Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers

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20110140: Crowding Perception in a Tourist City: A Question of Preference

Bart Neuts and Peter Nijkamp

20110139: From Mind to Market: A Global, Dynamic Analysis of R&D

Jeroen Hinloopen, Grega Smrkolj and Florian Wagener

20110138: Modelling Issues in Kernel Ridge Regression

Peter Exterkate

20110137: Instrumental Variables, Errors in Variables, and Simultaneous Equations Models: Applicability and Limitations of Direct Monte Carlo

Arnold Zellner, Tomohiro Ando, Nalan Baştürk, Lennart Hoogerheide and Herman van Dijk

20110136: Migration and Foreign Direct Investment: Education Matters

Masood Gheasi, Peter Nijkamp and Piet Rietveld

20110135: Do Experts' SKU Forecasts improve after Feedback?

Rianne Legerstee and Philip Hans Franses

20110134: Directional Imbalance in Transport Prices: An Application to Inland Shipping in North-West Europe

Olaf Jonkeren, Jos van Ommeren and Piet Rietveld

20110133: Consumer Valuation of Driving Range: A Meta-Analysis

Alexandros Dimitropoulos, Piet Rietveld and Jos van Ommeren

20110132: The Analysis of Stochastic Volatility in the Presence of Daily Realised Measures

Siem Jan Koopman and Marcel Scharth

20110131: Backtesting Value-at-Risk using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann

Lennart F. Hoogerheide, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

20110130: Asymptotically Informative Prior for Bayesian Analysis

Ao Yuan and Jan G. Gooijer

20110129: Regional Population-Employment Dynamics across Different Sectors of the Economy

Thomas Graaff, Frank Oort and Raymond Florax

20110128: Independence Axioms for Water Allocation

Rene van den Brink, Arantza Estevez-Fernandez, Gerard van der Laan and Nigel Moes

20110127: The Myerson Value and Superfluous Supports in Union Stable Systems

Encarnacion Algaba, Jesus Mario Bilbao, Rene van den Brink and Jorge J. Lopez

20110126: Sovereigns, Upstream Capital Flows and Global Imbalances

Laura Alfaro, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Vadym Volosovych

20110125: Forecasting Volatility with Copula-Based Time Series Models

Oleg Sokolinskiy and Dick van Dijk

20110124: A Note on the Shapley Value for Characteristic Functions on Bipartitions

Sander Muns

20110123: Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions

Monica Billio, Roberto Casarin, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

20110122: Sparse and Robust Factor Modelling

Christophe Croux and Peter Exterkate

20110121: Estimating the Effects of Recent Disability Reforms in The Netherlands

Jan-Maarten Van Sonsbeek and Raymond Gradus

20110120: The Effects of Prize Spread and Noise in Elimination Tournaments: A Natural Field Experiment

Josse Delfgaauw, Robert Dur, Arjan Non and Willem Verbeke

20110119: Knowledge Virtualization and Local Connectedness among Smart High-tech Companies

Marina van Geenhuizen and Peter Nijkamp

20110118: Second-degree Price Discrimination and Inter-group Effects in Airline Routes between European Cities

Marco Alderighi, Alessandro Cento, Peter Nijkamp and Piet Rietveld

20110117: Continuous-Time Modelling with Spatial Dependence

Johan H.L. Oud, Henk Folmer, Roberto Patuelli and Peter Nijkamp

20110116: Cognitive Capital and Islands of Innovation: The Lucas Growth Model from a Regional Perspective

Andrea Caragliu and Peter Nijkamp

20110115: Intention-Based Reciprocity and the Hidden Costs of Control

Ferdinand von Siemens

20110114: Commuter Effects on Local Labour Markets: A German Modelling Study

Giovanni Russo, Federico Tedeschi, Aura Reggiani and Peter Nijkamp

20110113: A Stepwise Projection Data Envelopment Analysis for Public Transport Operations in Japan

Soushi Suzuki and Peter Nijkamp

20110112: Immigration and Innovation in European Regions

Ceren Ozgen, Peter Nijkamp and Jacques Poot

20110111: Connectivity and Concentration in Airline Networks: A Complexity Analysis of Lufthansa's Network

Aura Reggiani, Peter Nijkamp and Alessandro Cento

20110110: Regional Efficiency Improvement by Means of Data Envelopment Analysis through Euclidean Distance Minimization including Fixed Input Factors - An Application to Tourist Regions in Italy

Soushi Suzuki, Peter Nijkamp and Piet Rietveld

20110109: Importance of E-services for Cultural Tourism

Eveline van Leeuwen and Peter Nijkamp

20110108: Free Medicines thanks to Retirement: Moral Hazard and Hospitalization Offsets in an NHS

Jaume Puig-Junoy, Pilar Garcia-Gomez and David Casado-Marin

20110107: Institutional Capacity to dynamically innovate: An Application to the Portuguese Case

Purificacion Vicente Galindo, Teresa de Noronha and Peter Nijkamp

20110106: Analysis of Regional Innovation Performance in Portugal - Results from an External Logistic Biplot Method

Purificacion Vicente Galindo, Teresa de Noronha, Peter Nijkamp and Eric de Noronha Vaz

20110105: Behaviour of Humans and Behaviour of Models in Dynamic Space

Peter Nijkamp

20110104: Regional Labour Markets and Job Accessibility in City Network Systems in Germany

Aura Reggiani, Pietro Bucci, Giovanni Russo, Anette Haas and Peter Nijkamp

20110103: The Economic Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market of Host Countries - Meta-Analytic Evidence

Simonetta Longhi, Peter Nijkamp and Jacques Poot

20110102: Trade-offs between Different Early Childhood Interventions: Evidence from Ecuador

Jose Rosero and Hessel Oosterbeek

20110101: Winning by Losing: Evidence on Overbidding in Mergers

Ulrike Malmendier, Enrico Moretti and Florian Peters

20110100: Distortionary Company Car Taxation: Deadweight Losses through Increased Car Ownership

Jos van Ommeren and Eva Gutiérrez-i-Puigarnau

20110099: Consumer Search Costs and the Incentives to merge under Bertrand Competition

Jose Moraga-Gonzalez and Vaiva Petrikaite

20110098: Childhood Intelligence and Adult Mortality in the Brabant Data Set: Technical Report

Jan Cramer

20110097: Childhood Intelligence and Adult Mortality in the Brabant Data Set: First Report

Jan Cramer

20110096: Teleworking and Congestion: A Dynamic Bottleneck Analysis

Sergejs Gubins and Erik Verhoef

20110095: The Deterrence Effects of U.S. Merger Policy Instruments

Joseph Clougherty and Jo Seldeslachts

20110094: Management Practices: Are Not For Profits Different?

Josse Delfgaauw, Robert Dur, Carol Propper and Sarah Smith

20110093: Bayesian Forecasting of Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions

Sjoerd van den Hauwe, Dick van Dijk and Richard Paap

20110092: Simultaneous Search and Network Efficiency

Pieter Gautier and Christian Holzner

20110091: Capital Structure and the Redeployability of Tangible Assets

Murillo Campello and Erasmo Giambona

20110090: Monte Carlo Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Generalized Long-Memory Time Series Models

Geert Mesters, Siem Jan Koopman and Marius Ooms

20110089: An Owen-Type Value for Games with Two-Level Communication Structures

Rene van den Brink, Anna Khmelnitskaya and Gerard van der Laan

20110088: A Comparison of Bias Approximations for the 2SLS Estimator

Maurice J.G. Bun and Frank Windmeijer

20110087: A Flexible Test for Present Bias and Time Preferences using Land-Lease Contracts

Pieter Gautier and Aico van Vuuren

20110086: New Characterizations for Largeness of the Core

Arantza Estevez-Fernandez

20110085: Geographic Concentration of Business Services Firms: A Poisson Sorting Model

Hans Koster, Jos van Ommeren and Piet Rietveld

20110084: Risk Measures for Autocorrelated Hedge Fund Returns

Antonio Di Cesare, Philip Stork and Casper de Vries

20110083: On the Exact Finite Sample Distribution of the L1 -FCvM Test Statistic

Jeroen Hinloopen

20110082: Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index

Monica Billio, Roberto Casarin, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

20110081: The Regional Impact of Monetary Policy in Indonesia

Masagus M Ridhwan, Henri de Groot, Piet Rietveld and Peter Nijkamp

20110080: From First-Release to Ex-Post Fiscal Data: Exploring the Sources of Revision Errors in the EU

Roel Beetsma, Benjamin Bluhm, Massimo Giuliodori and Peter Wierts

20110079: Is the Service Quality of Private Roads too Low, too High, or just Right when Firms compete Stackelberg in Capacity?

Vincent van den Berg and Erik Verhoef

20110078: Modeling Dynamic Volatilities and Correlations under Skewness and Fat Tails

Xin Zhang, Drew Creal, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas

20110077: On the Effects of Private Information on Volatility

Anne Opschoor, Michel van der Wel, Dick van Dijk and Nick Taylor

20110076: High Frequency Trading and the New-Market Makers

Albert Menkveld

20110075: Is Earnings Uncertainty Relevant for Educational Choice? An Empirical Analysis for China

Joop Hartog, Xiaohao Ding and Juan Liao

20110074: The Impact of Gender Diversity on the Performance of Business Teams: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Sander Hoogendoorn, Hessel Oosterbeek and Mirjam Praag

20110073: The Pollution Effects of Mergers and Acquisitions: Asymmetry, Disaggregation, and Multilateralism

Julia Swart and Charles Marrewijk

20110072: Risk Aversion and Social Networks

Jaromír Kovářík and Marco van der Leij

20110071: The Crisis Sensitivity of European Countries and Regions: Stylized Facts and Spatial Heterogeneity

Stefan P.T. Groot, Jan L. Mohlmann, Harry Garretsen and Henri de Groot

20110070: Bidding to give in the Field: Door-to-Door Fundraisers had it right from the Start

Sander Onderstal, Arthur Schram and Adriaan Soetevent

20110069: Money talks? An Experimental Investigation of Cheap Talk and Burned Money

Thomas de Haan, Theo Offerman and Randolph Sloof

20110068: Fiscal Sustainability, Volatility and Oil Wealth: A Stochastic Analysis of Fiscal Spending Rules

Sweder van Wijnbergen and Nina Budina

20110067: The More Business Owners the Merrier? The Role of Tertiary Education

Mirjam Praag and André van Stel

20110066: The Value of an Educated Population for an Individual's Entrepreneurship Success

Jose Maria Millan, Emilio Congregado, Concepción Román, Mirjam Praag and André van Stel

20110065: Intra-Household Work Timing: The Effect on Joint Activities and the Demand for Child Care

Chris Klaveren, Henriette Maassen van den Brink and Bernard van Praag

20110064: Sovereign Default and the Stability of Inflation Targeting Regimes

Andreas Schabert and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20110063: Forecasting the U.S. Term Structure of Interest Rates using a Macroeconomic Smooth Dynamic Factor Model

Siem Jan Koopman and Michel van der Wel

20110062: Counting with Combined Splitting and Capture-Recapture Methods

Paul Dupuis, Bahar Kaynar, Ad Ridder, Reuven Rubinstein and Radislav Vaisman

20110061: Entrepreneurship and Role Models

Niels Bosma, Jolanda Hessels, Veronique Schutjens, Mirjam Praag and Ingrid Verheul

20110060: The Impact of Trade Liberalization on the Return to Education in Vietnam: Wage versus Employment Effect

Remco Oostendorp and Doan Hong Quang

20110059: Congesting Pricing in a Road and Rail Network with Heterogeneous Values of Time and Schedule Delay

Vincent van den Berg and Erik Verhoef

20110058: Measuring Power and Satisfaction in Societies with Opinion Leaders: An Axiomatization

Rene van den Brink, Agnieszka Rusinowska and Frank Steffen

20110057: Numerically Accelerated Importance Sampling for Nonlinear Non-Gaussian State Space Models

Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and Marcel Scharth

20110056: Voluntary Participation and Intergenerational Risk Sharing in a Funded Pension System

Roel Beetsma, Ward Romp and Siert J. Vos

20110055: Power and the Privilege of Clarity: An Analysis of Bargaining Power and Information Transmission

Adrian de Groot Ruiz, Theo Offerman and Sander Onderstal

20110054: The Impact of Cross-Border Banking on Financial Stability

Dirk Schoenmaker and Wolf Wagner

20110053: Economic Costs and Benefits of Imposing Short-Horizon Value-at-Risk Type Regulation

Zhen Shi and Bas J.M. Werker

20110052: An Efficient and Fair Solution for Communication Graph Games

Rene van den Brink, Anna Khmelnitskaya and Gerard van der Laan

20110051: Gender Differences, HIV Risk Perception and Condom Use

Judith Lammers, Sweder van Wijnbergen and Daan Willebrands

20110050: Regional Wage Differences in the Netherlands: Micro-Evidence on Agglomeration Externalities

Stefan P.T. Groot, Henri de Groot and Martijn Smit

20110049: Relating Stochastic Volatility Estimation Methods

Charles Bos

20110048: A Bayesian Analysis of Unobserved Component Models using Ox

Charles Bos

20110047: Balancing the Bids, Solutions for Unit Price Auctions

Sander Renes

20110046: Hormones and Social Preferences

Thomas Buser

20110045: Unobserved Heterogeneity and Risk in Wage Variance: Does Schooling provide Earnings Insurance?

Jacopo Mazza, Hans van Ophem and Joop Hartog

20110044: Multitasking: Productivity Effects and Gender Differences

Thomas Buser and Noemi Peter

20110043: Determinants of Job Satisfaction across the EU-15: A Comparison of Self-Employed and Paid Employees

Jose Maria Millan, Jolanda Hessels, Roy Thurik and Rafael Aguado

20110042: Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk

Drew Creal, Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas

20110041: Collective Bargaining under Non-binding Contracts

Sabien Dobbelaere and Roland Iwan Luttens