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Working Paper Series

From European Central Bank
60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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20091116: Sectorial Border Effects in the European Single Market: an Explanation through Industrial Concentration Downloads
Gianluca Cafiso
20091115: Estimation and forecasting in large datasets with conditionally heteroskedastic dynamic common factors Downloads
Lucia Alessi, Matteo Barigozzi and Marco Capasso
20091114: Explaining government revenue windfalls and shortfalls: an analysis for selected EU countries Downloads
Richard Morris, Francisco de Castro Fernández, Steven Jonk, Jana Kremer, Suzanne Linehan, Maria Rosaria Marino, Christophe Schalck and Olegs Tkacevs
20091113: Volatility spillovers and contagion from mature to emerging stock markets Downloads
John Beirne, Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Marianne Schulze-Ghattas and Nicola Spagnolo
20091112: Risk spillover among hedge funds: The role of redemptions and fund failures Downloads
Benjamin Klaus and Bronka Rzepkowski
20091111: A Stable Model for Euro Area Money Demand: Revisiting the Role of Wealth Downloads
Andreas Beyer
20091110: Putting the New Keynesian DSGE model to the real-time forecasting test Downloads
Marcin Kolasa, Michał Rubaszek and Paweł Skrzypczyński
20091109: What Triggers Prolonged Inflation Regimes? A Historical Analysis Downloads
Isabel Vansteenkiste
20091108: The role of financial variables in predicting economic activity Downloads
Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari and Marco Lombardi
20091107: Interbank lending, credit risk premia and collateral Downloads
Florian Heider and Marie Hoerova
20091106: The margins of labour cost adjustment: survey evidence from European firms Downloads
Jan Babecký, Philip Du Caju, Theodora Kosma, Martina Lawless, Julian Messina and Tairi Rõõm
20091105: Downward Nominal and Real Wage Rigidity: Survey Evidence from European Firms Downloads
Jan Babecký, Philip Du Caju, Theodora Kosma, Martina Lawless, Julian Messina and Tairi Rõõm
20091104: Pass-through of external shocks along the pricing chain: A panel estimation approach for the euro area Downloads
Bettina Landau and Frauke Skudelny
20091103: Inter-industry wage differentials: how much does rent sharing matter? Downloads
Philip Du Caju, Francois Rycx and Ilan Tojerow
20091102: Wage-setting behavior in France: additional evidence from an ad-hoc survey Downloads
Jérémi Montornes and Jacques-Bernard Sauner-Leroy
20091101: Fiscal variables and bond spreads: evidence from eastern European countries and Turkey Downloads
Christiane Nickel, Philipp Rother and Jan C. Rülke
20091100: Weak and strong cross section dependence and estimation of large panels Downloads
Alexander Chudik, Mohammad Pesaran and Elisa Tosetti
20091099: Public and private sector wages interactions in a general equilibrium model Downloads
Gonzalo Fernandez-de-Cordoba, Javier Pérez and Jose Torres
20091098: Gauging the effectiveness of quantitative forward guidance: evidence from three inflation targeters Downloads
Magnus Andersson and Boris Hofmann
20091097: Monetary and fiscal policy aspects of indirect tax changes in a monetary union Downloads
Leopold von Thadden and Anna Lipinska
20091096: The determinants of bank capital structure Downloads
Reint Gropp and Florian Heider
20091095: Memories of high inflation Downloads
Michael Ehrmann and Panagiota Tzamourani
20091094: Signals from housing and lending booms Downloads
Irina Bunda and Michele Ca' Zorzi
20091093: Determinants of government bond spreads in new EU countries Downloads
Ioana Alexopoulou, Irina Bunda and Annalisa Ferrando
20091092: Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information Downloads
Giacomo Carboni and Martin Ellison
20091091: Money talks Downloads
Marie Hoerova, Cyril Monnet and Ted Temzelides
20091090: New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers Downloads
John F. Cogan, Tobias Cwik, John Taylor and Volker Wieland
20091089: The effects of monetary policy on unemployment dynamics under model uncertainty: evidence from the US and the euro area Downloads
Carlo Altavilla and Matteo Ciccarelli
20091088: Inflation perceptions and expectations in the euro area: the role of news Downloads
Cristian Badarinza and Marco Gross
20091087: Modelling global trade flows: results from a GVAR model Downloads
Matthieu Bussiere, Alexander Chudik and Giulia Sestieri
20091086: Euro area money demand: empirical evidence on the role of equity and labour markets Downloads
Gabe de Bondt
20091085: An empirical study on the decoupling movements between corporate bond and CDS spreads Downloads
Magnus Andersson, Ioana Alexopoulou and Oana-Maria Georgescu
20091084: How are firms' wages and prices linked: survey evidence in Europe Downloads
Silvia Fabiani, Fernando Martins, Martine Druant, Roberto Sabbatini, Ana Lamo and Gabor Kezdi
20091083: Evaluating microfoundations for aggregate price regidities: evidence from matched firm-level data on product prices and unit labor cost Downloads
Mikael Carlsson and Oskar Skans
20091082: Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries Downloads
Jonas Dovern, Ulrich Fritsche and Jiri Slacalek
20091081: Liquidity premia in German government bonds Downloads
Jacob Ejsing and Jukka Sihvonen
20091080: Productivity and job flows: heterogeneity of new hires and continuing jobs in the business cycle Downloads
Juha Kilponen and Juuso Vanhala
20091079: EMU and European government bond market integration Downloads
Pilar Abad, Helena Chuliá and Marta Gómez-Puig
20091078: On the real effects of private equity investment: evidence from new business creation Downloads
Alexander Popov and Peter Roosenboom
20091077: The reception of public signals in financial markets - what if central bank communication becomes stale? Downloads
Michael Ehrmann and David Sondermann
20091076: Optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with habits in consumption Downloads
Campbell Leith, Ioana Moldovan and Raffaele Rossi
20091075: Bank risk and monetary policy Downloads
Yener Altunbas, Leonardo Gambacorta and David Marques-Ibanez
20091074: Wages are flexible aren't they? Evidence from monthly micro wage data Downloads
Patrick Lünnemann and Ladislav Wintr
20091073: Can non-linear real shocks explain the persistence of PPP exchange rate disequilibria? Downloads
Tuomas A. Peltonen, Michael Sager and Adina Popescu
20091072: How important are common factors in driving non-fuel commodity prices? A dynamic factor analysis Downloads
Isabel Vansteenkiste
20091071: Booms and busts in housing markets: determinants and implications Downloads
Luca Agnello and Ludger Schuknecht
20091070: Monetary Policy Committees: meetings and outcomes Downloads
Jan Marc Berk and Beata K. Bierut
20091069: Housing finance and monetary policy Downloads
Alessandro Calza, Tommaso Monacelli and Livio Stracca
20091068: Asset price misalignments and the role of money and credit Downloads
Dieter Gerdesmeier, Barbara Roffia and Hans-Eggert Reimers
20091067: The dynamic effects of shocks to wages and prices in the United States and the euro area Downloads
Carlos Marques and Rita Duarte
20091066: Universal banks and corporate control: evidence from the global syndicated loan market Downloads
Miguel Ferreira and Pedro Matos
20091065: Monetary policy and inflationary shocks under imperfect credibility Downloads
Matthieu Darracq Paries and Stéphane Moyen
20091064: Does it pay to have the euro? Italy’s politics and financial markets under the lira and the euro Downloads
Marcel Fratzscher and Livio Stracca
20091063: Does private equity investment spur innovation? Evidence from Europe Downloads
Alexander Popov and Peter Roosenboom
20091062: External shocks and international inflation linkages: a global VAR analysis Downloads
Marco Lombardi and Alessandro Galesi
20091061: The distribution of households consumption-expenditure budget shares Downloads
Matteo Barigozzi, Lucia Alessi, Marco Capasso and Giorgio Fagiolo
20091060: What explains global exchange rate movements during the financial crisis? Downloads
Marcel Fratzscher
20091059: Forecasting the world economy in the short-term Downloads
Audrone Jakaitiene and Stephane Dees
20091058: National prices and wage setting in a currency union Downloads
Marcelo Sánchez
20091057: Euro area private consumption: Is there a role for housing wealth effects Downloads
Frauke Skudelny
20091056: The pricing of subprime mortgage risk in good times and bad: evidence from the ABX.HE indices Downloads
Martin Scheicher and Ingo Fender
20091055: The impact of extreme weather events on budget balances and implications for fiscal policy Downloads
Eliza Lis and Christiane Nickel
20091054: Fiscal behaviour in the European Union: rules, fiscal decentralization and government indebtedness Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Sebastian Hauptmeier
20091053: Inflation dynamics with labour market matching: assessing alternative specifications Downloads
Kai Christoffel, James Costain, Grégory de Walque, Keith Kuester, Tobias Linzert, Stephen Millard and Olivier Pierrard
20091052: Bidding behaviour in the ECB's main refinancing operations during the financial crisis Downloads
Jens Eisenschmidt, Astrid Hirsch and Tobias Linzert
20091051: Are more data always better for factor analysis? Results for the euro area, the six largest euro area countries and the UK Downloads
Giovanni Caggiano, George Kapetanios and Vincent Labhard
20091050: Wealth effects on consumption: evidence from the euro area Downloads
Ricardo Sousa
20091049: Labour force participation in the euro area: a cohort based analysis Downloads
Almut Balleer, Ramón Gómez-Salvador and Jarkko Turunen
20091048: Downward wage rigidity and optimal steady-state inflation Downloads
Gabriel Fagan and Julian Messina
20091047: The impact of reference norms on inflation persistence when wages are staggered Downloads
Markus Knell and Alfred Stiglbauer
20091046: Productivity shocks and real exchange rate: a reappraisal Downloads
Tuomas A. Peltonen and Michael Sager
20091045: The term structure of equity premia in an affine arbitrage-free model of bond and stock market dynamics Downloads
Thomas Werner and Wolfgang Lemke
20091044: The forecasting power of internal yield curve linkages Downloads
Kleopatra Nikolaou and Michele Modugno
20091043: Optimal monetary policy in a model of the credit channel Downloads
Fiorella De Fiore and Oreste Tristani
20091042: The determinants of public deficit volatility Downloads
Luca Agnello and Ricardo Sousa
20091041: An economic capital model integrating credit and interest rate risk in the banking book Downloads
Mathias Drehmann and Piergiorgio Alessandri
20091040: The external and domestic side of macroeconomic adjustment in China Downloads
Christian Thimann and Roland Straub
20091039: 'Real time'early warning indicators for costly asset price boom/bust cycles: a role for global liquidity Downloads
Carsten Detken and Lucia Alessi
20091038: Are 'intrinsic inflation persistence' models structural in the sense of Lucas (1976)? Downloads
Luca Benati
20091037: What do asset prices have to say about risk appetite and uncertainty? Downloads
Geert Bekaert, Marie Hoerova and Martin Scheicher
20091036: Search in the product market and the real business cycle Downloads
Thomas Mathä and Olivier Pierrard
20091035: The role of labor markets for euro area monetary policy Downloads
Tobias Linzert, Kai Christoffel and Keith Kuester
20091034: The role of the United States in the global economy and its evolution over time Downloads
Stephane Dees and Arthur Saint-Guilhem
20091033: Fiscal competition over taxes and public inputs - theory and evidence Downloads
Sebastian Hauptmeier, Ferdinand Mittermaier and Johannes Rincke
20091032: Assessing long-term fiscal developments - a new approach Downloads
Antonio Afonso, Davide Furceri, Luca Agnello and Ricardo Sousa
20091031: Global roles of currencies Downloads
Christian Thimann
20091030: Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets Downloads
Kirstin Hubrich and Kenneth West
20091029: The role of fiscal transfers for regional economic convergence in Europe Downloads
Christiane Nickel, Cristina Checherita-Westphal and Philipp Rother
20091028: Large debt financing: syndicated loans versus corporate bonds Downloads
Yener Altunbas, Alper Kara and David Marques-Ibanez
20091027: Long run evidence on money growth and inflation Downloads
Luca Benati
20091026: Do house price developments spill over across euro area countries? Evidence from a Global VAR Downloads
Paul Hiebert and Isabel Vansteenkiste
20091025: Liquidity risk premia in unsecured interbank money markets Downloads
Jens Tapking and Jens Eisenschmidt
20091024: Funding liquidity risk: definition and measurement Downloads
Kleopatra Nikolaou and Mathias Drehmann
20091023: Bank loan announcements and borrower stock returns: does bank origin matter? Downloads
Steven Ongena and Viorel Roscovan
20091022: Understanding inter-industry wage structures in the euro area Downloads
Veronique Genre, Daphne Momferatou and Karsten Kohn
20091021: Rigid labour compensation and flexible employment? Firm-level evidence with regard to productivity for Belgium Downloads
Catherine Fuss and Ladislav Wintr
20091020: Opting out of the Great Inflation: German monetary policy after the break down of Bretton Woods Downloads
Andreas Beyer, Gaspar, Ví­tor, Christina Gerberding and Otmar Issing
20091019: What drives returns to euro area housing? Evidence from a dynamic dividend-discount model Downloads
Paul Hiebert and Matthias Sydow
20091018: Cross-Border Mergers and acquisitions: Financial and institutional forces Downloads
Roberto De Santis, Nicolas Coeurdacier and Antonin Aviat
20091017: Optimal Prediction Pools Downloads
Gianni Amisano and John Geweke
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