Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting

2005 - 2025

From International Institute of Forecasters
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Why Should I Trust Your Forecasts? pp. 5-9: M. Sinan Gönül, Dilek Önkal and Paul Goodwin
It's About the Quality of Interaction pp. 10-11: Lauge Valentin,
The Forecaster's Capability and Empowerment pp. 12-13: John Parks
Trust in Forecasting, and the Myth of Neutrality pp. 14-15: John P. Unger
The View Across the Supply Chain pp. 16-17: Ram Ganeshan
Exponential Smoothing: The Workhorse of Business Forecasting pp. 23-28: Eric Stellwagen
S&OP Principles: The Foundation for Success pp. 29-34: Robert A. Stahl and Thomas F. Wallace
Executive S&OP Implementation – Do It Right pp. 35-39: Amy Mansfield
Two Notable New Forecasting Texts: Principles of Business Forecasting by Keith Ord & Robert Fildes Forecasting: Principles and Practice by Rob Hyndman & George Athanasopoulos pp. 40-45: Stephan Kolassa

Forecastability: A New Method for Benchmarking and Driving Improvement pp. 7-15: Sean Schubert
Interview of Sean Schubert pp. 16: Foresight Staff
The Forecasting Meeting: Questions from On High pp. 17-19: Alec Finney
The Application of Product-Group Seasonal Indexes to Individual Products pp. 20-26: Maryam Mohammadipour, John Boylan and Aris Syntetos
Hemlines and the Economy: Which Goes Down First? pp. 27-28: Marjolein van Baardwijk and Philip Hans Franses
Forecasting Software: Improving the User Experience pp. 34-39: Stavros Asimakopoulos
Book review of Peter Diamandis and Steven Kotler’s Abundance: The Future Is Better Than You Think pp. 40-42: Ira Sohn
Reliable Forecasts of the 2012 Presidential Election pp. 43-46: Randy Jones
Does Obama Keep the Keys to the White House? pp. 47-48: Allan Lichtman

Book Review of Thinking Fast and Slow, by Daniel Kahneman pp. 7-9: Paul Goodwin
Guiding Principles for the Forecasting Support System pp. 10-15: Robert Fildes and Paul Goodwin
Our Best Worst Forecasting Mistakes pp. 16-20: Joe Smith and Simon Clarke
Good Patterns, Bad Patterns pp. 26-30: Roy Batchelor
Predicting Job Performance: The Moneyball Factor pp. 31-34: J. Armstrong
Designing the Forecasting Process to Manage Bias: Commentary on the Guiding Principles pp. 35-37: Rogelio Oliva and Noel Watson
Executive S&OP: Overcoming the “Catch-22” of Implementation pp. 38-41: Robert A. Stahl and Joseph F. Shedlawski
Forecasting for Fun Outside Your Cubicle pp. 42-44: Roy L. Pearson

A CEO’S Perspective on S&OP and Forecasting: An Interview with Phil Dolci pp. 5-6: Staff
Stream Analytics for Forecasting pp. 7-12: Patrick McSharry
The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election pp. 13-14: Andreas Graefe, Randy Jones, J. Armstrong and Alfred Cuzán
Does a Presidential Candidate’s Campaign Affect the Election Outcome? pp. 15-18: Richard Nadeau and Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Forecasting Rounds of Golf pp. 19-24: Scott Parrott, John Stamey and Timothy Burcham
The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles, Preview to the Commentaries pp. 30-31: Len Tashman
There are More Fundamental Issues pp. 32-34: Michael Gilliland
A Practical Handbook on Best Practice pp. 35-36: Alec Finney
Elaboration on the Foundation Principles pp. 37-38: Mark A. Moon
Elaboration on the Behavioral Principles pp. 39: John Mello
Foundation Principles for Supply Chain Partners pp. 40-41: Ram Ganeshan
The Morlidge Guiding Principles vs. Armstrong's Principles of Forecasting pp. 42-43: Peter Catt
Guiding Principles: Reply to Commentaries pp. 44-45: Steve Morlidge
Outrageous Fortunes: How Daniel Altman Sees the Future of the Global Economy pp. 46: Len Tashman

The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles Part 2 pp. 5-9: Steve Morlidge
High on Complexity, Low on Evidence: Are Advanced Forecasting Methods Always as Good as They Seem? pp. 10-12: Paul Goodwin
The Senior Managers' Monthly Forecasting Report pp. 13-15: Alec Finney
A “Softer” Approach to the Measurement of Forecast Accuracy pp. 16-20: John Boylan
Percentage Errors Can Ruin Your Day (and Rolling the Dice Shows How) pp. 21-27: Stephan Kolassa and Roland Martin
Book Reviews of Scenario Planning in Organizations, by Tom Chermack and Scenario Thinking: Practical Approaches to the Future, by George Wright and George Cairns pp. 34-36: Adam Gordon
Forecasting with Structural Models and VARs: Relative Advantages and the Client Connection pp. 37-42: Dan Hamilton
Prediction Markets and the “Trough of Disillusionment” pp. 43-46: Andreas Graefe
Reply to Foresight Article “Trough of Disillusionment” by Andreas Graefe pp. 46-47: Robert Rieg and Ramona Schoder

The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles pp. 5-12: Steve Morlidge
Using the International Futures Global Modeling System (Ifs) for Alternative Scenarios by the Numbers pp. 13-19: Roy Pearson
Executive S&OP and the Cycle of Resolution: Resolving Conflict to Align Human Energy pp. 20-26: Robert A. Stahl and J.D. Stewart Levine
Forecasting Tools: Have They Upgraded the Forecasting Process? pp. 33-36: Joe Smith and Simon Clarke
The World in 2050: Four Forces Shaping Civilization’s Northern Future pp. 37-40: Ira Sohn
A Forecasting Support System for Temperature-Controlled Transport pp. 41-46: Wilfried Despagne

Review of Being Wrong: Adventures in the Margin of Error pp. 5-6: Marcus O’Connor
Projecting Success: Don't Forget the Base Rate pp. 7-9: Paul Goodwin
Accuracy versus Profitability pp. 10-15: Roy Batchelor
Forecasting Exceptional Demand: Not the Same as Forecasting Ordinary Demand pp. 16-22: Wilpen L. Gorr
Getting Your Forecasting and Planning Fundamentals Right: A Case Study pp. 30-34: Alec Finney, Martin Joseph and Hannah Kurth
Corporate Prediction Markets: Pitfalls and Barriers pp. 35-40: Robert Rieg and Ramona Schoder
Predicting the Results of the 2010 Midterm Elections: Judgment, Econometrics, and Prediction Markets pp. 41-44: Alfred G. Cuzán
Commentary on Forecast Error vs. Forecast Accuracy pp. 45: Jim Hoover
Commentary on Forecast Error vs. Forecast Accuracy pp. 46: Mark Little

Who Should Own the Business Forecasting Function? pp. 4-7: Joe Smith and Simon Clarke
Commentaries on Foresight article by Joe Smith and Simon Clarke, Who Should Own the Business Forecasting Function? pp. 8-9: Tom Ross and Rob Dhuyvetter
Book Review of This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly pp. 10-11: David Orrell
Classification for Forecasting and Inventory pp. 12-17: Aris Syntetos, John Boylan and Ruud Teunter
Forecasting Future Technology pp. 24-28: Roy L. Pearson
Getting Your Forecasting and Planning Fundamentals Right pp. 29-36: Alec Finney and Martin Joseph
How S&OP Changes Corporate Culture: Results from Interviews with Seven Companies pp. 37-42: John E. Mello and Robert A. Stahl