Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers

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20130012: Mergers in Bidding Markets

Maarten Janssen and Vladimir Karamychev

20130011: Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Phillips Curve Models with Non-Filtered Time Series

Nalan Baştürk, Cem Çakmaklı, Sanli Ceyhan Darendeli and Herman van Dijk

20130010: Has the Basel Accord Improved Risk Management During the Global Financial Crisis?

Michael McAleer, Juan Jimenez-Martin and Teodosio Pérez-Amaral

20130009: Volatility Spillovers from the US to Australia and China across the GFC

David Allen, Michael McAleer, Robert Powell and A.K. Singh

20130008: Is Small Beautiful? Size Effects of Volatility Spillovers for Firm Performance and Exchange Rates in Tourism

Chia-Lin Chang, Hui-Kuang Hsu and Michael McAleer

20130007: How Volatile is ENSO for Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the Global Economy?

Lan-Fen Chu, Michael McAleer and Chi-Chung Chen

20130006: Statistical Modelling of Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan

Lan-Fen Chu, Michael McAleer and Ching-Chung Chang

20130005: Estimating Implied Recovery Rates from the Term Structure of CDS Spreads

Marcin Jaskowski and Michael McAleer

20130004: Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan

Lan-Fen Chu, Michael McAleer and Szu-Hua Wang

20130003: Leverage and Feedback Effects on Multifactor Wishart Stochastic Volatility for Option Pricing

Manabu Asai and Michael McAleer

20130002: Journal Impact Factor, Eigenfactor, Journal Influence and Article Influence

Chia-Lin Chang, Michael McAleer and Les Oxley

20130001: Tail Probabilities and Partial Moments for Quadratic Forms in Multivariate Generalized Hyperbolic Random Vectors

Simon Broda

20120146: Banking Competition and Soft Budget Constraints: How Market Power can threaten Discipline in Lending

Stefan Arping

20120145: The Social Dilemma of Microinsurance: A Framed Field Experiment on Free-Riding and Coordination

Wendy Janssens and Berber Kramer

20120144: Business Cycle Fluctuations and Private Savings in OECD Countries: A Panel Data Analysis

Yvonne Adema and Lorenzo Pozzi

20120143: Information at a Cost: A Lab Experiment

Pedro Robalo and Rei Sayag

20120142: Credit Protection and Lending Relationships

Stefan Arping

20120141: Sunshine Trading: Flashes of Trading Intent at the NASDAQ

Johannes Skjeltorp, Elvira Sojli and Wing Wah Tham

20120140: Aggregate Stock Market Illiquidity and Bond Risk Premia

Kees E. Bouwman, Elvira Sojli and Wing Wah Tham

20120139: Market Power in Bilateral Oligopoly Markets with Nonexpandable Infrastructures

Yukihiko Funaki, Harold Houba and Evgenia Motchenkova

20120138: Middlemen: A Directed Search Equilibrium Approach

Makoto Watanabe

20120137: Dynamic Congestion and Urban Equilibrium

Sergejs Gubins and Erik Verhoef

20120136: Consistency, Population Solidarity, and Egalitarian Solutions for TU-Games

Rene van den Brink, Youngsub Chun, Yukihiko Funaki and Boram Park

20120135: Intrinsic Motivations of Public Sector Employees: Evidence for Germany

Robert Dur and Robin Zoutenbier

20120134: Do More Powerful Interest Groups have a Disproportionate Influence on Policy?

Zara Sharif and Otto Swank

20120133: Transformed Polynomials for Nonlinear Autoregressive Models of the Conditional Mean

Francisco Blasques

20120132: Fostering Cooperation through the Enhancement of Own Vulnerability

Anita Kopányi-Peuker, Theo Offerman and Randolph Sloof

20120131: Managing Sales Forecasters

Bert de Bruijn and Philip Hans Franses

20120130: Ability Dispersion and Team Performance: A Field Experiment

Sander Hoogendoorn, Simon Parker and Mirjam Praag

20120129: Nash Bargaining and the Wage Consequences of Educational Mismatches

Joop Hartog and Michael Sattinger

20120128: Identification and Inference in a Simultaneous Equation under Alternative Information Sets and Sampling Schemes

Jan Kiviet

20120127: What to put on and what to keep off the Table? A Politician's Choice of which Issues to address

Rei Sayag and Otto Swank

20120126: Games with a Local Permission Structure: Separation of Authority and Value Generation

Rene van den Brink and Chris Dietz

20120125: Stock Market Asymmetries: A Copula Diffusion

Denitsa Stefanova

20120124: Digital Urban Network Connectivity: Global and Chinese Internet Patterns

Emmanouil Tranos, Karima Kourtit and Peter Nijkamp

20120123: International Migration: A Global Complex Network

Emmanouil Tranos, Masood Gheasi and Peter Nijkamp

20120122: Car User Taxes, Quality Characteristics and Fuel Efficiency: Household Behavior and Market Adjustment

Bruno De Borger and Jan Rouwendal

20120121: Speed, Algorithmic Trading, and Market Quality around Macroeconomic News Announcements

Martin L. Scholtus, Dick van Dijk and Bart Frijns

20120120: Social Networks and Labor Market Inequality between Ethnicities and Races

Ott Toomet, Marco van der Leij and Meredith Rolfe

20120119: Hotelling Models with Price-Sensitive Demand and Asymmetric Transport Costs: An Application to Public Transport Scheduling

Adriaan van der Weijde, Erik Verhoef and Vincent van den Berg

20120118: Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering

Monica Billio, Roberto Casarin, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

20120117: Advantaged Bidders in Franchise Auctions

Vincent van den Berg

20120116: Competition in Multi-Modal Transport Networks: A Dynamic Approach

Adriaan van der Weijde, Erik Verhoef and Vincent van den Berg

20120115: Ranking Systemically Important Financial Institutions

Mardi Dungey, Matteo Luciani and David Veredas

20120114: Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare

Kevin Lansing and Agnieszka Markiewicz

20120113: Capacity Choice under Uncertainty with Product Differentiation

Christiaan Behrens and Mark Lijesen

20120112: Climate Change Skepticism in the Face of Catastrophe

Mark Kagan

20120111: Can European Bank Bailouts work?

Dirk Schoenmaker and Arjen Siegmann

20120110: A Forty Year Assessment of Forecasting the Boat Race

Geert Mesters and Siem Jan Koopman

20120109: Strong Consistency of the Least-Squares Estimator in Simple Regression Models with Stochastic Regressors

Norbert Christopeit and Michael Massmann

20120108: Social Interactions and Crime revisited: An Investigation using Individual Offender Data in Dutch Neighborhoods

Wim Bernasco, Thomas Graaff, Jan Rouwendal and Wouter Steenbeek

20120107: Banking and Trading

Arnoud Boot and Lev Ratnovski

20120106: Convertible Bonds and Bank Risk-Taking

Natalya Martynova and Enrico Perotti

20120105: Associated Consistency Characterization of Two Linear Values for TU Games by Matrix Approach

Genjiu Xu, Rene van den Brink, Gerard van der Laan and Hao Sun

20120104: Tax Rates as Strategic Substitutes

Ruud de Mooij and Hendrik Vrijburg

20120103: Probabilistic Bounded Relative Error Property for Learning Rare Event Simulation Techniques

Ad Ridder and Bruno Tuffin

20120102: Corporate Social Responsibility, Negative Externalities, and Financial Risk: The Case of Climate Change

Timo Busch, Nils Lehmann and Volker H. Hoffmann

20120101: On the Core of Cost-Revenue Games: Minimum Cost Spanning Tree Games with Revenues

Arantza Estevez-Fernandez and Hans Reijnierse

20120100: Capital Gains Taxation and the Cost of Capital: Evidence from Unanticipated Cross-Border Transfers of Tax Bases

Harry Huizinga, Johannes Voget and Wolf Wagner

20120099: A Dynamic Bivariate Poisson Model for Analysing and Forecasting Match Results in the English Premier League

Siem Jan Koopman and Rutger Lit

20120098: Bayesian Analysis of Instrumental Variable Models: Acceptance-Rejection within Direct Monte Carlo

Arnold Zellner, Tomohiro Ando, Nalan Baştürk, Lennart Hoogerheide and Herman van Dijk

20120097: Improved Likelihood Ratio Tests for Cointegration Rank in the VAR Model

H. Peter Boswijk, Michael Jansson and Morten Nielsen

20120096: The R Package MitISEM: Mixture of Student-t Distributions using Importance Sampling Weighted Expectation Maximization for Efficient and Robust Simulation

Nalan Baştürk, Lennart Hoogerheide, Anne Opschoor and Herman van Dijk

20120095: Nomen Nescio

Nomen Nescio

20120094: The Elimination of Broker Voting in Director Elections

Ali Akyol, Konrad Raff and Patrick Verwijmeren

20120093: Childcare Subsidies and Labor Supply: Evidence from a large Dutch Reform

L.J.H. Bettendorf, Egbert L.W. Jongen and Paul Muller

20120092: On Axiomatizations of the Shapley Value for Assignment Games

Rene van den Brink and Miklos Pinter

20120091: Rising Inequalities in Income and Health in China: Who is left behind?

Steef Baeten, Tom Van Ourti and Eddy Van Doorslaer

20120090: Is EU Support to Malawi Agriculture Effective?

Wouter Zant

20120089: In and out of Equilibrium II: Evolution in Repeated Games with Discounting and Complexity Costs

Matthijs van Veelen and Julian Garcia

20120088: How does Market Access affect Smallholder Behavior? The Case of Tobacco Marketing in Malawi

Wouter Zant

20120087: Auctions for Private Congestible Infrastructures

Vincent van den Berg

20120086: Collective versus Decentralized Wage Bargaining and the Efficient Allocation of Resources

Xiaoming Cai, Pieter Gautier and Makoto Watanabe

20120085: Optimal Learning on Climate Change: Why Climate Skeptics should reduce Emissions

Sweder van Wijnbergen and Tim Willems

20120084: Inequity in the Face of Death

Pilar Garcia-Gomez, Erik Schokkaert, Tom Van Ourti and Teresa Bago d'Uva

20120083: New Evidence on Fungibility at the Aggregate Level

Lukasz Marc

20120082: The Impact of a Culturally Diverse Workforce on Firms' Market Size: An Empirical Investigation on Germany

Stephan Brunow and Peter Nijkamp

20120081: Evaluation of Development Programs: Using Regressions to assess the Impact of Complex Interventions

Chris Elbers and Jan Willem Gunning

20120080: The Educational Bias in Commuting Patterns: Micro-Evidence for the Netherlands

Stefan P.T. Groot, Henri de Groot and Paolo Veneri

20120079: Altruism to Strangers for our Own Sake: Domestic Effects from Immigration

Annie Tubadji and Peter Nijkamp

20120078: Catastrophic Medical Expenditure Risk

Gabriela Flores and Owen O'Donnell

20120077: On the Merits of Meritocracy

John Morgan, Dana Sisak and Felix Vardy

20120076: Forecasting Interest Rates with Shifting Endpoints

Dick van Dijk, Siem Jan Koopman, Michel van der Wel and Jonathan Wright

20120075: On the Effectiveness of Child Care Centers in Promoting Child Development in Ecuador

Jose Rosero

20120074: The ABC of Housing Strategies: Are Housing Assistance Programs Effective in Enhancing Children's Well Being?

Jose Rosero

20120073: Regional Interest Rate Variations: Evidence from the Indonesian Credit Markets

Masagus M Ridhwan, Henri de Groot, Piet Rietveld and Peter Nijkamp

20120072: Production Externalities in the Wood Furniture Industry in Central Java

Roos K. Andadari, Henri de Groot and Piet Rietveld

20120071: Estimating Equilibrium Effects of Job Search Assistance

Pieter Gautier, Paul Muller, Bas van der Klaauw, Michael Rosholm and Michael Svarer

20120070: Childhood Intelligence and Adult Mortality, and the Role of Socio-Economic Status

Jan Cramer

20120069: Effectiveness of Large Scale Water and Sanitation Interventions: the One Million Initiative in Mozambique

Chris Elbers, Samuel Godfrey, Jan Willem Gunning, Matteus van der Velden and Melinda Vigh

20120068: Ethnic Diversity and Team Performance: A Field Experiment

Sander Hoogendoorn and Mirjam Praag

20120067: What drives the Quotes of Earnings Forecasters?

Bert de Bruijn and Philip Hans Franses

20120066: The Death of Distance Revisited: Cyberplace, Physical and Relational Proximities

Emmanouil Tranos and Peter Nijkamp

20120065: Product Heterogeneity, Intangible Barriers and Distance Decay: The Effect of Multiple Dimensions of Distance on Trade across Different Product Categories

Maureen B.M. Lankhuizen, Thomas Graaff and Henri de Groot

20120064: Cost Recovery of Congested Infrastructure under Market Power

Erik Verhoef

20120063: Revealed Competition for Greenfield Investments between European Regions

Martijn Burger, Bert van der Knaap and Ronald S. Wall

20120062: Why do Entrepreneurial Parents have Entrepreneurial Children?

Matthew Lindquist, Joeri Sol and Mirjam Praag

20120061: The Power of a Bad Example - A Field Experiment in Household Garbage Disposal

Robert Dur and Ben Vollaard

20120060: Dividend-Protected Convertible Bonds and the Disappearance

Bruce D. Grundy and Patrick Verwijmeren

20120059: Stationarity and Ergodicity of Univariate Generalized Autoregressive Score Processes

Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas