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Details about Charles Manski

E-mail:
Homepage:http://faculty.wcas.northwestern.edu/~cfm754/
Phone:1-847-491-8223
Postal address:Department of Economics, Northwestern University, 2001 Sheridan Road, Evanston, IL 60208 U.S.A.
Workplace:Department of Economics, Northwestern University, (more information at EDIRC)
Institute for Policy Research (IPR), Northwestern University, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Charles Manski.

Last updated 2017-08-16. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pma111


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Working Papers

2017

  1. Improving Clinical Guidelines and Decisions under Uncertainty
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  2. Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    See also Chapter (2017)

2016

  1. Credible Ecological Inference for Personalized Medicine: Formalizing Clinical Judgment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2015

  1. Clinical trial design enabling e-optimal treatment rules
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies Downloads
  2. Clinical trial design enabling epsilon-optimal treatment rules
    Carlo Alberto Notebooks, Collegio Carlo Alberto Downloads
  3. How Do Right-To-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping With Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2014

  1. Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  2. The Quantile Performance Of Statistical Treatment Rules Using Hypothesis Tests To Allocate A Population To Two Treatments
    Carlo Alberto Notebooks, Collegio Carlo Alberto Downloads
    Also in CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies (2014) Downloads
  3. Vaccine Approvals and Mandates Under Uncertainty: Some Simple Analytics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2013

  1. First- and Second-order Subjective Expectations in Strategic Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence
    2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Economics Working Paper Series, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science (2012) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Games and Economic Behavior (2013)

2012

  1. Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2014)
  2. Identification of Preferences and Evaluation of Income Tax Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Identification of income-leisure preferences and evaluation of income tax policy
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Quantitative Economics (2014)

2011

  1. Deterrence and the Death Penalty: Partial Identification Analysis Using Repeated Cross Sections
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Policy analysis with incredible certitude
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2011)

2010

  1. Identification of treatment response with social interactions
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Econometrics Journal (2013)

2009

  1. Measuring consumer uncertainty about future inflation
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2011)
  2. WHEN CONSENSUS CHOICE DOMINATES INDIVIDUALISM: Jensen's Inequality and Collective Decisions under Uncertainty
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Quantitative Economics (2010)

2008

  1. Adaptive partial policy innovation: coping with ambiguity through diversification
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Partial Prescriptions For Decisions With Partial Knowledge
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (17)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in International Economic Review (2010)

2007

  1. Adaptive Minimax-Regret Treatment Choice, With Application To Drug Approval
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine (2007) Downloads View citations (1)

2006

  1. Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2009)

2005

  1. Fractional Treatment Rules for Social Diversification of Indivisible Private Risks
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  2. Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2011)
  3. Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2006)

2004

  1. Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2006)
  2. Walk or Wait? An Empirical Analysis of Street Crossing Decisions
    GSIA Working Papers, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business
    Also in Indian Statistical Institute, Planning Unit, New Delhi Discussion Papers, Indian Statistical Institute, New Delhi, India (2003) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2005)

2003

  1. "Will Social Security Be There For You?": How Americans Perceive Their Benefits
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (19)
  2. Confidence intervals for partially identified parameters
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (2004)
  3. How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence (Sentiment)? Evidence from the Michigan Survey of Consumers
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (11)
  4. Statistical treatment rules for heterogeneous populations
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (2004)

2002

  1. Private and Social Incentives for Fertility: Israeli Puzzles
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Social Security Expectations and Retirement Savings Decisions
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research View citations (13)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2002) Downloads View citations (14)

2000

  1. Economic Analysis of Social Interactions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (598)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Perspectives (2000)
  2. Regressions, Short and Long
    Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (2002)
  3. Using Studies of Treatment Response to Inform Treatment Choice in Heterogeneous Populations
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)

1999

  1. Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations: With Application to Randomized Experiments
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Worker Perceptions of Job Insecurity in the Mid-1990s: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in IPR working papers, Institute for Policy Resarch at Northwestern University Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Human Resources (2000)

1998

  1. Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Virginia Economics Online Papers, University of Virginia, Department of Economics (1998) Downloads View citations (17)

    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (2000)

1997

  1. Nonparametric Analysis of Randomized Experiments With Missing Covariate and Outcome Data
    Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics View citations (13)

1996

  1. Bounding Disagreements About Treatment Effects: A Case Study of Sentencing and Recidivism
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (11)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1995) View citations (1)
  2. Censoring of Outcomes and Regressors Due To Survey Nonresponse: Identification and Estimation Using Weights and Imputations
    Econometrics, EconWPA Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1995) View citations (37)
    Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics (1995) View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1998)
  3. Identification of Anonymous Endogenous Interactions
    Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute View citations (2)
  4. Monotone Treatment Response
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (1997)
  5. Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (13)
    Also in Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty Downloads View citations (37)
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1996) View citations (10)
  6. Treatment Under Amibiguity
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    Also in Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute (1996) View citations (1)

1995

  1. Learning About Social Programs from Experiments with Random Assignment of Treatments
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (4)
    Also in Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Review Article: The Bell Curve by Herrnstein and Murray
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (19)
  3. What Can Be Learned About Population Parameters when the Data Are Contaminated
    Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics View citations (4)

1994

  1. ELICITING STUDENT EXPECTATIONS OF THE RETURNS TO SCHOOLING
    Econometrics, EconWPA Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1994) Downloads View citations (7)
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty Downloads View citations (69)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Human Resources (1996)
  2. JOINT CENSORING OF REGRESSORS AND OUTCOMES:SURVEY NONRESPONSE AND ATTRITION
    Econometrics, EconWPA Downloads
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1994)
  3. SIMULTANEITY WITH DOWNWARD SLOPING DEMAND
    Econometrics, EconWPA Downloads
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1994)
    SFB 373 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes (1994)
  4. Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (16)
    Also in Econometrics, EconWPA (1994) Downloads View citations (25)
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty Downloads View citations (106)

1993

  1. Identification from Response-Based Samples
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
  2. The Mixing Problem in Program Evaluation
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (1997)
  3. What Do Controlled Experiments Reveal About Outcomes When Treatments Vary?
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)
    Also in Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (1)

1992

  1. Identification Problems in the Social Sciences
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (105)
  2. Identification and Robustness in the Presence of Errors in Data
    Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics View citations (1)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1992)

1991

  1. Adolescent Econometricians: How Do Youth Infer the Returns to Schooling
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (25)
    See also Chapter (1993)
  2. Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: the Reflection Problem
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (33)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (1993)

1990

  1. ALTERNATIVE ESTIMATES OF THE EFFECT OF FAMILY STUCTURE DURING ADOLESCENCE ON HIGHT SCHOOL GRADUATION
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (43)
  2. DYNAMIC CHOICE IN A SOCIAL SETTING
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)
  3. SEVERITY OF SELECTION PROBLEM IN THE ABSENCE OF PRIOR INFORMATION
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
  4. THE SELECTION PROBLEM
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (76)
  5. The Identification problem Under Contaminated Sampling
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems

1989

  1. ESTIMATION OF BEST PREDICTORS OF BENARY RESPONSE
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1989)
  2. NONPARAMETRIC BOUNDS ON TREATMENT EFFECTS
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1990)
  3. REGRESSION
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Literature (1991)
  4. THE LOGIC MODEL AND RESPONSE-BASED SAMPLES
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1988)

    See also Journal Article in Sociological Methods & Research (1989)
  5. THE USE OF INTENTIONS DATA TO PREDICT BEHAVIOUR: A BEST- CASE ANALYSIS
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (33)

1988

  1. ORDINAL UTILITY MODELS OF DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (9)

1985

  1. Academic Ability, Earnings, and the Decision to Become a Teacher: Evidence From the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Chapter (1987)

Undated

  1. Educational choice (vouchers) and social mobility
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (34)
    See also Journal Article in Economics of Education Review (1992)
  2. Perceptions of economic vulnerability: First evidence from the survey of economic expectations
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty Downloads
  3. Probabilistic Polling
    IPR working papers, Institute for Policy Resarch at Northwestern University
  4. Using Performance Standards to Evaluate Social Programs with Incomplete Outcome Data: General Issues and Application to a Higher Education Block Grant Program
    IPR working papers, Institute for Policy Resarch at Northwestern University

Journal Articles

2017

  1. Evaluating the maximum MSE of mean estimators with missing data
    Stata Journal, 2017, 17, (3), 723-735 Downloads
  2. Optimize, satisfice, or choose without deliberation? A simple minimax-regret assessment
    Theory and Decision, 2017, 83, (2), 155-173 Downloads

2016

  1. Credible interval estimates for official statistics with survey nonresponse
    Journal of Econometrics, 2016, 191, (2), 293-301 Downloads
  2. Interpreting Point Predictions: Some Logical Issues
    Foundations and Trends(R) in Accounting, 2016, 10, (2-4), 238-261 Downloads View citations (2)

2015

  1. Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics: An Appraisal Fifty Years after Morgenstern
    Journal of Economic Literature, 2015, 53, (3), 631-53 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Randomizing Regulatory Approval for Adaptive Diversification and Deterrence
    The Journal of Legal Studies, 2015, 44, (S2), S367 - S385 Downloads

2014

  1. Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation
    Economic Journal, 2014, (576), 359-376 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  2. Identification of income–leisure preferences and evaluation of income tax policy
    Quantitative Economics, 2014, 5, 145-174 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2012)

2013

  1. Comment
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2013, 31, (3), 273-275 Downloads
  2. First- and second-order subjective expectations in strategic decision-making: Experimental evidence
    Games and Economic Behavior, 2013, 81, (C), 232-254 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  3. Identification of treatment response with social interactions
    Econometrics Journal, 2013, 16, (1), S1-S23 View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  4. Response to the Review of ‘Public Policy in an Uncertain World’
    Economic Journal, 2013, F412-F415 Downloads View citations (24)
  5. Status Quo Deference and Policy Choice under Ambiguity
    Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE), 2013, 169, (1), 116-128 Downloads View citations (2)

2012

  1. Process and context in choice models
    Marketing Letters, 2012, 23, (2), 439-456 Downloads View citations (12)

2011

  1. Actualist rationality
    Theory and Decision, 2011, 71, (2), 195-210 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Assessing the temporal variation of macroeconomic forecasts by a panel of changing composition
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, (7), 1059-1078 View citations (19)
  3. Choosing Treatment Policies Under Ambiguity
    Annual Review of Economics, 2011, 3, (1), 25-49 Downloads View citations (11)
  4. Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment: Some Positive and Normative Analysis
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2011, 43, 441-459 View citations (1)
  5. Genes, Eyeglasses, and Social Policy
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2011, 25, (4), 83-94 Downloads View citations (17)
  6. Introduction: ‘Measurement and analysis of subjective expectations’
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, (3), 351-351 View citations (1)
  7. Measuring and interpreting expectations of equity returns
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, (3), 352-370 View citations (35)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  8. Measuring consumer uncertainty about future inflation
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, (3), 454-478 View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  9. Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude
    Economic Journal, 2011, 121, (554), F261-F289 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2010

  1. Arthur S. Goldberger, 1930–2009
    Econometric Theory, 2010, 26, (02), 327-329 Downloads
  2. Rounding Probabilistic Expectations in Surveys
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2010, 28, (2), 219-231 Downloads View citations (62)
  3. USING ELICITED CHOICE PROBABILITIES TO ESTIMATE RANDOM UTILITY MODELS: PREFERENCES FOR ELECTRICITY RELIABILITY
    International Economic Review, 2010, 51, (2), 421-440 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  4. Unlearning and Discovery
    The American Economist, 2010, 55, (1), 9-18 Downloads
  5. When consensus choice dominates individualism: Jensen's inequality and collective decisions under uncertainty
    Quantitative Economics, 2010, 1, (1), 187-202 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2009

  1. Adaptive Partial Drug Approval: A Health Policy Proposal
    The Economists' Voice, 2009, 6, (4), 1-5 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2009, 27, 30-41 Downloads View citations (87)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
  3. More on monotone instrumental variables
    Econometrics Journal, 2009, 12, (s1), S200-S216 Downloads View citations (31)
  4. Social Planning with Partial Knowledge of Social Interactions
    Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE), 2009, 165, (1), 146-158 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. THE 2009 LAWRENCE R. KLEIN LECTURE: DIVERSIFIED TREATMENT UNDER AMBIGUITY
    International Economic Review, 2009, 50, (4), 1013-1041 Downloads View citations (6)

2008

  1. Studying Treatment Response to Inform Treatment Choice
    Annals of Economics and Statistics, 2008, (91-92), 93-105 Downloads

2007

  1. ECONOMICS TO ECONOMETRICS: IN HONOR OF DANIEL L. McFADDEN
    International Economic Review, 2007, 48, (4), 1091-1092 Downloads
  2. Expected Equity Returns and Portfolio Choice: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2007, 5, (2-3), 369-379 Downloads View citations (30)
  3. Minimax-regret treatment choice with missing outcome data
    Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 139, (1), 105-115 Downloads View citations (22)
  4. PARTIAL IDENTIFICATION OF COUNTERFACTUAL CHOICE PROBABILITIES
    International Economic Review, 2007, 48, (4), 1393-1410 Downloads View citations (12)

2006

  1. Identification and estimation of statistical functionals using incomplete data
    Journal of Econometrics, 2006, 132, (2), 445-459 Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets
    Economics Letters, 2006, 91, (3), 425-429 Downloads View citations (52)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  3. Measuring Pension-benefit Expectations Probabilistically
    LABOUR, 2006, 20, (2), 201-236 Downloads View citations (12)
  4. Profiling: Introduction to the Feature
    Economic Journal, 2006, 116, (515), F347-F350 Downloads View citations (2)
  5. Search Profiling With Partial Knowledge of Deterrence
    Economic Journal, 2006, 116, (515), F385-F401 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2005

  1. Optimal Search Profiling with Linear Deterrence
    American Economic Review, 2005, 95, (2), 122-126 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Walk or wait? An empirical analysis of street crossing decisions
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2005, 20, (4), 529-548 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2004)

2004

  1. Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters
    Econometrica, 2004, 72, (6), 1845-1857 Downloads View citations (140)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  2. How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence?
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004, 18, (2), 51-66 Downloads View citations (38)
  3. Measuring Expectations
    Econometrica, 2004, 72, (5), 1329-1376 Downloads View citations (340)
  4. On the Construction of Bounds in Prospective Studies with Missing Ordinal Outcomes: Application to the Good Behavior Game Trial
    Biometrics, 2004, 60, (1), 154-164 Downloads View citations (2)
  5. Social Learning from Private Experiences: The Dynamics of the Selection Problem
    Review of Economic Studies, 2004, 71, (2), 443-458 Downloads View citations (15)
  6. Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations
    Econometrica, 2004, 72, (4), 1221-1246 Downloads View citations (64)
    See also Working Paper (2003)

2003

  1. Identification Problems in the Social Sciences and Everyday Life
    Southern Economic Journal, 2003, 70, (1), 11-21 View citations (6)
  2. Private Incentives and Social Interactions: Fertility Puzzles in Israel
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2003, 1, (1), 181-211 Downloads View citations (26)

2002

  1. Identification of decision rules in experiments on simple games of proposal and response
    European Economic Review, 2002, 46, (4-5), 880-891 Downloads View citations (55)
  2. Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome
    Econometrica, 2002, 70, (2), 519-546 Downloads View citations (134)
  3. Regressions, Short and Long
    Econometrica, 2002, 70, (1), 357-368 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
  4. Using Performance Standards to Evaluate Social Programs with Incomplete Outcome Data
    Evaluation Review, 2002, 26, (4), 355-381 Downloads View citations (2)

2001

  1. Daniel McFadden and the Econometric Analysis of Discrete Choice
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2001, 103, (2), 217-29 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Designing Programs for Heterogeneous Populations: The Value of Covariate Information
    American Economic Review, 2001, 91, (2), 103-106 Downloads View citations (10)

2000

  1. Economic Analysis of Social Interactions
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2000, 14, (3), 115-136 Downloads View citations (605)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
  2. Identification problems and decisions under ambiguity: Empirical analysis of treatment response and normative analysis of treatment choice
    Journal of Econometrics, 2000, 95, (2), 415-442 Downloads View citations (54)
  3. Monotone Instrumental Variables, with an Application to the Returns to Schooling
    Econometrica, 2000, 68, (4), 997-1012 View citations (203)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
  4. Worker Perceptions of Job Insecurity in the Mid-1990s: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations
    Journal of Human Resources, 2000, 35, (3), 447-479 Downloads View citations (25)
    See also Working Paper (1999)

1999

  1. Analysis of Choice Expectations in Incomplete Scenarios
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1999, 19, (1-3), 49-66 Downloads View citations (20)

1998

  1. Censoring of outcomes and regressors due to survey nonresponse: Identification and estimation using weights and imputations
    Journal of Econometrics, 1998, 84, (1), 37-58 Downloads View citations (59)
    See also Working Paper (1996)

1997

  1. Monotone Treatment Response
    Econometrica, 1997, 65, (6), 1311-1334 View citations (78)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
  2. The Mixing Problem in Programme Evaluation
    Review of Economic Studies, 1997, 64, (4), 537-553 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (1993)

1996

  1. Eliciting Student Expectations of the Returns to Schooling
    Journal of Human Resources, 1996, 31, (1), 1-26 Downloads View citations (118)
    See also Working Paper (1994)
  2. Learning about Treatment Effects from Experiments with Random Assignment of Treatments
    Journal of Human Resources, 1996, 31, (4), 709-733 Downloads View citations (32)

1995

  1. Identification and Robustness with Contaminated and Corrupted Data
    Econometrica, 1995, 63, (2), 281-302 Downloads View citations (93)
  2. The Bell Curve: Review Article
    Journal of Economic Literature, 1995, 33, (2), 762-776 Downloads View citations (1)

1993

  1. Distribution theory for the analysis of binary choice under uncertainty with nonparametric estimation of expectations
    Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 56, (3), 291-321 Downloads View citations (17)
  2. Dynamic choice in social settings: Learning from the experiences of others
    Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 58, (1-2), 121-136 Downloads View citations (45)
  3. Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: The Reflection Problem
    Review of Economic Studies, 1993, 60, (3), 531-542 Downloads View citations (1465)
    See also Working Paper (1991)
  4. Nonparametric and semiparametric approaches to discrete response analysis
    Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 58, (1-2), 1-2 Downloads View citations (4)

1992

  1. Educational choice (vouchers) and social mobility
    Economics of Education Review, 1992, 11, (4), 351-369 Downloads View citations (38)
    See also Working Paper

1991

  1. Regression
    Journal of Economic Literature, 1991, 29, (1), 34-50 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (1989)

1990

  1. Nonparametric Bounds on Treatment Effects
    American Economic Review, 1990, 80, (2), 319-23 Downloads View citations (133)
    See also Working Paper (1989)

1989

  1. Anatomy of the Selection Problem
    Journal of Human Resources, 1989, 24, (3), 343-360 Downloads View citations (125)
  2. Estimation of best predictors of binary response
    Journal of Econometrics, 1989, 40, (1), 97-123 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (1989)
  3. Schooling as experimentation: a reappraisal of the postsecondary dropout phenomenon
    Economics of Education Review, 1989, 8, (4), 305-312 Downloads View citations (60)
  4. The Logit Model and Response-Based Samples
    Sociological Methods & Research, 1989, 17, (3), 283-302 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1989)

1987

  1. Semiparametric Analysis of Random Effects Linear Models from Binary Panel Data
    Econometrica, 1987, 55, (2), 357-62 Downloads View citations (89)
  2. The demand for teleshopping: An application of discrete choice models
    Regional Science and Urban Economics, 1987, 17, (1), 109-121 Downloads View citations (4)

1986

  1. Operational characteristics of maximum score estimation
    Journal of Econometrics, 1986, 32, (1), 85-108 Downloads View citations (28)
  2. Semiparametric analysis of binary response from response-based samples
    Journal of Econometrics, 1986, 31, (1), 31-40 Downloads View citations (6)

1985

  1. Semiparametric analysis of discrete response: Asymptotic properties of the maximum score estimator
    Journal of Econometrics, 1985, 27, (3), 313-333 Downloads View citations (165)

1983

  1. An Econometric Analysis of Automobile Scrappage
    Transportation Science, 1983, 17, (4), 365-375 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Analysis of equilibrium automobile holdings in Israel with aggregate discrete choice models
    Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 1983, 17, (5), 373-389 Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Closest Empirical Distribution Estimation
    Econometrica, 1983, 51, (2), 305-19 Downloads View citations (9)

1982

  1. A Model of the Effect of Information Diffusion on Travel
    Transportation Science, 1982, 16, (2), 171-191 Downloads
  2. New Evidence on the Economic Determinants of Postsecondary Schooling Choices
    Journal of Human Resources, 1982, 17, (4), 477-498 Downloads View citations (48)

1981

  1. A Behavioral Approach to Modelling Household Motor Vehicle Ownership and Applications to Aggregate Policy Analysis
    Environment and Planning A, 1981, 13, (4), 399-411 Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Environment and Planning A, 1981, 13, (4), 399-411 (1981) Downloads View citations (2)

1979

  1. The Zero Elasticity Rule for Pricing a Government Service: A Summary of Findings
    Bell Journal of Economics, 1979, 10, (1), 211-223 Downloads

1978

  1. The Implications of Demand Instability for the Behavior of Firms: The Case of Residential Construction
    Real Estate Economics, 1978, 6, (2), 204-226 Downloads

1977

  1. The Estimation of Choice Probabilities from Choice Based Samples
    Econometrica, 1977, 45, (8), 1977-88 Downloads View citations (181)

1975

  1. Maximum score estimation of the stochastic utility model of choice
    Journal of Econometrics, 1975, 3, (3), 205-228 Downloads View citations (196)

Books

2013

  1. Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions
    Economics Books, Harvard University Press View citations (32)

Chapters

2017

  1. Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017, volume 32, 2017 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2017)

1993

  1. Adolescent Econometricians: How Do Youth Infer the Returns to Schooling?
    A chapter in Studies of Supply and Demand in Higher Education, 1993, pp 43-60 Downloads View citations (55)
    See also Working Paper (1991)

1987

  1. Academic Ability, Earnings, and the Decision to Become a Teacher: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972
    A chapter in Public Sector Payrolls, 1987, pp 291-316 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (1985)

1986

  1. Analog estimation of econometric models
    Chapter 43 in Handbook of Econometrics, 1986, vol. 4, pp 2559-2582 Downloads

Software Items

2017

  1. WALD_MSE: Stata module to calculate the maximum mean square error (MSE) of a point estimator of the mean
    Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics Downloads
 
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