Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers

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20240024: Learning the value of Eco-Labels: The role of information in sustainable decisions

Alejandro Hirmas and Jan Engelmann

20240023: Consumer perceptions matter: A case study of an anomaly in English football

J Reade and Jan C. van Ours

20240022: Repeated prisoner’s dilemmas with errors: how much subgame-perfection, how much forgiveness, and how much cooperation?

Christopher Graser and Matthijs van Veelen

20240021: On weighted-egalitarian values for cooperative games

Zhengxing Zou, René van den Brink and Yukihiko Funaki

20240020: Industrial Transfer Policy in China: Migration and Development

Michiel Gerritse, Zhiling Wang and Frank Oort

20240019: Exclusive Portfolio Dealing and Market Inefficiency

Natalie Kessler, Iman Lelyveld and Ellen van der Woerd

20240018: Safe Asset Scarcity and Re-use in the European Repo Market

Justus Inhoffen and Iman Lelyveld

20240017: Born That Way: Beliefs about Genetics’ Importance and Redistribution Preferences

Andrea Pogliano

20240016: A Score-Driven Filter for Causal Regression Models with Time- Varying Parameters and Endogenous Regressors

Francisco Blasques and Noah Stegehuis

20240015: Spatial Search

Xiaoming Cai, Pieter Gautier and Ronald Wolthoff

20240014: They didn’t know what they got till the crowd was gone

Jan C. van Ours

20240013: PolWe study the evolution of voter support for climate policies aimed at containing the effect of climate risk, as weather conditions worsens at a time of rising economic inequality. Households differ in age, beliefs and income, and the scale of intervention to preserve habitable land reflects the preference of the majority coalition. Economic polarization tightens conditions for more households, while rising climate risk increases support for public adaptation. If beliefs on attainable impact are not too dispersed, an initially coalition of young and old pessimists might tip towards a coalition of old optimists and young pessimists, leading to a jump in support for public action.A steady rise in inequality may ultimately induce a second political tipping point, towards a coalition of the low-income old and young pessimists, although the effects on public adaptation are weaker. Public intervention is undermined by pessimism about the efficacy of public adaptation and the "tragedy of the horizon" effect, as voters only partially internalize benefits for future generations. This prevents public adaptation from converging to the long-term social optimum even when political support is highest

Yasmine van der Straten, Enrico Perotti and Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

20240012: Heritability and public policy reconsidered, again

Cornelius A. Rietveld

20240011: Pricing in the Stochastic Bottleneck Model with Price-Sensitive Demand

Qiumin Liu, Vincent van den Berg, Erik Verhoef and Rui Jiang

20240010: No Novelty Effect but a Honeymoon that Lasts On the Attendance Effects of New Football Stadiums

Jan C. van Ours

20240009: The Impact of the Menstrual Cycle on Bargaining Behavior

Lina Lozano, Arno Riedl and Christina Rott

20240008: Bootstrapping GARCH Models Under Dependent Innovations

Eric Beutner, Julia Schaumburg and Barend Spanjers

20240007: Intra-Household Insurance and the Intergenerational Transmission of Income Risk

Francesco Agostinelli, Domenico Ferraro, Xincheng Qiu and Giuseppe Sorrenti

20240006: Intergenerational Persistence in the Effects of Compulsory Schooling in the US

Titus Galama, Andrei Munteanu and Kevin Thom

20240005: Careers in Multinational Enterprises Evidence on the role of option values, public involvement and stalled sites

Marcus Roesch, Michiel Gerritse and Bas Karreman

20240004: A duration analysis of housing construction times Evidence on the role of option values, public involvement and stalled sites

Lars Brugman and Jan Rouwendal

20240003: A robust Beveridge-Nelson decomposition using a score-driven approach with an application

Francisco Blasques, Janneke van Brummelen, Paolo Gorgi and Siem Jan Koopman

20240002: Social desirability bias in attitudes towards sexism and DEI policies in the workplace

Anne Boring and Josse Delfgaauw

20240001: Adversarial economic preferences predict right-wing voting

Thomas Buser

20230084: Localizing Strictly Proper Scoring Rules

Ramon Punder, Cees G. H. Diks, Roger Laeven and Dick J. C. van Dijk

20230083: Floods and financial stability: Scenario-based evidence from below sea level

Francesco G. Caloia, Kees van Ginkel and David-Jan Jansen

20230082: Energy-efficient homes: effects on poverty, environment and comfort

Vincent P. Roberdel, Ioulia Ossokina, Vladimir Karamychev and Theo A. Arentze

20230081: Aftermarket Welfare and Procurement Auctions

Vladimir Karamychev

20230080: R&D Decisions and Productivity Growth: Evidence from Switzerland and the Netherlands

Sabien Dobbelaere, Michael D. König, Andrin Spescha and Martin Wörter

20230066: The impact of family background on educational attainment in Dutch birth cohorts 1966-1995

Tilbe Atav, Cornelius A. Rietveld and Hans van Kippersluis

20230065: Observation-Driven filters for Time- Series with Stochastic Trends and Mixed Causal Non-Causal Dynamics

Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Gabriele Mingoli

20230064: Cyclical consumption

Tino Berger and Lorenzo Pozzi

20230063: Dynamic determinants of optimal global climate policy

Michael Grubb, Rutger-Jan Lange, Nicolas Cerkez, Claudia Wieners, Ida Sognnaes and Pablo Salas

20230062: Spoiling the party. Experimental evidence on the willingness to transmit inconvenient ethical information

Jantsje M. Mol, Ivan Soraperra and Joël J. van der Weele

20230061: Degree Centrality, von Neumann-Morgenstern Expected Utility and Externalities in Networks

Rene’ van den Brink and Agnieszka Rusinowska

20230060: The Political Economy of Commitment to Policies

Josse Delfgaauw and Otto H. Swank

20230059: The effect of urban trees on house prices: evidence from cut-down trees in Amsterdam

Jan Rouwendal and Lynn Bouwknegt

20230056: Spillovers in Fields of Study: Siblings, Cousins, and Neighbors

Stanislav Avdeev, Nadine Ketel, Hessel Oosterbeek and Bas van der Klaauw

20230055: Fuzzy firm name matching: Merging Amadeus firm data to PATSTAT

Leon Bremer

20230054: Pseudo-variance quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of semi-parametric time series models

Mirko Armillotta and Paolo Gorgi

20230053: Tax-Induced Emigration: Who Flees High Taxes? Evidence from the Netherlands

José Victor C. Giarola, Olivier Marie, Frank Cörvers and Hans Schmeets

20230052: The impact of high temperatures on performance in work-related activities

Matteo Picchio and Jan van Ours

20230051: Consistency, distributional convergence, and optimality of score-driven filters

Eric A. Beutner, Yicong Lin and Andre Lucas

20230050: The Impact of Venture Capital on Economic Growth

Steven Poelhekke and Benjamin Wache

20230049: Robust bootstrap inference for linear time-varying coefficient models: Some Monte Carlo evidence

Yicong Lin and Mingxuan Song

20230048: Persuading an audience: Testing information design in the laboratory

Andreas G. B. Ziegler

20230047: Start-up Acquisitions and the Entrant’s and Incumbent’s Innovation Portfolios

Esmée Dijk, Jose Moraga-Gonzalez and Evgenia Motchenkova

20230046: A Wind Tunnel Test of Wind Farm Auctions

Xinyu Li, Marco Haan, Sander Onderstal and Jasper Veldman

20230045: Corporate leniency programs for antitrust: Past, present, and future

Jeroen Hinloopen, Sander Onderstal and Adriaan Soetevent

20230044: Gender and the time cost of peer review

Diane Alexander, Olga Gorelkina, Erin Hengel and Richard Tol

20230043: The energy efficiency gap and barriers to investments

Leon Bremer, Sacha J. den Nijs and Henri de Groot

20230042: The pricing of climate transition risk in Europe’s equity market

Philippe Loyson, Rianne Luijendijk and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20230041: BayesMultiMode: Bayesian Mode Inference in R

Nalan Basturk, Jamie Cross, Peter de Knijff, Lennart Hoogerheide, Paul Labonne and Herman van Dijk

20230040: Large Orders in Small Markets: Execution with Endogenous Liquidity Supply

Agostino Capponi, Albert Menkveld and Hongzhong Zhang

20230039: Time-varying effects of housing attributes and economic environment on housing prices

Marina Friedrich, Yicong Lin, Pavitram Ramdaras, Sean Telg and Bernhard van der Sluis

20230038: Bayesian Mode Inference for Discrete Distributions in Economics and Finance

Jamie Cross, Lennart Hoogerheide, Paul Labonne and Herman van Dijk

20230037: Information-Theoretic Time-Varying Density Modeling

Bram van Os

20230036: How to Pollute a River If You Must

Yuzhi Yang, Erik Ansink and Jens Gudmundsson

20230035: Competition modulates buyers’ reaction to sellers’ cheap talk

Rafiq Friperson, Hessel Oosterbeek and Bas van der Klaauw

20230034: The Hidden Divide: School Segregation of Teachers in the Netherlands

Rafiq Friperson, Hessel Oosterbeek and Bas van der Klaauw

20230033: Can Communication Mitigate Strategic Delays in Investment Timing?

Ayse Gül Mermer, Sander Onderstal and Joep Sonnemans

20230032: The Social Cost of Carbon under Climate Volatility Risk

Xu Lin and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20230031: The anatomy of competitiveness

Thomas Buser and Hessel Oosterbeek

20230030: The Fast and The Studious? Ramadan Observance and Student Performance

Kyra Hanemaaijer, Olivier Marie and Marco Musumeci

20230028: History-Dependent Monetary Regimes: A Lab Experiment and a Henk Model

Jasmina Arifovic, Isabelle Salle and Hung Truong

20230027: Who’s Afraid of Policy Experiments?

Robert Dur, Arjan Non, Paul Prottung and Benedetta Ricci

20230026: The Gasoline Climate Trap

Josse Delfgaauw and Otto Swank

20230025: Homo Moralis and regular altruists II

Aslihan Akdeniz, Christopher Graser and Matthijs van Veelen

20230024: An urban overhead? Crime, agglomeration, and amenity

S. Donovan, Thomas Graaff, Henri de Groot and Aaron Schiff

20230022: Consumption Choices and Earnings Expectations: Empirical Evidence and Structural Estimation

Christian Stoltenberg and Arne Uhlendorff

20230021: A Multilevel Factor Model for Economic Activity with Observation Driven Dynamic Factors

Mariia Artemova, Francisco Blasques and Siem Jan Koopman

20230020: Competing for Dark Trades

Paul J. Irvine and Egle Karmaziene

20230019: Aversion to Health Inequality - Pure, Income-Related and Income-Caused

Matthew Robson, Owen O’Donnell and Tom Van Ourti

20230018: Slow Expectation-Maximization Convergence in Low-Noise Dynamic Factor Models

Daan Opschoor and Dick van Dijk

20230017: Distributionally Sensitive Measurement and Valuation of Population Health

Shaun Da Costa, Owen O'Donnell and Raf Van Gestel

20230015: A Framework for the Estimation of Demand for Differentiated Products with Simultaneous Consumer Search

Jose Moraga-Gonzalez, Zsolt Sándor and Matthijs Wildenbeest

20230014: Flooded House or Underwater Mortgage? The Implications of Climate Change and Adaptation on Housing, Income & Wealth

Yasmine van der Straten

20230013: Analyzing and forecasting economic crises with an agent-based model of the euro area

Cars Hommes and Sebastian Poledna

20230012: Preference estimation from point allocation experiments

Marion Collewet and Paul Koster

20230011: An inexact science: Accounting for measurement error and downward bias in mode and location choice models

S. Donovan, Thomas Graaff and Henri de Groot

20230009: Urban income inequality and social welfare

Paul Koster

20230008: Counting what counts: Moral considerations and market surplus

Paul Koster

20230007: Does trade integration imply growth in Latin America? Evidence from a dynamic spatial spillover model

F. Blasques, P. Gorgi, Siem Jan Koopman and James Sampi

20230006: Does offshoring shape labor market imperfections? A comparative analysis of Belgian and Dutch firms

Sabien Dobbelaere, Catherine Fuss and Mark Vancauteren

20230004: Time-Weighted Difference-in-Differences: Accounting for Common Factors in Short T Panels

Timo Schenk

20230003: Activating the Long-Term Inactive: Labor Market and Mental Health Effects

Mareen Bastiaans, Robert Dur and Anne Gielen

20230002: Macroprudential Regulation: A Risk Management Approach

Sweder van Wijnbergen and Daniël Dimitrov

20230001: Regional Capital No More. How the Reform of the Territorial Government has Marginalized Polish Middle-sized Cities

Borys Cie?lak, Paula Nagler and Frank Oort

20220098: Skills, Parental Sorting, and Child Inequality

Martin Nybom, Erik Plug, Bas van der Klaauw and Lennart Ziegler

20220097: Na?ve Learning in Social Networks with Fake News: Bots as a Singularity

Saeed Badri, Bernd Heidergott and Ines Lindner

20220096: Working from Home in the Netherlands: Looking Inside the Blackbox of Work and Occupations

Emil Mihaylov

20220095: Selective Exercise of Discretion in Disability Insurance Awards

Pilar Garcia-Gomez, Pierre Koning, Owen O'Donnell and Carlos Riumallo Herl

20220094: Multivariate quantile regression using superlevel sets of conditional densities

Annika Camehl, Dennis Fok and Kathrin Gruber

20220093: Fully Modified Estimation in Cointegrating Polynomial Regressions: Extensions and Monte Carlo Comparison

Yicong Lin and Hanno Reuvers

20220092: Cointegrating Polynomial Regressions With Power Law Trends: Environmental Kuznets Curve or Omitted Time Effects?

Yicong Lin and Hanno Reuvers

20220091: Two Birds with One Stone: Technology Adoption and Market Participation through Protection against Crop Failure

Wouter Zant

20220090: Nevertheless, they persist: Cross-Country Differences in Homeownership Behavior

Stefanie Huber and Tobias Schmidt

20220089: Finding the European crime drop using a panel data model with stochastic trends

Ilka van de Werve and Siem Jan Koopman

20220088: Intergenerational Sharing ofUnhedgeable Inflation Risk

Damiaan H.J. Chen, Roel Beetsma and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20220087: Targeting men, women or both to reduce child marriage

Rachel Cassidy, Anaya Dam, Wendy Janssens, Umair Kiani and Karlijn Morsink