Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers

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20220022: Asymptotic properties of the weighted average least squares (WALS) estimator

Giuseppe De Luca, Jan Magnus and Franco Peracchi

20220021: Fertility and Parental Retirement

Julius Ilciukas

20220020: Personalized Pricing, Competition and Welfare

Harold Houba, Evgenia Motchenkova and Hui Wang

20220019: The Economics and Econometrics of Gene-Environment Interplay

Pietro Biroli, Titus Galama, Stephanie von Hinke, Hans van Kippersluis, Cornelius Rietveld and Kevin Thom

20220018: Optimal Commodity Taxation Under Non-linear Income Taxation

Kevin Spiritus

20220017: Risk-Taking, Competition and Uncertainty: Do Contingent Convertible (CoCo) Bonds Increase the Risk Appetite of Banks?

Mahmoud Fatouh, Ioana Neamtu and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20220016: Habitual Communication

Konstantinos Ioannidis

20220015: The Emerging Autonomy–Stability Choice for Stablecoins

Maarten van Oordt

20220014: Do firms or workers drive the foreign acquisition wage premium?

Marcus Rösch, Michiel Gerritse, Bas Karreman, Frank Oort and Bart Loog

20220013: A Flexible Predictive Density Combination Model for Large Financial Data Sets in Regular and Crisis Periods

Roberto Casarin, Stefano Grassi, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

20220012: Responsive state-dependent or habitual state-independent congestion pricing under dynamic congestion

Xiaojuan Yu, Vincent van den Berg and ZhiChun Li

20220011: A Smooth Shadow-Rate Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model for Yields at the Zero Lower Bound

Daan Opschoor and Michel van der Wel

20220010: Do highway widening reduce congestion?

Ioulia Ossokina, Jos van Ommeren and Henk van Mourik

20220004: Autonomous cars and activity-based bottleneck model: How do in-vehicle activities determine aggregate travel patterns?

Xiaojuan Yu, Vincent van den Berg and Erik Verhoef

20220002: Business models for Mobility as an Service

Vincent van den Berg, Henk Meurs and Erik Verhoef

20210101: The corporate calendar and the timing of share repurchases and equity compensation

Ingolf Dittmann, Amy Yazhu Li, Stefan Obernberger and Jiaqi Zheng

20210088: Using Genes to Explore the Effects of Cognitive and Non-cognitive Skills on Education and Labor Market Outcomes

Thomas Buser, Rafael Ahlskog, Magnus Johannesson, Philipp Koellinger and Sven Oskarsson

20210080: Moments, Shocks and Spillovers in Markov-switching VAR Models

Erik Kole and Dick van Dijk

20210063: Corporate Social Responsibility by Joint Agreement

Maarten Pieter Schinkel and Leonard Treuren

20210061: Unemployment and tax design

Albert Jan Hummel

20210060: On the Foundations of Competitive Search Equilibrium with and without Market Maker

James Albrecht, Xiaoming Cai, Pieter Gautier and Susan Vroman

20210059: COVID-19, Credit Risk and Macro Fundamentals

Anna Dubinova, Andre Lucas and Sean Telg

20210058: Search, Screening and Sorting

Xiaoming Cai, Pieter Gautier and Ronald Wolthoff

20210057: Common and Idiosyncratic Conditional Volatility Factors: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Francisco Blasques, Enzo D'Innocenzo and Siem Jan Koopman

20210056: Vector Autoregressions with Dynamic Factor Coefficients and Conditionally Heteroskedastic Errors

Paolo Gorgi, Siem Jan Koopman and Julia Schaumburg

20210055: The Effects of Usury Ceilings on Consumers Welfare: Evidence from the Microcredit Market in Colombia

Laura Capera Romero

20210054: Early-life Famine Exposure, Hunger Recall and Later-life Health

Zichen Deng and Maarten Lindeboom

20210053: Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil

Knut Are Aastveit, Jamie Cross and Herman van Dijk

20210052: On existence of private unemployment insurance with advance information on future job losses

Piotr Denderski and Christian Stoltenberg

20210051: Monopsony power, income taxation and welfare

Albert Jan Hummel

20210050: Voting right rotation, behavior of committee members and financial market reactions: Evidence from the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee

Michael Ehrmann, Robin Tietz and Bauke Visser

20210049: Reputation Shocks and Strategic Responses in Electoral Campaigns

Ruben Poblete-Cazenave

20210048: How Sensitive are Sports Fans to Unemployment?

J Reade and Jan van Ours

20210047: Oil discoveries and protectionism: role of news effects

Fidel Sebastian-Perez, Ohad Raveh and Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

20210046: The risk-adjusted carbon price

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Ton van den Bremer

20210045: On current and future carbon prices in a risky world

Stan Olijslagers, Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20210044: Concentration of power at the editorial boards of economics journals

Lorenzo Ductor and Bauke Visser

20210043: When a coauthor joins an editorial board

Lorenzo Ductor and Bauke Visser

20210042: Bias in expert product reviews

Ben Vollaard and Jan van Ours

20210041: Leaders, Factions and Electoral Success

Benoit Crutzen and Sabine Flamand

20210040: Clustering Dynamics and Persistence for Financial Multivariate Panel Data

Igor Custodio João, Andre Lucas and Julia Schaumburg

20210039: The Best at the Top? Candidate Ranking Strategies Under Closed List Proportional Representation

Benoit Crutzen, Hideo Konishi and Nicolas Sahuguet

20210038: Weighted-average least squares (WALS): Confidence and prediction intervals

Giuseppe De Luca, Jan R. Magnus and Franco Peracchi

20210037: Lockdowns as options

Sweder van Wijnbergen

20210036: Heterogeneity in Manufacturing Growth Risk

Daan Opschoor, Dick van Dijk and Philip Hans Franses

20210035: Disparities in socio-economic status and BMI in the UK are partly due to genetic and environmental luck

Casper A.P. Burik, Hyeokmoon Kweon and Philipp D. Koellinger

20210034: Invariance of Unemployment and Vacancy Dynamics with Respect to Diminishing Returns to Labor at the Firm Level

Björn Brügemann

20210033: Reconstruction of the Spanish Money Supply, 1492-1810

Felix Ward, Yao Chen and Nuno Palma

20210032: The Banker's Oath And Financial Advice

Utz Weitzel and Michael Kirchler

20210031: Top Down or Bottom Up? Disentangling the Channels of Attention in Risky Choice

Jan Engelmann, Alejandro Hirmas and Joël van der Weele

20210030: Macroeconomic disasters and consumption smoothing

Lorenzo Pozzi and Barbara Sadaba

20210029: Pcoins for parking: a field experiment with tradable mobility permits

Devi Brands, Erik Verhoef and Jasper Knockaert

20210028: Sharing the cost of cleaning up a polluted river

Wenzhong Li, Genjiu Xu and Rene van den Brink

20210027: Sectoral slowdowns in the UK: Evidence from transmission probabilities and economic linkages

Eva Janssens and Robin Lumsdaine

20210026: Unravelling urban advantages - A meta-analysis of agglomeration economies

S. Donovan, Thomas Graaff, Henri de Groot and Carl Koopmans

20210025: Optimal Taxation of Normal and Excess Returns to Risky Assets

Robin Boadway and Kevin Spiritus

20210024: Balanced Externalities and the Proportional Allocation of Nonseparable Contributions

Rene van den Brink, Youngsub Chun, Yukihiko Funaki and Zhengxing Zou

20210023: The initial deposit decision and the occurrence of bank runs

Johan de Jong

20210022: The option value of vacant land: Don't build when demand for housing is booming

Rutger-Jan Lange and Coen N. Teulings

20210021: Will urban air mobility fly? The efficiency and distributional impacts of UAM in different urban spatial structures

Anna Straubinger, Erik Verhoef and Henri de Groot

20210020: Time-varying state correlations in state space models and their estimation via indirect inference

Caterina Schiavoni, Siem Jan Koopman, Franz Palm, Stephan Smeekes and Jan van den Brakel

20210019: Networks, Communication and Hierarchy: Applications to Cooperative Games

Encarnacion Algaba and Rene van den Brink

20210018: Disentangling Covid-19, Economic Mobility, and Containment Policy Shocks

Annika Camehl and Malte Rieth

20210017: Bayes estimates of multimodal density features using DNA and Economic Data

Nalan Basturk, Lennart Hoogerheide and Herman van Dijk

20210016: A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance

Roberto Casarin, Stefano Grassi, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

20210015: Citywide parking policy and traffic: Evidence from Amsterdam

Francis Ostermeijer, Hans RA Koster, Leonardo Nunes and Jos van Ommeren

20210014: Technology vs information to promote conservation: Evidence from water audits

Erik Ansink, Carmine Ornaghi and Mirco Tonin

20210013: Eliciting time preferences when income and consumption vary: Theory, validation & application to job search

Michèle Belot, Philipp Kircher and Paul Muller

20210012: The Informational Affective Tie Mechanism: On the Role of Uncertainty, Context, and Attention in Caring

Frans van Winden

20210011: Market power in California's water market

Françeska Tomori, Erik Ansink, Harold Houba, Nick Hagerty and Charles Bos

20210010: Tail Heterogeneity for Dynamic Covariance Matrices: the F-Riesz Distribution

Andre Lucas, Anne Opschoor and Luca Rossini

20210009: Bankruptcy Codes and Risk Sharing of Currency Unions

Xuan Wang

20210008: Regularized estimation for panel time series models with dynamic factors and local cross-sectional dependence

Quint Wiersma, Siem Jan Koopman, Julia Schaumburg and Etienne Wijler

20210007: Weak versus strong dominance of shrinkage estimators

Giuseppe De Luca and Jan R. Magnus

20210006: Forecasting in a changing world: from the great recession to the COVID-19 pandemic

Mariia Artemova, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Zhaokun Zhang

20210005: Going Through The Roof: On Prices for Drugs Sold Through Insurance

Jurjen Kamphorst and Vladimir Karamychev

20210004: Robust Estimation of Probit Models with Endogeneity

Andrea A. Naghi, Máté Váradi and Mikhail Zhelonkin

20210003: Mental Health Effects of Same-Sex Marriage Legalization

Shuai Chen and Jan van Ours

20210002: Macroeconomic Conditions When Young Shape Job Preferences for Life

Maria Cotofan, Lea Cassar, Robert Dur and Stephan Meijer

20210001: The Value Added of Machine Learning to Causal Inference: Evidence from Revisited Studies

Anna Baiardi and Andrea A. Naghi

20210000: Equity Risk Factors for the Long and Short Run: Pricing and Performance at Different Frequencies

Terri van der Zwan, Erik Hennink and Patrick Tuijp

20200086: Welfare Measurement and Poverty Targeting Based on Participatory Wealth Rankings

Martin Wiegand

20200085: Optimal Linear Income Taxation and Education Subsidies under Skill-Biased Technical Change

Bas Jacobs and Uwe Thuemmel

20200084: Do Disability Benefits Hinder Work Resumption After Recovery?

Pierre Koning, Paul Muller and Roger Prudon

20200082: Dynamic complementarity in skill production: Evidence from genetic endowments and birth order

Dilnoza Muslimova, Hans van Kippersluis, Cornelius A. Rietveld, Stephanie von Hinke and S. Fleur W. Meddens

20200081: Organised Labour, Labour Market Imperfections, and Employer Wage Premia

Sabien Dobbelaere, Boris Hirsch, Steffen Mueller and Georg Neuschaeffer

20200080: Accident Externality of Driving: Evidence from the London Congestion Charge

Cheng Tang and Jos van Ommeren

20200079: Debt sustainability when r - g smaller than 0: no free lunch after all

Sweder van Wijnbergen, Stan Olijslagers and Nander de Vette

20200078: Dynamic Factor Models with Clustered Loadings: Forecasting Education Flows using Unemployment Data

Francisco Blasques, Meindert Heres Hoogerkamp, Siem Jan Koopman and Ilka van de Werve

20200077: Common International Trends in Football Stadium Attendance

Jan van Ours

20200076: Modeling extreme events: time-varying extreme tail shape

Bernd Schwaab, Xin Zhang and Andre Lucas

20200075: What a drag it is getting old? Mental health and loneliness beyond age 50

Jan van Ours

20200074: Public Speaking Aversion

Thomas Buser and Huaiping Yuan

20200073: A New Class of Robust Observation-Driven Models

Francisco Blasques, Christian Francq and Sébastien Laurent

20200072: Morals in multi-unit markets

Andreas G. B. Ziegler, Giorgia Romagnoli and Theo Offerman

20200071: Why are open ascending auctions popular? The role of information aggregation and behavioral biases

Theo Offerman, Giorgia Romagnoli and Andreas G. B. Ziegler

20200070: Estimation of final standings in football competitions with premature ending: the case of COVID-19

Paolo Gorgi, Siem Jan Koopman and Rutger Lit

20200069: A multinomial and rank-ordered logit model with inter- and intra-individual heteroscedasticity

Anoek Castelein, Dennis Fok and Richard Paap

20200068: Ethnic employment gaps of graduates in the Netherlands

Paul Bisschop, Bas ter Weel and Jelle Zwetsloot

20200067: A Bit of Salt a Trace of Life - Gender Norms and The Impact of a Salt Iodization Program on Human Capital Formation of School Aged Children

Zichen Deng and Maarten Lindeboom