Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers

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20120058: Screening for Collusion: A Spatial Statistics Approach

Pim Heijnen, Marco Haan and Adriaan Soetevent

20120057: Aggregating Credit and Market Risk: The Impact of Model Specification

Andre Lucas and Bastiaan Verhoef

20120056: Airlines' Strategic Interactions and Airport Pricing in a Dynamic Bottleneck Model of Congestion

Hugo E. Silva, Erik Verhoef and Vincent van den Berg

20120055: A New Semiparametric Volatility Model

Jiangyu Ji and Andre Lucas

20120054: Social Relations and Relational Incentives

Robert Dur and Jan Tichem

20120053: Long-Term versus Short-Term Contingencies in Asset Allocation

Mahmoud Botshekan and Andre Lucas

20120052: Share Functions for Cooperative Games with Levels Structure of Cooperation

Mikel Álvarez-Mozos, Rene van den Brink, Gerard van der Laan and Oriol Tejada

20120051: Health Expenditure Growth: Looking beyond the Average through Decomposition of the Full Distribution

Claudine de Meijer, Marc Koopmanschap, Owen O'Donnell and Eddy Van Doorslaer

20120050: A Strategic Implementation of the Average Tree Solution for Cycle-Free Graph Games

Rene van den Brink, Gerard van der Laan and Nigel Moes

20120049: Dutch Sectoral Energy Intensity Developments in International Perspective, 1987-2005

Peter Mulder and Henri de Groot

20120048: The Transmission of Monetary Policy through Conventional and Islamic Banks

Sajjad Zaheer, Steven Ongena and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20120047: Composite Valuation of Immaterial Damage in Flooding: Value of Statistical Life, Value of Statistical Evacuation and Value of Statistical Injury

Marija Bockarjova, Piet Rietveld and Erik Verhoef

20120046: Scale, Scope and Cognition: Context Analysis of Multiple Stated Choice Experiments on the Values of Life and Limb

Marija Bockarjova, Piet Rietveld and Erik Verhoef

20120045: Risk and Inequality in a Social Decision Making Experiment

Ingrid Rohde and Kirsten I.M. Rohde

20120044: Fiscal Deficits, Financial Fragility, and the Effectiveness of Government Policies

Markus Kirchner and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20120043: Learning Dynamics and the Support for Economic Reforms: Why Good News can be Bad

Sweder van Wijnbergen and Tim Willems

20120042: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables using Collapsed Dynamic Factor Analysis

Falk Bräuning and Siem Jan Koopman

20120041: The Effect of Early Entrepreneurship Education: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

Laura Rosendahl Huber, Randolph Sloof and Mirjam Praag

20120040: The On-Street Parking Premium and Car Drivers' Choice between Street and Garage Parking

Martijn Kobus, Eva Gutiérrez-i-Puigarnau, Piet Rietveld and Jos van Ommeren

20120039: Effects of NCMS Coverage on Access to Care and Financial Protection in China

Zhiyuan Hou, Ellen Van de Poel, Eddy Van Doorslaer, Baorong Yua and Qingyue Menge

20120038: The Influence of Wages on Public Officials' Corruptibility: A Laboratory Investigation

Roel van Veldhuizen

20120037: Savings Adequacy Uncertainty: Driver or Obstacle to Increased Pension Contributions?

Ron J.G. van Schie, Bas Donkers and Benedict Dellaert

20120036: Players Indifferent to cooperate and Characterizations of the Shapley Value

Conrado Manuel, Enrique Gonzalez-Aranguena and Rene van den Brink

20120035: From Tradition to Modernity: Economic Growth in a Small World

Ines Lindner and Holger Strulik

20120034: The Role of Performance Appraisals in Motivating Employees

Jurjen Kamphorst and Otto Swank

20120033: Why is Price Discovery in Credit Default Swap Markets News-Specific?

Ian Marsh and Wolf Wagner

20120032: Networks and Collective Action

Ramon Flores, Maurice Koster, Ines Lindner and Elisenda Molina

20120031: Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisitions: The Role of Private Equity Firms

Mark Humphery-Jenner, Zacharias Sautner and Jo-Ann Suchard

20120030: On the Measurement of Success and Satisfaction

Rene van den Brink and Frank Steffen

20120029: Judicial Error by Groups and Individuals

Frans van Dijk, Joep Sonnemans and Ed Bauw

20120028: What can the Big Five Personality Factors contribute to explain Small-Scale Economic Behavior?

Julia Müller and Christiane Schwieren

20120027: Structural Change and Convergence of Energy Intensity across OECD Countries, 1970-2005

Peter Mulder and Henri de Groot

20120026: A Class of Adaptive Importance Sampling Weighted EM Algorithms for Efficient and Robust Posterior and Predictive Simulation

Lennart Hoogerheide, Anne Opschoor and Herman van Dijk

20120025: Evidence on Features of a DSGE Business Cycle Model from Bayesian Model Averaging

Rodney Strachan and Herman van Dijk

20120024: Economic Impacts of Cultural Diversity in the Netherlands: Productivity, Utility, and Sorting

Jessie Bakens, Peter Mulder and Peter Nijkamp

20120023: Deterministic versus Random Utility: Implied Patterns of Vertical Product Differentiation in a Multi-Product Monopoly

Christiaan Behrens, Mark Lijesen, Eric Pels and Erik Verhoef

20120022: On Risk, Leverage and Banks: Do highly Leveraged Banks take on Excessive Risk?

Martin Koudstaal and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20120021: The Executive Turnover Risk Premium

Florian S. Peters and Alexander Wagner

20120020: Predicting Time-Varying Parameters with Parameter-Driven and Observation-Driven Models

Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and Marcel Scharth

20120019: Confirming Information Flows in Networks

Pascal Billand, Christophe Bravard, Jurjen Kamphorst and Sudipta Sarangi

20120018: High-Frequency Technical Trading: The Importance of Speed

Martin Scholtus and Dick van Dijk

20120017: Search Costs, Demand-Side Economies and the Incentives to merge under Bertrand Competition

Jose Moraga-Gonzalez and Vaiva Petrikaite

20120016: Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes

Te Bao, Cars Hommes, Joep Sonnemans and Jan Tuinstra

20120015: Learning, Forecasting and Optimizing: An Experimental Study

Te Bao, John Duffy and Cars Hommes

20120014: Multilevel Approaches and the Firm-Agglomeration Ambiguity in Economic Growth Studies

Frank Oort, Martijn Burger, Joris Knoben and Otto Raspe

20120013: Long-Run Effects of Gestation during the Dutch Hunger Winter Famine on Labor Market and Hospitalization Outcomes

Robert S. Scholte, Gerard van den Berg and Maarten Lindeboom

20120012: A Bankruptcy Approach to the Core Cover

Arantza Estévez-Fernández, María Gloria Fiestras-Janeiro, Manuel Alfredo Mosquera and Estela Sánchez- Rodríguez

20120011: Assessing Debt Sustainability in a Stochastic Environment: 200 years of Dutch Debt and Deficit Management

Sweder van Wijnbergen and Alexander France

20120010: Defensive Disclosure under Antitrust Enforcement

Ajay Bhaskarabhatla and Enrico Pennings

20120009: Generalized Dynamic Panel Data Models with Random Effects for Cross-Section and Time

Geert Mesters and Siem Jan Koopman

20120008: Fast Efficient Importance Sampling by State Space Methods

Siem Jan Koopman, Rutger Lit and Thuy Minh Nguyen

20120007: Structural Intervention Time Series Analysis of Crime Rates: The Impact of Sentence Reform in Virginia

Sunčica Vujić, Jacques Commandeur and Siem Jan Koopman

20120006: Transboundary Externalities and Property Rights: An International River Pollution Model

Gerard van der Laan and Nigel Moes

20120005: New Developments in the Measurement of Welfare and Well-being

Bernard van Praag and Erik J.S. Plug

20120004: Who is at the Top? Wealth Mobility over the Life Cycle

Stefan Hochguertel and Henry Ohlsson

20120003: Social Preferences in Private Decisions

Jona Linde and Joep Sonnemans

20120002: How Consumers use Gift Certificates

Flora Felso and Adriaan Soetevent

20120001: Multi-Player Agents in Cooperative TU-Games

Rene van den Brink and Chris Dietz

20110182: Harsanyi Power Solutions for Games on Union Stable Systems

Encarnacion Algaba, Jesus Mario Bilbao and Rene van den Brink

20110181: Long-Run vs. Short-Run Perspectives on Consumer Scheduling: Evidence from a Revealed-Preference Experiment among Peak-Hour Road Commuters

Stefanie Peer, Erik Verhoef, Jasper Knockaert, Paul Koster and Yin-Yen Tseng

20110180: Door-to-Door Travel Times in RP Departure Time Choice Models: An Approximation Method based on GPS

Stefanie Peer, Jasper Knockaert, Paul Koster, Yin-Yen Tseng and Erik Verhoef

20110179: Optimal Pricing of Flights and Passengers at Congested Airports: The Efficiency of Atomistic Charges

Hugo E. Silva and Erik Verhoef

20110178: Risk, Balanced Skills and Entrepreneurship

Chihmao Hsieh, Simon Parker and Mirjam Praag

20110177: Estimating Loss Functions of Experts

Philip Hans Franses, Rianne Legerstee and Richard Paap

20110176: Conditional Probabilities and Contagion Measures for Euro Area Sovereign Default Risk

Xin Zhang, Bernd Schwaab and Andre Lucas

20110175: Long Memory Dynamics for Multivariate Dependence under Heavy Tails

Pawel Janus, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas

20110174: Discrimination in the Labor Market: The Curse of Competition between Workers

Thomas de Haan, Theo Offerman and Randolph Sloof

20110173: The Labor Market in the Great Recession: An Update

Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn, Aysegul Sahin and Robert Valletta

20110172: Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data

Monica Billio, Roberto Casarin, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

20110171: Halal Certification for Financial Products: A Transaction Cost Perspective

Raphie Hayat, Frank Den Butter and Udo Kock

20110170: Output Commitment through Product Bundling: Experimental Evidence

Jeroen Hinloopen, Wieland Mueller and Hans-Theo Normann

20110169: Financial Protection of Patients through Compensation of Providers: The Impact of Health Equity Funds in Cambodia

Gabriela Flores, Por Ir, Chean R. Men, Owen O'Donnell and Eddy Van Doorslaer

20110168: Working for a Good Cause

Robert Dur and Robin Zoutenbier

20110167: Vignette Equivalence and Response Consistency; The Case of Job Satisfaction

Ada Ferrer-i-Carbonell, Bernard van Praag and Ioannis Theodossiou

20110166: Antitrust Enforcement and Marginal Deterrence

Harold Houba, Evgenia Motchenkova and Quan Wen

20110165: It's the Opportunity Cost, stupid! How Self-Employment responds to Financial Incentives of Return, Risk and Skew

Peter Berkhout, Joop Hartog and Mirjam Praag

20110164: Two Values for Transferable Utility Games with Coalition and Graph Structure

Rene van den Brink, Gerard van der Laan and Nigel Moes

20110163: Labor Market Dynamics and Technology Adoption: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Stilianos Alexiadis, Konstantinos Eleftheriou and Peter Nijkamp

20110162: The Institutional Economics of Stakeholder Consultation; Reducing Implementations Costs through 'Matching Zones'

Frank Den Butter and Sjoerd ten Wolde

20110161: From Expert Judgment to Model based Monetary Analysis: The Case of the Dutch Central Bank in the Postwar Period

Frank Den Butter and Harro B.J.B. Maas

20110160: A Rising Natural Rate of Unemployment: Transitory or Permanent?

Mary Daly, Bart Hobijn, Aysegul Sahin and Robert Valletta

20110159: Unemployment Dynamics in the OECD

Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin

20110158: Aggregate Real Wages: Macro Fluctuations and Micro Drivers

Mary C. Daly, Bart Hobijn and Theodore S. Wiles

20110157: Which Industries are shifting the Beveridge Curve?

Régis Barnichon, Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin

20110156: Efficiency Effects of Privatising Refuse Collection: Be careful and Alternatives present

Elbert Dijkgraaf and Raymond Gradus

20110155: Measurement of Inequity in Health Care with Heterogeneous Response of Use to Need

Ellen Van de Poel, Eddy Van Doorslaer and Owen O'Donnell

20110154: Measuring and Predicting Heterogeneous Recessions

Cem Çakmaklı, Richard Paap and Dick van Dijk

20110153: An Experimental Study of Credible Deviations and ACDC

Adrian de Groot Ruiz, Theo Offerman and Sander Onderstal

20110152: The Impact of Mobile Telephone Use on Economic Development of Households in Uganda

Sanne Lise Blauw and Philip Hans Franses

20110151: Self-Confidence and Strategic Deterrence

Gary Charness, Aldo Rustichini and Jeroen van de Ven

20110150: Market Liquidity and Exposure of Hedge Funds

Arjen Siegmann and Denitsa Stefanova

20110149: Are Chinese Individuals prone to Money Illusion?

Heleen Mees and Philip Hans Franses

20110148: An Optimal Signaling Equilibrium

Vladimir Karamychev and Bauke Visser

20110147: Migrants and International Economic Linkages: A Meta-Overview

Masood Gheasi, Peter Nijkamp and Piet Rietveld

20110146: State Aid and Bank Intervention: The ING Illiquid Assets Back-up Facility (IABF)

Sweder van Wijnbergen and Leontine Treur

20110145: Identifying US Monetary Policy Shocks through Sign Restrictions in Dollarized Countries

Alessandro Gobbi and Tim Willems

20110144: The Time-Varying Volatility of Earnings and Aggregate Precautionary Savings

Lorenzo Pozzi

20110143: Effects of Health on Own and Spousal Employment and Income using Acute Hospital Admissions

Pilar Garcia-Gomez, Hans van Kippersluis, Owen O'Donnell and Eddy Van Doorslaer

20110142: A Multi-Scenario Forecast of Urban Change: A Study on Urban Growth in the Algarve

Eric de Noronha Vaz, Peter Nijkamp, Marco Painho and Mario Gaetano

20110141: Do Experts incorporate Statistical Model Forecasts and should they?

Rianne Legerstee, Philip Hans Franses and Richard Paap