Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers

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20050118: Model-based Measurement of Latent Risk in Time Series with Applications

Frits Bijleveld, Jacques Commandeur, Phillip Gould and Siem Jan Koopman

20050117: On Importance Sampling for State Space Models

Borus Jungbacker and Siem Jan Koopman

20050116: Birth Order, Family Size and Educational Attainment

Monique De Haan

20050115: The Political Economy of Financial Fragility

Erik Feijen and Enrico Perotti

20050114: The Component Fairness Solution for Cycle-free Graph Games

P. Jean-Jacques Herings, Gerard van der Laan and Adolphus Talman

20050113: Gigerenzer the Decided: A Tale of Difficult Distinctions

Floris Heukelom

20050112: Judging Contending Estimators by Simulation: Tournaments in Dynamic Panel Data Models

Jan Kiviet

20050111: The Origin of Prospect Theory, or Testing the Intuitive Statistician

Floris Heukelom

20050110: Risk Diversification by European Financial Conglomerates

Jan Frederik Slijkerman, Dirk Schoenmaker and Casper de Vries

20050109: Unionization Structure, Licensing and Innovation

Arijit Mukherjee and Enrico Pennings

20050108: Explaining the Variation in Empirical Estimates of Tax Elasticities of Foreign Direct Investment

Ruud de Mooij and Sjef Ederveen

20050107: Spatial Activity and Labour Market Patterns

Giovanni Russo, Aura Reggiani and Peter Nijkamp

20050106: Solving Discrete Zero Point Problems with Vector Labeling

Gerard van der Laan, Adolphus Talman and Zaifu Yang

20050105: The Bicausal Relation between Religion and Income

Leon Bettendorf and Elbert Dijkgraaf

20050104: The Pro-collusive Effect of Increasing the Repose Period for Price Fixing Agreements

Jeroen Hinloopen

20050103: The Impact of Central Bank FX Interventions on Currency Components

Michel Beine, Charles Bos and Sebastian Laurent

20050102: The Political Economy of Corporate Control

Enrico Perotti and Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden

20050101: Testing for Marginal Spillovers from Foreign Direct Investment

Carlo Altomonte and Enrico Pennings

20050100: General Geographical Economics Model with Congestion

Charles Marrewijk

20050099: Tenure Profiles and Efficient Separation in a Stochastic Productivity Model

Ioan Sebastian Buhai and Coen N. Teulings

20050098: Discretionary Policy, Multiple Equilibria, and Monetary Instruments

Andreas Schabert

20050097: The Effect of Job Satisfaction on Job Search: Not just whether, but also where

Josse Delfgaauw

20050096: Empirical Estimation Results of a Collective Household Time Allocation Model

Chris Klaveren, Bernard van Praag and Henriëtte Maassen van den Brink

20050095: Intra-household Work Time Synchronization: Togetherness or Material Benefits?

Chris Klaveren and Henriëtte Maassen van den Brink

20050094: An Economic Analysis of Mixing Wastes

Rob F.T. Aalbers and Herman R.J. Vollebergh

20050093: Compensation of Regional Unemployment in Housing Markets

Wouter Vermeulen and Jos van Ommeren

20050092: Outlier Detection in GARCH Models

Jurgen Doornik and Marius Ooms

20050091: Periodic Seasonal Reg-ARFIMA-GARCH Models for Daily Electricity Spot Prices

Siem Jan Koopman, Marius Ooms and M. Angeles Carnero

20050090: The WTP for Facilities at the Amsterdam Zuidas

Thomas Graaff, Henri de Groot, Caroline A. Rodenburg and Erik Verhoef

20050089: Predicting the Daily Covariance Matrix for S&P 100 Stocks using Intraday Data - But which Frequency to use?

Michiel De Pooter, Martin Martens and Dick van Dijk

20050088: Identification of 'Wasteful Commuting' using Search Theory

Jos van Ommeren and Willemijn Van der Straaten

20050087: Total Factor Productivity and the Mongolian Transition

Antonio G. Chessa and Marije C. Schouwstra

20050086: Series Expansions for Finite-State Markov Chains

Bernd Heidergott, Arie Hordijk and Miranda van Uitert

20050085: Network Asymmetries and Access Pricing in Cellular Telecommunications

Viktória Kocsis

20050084: Omitted Variables and Misspecified Disturbances in the Logit Model

Jan Cramer

20050083: Level-Slope-Curvature - Fact or Artefact?

Roger Lord and Antoon Pelsser

20050082: Second-best Road Pricing Through Highway Franchising

Erik Verhoef

20050081: Measuring Asymmetric Stochastic Cycle Components in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series

Siem Jan Koopman and Kai Ming Lee

20050080: Party Governance and the Selection of Parliamentarians

Klaas J. Beniers

20050079: The Construction and Interpretation of Combined Cross-Section and Time-Series Inequality Datasets

Joseph Francois and Hugo Rojas-Romagosa

20050078: Social Identity Strategies in Recent Economics

John Davis

20050077: Debt Non-Neutrality, Policy Interactions, and Macroeconomic Stability

Ludger Linnemann and Andreas Schabert

20050076: Nonparametric Tests for Serial Independence Based on Quadratic Forms

Cees Diks and Valentyn Panchenko

20050075: The Importance of Emotions for the Effectiveness of Social Punishment

Astrid Hopfensitz and Ernesto Reuben

20050074: Cultural and Institutional Determinants of Bilateral Trade Flows

Gert-Jan M. Linders, Arjen Slangen, Henri de Groot and Sjoerd Beugelsdijk

20050073: Preference Erosion and Multilateral Trade Liberalization

Joseph Francois, Bernard Hoekman and Miriam Manchin

20050072: Preferential Trade Arrangements and the Pattern of Production and Trade when Inputs are Differentiated

Joseph Francois

20050071: The Multi-State Latent Factor Intensity Model for Credit Rating Transitions

Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and André Monteiro

20050070: On-the-Job Search and Sorting

Pieter Gautier, Coen N. Teulings and Aico van Vuuren

20050069: The Workers' Value of the Remaining Employment Contract Duration

Jos van Ommeren and Mihails Hazans

20050068: 25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review

Jan G. Gooijer and Rob Hyndman

20050067: Bahadur Representation for the Nonparametric M-Estimator Under Alpha-mixing Dependence

Yebin Cheng and Jan G. Gooijer

20050066: On the Optimal Policy for Deterministic and Exponential Polling Systems

Bruno Gaujal, Arie Hordijk and Dinard van der Laan

20050065: The Economics of Altruistic Punishment and the Demise of Cooperation

Martijn Egas and Arno Riedl

20050064: Alternating Offers in Economic Environments

Harold Houba

20050063: Stochastic Orders of Proposing Players in Bargaining

Harold Houba

20050062: What drives Donor Funding in Population Assistance Programs?

Hendrik van Dalen and Mieke Reuser

20050061: Characterizations of Network Power Measures

Rene van den Brink, Peter Borm, Ruud Hendrickx and Guillermo Owen

20050060: A Non-Gaussian Panel Time Series Model for Estimating and Decomposing Default Risk

Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and Robert Daniels

20050059: Money Supply and the Implementation of Interest Rate Targets

Andreas Schabert

20050058: Evaluation Problem versus Selection Problem in Organizational Structures

Stefano Ficco and Vladimir Karamychev

20050057: A Dynamic Analysis of Moving Average Rules

Carl Chiarella, Xuezhong (Tony) He and Cars Hommes

20050056: Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance

Cars Hommes

20050055: Heterogeneous Agent Models: Two Simple Case Studies

Cars Hommes

20050054: Money - Inflation Nexus in Indonesia: Evidence from a P-Star Analysis

Reza Anglingkusumo

20050053: Productive Government Expenditure in Monetary Business Cycle Models

Ludger Linnemann and Andreas Schabert

20050052: Behavioral Heterogeneity in Stock Prices

H. Peter Boswijk, Cars Hommes and Sebastiano Manzan

20050051: Stability of the Demand for Real Narrow Money in lndonesia

Reza Anglingkusumo

20050050: Politicians' Motivation, Role of Elections, and Policy Choices

Phongthorn Wrasai

20050049: Illinois Walls

Maarten Pieter Schinkel, Jan Tuinstra and Jakob Rüggeberg

20050048: Zipf's Law for Integrated Economies

Harry Bowen, Haris Munandar and Jean-Marie Viaene

20050047: Social Experiments and Instrumental Variables with Duration Outcomes

Jaap H. Abbring and Gerard van den Berg

20050046: A Firm's First Year

Jaap H. Abbring and Jeffrey Campbell

20050045: The Limiting Distribution of Production in Integrated Economies: Evidence from US States and EU Countries

Harry Bowen, Haris Munandar and Jean-Marie Viaene

20050044: The Euro Introduction and Non-Euro Currencies

Dick van Dijk, Haris Munandar and Christian Hafner

20050043: Equivalence and Bifurcations of Finite Order Stochastic Processes

Cees Diks and Florian Wagener

20050042: Automated Response Surface Methodology for Stochastic Optimization Models with Unknown Variance

Robin Nicolai and Rommert Dekker

20050041: Forecasting Regional Labour Market Developments Under Spatial Heterogeneity and Spatial Autocorrelation

Simonetta Longhi and Peter Nijkamp

20050040: Do Daily Retail Gasoline Prices adjust Asymmetrically?

Leon Bettendorf, Stephanie van der Geest and Gerard Kuper

20050039: Assessing the Value of Museums with a Combined Discrete Choice / Count Data Model

Jan Rouwendal and Jaap Boter

20050038: Internet Retailing as a Marketing Strategy

Maarten C.W. Janssen and Rob van der Noll

20050037: Capital Market Failure, Adverse Selection and Equity Financing of Higher Education

Bas Jacobs and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20050036: Redistribution and Education Subsidies are Siamese Twins

A. Lans Bovenberg and Bas Jacobs

20050035: Human Capital and Optimal Positive Taxation of Capital Income

Bas Jacobs and A. Lans Bovenberg

20050034: On the Size of the Winning Set in the Presence of Interest Groups

Vjollca Sadiraj, Jan Tuinstra and Frans van Winden

20050033: Uncertain Technological Change under Capital Mobility

Paul de Hek

20050032: Friendship Relations in the School Class and Adult Economic Attainment

Andrea Galeotti and Gerrit Müller

20050031: Auctions with Numerous Bidders

Silvia Caserta and Casper de Vries

20050030: Remittances and their Effect on Emigration Intentions in Egypt, Morocco and Turkey

Hendrik van Dalen, George Groenewold and Tineke Fokkema

20050029: Correcting for Primary Study Misspecifications in Meta-Analysis

Mark Koetse, Raymond Florax and Henri de Groot

20050028: On Committees of Experts

Bauke Visser and Otto Swank

20050027: Where to go? Workers' Reasons to quit and Intra- versus Interindustry Job Mobility

Josse Delfgaauw

20050026: Performance Measurement, Expectancy and Agency Theory: An Experimental Study

Randolph Sloof and Mirjam Praag

20050025: Auctions, Market Prices and the Risk Attitude Effect

Maarten C.W. Janssen and Vladimir Karamychev

20050024: Basic Exchange Rate Theories

Charles Marrewijk

20050023: Institutional Determinants of Bilateral Trade: An Analysis according to Product Type

Gert-Jan M. Linders, Henri de Groot and Piet Rietveld

20050022: Advertising and Consumer Search in a Duopoly Model

Maarten C.W. Janssen and Marielle Non

20050021: Population Ageing and Pension Reform in a Small Open Economy with Non-Traded Goods

Leon Bettendorf and Ben Heijdra

20050020: Positional Wages, Market Wages and Firm Size

Rene van den Brink and Pieter Ruys

20050019: The Multinationalization of the Transport Sector

Mario Larch