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Working Paper Series

From European Central Bank
60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2008940: The effect of durable goods and ICT on euro area productivity growth? Downloads
Jukka Jalava and Ilja Kristian Kavonius
2008939: An application of index numbers theory to interest rates Downloads
Javier Huerga and Lucia Steklacova
2008938: Channels of international risk-sharing: capital gains versus income flows Downloads
Thierry Bracke and Martin Schmitz
2008937: Should quarterly government finance statistics be used for fiscal surveillane in Europe? Downloads
Javier Pérez and Diego J. Pedregal
2008936: Sparse and stable Markowitz portfolios Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Christine De Mol, Joshua Brodie, Ingrid Daubechies and Ignace Loris
2008935: Fiscal policies, the current account and Ricardian equivalence Downloads
Isabel Vansteenkiste and Christiane Nickel
2008934: Bank mergers and lending relationships Downloads
Judit Montoriol-Garriga
2008933: Import price dynamics in major advanced economies and heterogeneity in exchange rate pass-through Downloads
Stephane Dees, Matthias Burgert and Nicolas Parent
2008932: How does competition affect efficiency and soundness in banking? New empirical evidence Downloads
Klaus Schaeck and Martin Cihak
2008931: International stock return comovements Downloads
Geert Bekaert, Robert J. Hodrick and Xiaoyan Zhang
2008930: Sticky information Phillips curves: European evidence Downloads
Jiri Slacalek, Jörg Döpke, Jonas Dovern and Ulrich Fritsche
2008929: Real convergence in Central and Eastern European EU Member States: which role for exchange rate volatility? Downloads
Olga Arratibel, Reiner Martin and Davide Furceri
2008928: Corporate tax competition and the decline of public investment Downloads
Pedro Gomes and Francois Pouget
2008927: Monetary stabilisation in a currency union of small open economies Downloads
Marcelo Sánchez
2008926: Euro area money demand and international portfolio allocation: a contribution to assessing risks to price stability Downloads
Roberto De Santis, Carlo Favero and Barbara Roffia
2008925: Flow of conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity Downloads
Laurent Maurin and Katja Drechsel
2008924: Government spending volatility and the size of nations Downloads
Davide Furceri and Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro
2008923: Resuscitating the wage channel in models with unemployment fluctuations Downloads
Kai Christoffel and Keith Kuester
2008922: A review of nonfundamentalness and identification in structural VAR models Downloads
Lucia Alessi, Matteo Barigozzi and Marco Capasso
2008921: Foreign direct investment and environmental taxes Downloads
Roberto De Santis and Frank Stähler
2008920: An investigation on the effect of real exchange rate movements on OECD bilateral exports Downloads
Antoine Berthou
2008919: Fiscal policy in real time Downloads
Jacopo Cimadomo
2008918: Imports and profitability in the euro area manufacturing sector: the role of emerging market economies Downloads
Tuomas Peltonen, Martin Skala, Alvaro Santos Rivera and Gabor Pula
2008917: Modelling and Forecasting the Yield Curve under Model uncertainty Downloads
Paola Donati and Francesco Donati
2008916: Optimal reserve composition in the presence of sudden stops: the euro and the dollar as safe haven currencies Downloads
Roland Beck and Ebrahim Rahbari
2008915: Medium run redux: technical change, factor shares and frictions in the euro area Downloads
Peter McAdam and Alpo Willman
2008914: Evolution and sources of manufacturing productivity growth: evidence from a panel of European countries Downloads
Silvia Giannangeli and Ramón Gómez-Salvador
2008913: Country and industry equity risk premia in the euro area: an intertemporal approach Downloads
Lorenzo Cappiello, Angela Maddaloni and Marco Lo Duca
2008912: Labour cost and employment across euro area countries and sectors Downloads
Beatrice Pierluigi and Moreno Roma
2008911: Global liquidity glut or global savings glut? A structural VAR approach Downloads
Michael Fidora and Thierry Bracke
2008910: How has CDO market pricing changed during the turmoil? Evidence from CDS index tranches Downloads
Martin Scheicher
2008909: Repo markets, counterparty risk and the 2007/2008 liquidity crisis Downloads
Christian Ewerhart and Jens Tapking
2008908: 3-step analysis of public finances sustainability: the case of the European Union Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Christophe Rault
2008907: Globalisation and the euro area: simulation based analysis using the New Area Wide Model Downloads
Roland Straub and Pascal Jacquinot
2008906: The impact of the euro on equity markets: a country and sector decomposition Downloads
Lorenzo Cappiello, Simone Manganelli and Arjan Kadareja
2008905: A persistence-weighted measure of core inflation in the euro area Downloads
Livio Stracca and Laurent Bilke
2008904: Does money matter in the IS curve? The case of the UK Downloads
Barry Jones and Livio Stracca
2008903: A robust criterion for determining the number of static factors in approximate factor models Downloads
Lucia Alessi, Matteo Barigozzi and Marco Capasso
2008902: Fiscal consolidation in the euro area: long-run benefits and short-run costs Downloads
Matthias Mohr, Roland Straub and Günter Coenen
2008901: The usefulness of infra-annual government cash budgetary data for fiscal forecasting in the euro area Downloads
Luca Onorante, Diego J. Pedregal, Javier Pérez and Sara Signorini
2008900: Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help? Downloads
Fabrizio Venditti, Riccardo Cristadoro and Giuseppe Saporito
2008899: Robust monetary rules under unstructured and structured model uncertainty Downloads
Paul Levine
2008898: Central Bank communication and monetary policy: a survey of theory and evidence Downloads
Alan Blinder, Michael Ehrmann, Marcel Fratzscher, Jakob de Haan and David-Jan Jansen
2008897: DSGE-Modelling: when agents are imperfectly informed Downloads
Paul De Grauwe
2008896: The Maastricht Convergence Criteria and Optimal Monetary Policy for the EMU Accession Countries Downloads
Anna Lipinska
2008895: On the empirical evidence of the intertemporal current account model for the euro area countries Downloads
Michele Ca' Zorzi and Michał Rubaszek
2008894: The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production: perspective from large panel factor models Downloads
Matthieu Darracq Paries and Laurent Maurin
2008893: Sticky wages: evidence from quarterly microeconomic data Downloads
Thomas Heckel, Hervé Le Bihan and Jérémi Montornes
2008892: Identification of new Keynesian Phillips Curves from a global perspective Downloads
Stephane Dees, Mohammad Pesaran, Vanessa Smith and Ron P. Smith
2008891: House Prices and the stance of Monetary Policy Downloads
Frank Smets and Marek Jarociński
2008890: Globalisation, domestic inflation and global output gaps: Evidence from the euro area Downloads
Alessandro Calza
2008889: Credit and the natural rate of interest Downloads
Fiorella De Fiore and Oreste Tristani
2008888: House Prices, Money, Credit and the Macroeconomy Downloads
Charles Goodhart and Boris Hofmann
2008887: Labor supply after transition: evidence from the Czech Republic Downloads
Alena Bičáková, Jiri Slacalek and Michal Slavík
2008886: International evidence on sticky consumption growth Downloads
Christopher Carroll, Jiri Slacalek and Martin Sommer
2008885: Impact of bank competition on the interest rate pass-through in the euro area Downloads
Michiel Van Leuvensteijn, Christoffer Kok, Jacob Bikker and Adrian Rixtel
2008884: A quantitative perspective on optimal monetary policy cooperation between the US and the euro area Downloads
Stéphane Adjemian, Matthieu Darracq Paries and Frank Smets
2008883: Assessing the benefits of international portfolio diversification in bonds and stocks Downloads
Roberto De Santis and Lucio Sarno
2008882: Forecasting world trade: direct versus "bottom-up" approaches Downloads
Stephane Dees and Matthias Burgert
2008881: Imperfect predictability and mutual fund dynamics. How managers use predictors in changing systematic risk Downloads
Gianni Amisano and Roberto Savona
2008880: On policy interactions among nations: when do cooperation and commitment matter? Downloads
Hubert Kempf and Leopold von Thadden
2008879: Government risk premiums in the bond market: EMU and Canada Downloads
Ludger Schuknecht, Juergen von Hagen and Guido Wolswijk
2008878: Nominal and real interest rates during an optimal disinflation in New Keynesian models Downloads
Marcus Hagedorn
2008877: What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks? A VAR-based comparative analysis Downloads
Dario Caldara and Christophe Kamps
2008876: Are sectoral stock prices useful for predicting euro area GDP? Downloads
Magnus Andersson and Antonello D'Agostino
2008875: Global macro-financial shocks and expected default frequencies in the euro area Downloads
Olli Castrén, Stephane Dees and Fadi Zaher
2008874: How arbitrage-free is the Nelson-Siegel Model? Downloads
Laura Coroneo, Ken Nyholm and Rositsa Vidova-Koleva
2008873: The Feldstein-Horioka fact Downloads
Domenico Giannone and Michele Lenza
2008872: Why do Europeans work part-time? A cross-country panel analysis Downloads
Hielke Buddelmeyer, Gilles Mourre and Melanie Ward-Warmedinger
2008871: The impact of capital flows on domestic investment in transition economies Downloads
Elitza Mileva
2008870: Risk Management in Action. Robust monetary policy rules under structured uncertainty Downloads
Paul Levine, Peter McAdam, Richard Pierse and Joseph Pearlman
2008869: The reserve fulfilment path of euro area commercial banks: empirical testing using panel data Downloads
Nuno Cassola
2008868: Purdah: on the rationale for central bank silence around policy meetings Downloads
Michael Ehrmann and Marcel Fratzscher
2008867: Do monetary indicators lead euro area inflation? Downloads
Boris Hofmann
2008866: VAR analysis and the Great Moderation Downloads
Luca Benati and Paolo Surico
2008865: Explaining the Great Moderation: it is not the shocks Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Lucrezia Reichlin
2008864: Macroeconomic rates of return of public and private investment: crowding-in and crowding-out effects Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Miguel Aubyn
2008863: Population ageing and public pension reforms in a small open economy Downloads
Christiane Nickel, Philipp Rother and Angeliki Theophilopoulou
2008862: Stock market volatility and learning Downloads
Klaus Adam, Albert Marcet and Juan Pablo Nicolini
2008861: Income distribution determinants and public spending efficiency Downloads
Antonio Afonso, Ludger Schuknecht and Vito Tanzi
2008860: Oil shocks and endogenous markups: results from an estimated euro area DSGE model Downloads
Marcelo Sánchez
2008859: Assessing the compensation for volatility risk implicit in interest rate derivatives Downloads
Fabio Fornari
2008858: International transmission and monetary policy cooperation Downloads
Günter Coenen, Giovanni Lombardo, Frank Smets and Roland Straub
2008857: Housing and equity wealth effects of Italian households Downloads
Tuomas Peltonen and Charles Grant
2008856: Markups in the euro area and the US over the period 1981-2004: a comparison of 50 sectors Downloads
Rebekka Christopoulou and Philip Vermeulen
2008855: Assessing the factors behind oil price changes Downloads
Stephane Dees, Audrey Gasteuil, Robert Kaufmann and Michael Mann
2008854: How do firms adjust their wage bill in Belgium? A decomposition along the intensive and extensive margins Downloads
Catherine Fuss
2008853: The cyclical behavior of equilibrium unemployment and vacancies revisited Downloads
Marcus Hagedorn and Iourii Manovskii
2008852: Determinants of economic growth: will data tell? Downloads
Antonio Ciccone and Marek Jarociński
2008851: Investigating inflation persistence across monetary regimes Downloads
Luca Benati
2008850: Statistical tests and estimators of the rank of a matrix and their applications in econometric modelling Downloads
Gonzalo Camba-Mendez and George Kapetanios
2008849: Government size, composition, volatility and economic growth Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Davide Furceri
2008848: Economic growth and budgetary components: a panel assessment for the EU Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Juan González Alegre
2007847: Deeper, wider and more competitive? Monetary integration, Eastern enlargement and competitiveness in the European Union Downloads
Gianmarco Ottaviano, Daria Taglioni and Filippo di Mauro
2007846: Information combination and forecast (st)ability evidence from vintages of time-series data Downloads
Matteo Ciccarelli and Carlo Altavilla
2007845: Run-prone banking and asset markets Downloads
Marie Hoerova
2007844: Business cycle synchronization and insurance mechanisms in the EU Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Davide Furceri
2007843: Fiscal forecasting: lessons from the literature and challenges Downloads
Teresa Leal, Javier Pérez, Mika Tujula and Jean-Pierre Vidal
2007842: Saving behaviour and global imbalances: the role of emerging market economies Downloads
Gianluigi Ferrucci and Cesar Miralles
2007841: Should we take inside money seriously? Downloads
Livio Stracca
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