Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting

2005 - 2025

From International Institute of Forecasters
Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Michael Gilliland ().

Access Statistics for this journal.
Is something missing from the series or not right? See the RePEc data check for the archive and series.

2025, issue 76

Strategic Forecasting in Biopharma: Preview of Special Feature pp. 5-5

Christian Schaefer

Probability Assessments to Support Portfolio Management at Eli Lilly pp. 6-14

Charles Persinger and Jay Andersen

Neural Network Models to Predict Clinical Trial Completion pp. 15-20

Clarke Patrone, Jaseem Mahmmdla, Roshan Seth and Gayathri Devi Raghupathy

The Impact of Events and Order of Entry pp. 21-27

Nicholas Guthrie

Forecasting the Uptake of Gene Therapies pp. 28-33

Gary Johnson

Long-Term Product Forecasting in Pharmaceuticals pp. 34-39

Robert F. Siegmund

Addressing Bias in Pharmaceutical Pipeline Forecasting pp. 40-46

Richard Murgatroyd

Prognostication with Unusual Sources pp. 47-48

Thomas Wolfram

The Insufficiency of Looking at Forecast Accuracy Alone pp. 49-50

Steven Pauly

Brier Score vs. Log Score pp. 51-52

Stephan Kolassa

2024, issue 75

Large Language Models as Benchmarks in Forecasting Practice pp. 5-10

Hossein Hassani and Emmanuel Sirimal Silva

LLMs, Data Leakage, Bullshit, and Botshit pp. 11-16

Stephan Kolassa

Commentary: Can LLMs Provide Good Forecasts? pp. 18-20

Christoph Bergmeir

Reply to the Commentaries: A Plea for the Ranked Probability Score pp. 21-23

Malte Tichy

Unethical Behavior in Forecast Accuracy Evaluation pp. 24-31

Kevin Forbes

Limiting Extreme Behavior in Forecasting Competitions pp. 32-37

Matthew J. Schneider, Jethro Browell and Rufus Rankin

Linear Regression with a Time Series View Part 4: Logistic Regression for Binary Outcomes pp. 38-43

Ken Fordyce

Review: Global Energy Outlook 2024: Peaks or Plateaus? by Daniel Raimi, Yuqi Zhu, Richard G. Newell, and Brian C. Prest pp. 44-46

Ira Sohn

The Brier Score and Its Decomposition pp. 47-48

Stephan Kolassa

2024, issue 74

Alliance or Apathy? Forecasting's Role in Achieving the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals pp. 5-6

Bahman Rostami-Tabar and Michael Gilliland

Scaling-Aware Forecast Rating pp. 7-11

Malte Tichy

Commentary: A Good Correction for Forecastability pp. 12-13

Stefan de Kok

Commentary: A Major Milestone for Forecast Accuracy Summarization pp. 14-15

Tim Januschowski

Commentary: The Scaling Trap in Retail Forecasting pp. 16-17

Zabiulla Mohammed

How Do I Set Forecast Accuracy Expectations? pp. 18-19

Patrick Bower

Information that Can Damage Your Demand Forecasts pp. 20-22

Paul Goodwin

Forecast Desirability: Is Better the Enemy of Good? pp. 24-29

Johann Robette

Point Forecast Evaluation: State of the Art pp. 30-35

Ivan Svetunkov

Linear Regression with a Time Series View Part 3: Qualitative Predictor Variables pp. 36-41

Ken Fordyce

Decision Intelligence: A Critical Reflection pp. 42-44

Roger Moser

Spotlight: Interview with Marina Sologubova pp. 45-46

Foresight Staff

A Planner-centric Approach to Judgmental Forecasting pp. 47-48

Niels van Hove

2024, issue 73

Failing to Pay Attention to Error: Our Greatest Error pp. 5-12

Steve Morlidge

A Critical Evaluation of the Assumptions of Forecast Value Added pp. 13-23

Conor Doherty

Commentary: FVA: The Gold Standard for Collaborative Forecasting pp. 24-25

Jeff Baker

Commentary: Using FVA the Right Way pp. 26-27

Stefan de Kok

Commentary: Apologia pro Forecast Value Added pp. 28-29

Igor Gusakov

Commentary: FVA Remains Relevant and Valuable pp. 30-30

Marina Sologubova

Commentary: How to Properly Leverage FVA pp. 31-32

Nicolas Vandeput

LLMs and Foundational Models: Not (Yet) as Good as Hoped pp. 33-38

Christoph Bergmeir

Fordyce discusses multiple linear regression in Part 2 of his tutorial series "Linear Regression with a Time Series View." Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2024 pp. 39-45

Ken Fordyce

The Accuracy of Prediction Markets pp. 48-53

Thomas Wolfram

Book Review: Judgment in Predictive Analytics, edited by Matthias Seifert pp. 54-57

Robert Fildes

Book Review: The Age of Prediction: Algorithms, AI, and the Shifting Shadows of Risk by Igor Tulchinsky and Christopher E. Mason pp. 58-60

Ira Sohn

Spotlight: Interview with Eric Stellwagen pp. 61-62

Foresight Staff

Interactions in Forecasting pp. 63-64

Stephan Kolassa

2024, issue 72

J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes pp. 5-7

Kesten Green

Lessons from a Mentor and Friend pp. 8-8

Andreas Graefe

Scott Armstrong's Scientific Legacy pp. 9-9

Arch Woodside

The Forecaster's Evaluation Dilemma pp. 10-14

Malte Tichy

Combining Probability Predictions pp. 15-20

Ville A. Satop??

Estimating Predictive Probability of Success pp. 21-28

Shaun Comfort

Accuracy vs. Runtime with Multiple Seasonalities pp. 29-32

Stephan Kolassa

Linear Regression with a Time Series View, Part 1: Simple Linear Regression pp. 35-39

Ken Fordyce

How Well Can Social Scientists Forecast Societal Change? pp. 40-46

Igor Grossmann, Christoph Bergmeir and Peter Slattery

A Case for a More Decision-centric IBP pp. 47-51

Niels van Hove

How Decision Intelligence Integrates Forecasting, AI, and Data into Complex Decisions pp. 52-57

Lorien Pratt, David Roberts, Nadine Malcolm, Brian Fisher, Katie Barnhill, Daniela Jones and Michael Kudenov

Book Review: Sales & Operations Planning -An Executive Update by Robert A. Stahl pp. 58-59

Patrick Bower

Book Review: Power and Prediction: The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence, by Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb pp. 60-63

Ira Sohn

Book Review: Demand Forecasting for Executives and Professionals, by Stephan Kolassa, Bahman Rostami-Tabar, and Enno Siemsen pp. 64-65

Simon Spavound

Spotlight: Interview with Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi pp. 66-67

Foresight Staff

Spotlight: Interview with Ruben Crevits pp. 68

Foresight Staff

In Pursuit of Consumption-Based Forecasting pp. 69-71

Charles Chase and Kenneth B. Kahn