Inequality and Oligarchs in Russian Regions: A Note

Jarko Fidrmuc and Lidwina Gundacker

6448: Consequences of Brexit and Options for a "Global Britain"

Steven Brakman, Harry Garretsen and Tristan Kohl

6447: Moving On Up for High School Graduates in Russia: The Consequences of the Unified State Exam Reform

Fabián Slonimczyk, Marco Francesconi and Anna Yurko

6446: Is Something Really Wrong with Macroeconomics?

Ricardo Reis

6445: Offset Contracts as an Insurance Device in Building the National Security

Vesa Kanniainen and Juha-Matti Lehtonen

6444: Government Ideology and Economic Policy-Making in the United States

Niklas Potrafke

6443: Toward Understanding 17th Century English Culture: A Structural Topic Model of Francis Bacon's Ideas

Peter Grajzl and Peter Murrell

6442: The Transmission Mechanism of Credit Support Policies in the Euro Area

Jef Boeckx, Maite De Sola Perea and Gert Peersman

6441: The Effect of Migration on Terror - Made at Home or Imported from Abroad?

Axel Dreher, Martin Gassebner and Paul Schaudt

6440: The Impact of Japanese Monetary Policy Crisis Management on the Japanese Banking Sector

Juliane Gerstenberger and Gunther Schnabl

6439: Does Maternal Education Affect Childhood Immunization Rates? Evidence from Turkey

Mustafa Özer, Jan Fidrmuc and Mehmet Ali Eryurt

6438: Who Voted for Brexit? A Comprehensive District-Level Analysis

Sascha Becker, Thiemo Fetzer, Dennis Novy and Sascha O. Becker

6437: Public Goods and Public Bads

Wolfgang Buchholz, Richard Cornes and Dirk Rübbelke

6436: Pulling up the Tarnished Anchor: The End of Silver as a Global Unit of Account

Ricardo Fernholz, Kris James Mitchener and Marc Weidenmier

6435: Finders, Keepers?

Niko Jaakkola, Daniel Spiro and Arthur A. van Benthem

6434: A Little Good is Good Enough: Ethical Consumption, Cheap Excuses, and Moral Self-Licensing

Jannis Engel and Nora Szech

6433: The Political Economy of Liberal Democracy

Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik

6432: Testing for Alpha in Linear Factor Pricing Models with a Large Number of Securities

Mohammad Pesaran and Takashi Yamagata

6431: Modi's 'Make in India' Industrial Reform Policy and East Asian Flying-Geese Paradigm

Chang Woon Nam, Sumin Nam and Peter Steinhoff

6430: Shadow Economies around the World: New Results for 158 Countries over 1991-2015

Leandro Medina and Friedrich Schneider

6429: The Limits of Political Compromise: Debt Ceilings and Political Turnover

Alexandre Cunha and Emanuel Ornelas

6428: Facing Yourself - A Note on Self-image

Armin Falk

6427: Roots of Autocracy

Oded Galor and Marc Klemp

6426: Wages, Human Capital, and Structural Transformation

Berthold Herrendorf and Todd Schoellman

6425: Why Do Trade Finance Gaps Persist: Does it Matter for Trade and Development?

Marc Auboin and Alisa DiCaprio

6424: The Impact of Economic Globalization on the Shadow Economy in Egypt

Mohammad Reza Farzanegan and Mai Hassan

6423: Capital-Skill Complementarity and the Emergence of Labor Emancipation

Quamrul Ashraf, Francesco Cinnirella, Oded Galor, Boris Gershman and Erik Hornung

6422: Institutional Architecture for Financing Pan-Asian Infrastructure Connectivity

Biswa Nath Bhattacharyay and Madhurima Bhattacharyay

6421: Are Sequential Round-Robin Tournaments Discriminatory?

Marco Sahm

6420: The Quantification of Structural Reforms in OECD Countries: A New Framework

Balázs Égert and Peter Gal

6419: Embedding as a Pitfall for Survey-Based Welfare Indicators: Evidence from an Experiment

Clemens Hetschko, Louisa von Reumont and Ronnie Schöb

6418: All These Worlds Are Yours, Except India: The Effectiveness of Export Subsidies in Nepal

Fabrice Defever, José-Daniel Reyes, Alejandro Riaño and Gonzalo Varela

6417: Risk Aversion and Prudence in Contests

Marco Sahm

6416: Risk Aversion as a Perceptual Bias

Mel Win Khaw, Ziang Li and Michael Woodford

6415: Regulation, Institutions and Aggregate Investment: New Evidence from OECD Countries

Balázs Égert

6414: Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News

Cosmin Ilut, Matthias Kehrig and Martin Schneider

6413: Malaria Risk and Civil Violence

Matteo Cervellati, Elena Esposito, Uwe Sunde and Simona Valmori

6412: Sequential Innovation, Naked Exclusion, and Upfront Lump-Sum Payments

Jay Choi and Christodoulos Stefanadis

6411: Patent Breadth in an International Setting

Eric Bond and Benjamin Zissimos

6410: Returns to On-The-Job Search and the Dispersion of Wages

Axel Gottfries and Coen N. Teulings

6409: Targeted Campaign Competition, Loyal Voters, and Supermajorities

Pierre Boyer, Kai Konrad and Brian Roberson

6408: The Effects of the Real Oil Price on Regional Wage Dispersion

Matthias Kehrig and Nicolas Ziebarth

6407: Regulation, Institutions, and Productivity: New Macroeconomic Evidence from OECD Countries

Balázs Égert

6406: Credit Misallocation During the European Financial Crisis

Fabiano Schivardi, Enrico Sette and Guido Tabellini

6405: Tailored Bayesian Mechanisms: Experimental Evidence from Two-Stage Voting Games

Dirk Engelmann and Hans Peter Grüner

6404: Worldviews and Intergenerational Altruism: A Comparison of Turkish People Living in Turkey and Germany

K. Ali Akkemik, Mehmet Bulut, Marcus Dittrich, Koray Göksal, Kristina Leipold and Masao Ogaki

6403: Welfare Benefit Reforms and Employment

Marta Aloi, Teresa Lloyd-Braga and Manuel Leite-Monteiro

6402: How is the Trade-off between Adverse Selection and Discrimination Risk Affected by Genetic Testing? Theory and Experiment

David Bardey, Philippe De Donder and César Mantilla

6401: Do Firms Mitigate or Magnify Capital Misallocation? Evidence from Planet-Level Data

Matthias Kehrig and Nicolas Vincent

6400: Asymmetries in Earnings, Employment and Wage Risk in Great Britain

Konstantinos Angelopoulos, Spyridon Lazarakis and Jim Malley

6399: Memorable Encounters? Own and Neighbours' Experience with IMF Conditionality and IMF Stigma

Irina Andone and Beatrice D. Scheubel

6398: Do Professional Norms in the Banking Industry Favor Risk-taking?

Alain Cohn, Ernst Fehr and Michel Maréchal

6397: Distribution-neutral Welfare Ranking-Extending Pareto Principle

Sugata Marjit and Sandip Sarkar

6396: Long Memory and Data Frequency in Financial Markets

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and Alex Plastun

6395: International Inflation Spillovers Through Input Linkages

Raphael Auer, Andrei Levchenko and Philip Sauré

6394: Whistle-Blower Protection: Theory and Experimental Evidence

Lydia Mechtenberg, Gerd Muehlheusser and Andreas Roider

6393: Earnings Inequality and the Minimum Wage: Evidence from Brazil

Niklas Engbom and Christian Moser

6392: Simple Tests for Selection: Learning More from Instrumental Variables

Dan Black, Joonhwi Joo, Robert LaLonde, Jeffrey Smith and Evan Taylor

6391: Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically

Joachim Freyberger, Andreas Neuhierl, Michael Weber and Michael Weber

6390: Petroleum Tax Competition Subject ot Capital Rationing

Petter Osmundsen, Kjell Løvås and Magne Emhjellen

6389: Central Bank Policy Rates: Are they Cointegrated?

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Hector Carcel and Luis Gil-Alana

6388: The Failure of ECB Monetary Policy from a Mises-Hayek Perspective

Gunther Schnabl

6387: The Globalisation of Inflation: The Growing Importance of Global Value Chains

Raphael Auer, Claudio Borio and Andrew Filardo

6386: The Structure of Cigarette Excises in the EU: From Myths to Reality

Marko Primorac and Silvija Vlah Jeric

6385: Sustainable Climate Treaties

Hans Gersbach, Noemi Hummel and Ralph Winkler

6384: Taxation and the Multinational Firm

Peter Egger and Michael Stimmelmayr

6383: The Employment Effects of Countercyclical Infrastructure Investments

Lukas Buchheim and Martin Watzinger

6382: The Intricacy of Adapting to Climate Change: Flood Protection as a Local Public Goods Game

Anton Bondarev, Beat Hintermann, Frank Krysiak and Ralph Winkler

6381: Dream Teams and the Apollo Effect

Alex Gershkov and Paul Schweinzer

6380: How the Tight Oil Boom Has Changed Oil and Gasoline Markets

Lutz Kilian

6379: How to Use One Instrument to Identify Two Elasticities

Evelina Gavrilova, Floris Zoutman and Arnt Ove Hopland

6378: Risk-taking on Behalf of Others

Kristoffer W. Eriksen, Ola Kvaløy and Miguel Luzuriaga

6377: International Family Migration and the Dual-Earner Model

Martin D. Munk, Till Nikolka and Panu Poutvaara

6376: What Slice of the Pie? The Corporate Bond Market Boom in Emerging Economies

Diana Ayala, Milan Nedeljkovic and Christian Saborowski

6375: Electoral Externalities in Federations - Evidence from German Opinion Polls

Xenia Frei, Sebastian Langer, Robert Lehmann and Felix Rösel

6374: Follow the Money: Does the Financial Sector Intermediate Natural Resource Windfalls?

Thorsten Beck and Steven Poelhekke

6373: Vertical and Horizontal Redistributions from a Carbon Tax and Rebate

Julie-Anne Cronin, Don Fullerton and Steven Sexton

6372: Renewable Technology Adoption and the Macroeconomy

Bernardino Adao, Borghan Nezami Narajabad and Ted Loch-Temzelides

6371: Pampered Bureaucracy, Political Stability, and Trade Integration

Caleb Stroup and Benjamin Zissimos

6370: Firm-level Human Capital and Innovation: Evidence from China

Xiuli Sun, Haizheng Li and Vivek Ghosal

6369: Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax?

Christiane Baumeister, Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou

6368: Tax Revenue Losses through Cross-Border Loss Offset: An Insurmountable Hurdle for Formula Apportionment

Mohammed Mardan and Michael Stimmelmayr

6367: Growth and Welfare under Endogenous Lifetime

Maik Schneider and Ralph Winkler

6366: Investigating First-Stage Exchange Rate Pass-Through: Sectoral and Macro Evidence from Euro Area Countries

Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh and Christophe Rault

6365: Cyber Technology and Arms Race

Vesa Kanniainen

6364: Migration Policy: Lessons from Cooperatives

Margit Osterloh and Bruno Frey

6363: Monetary Policy Crisis Management as a Threat to Economic Order

Andreas Freytag and Gunther Schnabl

6362: Call my Rep! How Unions Overcame the Free-Rider Problem

Richard Murphy

6361: Offshoring and Firm Overlap

Stella Capuano, Hartmut Egger, Michael Koch and Hans-Jörg Schmerer

6360: Debt Relief and Good Governance: New Evidence

Andreas Freytag, Jonatan Pettersson and Julian Schmied

6359: Identification through Heterogeneity

Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi and Thorsten Drautzburg