WIDER Working Paper Series

From World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)
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wp-2026-111: Does financial inclusion increase household resilience to natural disasters?

Nandini Gupta and Ashish K. Sedai

wp-2026-110: Credit and small-scale solar demand: Experimental evidence from small firms in Kenya

Jiayue Zhang, Yunyu Shu and Wycliffe Oluoch

wp-2026-109: From demand over self-exclusion to access-the role of social capital in firms' credit journey: Evidence from Mozambican manufacturing firms, 2012-22

Hilário Muchabel and Hanna Berkel

wp-2026-108: Financing infrastructure in a climate-conscious world: A synthesis of the water-energy-food nexus projects

Mark Swilling, Andrew Boraine, Mlondi Ndovela, Garth Malan, Hilda Jaka Mabiza, Erika Kraemer-Mbula, Rebecca Hanlin, Francois Engelbrecht, Jessica Steinkopf, Julian May, Zeph Nhleko and Alboricah Rathupetsane

wp-2026-107: Tax administration and firm performance: Evidence from VAT refund delays

Daniel Overbeck, Kwabena Adu-Ababio and Eliya Lungu

wp-2026-106: The impacts of extreme weather on formal employment: Evidence from Brazil

Danae Hernández-Cortés and Sophie Mathes

wp-2026-105: The geopolitical turn in aid and its effect on aid modalities

Bernhard Reinsberg and Dan Xu

wp-2026-104: The 0.7% ODA target: A norm in retreat

Stephan Klingebiel and Andy Sumner

wp-2026-103: Climate change and fiscal policy for a small open commodity-exporting economy

Yoseph Getachew, Richard Kima and Ruthira Naraidoo

wp-2026-102: The motherhood trap: how the first child shapes couples' labour trajectories

Martina Querejeta

wp-2026-101: South Africa corporate tax gap study: A bottom-up approach based on audit assessments

Chloé van Biljon, Amina Ebrahim, Zoleka Jaxa, Tumelo Mohale and Nadine Riedel

wp-2026-100: Trade integration and firm performance: Evidence from South Africa

Megan Shongwe, Ashley Gandy, Aimable Nsabimana and Michael Kilumelume

wp-2026-99: The corporate taxation of green and brown firms in South Africa

Ninon Moreau-Kastler, Kieran Byrne, Idann Gidron, Mathieu Parenti and Pierre Bachas

wp-2026-98: Structural transformation stalled: counting the labour market costs of macroeconomic distress in Mozambique

Sam Jones

wp-2026-97: War, sanctions, and third-party trade partners: Evidence from South Africa

Lisa Scheckenhofer, Nora Strecker and Georg U. Thunecke

wp-2026-96: Optional non-filing and tax over-withholding: Evidence from South Africa

Luisa Esser, Gereon Mertens, Nadine Riedel and Luisa Wallossek

wp-2026-95: Land-use dynamics, agricultural productivity, and forest conservation policy design

Olli-Pekka Kuusela and Jussi Lintunen

wp-2026-94: Understanding and characterizing South Africa's services sector exports

François Steenkamp, Isaac Kurasha, Carla Orffer and Megan Bryer

wp-2026-93: India lives in her hamlets: asymmetric caste segregation and last-mile inequality

Gopinath Annadurai and Deepak Malghan

wp-2026-92: Armed group taxation and trade: Smuggler perspectives from Northeast India

Shalaka Thakur

wp-2026-91: Do Special Economic Zones foster economic development?: Evidence from South Africa

Matthew Amalitinga Abagna, Ronald Davies, Nadine Riedel, Nora Strecker and Biniyam Gezahegn Worku

wp-2026-90: Racial segregation in South Africa firms

Ihsaan Bassier and Joshua Budlender

wp-2026-89: Criminal correlates of extra-legal taxation: Evidence from Brazil

Jessie Trudeau and David Becerra-Medina

wp-2026-88: Heat stress and labour share: evidence from Indian manufacturing

Garima Jasuja, Punarjit Roychowdhury and Francesco Bosello

wp-2026-87: Viva simplicity! The role of tax advisory services in a simple tax system: Evidence from South Africa

Nadine Riedel, Franziska Sicking and Ida Zinke

wp-2026-86: Monitoring food price volatility in Ukraine: Implications for social protection and ensuring the right to food

Viktor Yarovyi and Olena Borodina

wp-2026-85: Tax benefits and inequality in the Amazon

Bernardo Perrotti, Daniel Da Mata and Enlinson Mattos

wp-2026-84: Evaluating the social profitability of an all-weather rural road

Clive Bell

wp-2026-83: Exporter dynamics in South Africa: the influence of foreign technology and information networks on survival

Guivis Nkemgha

wp-2026-82: Climate change and the South African labour market

Joseph Gozoya and Anton Reinicke

wp-2026-81: Trends in South Africa's tobacco market: Insights from tax administrative data

Mxolisi Zondi and Leoné Walters

wp-2026-80: The emergence of tax-benefit microsimulation models in the Global South: The experience of SAMOD, SOUTHMOD, and EUROMOD-based models for Latin America

H. Xavier Jara, Katrin Gasior, Jesse Lastunen and Pia Rattenhuber

wp-2026-79: Local security provision and return from forced displacement: Evidence from South Sudan

Andrea C. Caflisch

wp-2026-78: Effects of targeted border taxes on formalization and tax compliance in Zambia

Kwabena Adu-Ababio, Maria Jouste, Karri Vuoristo, Mutemwa Mebelo and Juliet Musalale

wp-2026-77: Monetary and macroprudential policies in a model with housing

Arehone Praise Matambele and Simiso Msomi

wp-2026-76: Fuelling the green transition: the direct and indirect effects of fuel subsidy reforms in the Andean region

H. Xavier Jara, Pia Rattenhuber, David Rodríguez and Johana Silva

wp-2026-75: Correcting survey-based inequality estimates: The case of South Africa

Chandré Jacobs, Murray Leibbrandt and Paul Segal

wp-2026-74: Fuel subsidy removal and compensatory policy options in Ethiopia and Rwanda

David Rodríguez, Adnan Shahir, Johana Silva and Anna Zasova

wp-2026-73: Stuck in the fields: how rising temperatures deepen gender inequality in rural India

Manisha Mukherjee

wp-2026-72: Traders beyond borders: Incentives to trade and microenterprise performance

Paolo Falco, Mattea Stein and Eleanor Wiseman

wp-2026-71: The impact of firms and inter-sectoral structural change on the gender wage gap

Michael Kilumelume

wp-2026-70: International migration and cross-border illicit financial flows

John Rand

wp-2026-69: Coal, weather shocks, and electricity reliability: Evidence from South Africa

Imelda Imelda and Suchita Srinivasan

wp-2026-68: Economic implications of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) for South Africa and Mozambique

Maksym Chepeliev and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

wp-2026-67: From free markets to industrial nationalism: what the West's green industrial policies mean for emerging economies

Easwaran J. Narassimhan and Kelly Sims Gallagher

wp-2026-66: Shaping green industrial transformation in India: Some lessons

Nagesh Kumar, Anjali Tandon and Swati Verma

wp-2026-65: An energy New Keynesian DSGE model for South Africa

Abdul Cassiem and Guangling Liu

wp-2026-64: De-risking investment for sustainable development: The role of development banks and emerging donors

Amelia Santos-Paulino, Prachi Sharma and Claudia Trentini

wp-2026-63: How many people are employed in South Africa?

Andrew Kerr, Amy Thornton and Peris Wachira

wp-2026-62: Green structural transformation in South Africa

Nishal Robb, Glen Robbins, Julia Taylor and Imraan Valodia

wp-2026-61: Automation and inequality within firms: Evidence from the manufacturing sector in South Africa

Rafael de la Vega, Timothy Köhler, Antonio Martins-Neto and Siphelele Ngidi

wp-2026-60: What constrains the performance of enterprises in India's informal sector?

Rajesh Raj Natarajan and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-59: How the universal pension scheme shapes poverty outcomes in Zanzibar: Insights from the ZANMOD microsimulation model

Issa Hemed and Ramadhan M. Ramadhan

wp-2026-58: Does global financial transparency improve tax compliance in developing countries?

Niels Johannesen, Lauge Larsen and Nadine Riedel

wp-2026-57: Perceptions of the Russia-Ukraine war in Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina

Laia Balcells, Ana Paula Pellegrino and Matthew Simonson

wp-2026-56: Progress and persistence: race and intergenerational educational mobility in South Africa

Timothy Köhler and Morne Oosthuizen

wp-2026-55: Rules of origin and value added in preferential exports

Bernard Hoekman, Marcelo Olarreaga, Marco Sanfilippo and Rohit Ticku

wp-2026-54: From parents to children: tracking gendered mobility in Indian education

Rajdeep Chaudhuri, Abhiroop Mukhopadhyay and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-53: US yield curve shift and slope shocks: Domestic transmission and global spillovers

Abhishek Kumar

wp-2026-52: Clean energy technologies and the future of Indonesia's green structural transformation

Maxensius Tri Sambodo, Mesnan Silalahi and Felix Wisnu Handoyo

wp-2026-51: Heat, work, and the role of green space

Hiram Carreño Nájera, Nancy Lozano-Gracia, Juan Pablo Rud and Pieter Serneels

wp-2026-50: Do place-based policies reshape land ownership patterns?: An empirical study on impact of SEZs in India

Rajarshi Chowdhury, Simontini Das, Saikat Sinha Roy and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-49: The role of taxation of artisanal mining in conflict-affected contexts: From armed predation to 'informal formalization'?

Steven Van Bockstael, Jeroen Cuvelier, Koen Vlassenroot and Josaphat Musamba

wp-2026-48: Catalyzing social mobility through student success

Nicola Branson and Emma Whitelaw

wp-2026-47: The VAT gap in South Africa: A bottom-up approach

Amina Ebrahim, Ada Jansen, Zoleka Jaxa, Winile Ngobeni and Wynnona Steyn

wp-2026-46: China green tech and its industrial policy

Alicia Garcia Herrero

wp-2026-45: Social protection in Bangladesh: Policies, practices and lessons

Selim Raihan and Fariha Khan

wp-2026-44: Green transformation in Brazil: Challenges, opportunities, and policy lessons

Jose A. Puppim de Oliveira, Laura S.M. Valente and Ana Paula Santos

wp-2026-43: Detecting profit shifting in administrative data: A South African perspective

Matthew Amalitinga Abagna, Ronald Davies and Miroslav Palanský

wp-2026-42: Climate shocks, labour market dynamics and inequality in South Africa: Evidence from administrative data tax

Sefa Awaworyi Churchill, Yohannes Kefale Mogess and Yuvana Jaichand

wp-2026-41: Forgiveness or loophole? evaluating the effect of Zambia's tax amnesty programme on compliance

Jonathan Msoni

wp-2026-40: Climate change and multidimensional poverty: Global, subnational and household-level evidence

David Castells-Quintana, Manisha Mukherjee and Nicolai Suppa

wp-2026-39: Financing green industrial transition under firm-level constraints: A comparative study of Brazil, India, Indonesia, and South Africa

Anthony Bartzokas

wp-2026-38: Electricity tariff and VAT reform in Ethiopia: Welfare, poverty, and cost-of-living spillovers

Adnan Shahir and Jesse Lastunen

wp-2026-37: Social protection in Viet Nam: An updated overview

Hai-Anh Dang and Minh N. N. Do

wp-2026-36: (Dis)Empowered by context: female entrepreneurs, institutions, and firm performance

Hanna Berkel and Neda Trifkovic

wp-2026-35: The international trade dimensions of the United States critical minerals security strategy

Zainab Usman

wp-2026-34: Intergenerational education mobility trends in South Africa: Patterns by population group

Nicola Branson and Hagos Ressom

wp-2026-33: Multinational corporations and labour market competition in host countries: Evidence from South Africa

Talent Nesongano

wp-2026-32: Bureaucracies bending the rules: State capacity in the implementation of preferential procurement in South Africa

Ayanda Hlatshwayo, Carol Newman, John Rand and Bjørn Bo Sørensen

wp-2026-31: Building a social protection system under resource constraints: Mozambique's experience

Joana Borges Henriques and Sam Jones

wp-2026-30: Mapping mobility and opportunity: how place, gender, and ethnicity shape economic outcomes in Ecuador

Paolo Brunori, Diego del Pozo, H. Xavier Jara and Lorena Moreno

wp-2026-29: Stuck at the bottom: caste-based discrimination, relative poverty, and the mechanisms of intergenerational opportunity traps

Sudeshna Maitra and Sudarsana Kundu

wp-2026-28: Disaster-induced import dynamics: Evidence from South African floods

Marina Dodlova, Justyna Jantos, Krisztina Kis-Katos and Anna Kochanova

wp-2026-27: Social protection in Egypt

Ragui Assaad and Irene Selwaness

wp-2026-26: Inclusive growth in South Africa? Inequality dynamics and the role of trade openness vs tax policies

Olivier Bargain, Miracle Benhura, H. Xavier Jara and Prudence Magejo

wp-2026-25: The geography of intergenerational mobility in South Africa

Aarifah Razak

wp-2026-24: Monetary and fiscal implications of commodity price shocks for commodity-exporting small open economies

Ruthira Naraidoo

wp-2026-23: Social protection in Chile: Between growth and redistribution

Gabriela Zapata-Román and Armando Barrientos

wp-2026-22: Factor income taxation and the governance dividend

Tania Masi, Antonio Savoia and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-21: A market-based assessment of the outlook for inflation: Expectations and monetary policy in South Africa

Jens H. E. Christensen and Daan Steenkamp

wp-2026-20: A probabilistic measure to state fragility

Joan Margalef

wp-2026-19: Cash transfers and labour supply under structural unemployment

Timothy Köhler, Benjamin Stanwix and Haroon Bhorat

wp-2026-18: Food assistance and mobility during COVID-19 lockdowns

Monica Mogollon, Juan Mogollon and Catalina Villamil

wp-2026-17: Does government spending on education increase intergenerational education mobility?: The case of Free Compulsory Basic Education in Ghana

Nicola Branson and Emma Whitelaw

wp-2026-16: Firm structure, labour markets, and the green energy transition in low-income economies

Alan Finkelstein Shapiro and Olli-Pekka Kuusela

wp-2026-15: Legacy of apartheid: misallocation of labour and firm productivity

Talent Nesongano, Carol Newman, John Rand and Marvin Suesse

wp-2026-14: The long-run effects of conditional cash transfers: The case of Bolsa Família in Brazil

Luis Laguinge, Leonardo Gasparini and Guido Neidhöfer

wp-2026-13: Jihadist taxation and order-making in Mali and Niger

Yvan Guichaoua and Ferdaous Bouhlel

wp-2026-12: Beyond the state, but reinforcing it? Informal tax institutions and state legitimacy in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Vanessa van den Boogaard, Yannick Lokaya Bokasola, Gayatri Sahgal and Caleb Jérémie Dohou