CESifo Working Paper Series

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10697: The Dynamics of Automation Adoption: Firm-Level Heterogeneity and Aggregate Employment Effects

Laura Bisio, Angelo Cuzzola, Marco Grazzi and Daniele Moschella

10696: Expectations and the Stability of Stock-Flow Consistent Models

Huub Meijers, Joan Muysken and Giulia Piccillo

10694: Mind the Knowledge Gap! The Origins of Declining Business Dynamism in a Macro Agent-Based Model

Domenico Delli Gatti, Roberta Terranova and Enrico Maria Turco

10693: The Impact of Restricting Fixed-Term Contracts on Labor and Skill Demand

Giuseppe Grasso and Konstantinos Tatsiramos

10692: Banks’ Portfolio of Government Debt and Sovereign Risk

Antonio Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro

10691: Mental Models of the Stock Market

Peter Andre, Philipp Schirmer and Johannes Wohlfart

10690: Causal Analysis of Policy Effects on Fertility

Rannveig Kaldager Hart, Janna Bergsvik, Agnes Fauske and Wookun Kim

10689: Embedded Discounting

Daniel Møller Sneum, Emilie Rosenlund Soysal, Frikk Nesje and Mark C. Freeman

10688: Religion and Growth

Sascha Becker, Jared Rubin and Ludger Woessmann

10687: The Economics of Copyright in the Digital Age

Christian Peukert and Margaritha Windisch

10686: Where Have All Tech Layoffs Gone? A Model of Two Worker Types with Outsourcing

Sugata Marjit and Gouranga Das

10685: Artificial Intelligence and Jobs: Evidence from US Commuting Zones

Alessandra Bonfiglioli, Rosario Crino, Gino Gancia and Ioannis Papadakis

10683: Sinking Land: Optimal Control of Subsidence

Suphi Sen, Dewy Verhoeven and Hans-Peter Weikard

10682: Persistence in Tax Revenues: Evidence from Some OECD Countries

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Silvia García Tapia and Luis Gil-Alana

10681: Temperature and the Timing of Work

Sam Cosaert, Adrian Nieto Castro and Konstantinos Tatsiramos

10680: Explosive Temperatures

Marc Gronwald

10679: Forest Fires: Why the Large Year-to-Year Variation in Forests Burned?

Jay Apt, Dennis Epple and Fallaw Sowell

10678: Climate Change Risk, and Human Behavior: Theory and Evidence

Sanjit Dhami, Narges Hajimoladarvish and Pavan Mamidi

10677: Out of the Shadows and into the Classroom: Immigrant Legalization, Hispanic Schooling and Hispanic Representation on School Boards

Navid Sabet

10676: The Parenthood Penalty in Mental Health: Evidence from Austria and Denmark

Alexander Ahammer, Ulrich Glogowsky, Martin Halla and Timo Hener

10675: Industrial Policy and the Great Divergence

Réka Juhász and Claudia Steinwender

10674: Drivers of Fiscal Sustainability: A Time-Varying Analysis for Portugal

Antonio Afonso and José Coelho

10673: Technological Innovations and Workers’ Job Insecurity: The Moderating Role of Firm Strategies

Mauro Caselli, Andrea Fracasso, Arianna Marcolin and Sergio Scicchitano

10672: Credit Supply Shocks and Firm Dynamics: Evidence from Brazil

Samuel Bazzi, Marc-Andreas Muendler, Raquel F. Oliveira and James Rauch

10671: Do Search Engines Increase Concentration in Media Markets?

Joan Calzada, Nestor Duch-Brown and Ricard Gil

10670: Estimation of Welfare Effects in Hedonic Difference-in-Differences: The Case in School Redistricting

Xiaozhou Ding, Christopher Bollinger, Michael Clark and William Hoyt

10669: Induced Innovation and International Environmental Agreements: Evidence from the Ozone Regime

Eugenie Dugoua

10668: Does the Spillover Index Respond to Adverse Shocks? A Bootstrap-Based Probabilistic Analysis

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Evžen Kočenda and Viet Hoang Nguyen

10667: Transboundary Pollution Control with Both Production and Consumption Emissions

Shoji Haruna and Rajeev Goel

10665: Simple Macroeconomics of Crypto Currency and the Political Economy of Monetary Policy in a Democracy

Sugata Marjit and Kausik Gupta

10664: Contexts of Convenience: Generalizing from Published Evaluations of School Finance Policies

Danielle V. Handel and Eric Hanushek

10663: Platform Competition and Information Sharing

Georgios Petropoulos, Bertin Martens, Geoffrey Parker and Marshall Van Alstyne

10662: Structural Transformation and Value Change: The British Abolitionist Movement

Valentín Figueroa and Vasiliki Fouka

10661: Do Science Kardashians Get Citation Premium? Self-Fulfilling Effects of Social Media on Citations

Christian Lessmann and Ali Onder

10660: Can Patience Account for Subnational Differences in Student Achievement? Regional Analysis with Facebook Interests

Eric Hanushek, Lavinia Kinne, Pietro Sancassani and Ludger Woessmann

10659: Structural Econometric Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number for Covid-19 across U.S. States and Selected Countries

Ida Johnsson, Mohammad Pesaran and Cynthia Fan Yang

10658: Stimulating Long-Term Growth and Welfare in the U.S

Jim Malley and Apostolis Philippopoulos

10657: Research Similarity and Women in Academia

Piera Bello, Alessandra Casarico and Debora Nozza

10656: Functional Shocks to Inflation Expectations and Real Interest Rates and Their Macroeconomic Effects

Christina Anderl and Guglielmo Maria Caporale

10655: Taxation and Mobility: Evidence from Tax Decentralization in Italy

Enrico Rubolino and Tommaso Giommoni

10654: Knowledge Transfers from Multinational to Domestic Firms: Evidence from Worker Mobility – A Replication-Robustness Study of Poole (2013)

Stefanie Haller, Eoin Flaherty and Ragnhild Balsvik

10653: Terrorism and Voting: The Rise of Right-Wing Populism in Germany

Navid Sabet, Marius Liebald and Guido Friebel

10652: Not All Oil Types Are Alike

Jochen Güntner, Michael Irlacher and Peter Öhlinger

10651: The Integration of Migrants in the German Labor Market: Evidence over 50 Years

Paul Berbée and Jan Stuhler

10650: Trade-Offs in Choosing a College Major

Michael Kaganovich

10649: The Pro-Competitive Consequences of Trade in Frictional Labor Markets

Hamid Firooz

10648: Households’ Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation

Philip Schnorpfeil, Michael Weber and Andreas Hackethal

10647: The Intergenerational Transmission of Housing Wealth

N. Meltem Daysal, Michael Lovenheim and David Wasser

10646: Ambiguous Business Cycles, Recessions and Uncertainty: A Quantitative Analysis

Giulia Piccillo and Poramapa Poonpakdee

10645: Outsourcing without Cost Advantages

Chrysovalantou Milliou

10644: Quantifying Lottery Choice Complexity

Benjamin Enke and Cassidy Shubatt

10643: The Effect of the “Woman Life Freedom” Protests on Life Satisfaction in Iran: Evidence from Survey Data

Mohammad Reza Farzanegan and Sven Fischer

10641: Parenting with Patience: Parental Incentives and Child Development

Daniela Del Boca, Christopher Flinn, Ewout Verriest and Matthew Wiswall

10640: Committing to Grow: Privatizations and Firm Dynamics in East Germany

Ufuk Akcigit, Harun Alp, André Diegmann (geb. Nolte) and Nicolas Serrano-Velarde

10639: A Tale of Two Roads: Groundwater Depletion in the North China Plain

Ujjayant Chakravorty, Xiangzheng Deng, Yazhen Gong, Martino Pelli and Qian Zhang

10638: The US-China Trade War and the Relocation of Global Value Chains to Mexico

Hale Utar, Alfonso Cebreros Zurita and Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz

10637: The Behavioral Mechanisms of Voluntary Cooperation across Culturally Diverse Societies: Evidence from the US, the UK, Morocco, and Turkey

Till O. Weber, Jonathan Schulz, Benjamin Beranek, Fatima Lambarraa-Lehnhardt and Simon Gächter

10636: Preaching to the Agnostic: Inflation Reporting Can Increase Trust in the Central Bank but Only among People with Weak Priors

Bernd Hayo and Pierre-Guillaume Méon

10635: Smart or Smash? The Effect of Financial Sanctions on Trade in Goods and Services

Tibor Besedes, Stefan Goldbach and Volker Nitsch

10634: The Impacts of Covid-19 on Racial Inequality in Business Earnings

Robert Fairlie

10633: The Politics of Public Service Reform: Experimental Evidence from Liberia

Wayne Sandholtz

10632: Contesting Fake News

Daniel Rehsmann, Béatrice Roussillon and Paul Schweinzer

10631: Economics and Nature: A Long-Neglected Combination

Anna Pettini

10630: The Economic Costs of Trade Sanctions: Evidence from North Korea

Jihee Kim, Kyoochul Kim, Sangyoon Park and Chang Sun

10629: An Unconventional FX Tail Risk Story

Carlos Cañon, Eddie Gerba, Alberto Pambira and Evarist Stoja

10628: The Tax-Elasticity of Tangible Fixed Assets: Evidence from Novel Corporate Tax Data

Sean Mc Auliffe, Georg U. Thunecke and Georg Wamser

10627: Monetary Policy Surprise Shocks under Different Fiscal Regimes: A Panel Analysis of the Euro Area

Antonio Afonso, José Alves and Serena Ionta

10626: Learning from the Origins

Alexander Yarkin

10625: Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants

Christian Dustmann, Hyejin Ku and Tetyana Surovtseva

10624: How to Boost Countries’ Climate Ambitions: Turning Gains from Emissions Trading into Gains for Climate

Christoph Böhringer, Carsten Helm and Laura Schürer

10623: Internal Migration, Remittances and Economic Development

Xiameng Pan and Chang Sun

10622: The Effect of Bank Recapitalization Policy on Credit Allocation, Investment, and Productivity: Evidence from a Banking Crisis in Japan

Hiroyuki Kasahara, Yasuyuki Sawada and Michio Suzuki

10621: Immigration and Nationalism in the Long Run

Valentin Lang and Stephan A. Schneider

10620: Heterogeneity in Expert Recommendations for Designing Carbon Pricing Policies across the Globe

Frikk Nesje, Robert C. Schmidt and Moritz Drupp

10619: How Big Is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data

Timothy Besley, Thiemo Fetzer and Hannes Mueller

10618: Third-Degree Price Discrimination in Two-Sided Markets

Alexandre de Cornière, Andrea Mantovani and Shiva Shekhar

10617: The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-Improving Privacy Management

Chongwoo Choe, Noriaki Matsushima and Shiva Shekhar

10616: Is There a Dividend of Democracy? Experimental Evidence from Cooperation Games

Thomas Markussen and Jean-Robert Tyran

10615: The Bright Side of Tax Evasion

Wladislaw Mill and Cornelius Schneider

10614: Do Public Sector Employment Reductions Promote Informality?

Antonis Adam and Thomas Moutos

10613: Population Aging and Economic Growth: From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Drag?

Rainer Kotschy and David E. Bloom

10612: Complementing Business Training with Access to Finance: Evidence from SMEs in Kenya

Anik Ashraf and Elizabeth Lyons

10611: Resource Risk and the Origins of Inequality: Evidence from a Pastoralist Economy

Konstantinos Angelopoulos, Spyridon Lazarakis, Rebecca Mancy, Dorice Agol and Elissaios Papyrakis

10610: Can Policy Packaging Help Overcome Pigouvian Tax Aversion? A Lab Experiment on Combining Taxes and Subsidies

Gøril L. Andreassen, Steffen Kallbekken and Knut Einar Rosendahl

10609: Cultural Distance and Ethnic Civil Conflict

Eleonora Guarnieri

10608: Occupational Aspirations and Investments in Education: Experimental Evidence from Cambodia

Esther Gehrke, Friederike Lenel and Claudia Schupp

10607: Giving and Costless Retaliation in the Power-to-Take Game

Michalis Drouvelis, Nobuyuki Hanaki and Yuta Shimodaira

10605: Attitudes to Migration and the Market for News

Razi Farukh, Matthias Heinz, Anna Kerkhof and Heiner Schumacher

10604: Optimal Weights for Marital Sorting Measures

Frederik Almar and Bastian Schulz

10603: Can Central Banks Do the Unpleasant Job That Governments Should Do?

Vasiliki Dimakopoulou, George Economides, Apostolis Philippopoulos and Vanghelis Vassilatos

10602: When Women’s Work Disappears: Marriage and Fertility Decisions in Peru

Hani Mansour, Pamela Medina and Andrea Velasquez

10601: The Short-Term Effects of Generative Artificial Intelligence on Employment: Evidence from an Online Labor Market

Xiang Hui, Oren Reshef and Luofeng Zhou

10600: A Probabilistic Solution to High-Dimensional Continuous-Time Macro and Finance Models

Ji Huang

10599: Nudging: An Experiment on Transparency, Controlling for Reactance and Decision Time

Tobias Schütze, Carsten Spitzer and Philipp C. Wichardt

10598: Cybercrime on the Ethereum Blockchain

Lars Hornuf, Paul P. Momtaz, Rachel J. Nam and Ye Yuan

10597: How Do Financial Crises Redistribute Risk?

Kris J. Mitchener and Angela Vossmeyer

10596: Hold Your Fire! Influence of Female Legislators on Gun Legislation in the US

Rajeev Goel and Michael Nelson

10595: The Robustness of Preferences during a Crisis: The Case of Covid-19

Paul Bokern, Jona Linde, Arno Riedl and Peter Werner

10594: Population Aging, Retirement, and Aggregate Productivity

Klaus Gründler and Niklas Potrafke

10593: Taxes, Profit Shifting, and the Real Activities of MNEs: Evidence from Corporate Tax Notches

Jaqueline Hansen, Valeria Merlo and Georg Wamser