The Quarterly Journal of Economics

1886 - 2025

Current editor(s): Robert J. Barro, Lawrence F. Katz, Nathan Nunn, Andrei Shleifer and Stefanie Stantcheva

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Volume 132, issue 4, 2017

Measuring the Sensitivity of Parameter Estimates to Estimation Moments pp. 1553-1592

Isaiah Andrews, Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse Shapiro

The Growing Importance of Social Skills in the Labor Market pp. 1593-1640

David Deming

Uncertainty Traps pp. 1641-1692

Pablo Fajgelbaum, Edouard Schaal and Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel

Optimal Tax Progressivity: An Analytical Framework pp. 1693-1754

Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten and Giovanni L. Violante

Household Debt and Business Cycles Worldwide pp. 1755-1817

Atif Mian, Amir Sufi and Emil Verner

The Deposits Channel of Monetary Policy pp. 1819-1876

Itamar Drechsler, Alexi Savov and Philipp Schnabl

Who Becomes A Politician? pp. 1877-1914

Ernesto Dal Bó, Frederico Finan, Olle Folke, Torsten Persson and Johanna Rickne

Capital Allocation and Productivity in South Europe pp. 1915-1967

Gita Gopinath, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Loukas Karabarbounis and Carolina Villegas-Sanchez

Reference-Dependent Job Search: Evidence from Hungary pp. 1969-2018

Stefano DellaVigna, Attila Lindner, Balazs Reizer and Johannes Schmieder

The Benefits of Forced Experimentation: Striking Evidence from the London Underground Network pp. 2019-2055

Shaun Larcom, Ferdinand Rauch and Tim Willems

Erratum to “The Short-Term Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers to the Poor: Experimental Evidence from Kenya” pp. 2057-2060

Johannes Haushofer and Jeremy Shapiro

Erratum to “Leveraging Lotteries for School Value-Added: Testing and Estimation” pp. 2061-2062

Joshua Angrist, Peter Hull, Parag Pathak and Christopher Walters

Volume 132, issue 3, 2017

Lemon Technologies and Adoption: Measurement, Theory and Evidence from Agricultural Markets in Uganda pp. 1055-1100

Tessa Bold, Kayuki C. Kaizzi, Jakob Svensson and David Yanagizawa-Drott

Organizational Barriers to Technology Adoption: Evidence from Soccer-Ball Producers in Pakistan pp. 1101-1164

David Atkin, Azam Chaudhry, Shamyla Chaudry, Amit Khandelwal and Eric Verhoogen

The Rise of Domestic Outsourcing and the Evolution of the German Wage Structure pp. 1165-1217

Deborah Goldschmidt and Johannes Schmieder

Discrimination as a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Evidence from French Grocery Stores pp. 1219-1260

Dylan Glover, Amanda Pallais and William Parienté

What does a Deductible Do? The Impact of Cost-Sharing on Health Care Prices, Quantities, and Spending Dynamics pp. 1261-1318

Zarek Brot-Goldberg, Amitabh Chandra, Benjamin R. Handel and Jonathan T. Kolstad

Choose to Lose: Health Plan Choices from a Menu with Dominated Option pp. 1319-1372

Saurabh Bhargava, George Loewenstein and Justin Sydnor

Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle pp. 1373-1426

David López-Salido, Jeremy C. Stein and Egon Zakrajšek

Credit Crises, Precautionary Savings, and the Liquidity Trap pp. 1427-1467

Veronica Guerrieri and Guido Lorenzoni

Catering to Investors Through Security Design: Headline Rate and Complexity pp. 1469-1508

Claire Celerier and Boris Vallee

Party Polarization in Legislatures with Office-Motivated Candidates pp. 1509-1550

Mattias K Polborn and James M. SnyderJr.

Erratum to “Field of Study, Earnings, and Self-Selection” pp. 1551-1552

Lars Kirkebøen, Edwin Leuven and Magne Mogstad

Volume 132, issue 2, 2017

Exporting and Firm Performance: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment pp. 551-615

David Atkin, Amit Khandelwal and Adam Osman

Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets pp. 617-663

Anmol Bhandari, David Evans, Mikhail Golosov and Thomas Sargent

Technological Innovation, Resource Allocation, and Growth pp. 665-712

Leonid Kogan, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Amit Seru and Noah Stoffman

Credit Expansion and Neglected Crash Risk pp. 713-764

Matthew Baron and Wei Xiong

Financial Crises and Risk Premia pp. 765-809

Tyler Muir

Labor Markets and Poverty in Village Economies pp. 811-870

Oriana Bandiera, Robin Burgess, Narayan Das, Selim Gulesci, Imran Rasul and Munshi Sulaiman

Leveraging Lotteries for School Value-Added: Testing and Estimation pp. 871-919

Joshua Angrist, Peter Hull, Parag Pathak and Christopher Walters

Multinational Firms and International Business Cycle Transmission pp. 921-962

Javier Cravino and Andrei Levchenko

Smart and Illicit: Who Becomes an Entrepreneur and Do They Earn More? pp. 963-1018

Ross Levine and Yona Rubinstein

Naïveté-Based Discrimination pp. 1019-1054

Paul Heidhues and Botond Koszegi

Volume 132, issue 1, 2017

Thinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicago pp. 1-54

Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan and Harold A. Pollack

Optimal Time-Consistent Government Debt Maturity pp. 55-102

Davide Debortoli, Ricardo Nunes and Pierre Yared

News Shocks in Open Economies: Evidence from Giant Oil Discoveries pp. 103-155

Rabah Arezki, Valerie Ramey and Liugang Sheng

Global Production with Export Platforms pp. 157-209

Felix Tintelnot

The Taxation of Superstars pp. 211-270

Florian Scheuer and Iván Werning

Firm Leverage, Consumer Demand, and Employment Losses During the Great Recession pp. 271-316

Xavier Giroud and Holger M. Mueller

The Real Effects of Liquidity During the Financial Crisis: Evidence from Automobiles pp. 317-365

Efraim Benmelech, Ralf R. Meisenzahl and Rodney Ramcharan

What is the Expected Return on the Market? pp. 367-433

Ian Martin

Labor Supply Shocks, Native Wages, and the Adjustment of Local Employment pp. 435-483

Christian Dustmann, Uta Schönberg and Jan Stuhler

Public Protests and Policy Making pp. 485-549

Marco Battaglini

Volume 131, issue 4, 2016

Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty pp. 1593-1636

Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom and Steven Davis

Worms at Work: Long-run Impacts of a Child Health Investment pp. 1637-1680

Sarah Baird, Joan Hamory Hicks, Michael Kremer and Edward Miguel

Sources of Geographic Variation in Health Care: Evidence From PatientMigration pp. 1681-1726

Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Gentzkow and Heidi Williams

Adam Smith, Watch Prices, and the Industrial Revolution pp. 1727-1752

Morgan Kelly and Cormac Ó Gráda

Stereotypes pp. 1753-1794

Pedro Bordalo, Katherine Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

Evaluating Public Programs with Close Substitutes: The Case of HeadStart pp. 1795-1848

Patrick Kline and Christopher Walters

Movers and Shakers pp. 1849-1874

Robert Akerlof and Richard Holden

Earthquakes, Religion, and Transition to Self-Government in ItalianCities pp. 1875-1926

Marianna Belloc, Francesco Drago and Roberto Galbiati

The Liquidity Premium of Near-Money Assets pp. 1927-1971

Stefan Nagel

The Short-term Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers to the Poor: ExperimentalEvidence from Kenya pp. 1973-2042

Johannes Haushofer and Jeremy Shapiro

Volume 131, issue 3, 2016

Editor's Choice Field of Study, Earnings, and Self-Selection pp. 1057-1111

Lars Kirkebøen, Edwin Leuven and Magne Mogstad

Measuring the Unequal Gains from Trade pp. 1113-1180

Pablo Fajgelbaum and Amit Khandelwal

Decision Making Under the Gambler’s Fallacy: Evidence from Asylum Judges, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires pp. 1181-1242

Daniel Chen, Tobias J. Moskowitz and Kelly Shue

Bayesian Networks and Boundedly Rational Expectations pp. 1243-1290

Ran Spiegler

Quantifying the Sources of Firm Heterogeneity pp. 1291-1364

Colin Hottman, Stephen Redding and David Weinstein

Court Enforcement, Bank Loans, and Firm Investment: Evidence from a Bankruptcy Reform in Brazil pp. 1365-1413

Jacopo Ponticelli and Leonardo Alencar

Teacher Quality and Learning Outcomes in Kindergarten pp. 1415-1453

M. Caridad Araujo, Pedro Carneiro, Yyannú Cruz-Aguayo and Norbert Schady

Shocking Behavior: Random Wealth in Antebellum Georgia and Human Capital Across Generations pp. 1455-1495

Hoyt Bleakley and Joseph Ferrie

Rethinking the Effects of Financial Globalization pp. 1497-1542

Fernando Broner and Jaume Ventura

Input Specificity and the Propagation of Idiosyncratic Shocks in Production Networks pp. 1543-1592

Jean-Noël Barrot and Julien Sauvagnat

Volume 131, issue 2, 2016

Editor's Choice Wealth Inequality in the United States since 1913: Evidence from Capitalized Income Tax Data pp. 519-578

Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman

Lights, Camera … Income! Illuminating the National Accounts-Household Surveys Debate pp. 579-631

Maxim Pinkovskiy and Xavier Sala-i-Martin

Bargaining, Sorting, and the Gender Wage Gap: Quantifying the Impact of Firms on the Relative Pay of Women pp. 633-686

David Card, Ana Rute Cardoso and Patrick Kline

Wealth, Health, and Child Development: Evidence from Administrative Data on Swedish Lottery Players pp. 687-738

David Cesarini, Erik Lindqvist, Robert Östling and Björn Wallace

Measuring Income Tax Evasion Using Bank Credit: Evidence from Greece pp. 739-798

Nikolaos Artavanis, Adair Morse and Margarita Tsoutsoura

Railroads and American Economic Growth: A "Market Access" Approach pp. 799-858

Dave Donaldson and Richard Hornbeck

A Typology of Players: Between Instinctive and Contemplative pp. 859-890

Ariel Rubinstein

Economic Activity and the Spread of Viral Diseases: Evidence from High Frequency Data pp. 891-941

Jerome Adda

Information, Misallocation, and Aggregate Productivity pp. 943-1005

Joel David, Hugo A. Hopenhayn and Venky Venkateswaran

Product Design in Selection Markets pp. 1007-1056

André Veiga and E. Glen Weyl

Volume 131, issue 1, 2016

Editor's Choice Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates pp. 1-52

Emmanuel Farhi and Xavier Gabaix

Learning from Inflation Experiences pp. 53-87

Ulrike Malmendier and Stefan Nagel

A Unified Theory of Firm Selection and Growth pp. 89-155

Costas Arkolakis

The Effects of School Spending on Educational and Economic Outcomes: Evidence from School Finance Reforms pp. 157-218

C. Kirabo Jackson, Rucker C. Johnson and Claudia Persico

Tax Farming Redux: Experimental Evidence on Performance Pay for Tax Collectors pp. 219-271

Adnan Q. Khan, Asim I. Khwaja and Benjamin Olken

Ghost-House Busters: The Electoral Response to a Large Anti–Tax Evasion Program pp. 273-314

Lorenzo Casaburi and Ugo antonio Troiano

Dynamic Selection: An Idea Flows Theory of Entry, Trade, and Growth pp. 315-380

Thomas Sampson

Political Centralization and Government Accountability pp. 381-422

Federico Boffa, Amedeo Piolatto and Giacomo Ponzetto

The Effects of Youth Employment: Evidence from New York City Lotteries pp. 423-460

Alexander Gelber, Adam Isen and Judd B. Kessler

Efficiency, Welfare, and Political Competition pp. 461-518

Felix J. Bierbrauer and Pierre Boyer