Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting

2005 - 2025

From International Institute of Forecasters
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2022, issue 67

To Share or Not to Share? The Future of Collaborative Forecasting pp. 8-15

Pierre Pinson

Commentary on "To Share or Not to Share": Asymmetry of Data Ownership pp. 16-17

Niels van Hove

Commentary on "To Share or Not to Share": Legal Ramifications and FVA of Data Sharing pp. 18-19

Robert Stevens

Commentary on "To Share or Not to Share": Federated Data and Learning in the Supply Chain pp. 20-21

Ram Ganeshan

Commentary on "To Share or Not to Share": Third-Party Data Providers pp. 22-22

Sujit Singh

Histories of the Future by Jonathon P. Karelse pp. 23-25

Mark Little

Atlas of Forecasts by Katy B?rner pp. 26-26

Lawrence Vanston

Review of Data Science for Supply Chain Forecasting pp. 27-27

Nicolas Vandeput

Toward a One-Number Forecast: Cross-Temporal Hierarchies pp. 32-38

Nikolaos Kourentzes

Commentary on "Toward a One-Number Forecast": The Software Gap pp. 39-39

Simon Clarke

Reply to Simon Clarke Commentary pp. 40-40

Nikolaos Kourentzes

The IIF Forecasting Impact Podcast pp. 41-47

Shari De Baets, Mahdi Abolghasemi, Sarah Van Der Auweraer, Anna Sroginis and Michael Chojnowski

2022, issue 66

Konfessions of a Kibitzer pp. 5-10

Roy Batchelor

Batchelor Party pp. 11-12

Mike Gilliland and Len Tashman

The Demand Forecasting Project at Target: Improving Collaboration and Adoption pp. 13-20

Mahdi R. Yousefi, Stacey Faulkenberg Larsen and Subramanian Iyer

Making Forecasts More Trustworthy pp. 21-25

Simon Spavound and Nikolaos Kourentzes

Commentary on "Making Forecasts More Trustworthy" pp. 26-29

Paul Goodwin, M. Sinan Gonul and Dilek Onkal

Subsampling Seasonal Series - A Simple Approach to Forecasting Complex Patterns pp. 34-37

Paul Goodwin

Long-Term Projections of Food Production and Demand pp. 38-44

Keith Wiebe, Timothy Sulser and Nicola Cenacchi

A Picture Is Worth a Thousand Words: Atlas of Forecasts: Modeling and Mapping Desirable Futures by Katy B?rner pp. 45-48

Ira Sohn (reviewer)

2022, issue 65

Representativeness: A New Criterion for Selecting Forecasts pp. 5-12

Fotios Petropoulos and Enno Siemsen

Commentary on Representativeness pp. 13-16

Nigel Harvey and Shari De Baets

An Extension of Possibility Distributions in Fuzzy Forecasting pp. 17-22

Stefan de Kok

STR: A Flexible New Decomposition Method for Analyzing and Forecasting Complex Time Series pp. 23-26

Paul Goodwin

More Thoughts on STR pp. 27-29

Stephan Kolassa

One-Number Forecasting: A Solution for Silo Behavior? pp. 34-38

Simon Clarke

Commentary: One-Number Forecast: How Will It Be Used? pp. 39-40

Richard Herrin

The UFO Project (Usage of Forecasting in Organizations): Final Survey Results pp. 41-47

Jim Hoover and Len Tashman

2022, issue 64

Advances in Intermittent-Demand Forecasting pp. 4-8

John Boylan and Aris Syntetos

Intermittent Demand Forecasting: Context, Methods and Applications (2021) by John Boylan and Aris Syntetos pp. 9-11

Jim Hoover

Commentary on Intermittent Demand Forecasting: Let's Look Next at Dynamics! pp. 12-15

Stephan Kolassa

Reply to Stephan Kolassa Commentary pp. 16-17

John Boylan and Aris Syntetos

Forecasters in the Field pp. 18-18

Foresight Editor Len Tashman

Into the (Largely) Unknown, Part 2: Uses of Fuzzy Forecasting pp. 19-25

Steve Morlidge and Paul Goodwin

Decision Trees for Time-Series Forecasting pp. 30-44

Evangelos Spiliotis

Decision Trees in Automatic Forecasting Algorithms: The Implementation in Forecast Pro pp. 45-48

Sarah Darin

2021, issue 63

Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment pp. 7-11

Stephan Kolassa and Len Tashman

Can Biases and Heuristics Be Unconscious? pp. 12-13

Christopher Plummer

Into the (Largely) Unknown: A Simple Way to Handle Uncertainty pp. 14-20

Steve Morlidge and Paul Goodwin

Can We Reconcile Narrativist and Probabilistic Modes of Thinking? pp. 21-24

Philip E. Tetlock and J. Peter Scoblic

The Impact of COVID-19 on the Economy and Strategic Environment of the United States: A Review of Two New Studies pp. 29-35

Ira Sohn

Beyond Error Measures to the Utility and Cost of the Forecasts pp. 36-45

Elizabeth Yardley and Fotios Petropoulos

Integrated Business Planning: A New Narrative for an Old Process pp. 46-52

Niels van Hove and Hein Regeer

2021, issue 62

Resurrecting Retail: The Future of Business in a Post-Pandemic World by Doug Stephens pp. 4-7

Stephan Kolassa

Forecasting Demand during COVID-The Case of Wayfair pp. 8-13

Alexei Alexandrov, Philip Brooks, I-Chen Lee and George Monokroussos

Strategy in Uncertain Times: Lenses to Approach Decision Making, Forecasting, and Planning pp. 14-21

Chris Turner

A Better Crystal Ball: The Right Way to Think About the Future pp. 27-32

J. Peter Scoblic and Philip E. Tetlock

Scenarios and Probabilities: Incompatible or Complementary? pp. 33-35

Paul Goodwin

Risk vs. Uncertainty pp. 36-39

Steve Morlidge

Scenarios with Probabilities for Financial Forecasting pp. 40-42

Roy Batchelor

Probabilistic Scenarios in Demand and Supply Planning pp. 43-46

Stefan De Kok

Uncertainty Is the Human Condition pp. 47-49

Mike Tremblay

Near-Term Questions for Long-Term Uncertainties pp. 50-51

Robert Fildes

2021, issue 61

Mitigating Unconscious Bias in Forecasting pp. 5-14

Jonathon Karelse

Commentary: The Case for Parsimonious Intervention pp. 15-17

Paul Goodwin

Commentary: Cross-Disciplinary Approaches to Supply-Chain Issues pp. 18-19

Jeff Baker

The Great Toilet Paper Buy: Lessons for the Supply Chain pp. 20-23

Tonya Boone and Ram Ganeshan

Combining Humans and Machines in an Emerging Form of Enterprise: the Humachine pp. 28-35

Nada Sanders and John Wood

Commentary: AI Is Here to Automate the Knowledge Worker pp. 36-38

Niels van Hove

Commentary: ML Must Be Used with Care pp. 39-40

David Orrell

Commentary: A Brief Historical Perspective on Integrating New Technology pp. 41-44

Ken Fordyce

The Data Detective: Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics by Tim Harford pp. 45-48

Ira Sohn

2021, issue 60

How to Harness the Wisdom of Crowds pp. 5-7

Paul Goodwin

Maximizing Forecast Value Added through Machine Learning and "Nudges" pp. 8-15

Jeff Baker

Commentary: Managing FVA pp. 16-17

Robert Fildes

Commentary: Another Role for ML in Forecasting pp. 18-19

Michael Gilliland

A Peek at the Next Century: Population Projections to 2100 and Their Economic and Geopolitical Consequences pp. 20-24

Ira Sohn

Can We Profit from Trading on Predictions of High-Low Stock Prices? pp. 28-32

Clive Jones

The M5 Competition and the Future of Human Expertise in Forecasting pp. 33-37

Spyros Makridakis and Evangelos Spiliotis

Commentary: We'll Still Need Expertise pp. 38-38

Stephan Kolassa

Commentary: Will the Value of Forecasting Knowledge and Experience Diminish? pp. 39-39

Simon Clarke

Commentary: The M5 Competition: A Critical Appraisal pp. 40-41

Tim Januschowski, Jan Gasthaus and Yuyang Wang

Commentary: The M5 and the Future Role of Expertise pp. 42-42

Michael Gilliland

Commentary: Academicians and Practitioners Will Thrive pp. 43-43

Lawrence Vanston

Reply to the Commentaries pp. 44-44

Spyros Makridakis and Evangelos Spiliotos

The UFO Project: Initial Survey Results pp. 45-48

Jim Hoover and Project Team Ufo