Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers

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20110079: Is the Service Quality of Private Roads too Low, too High, or just Right when Firms compete Stackelberg in Capacity?

Vincent van den Berg and Erik Verhoef

20110078: Modeling Dynamic Volatilities and Correlations under Skewness and Fat Tails

Xin Zhang, Drew Creal, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas

20110077: On the Effects of Private Information on Volatility

Anne Opschoor, Michel van der Wel, Dick van Dijk and Nick Taylor

20110076: High Frequency Trading and the New-Market Makers

Albert Menkveld

20110075: Is Earnings Uncertainty Relevant for Educational Choice? An Empirical Analysis for China

Joop Hartog, Xiaohao Ding and Juan Liao

20110074: The Impact of Gender Diversity on the Performance of Business Teams: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Sander Hoogendoorn, Hessel Oosterbeek and Mirjam Praag

20110073: The Pollution Effects of Mergers and Acquisitions: Asymmetry, Disaggregation, and Multilateralism

Julia Swart and Charles Marrewijk

20110072: Risk Aversion and Social Networks

Jaromír Kovářík and Marco van der Leij

20110071: The Crisis Sensitivity of European Countries and Regions: Stylized Facts and Spatial Heterogeneity

Stefan P.T. Groot, Jan L. Mohlmann, Harry Garretsen and Henri de Groot

20110070: Bidding to give in the Field: Door-to-Door Fundraisers had it right from the Start

Sander Onderstal, Arthur Schram and Adriaan Soetevent

20110069: Money talks? An Experimental Investigation of Cheap Talk and Burned Money

Thomas de Haan, Theo Offerman and Randolph Sloof

20110068: Fiscal Sustainability, Volatility and Oil Wealth: A Stochastic Analysis of Fiscal Spending Rules

Sweder van Wijnbergen and Nina Budina

20110067: The More Business Owners the Merrier? The Role of Tertiary Education

Mirjam Praag and André van Stel

20110066: The Value of an Educated Population for an Individual's Entrepreneurship Success

Jose Maria Millan, Emilio Congregado, Concepción Román, Mirjam Praag and André van Stel

20110065: Intra-Household Work Timing: The Effect on Joint Activities and the Demand for Child Care

Chris Klaveren, Henriette Maassen van den Brink and Bernard van Praag

20110064: Sovereign Default and the Stability of Inflation Targeting Regimes

Andreas Schabert and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20110063: Forecasting the U.S. Term Structure of Interest Rates using a Macroeconomic Smooth Dynamic Factor Model

Siem Jan Koopman and Michel van der Wel

20110062: Counting with Combined Splitting and Capture-Recapture Methods

Paul Dupuis, Bahar Kaynar, Ad Ridder, Reuven Rubinstein and Radislav Vaisman

20110061: Entrepreneurship and Role Models

Niels Bosma, Jolanda Hessels, Veronique Schutjens, Mirjam Praag and Ingrid Verheul

20110060: The Impact of Trade Liberalization on the Return to Education in Vietnam: Wage versus Employment Effect

Remco Oostendorp and Doan Hong Quang

20110059: Congesting Pricing in a Road and Rail Network with Heterogeneous Values of Time and Schedule Delay

Vincent van den Berg and Erik Verhoef

20110058: Measuring Power and Satisfaction in Societies with Opinion Leaders: An Axiomatization

Rene van den Brink, Agnieszka Rusinowska and Frank Steffen

20110057: Numerically Accelerated Importance Sampling for Nonlinear Non-Gaussian State Space Models

Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and Marcel Scharth

20110056: Voluntary Participation and Intergenerational Risk Sharing in a Funded Pension System

Roel Beetsma, Ward Romp and Siert J. Vos

20110055: Power and the Privilege of Clarity: An Analysis of Bargaining Power and Information Transmission

Adrian de Groot Ruiz, Theo Offerman and Sander Onderstal

20110054: The Impact of Cross-Border Banking on Financial Stability

Dirk Schoenmaker and Wolf Wagner

20110053: Economic Costs and Benefits of Imposing Short-Horizon Value-at-Risk Type Regulation

Zhen Shi and Bas J.M. Werker

20110052: An Efficient and Fair Solution for Communication Graph Games

Rene van den Brink, Anna Khmelnitskaya and Gerard van der Laan

20110051: Gender Differences, HIV Risk Perception and Condom Use

Judith Lammers, Sweder van Wijnbergen and Daan Willebrands

20110050: Regional Wage Differences in the Netherlands: Micro-Evidence on Agglomeration Externalities

Stefan P.T. Groot, Henri de Groot and Martijn Smit

20110049: Relating Stochastic Volatility Estimation Methods

Charles Bos

20110048: A Bayesian Analysis of Unobserved Component Models using Ox

Charles Bos

20110047: Balancing the Bids, Solutions for Unit Price Auctions

Sander Renes

20110046: Hormones and Social Preferences

Thomas Buser

20110045: Unobserved Heterogeneity and Risk in Wage Variance: Does Schooling provide Earnings Insurance?

Jacopo Mazza, Hans van Ophem and Joop Hartog

20110044: Multitasking: Productivity Effects and Gender Differences

Thomas Buser and Noemi Peter

20110043: Determinants of Job Satisfaction across the EU-15: A Comparison of Self-Employed and Paid Employees

Jose Maria Millan, Jolanda Hessels, Roy Thurik and Rafael Aguado

20110042: Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk

Drew Creal, Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas

20110041: Collective Bargaining under Non-binding Contracts

Sabien Dobbelaere and Roland Iwan Luttens

20110040: A Pigovian Approach to Liquidity Regulation

Enrico Perotti and Javier Suarez

20110039: Capital Regulation and Tail Risk

Enrico Perotti, Lev Ratnovski and Razvan Vlahu

20110038: Retirement Flexibility and Portfolio Choice in General Equilibrium

Yvonne Adema, Jan Bonenkamp and Lex Meijdam

20110037: Equilibrium Selection in Cheap Talk Games: ACDC rocks when Other Criteria remain silent

Adrian de Groot Ruiz, Theo Offerman and Sander Onderstal

20110036: Games on Union Closed Systems

Rene van den Brink, Ilya Katsev and Gerard van der Laan

20110035: Giants at the Gate: On the Cross-Section of Private Equity Investment Returns

Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, Ludovic Phalippou and Oliver Gottschalg

20110034: On the Role of Pre-Determined Rules for HRM Policies

Silvia Dominguez-Martinez and Otto Swank

20110033: Pivotal Suppliers and Market Power in Experimental Supply Function Competition

Jordi Brandts, Stanley Reynolds and Arthur Schram

20110032: The Emergence of Social Structure: Employer Information Networks in an Experimental Labor Market

Klarita Gërxhani, Jordi Brandts and Arthur Schram

20110031: Understanding Contract Audits: An Experimental Approach

Robert M.M. Bertrand, Arthur Schram and Eddy H.J. Vaassen

20110030: Identifying the Weights in Exchange Market Pressure

Franc Klaassen

20110029: Search Frictions and the Liquidity of Large Blocks of Shares

Rui Albuquerque and Enrique Schroth

20110028: Dynamic Correlation or Tail Dependence Hedging for Portfolio Selection

Redouane Elkamhia and Denitsa Stefanova

20110027: Exchange Rate Policy under Sovereign Default Risk

Andreas Schabert

20110026: A Triptych Inquiry: Rethinking Sustainability, Innovation, and Financial Performance

Timo Busch, Bryan T. Stinchfield and Matthew S. Wood

20110025: Information and Strategic Voting

Marcelo Tyszler and Arthur Schram

20110024: Keeping out Trojan Horses: Auctions and Bankruptcy in the Laboratory

Sander Onderstal and Ailko van der Veen

20110023: An Alternative Bayesian Approach to Structural Breaks in Time Series Models

Sjoerd van den Hauwe, Richard Paap and Dick van Dijk

20110022: CDOs and the Financial Crisis: Credit Ratings and Fair Premia

Marcin Wojtowicz

20110021: How to select Instruments supporting R&D and Innovation by Industry

Marcel J.L. de Heide and Amit Kothiyal

20110020: Stock Index Returns' Density Prediction using GARCH Models: Frequentist or Bayesian Estimation?

Lennart F. Hoogerheide, David Ardia and Nienke Corre

20110019: The Financial Trilemma

Dirk Schoenmaker

20110018: Measuring Financial Market Integration over the Long Run: Is there a U-Shape?

Vadym Volosovych

20110017: Inverse Adverse Selection: The Market for Gems

Giuseppe Dari-Mattiacci, Sander Onderstal and Francesco Parisi

20110016: Targeted Advertising and Social Status

Nick Vikander

20110015: Capacity Constraints and Beliefs about Demand

Nick Vikander

20110014: Nonrenewable Resources, Strategic Behavior and the Hotelling Rule: An Experiment

Roel van Veldhuizen and Joep Sonnemans

20110013: Export Growth and Factor Market Competition: Theory and Some Evidence

Julian Emami Namini, Giovanni Facchini and Ricardo López Rago

20110012: Variable Selection and Functional Form Uncertainty in Cross-Country Growth Regressions

Tim Salimans

20110011: Kernel-Smoothed Conditional Quantiles of Correlated Bivariate Discrete Data

Jan G. Gooijer and Ao Yuan

20110010: Sorting and the Output Loss due to Search Frictions

Pieter Gautier and Coen N. Teulings

20110009: Regional Clusters of Innovative Activity in Europe: Are Social Capital and Geographical Proximity the Key Determinants?

Laura de Dominicis, Raymond Florax and Henri de Groot

20110008: Job Search Requirements for Older Unemployed: Transitions to Employment, Early Retirement and Disability Benefits

Hans Bloemen, Stefan Hochguertel and Marloes Lammers

20110007: Nonlinear Forecasting with Many Predictors using Kernel Ridge Regression

Peter Exterkate, Patrick Groenen, Christiaan Heij and Dick van Dijk

20110006: Divergent Priors and well Behaved Bayes Factors

Rodney Strachan and Herman van Dijk

20110005: The Willingness to pay for Quality Aspects of Durables: Theory and Application to the Car Market

Ismir Mulalic and Jan Rouwendal

20110004: A Class of Adaptive EM-based Importance Sampling Algorithms for Efficient and Robust Posterior and Predictive Simulation

Lennart Hoogerheide, Anne Opschoor and Herman van Dijk

20110003: Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data

Monica Billio, Roberto Casarin, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

20110002: Modeling and Estimation of Synchronization in Multistate Markov-Switching Models

Cem Çakmaklı, Richard Paap and Dick van Dijk

20110001: When is Quantitative Easing effective?

Markus Hoermann and Andreas Schabert

20100129: Did the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 make Firms less Opaque? Evidence from Analyst Earnings Forecasts

Stefan Arping and Zacharias Sautner

20100128: Differentiating Indexation in Dutch Pension Funds

Roel Beetsma and Alessandro Bucciol

20100127: Same Work, Lower Grade? Student Ethnicity and Teachers’ Subjective Assessments

Reyn Van Ewijk

20100126: Price Competition on Graphs

Adriaan Soetevent

20100125: Two-way Flow Networks with Small Decay

Kris De Jaegher and Jurjen Kamphorst

20100124: Dynamic Incentive Effects of Relative Performance Pay: A Field Experiment

Josse Delfgaauw, Robert Dur, Arjan Non and Willem Verbeke

20100123: When Galatea cares about her Reputation: How having Faith in your Workers reduces their Motivation to shine

Jurjen Kamphorst and Otto Swank

20100122: Education-related Inequity in Health Care with Heterogeneous Reporting of Health

Teresa Bago d'Uva, Maarten Lindeboom, Owen O'Donnell and Eddy Van Doorslaer

20100121: Contracting out, an Empirical Study on Motives

Mattheus Wassenaar, Tom Groot and Raymond Gradus

20100120: Collusion and the Choice of Auction: An Experimental Study

Jeroen Hinloopen and Sander Onderstal

20100119: Handedness predicts Social Preferences: Evidence connecting the Lab to the Field

Thomas Buser

20100118: Step by Step: Revisiting Step Tolling in the Bottleneck Model

Charles Lindsey, Vincent van den Berg and Erik Verhoef

20100117: Risk Aversion under Preference Uncertainty

Roman Kraeussl, Andre Lucas and Arjen Siegmann

20100116: Cash Flow and Discount Rate Risk in Up and Down Markets: What is actually priced?

Mahmoud Botshekan, Roman Kraeussl and Andre Lucas

20100115: Getting the Most out of Macroeconomic Information for Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility

Cem Çakmaklı and Dick van Dijk

20100114: Homeownership and Demand for Long-Term Care

Jan Rouwendal and Fleur Thomese

20100113: Gender Peer Effects in University: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Hessel Oosterbeek and Reyn Van Ewijk

20100112: Collusion through Joint R&D: An Empirical Assessment

Tomaso Duso, Lars-Hendrik Roeller and Jo Seldeslachts

20100111: Optimal Management with Potential Regime Shifts

Stephen Polasky, Aart de Zeeuw and Florian Wagener

20100110: The Economics of Information in Transport

Piet Rietveld

20100109: Pensions, Debt and Inflation Risk in a Monetary Union

Yvonne Adema