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Working Paper Series

From European Central Bank
60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2007799: Monetary policy shocks in a two-sector open economy: an empirical study Downloads
Ricardo Llaudes
2007798: The transmission of US cyclical developments to the rest of the world Downloads
Isabel Vansteenkiste and Stephane Dees
2007797: Joint estimation of the natural rate of interest, the natural rate of unemployment, expected inflation, and potential output Downloads
Luca Benati and Giovanni Vitale
2007796: The impact of exchange rate shocks on sectoral activity and prices in the euro area Downloads
Elke Hahn
2007795: Assessing the impact of a change in the composition of public spending: a DSGE approach Downloads
Roland Straub and Ivan Tchakarov
2007794: (Un)naturally low? Sequential Monte Carlo tracking of the US natural interest rate Downloads
Marco Lombardi and Silvia Sgherri
2007793: Structural econometric approach to bidding in the main refinancing operations of the Eurosystem Downloads
Nuno Cassola, Christian Ewerhart and Claudio Morana
2007792: Euro area market reactions to the monetary developments press release Downloads
Jerome Coffinet and Sylvain Gouteron
2007791: Inquiries on dynamics of transition economy convergence in a two-country model Downloads
Jan Bruha and Jiri Podpiera
2007790: Asset prices, exchange rates and the current account Downloads
Marcel Fratzscher, Luciana Juvenal and Lucio Sarno
2007789: Modeling the impact of external factors on the euro area's HICP and real economy: a focus on pass-through and the trade balance Downloads
Luigi Landolfo
2007788: Evaluating the real effect of bank branching deregulation: comparing contiguous counties across U.S. state borders Downloads
Rocco Huang
2007787: Finance and growth: a macroeconomic assessment of the evidence from a European angle Downloads
Elias Papaioannou
2007786: The economic impact of merger control: what is special about banking? Downloads
Elena Carletti, Philipp Hartmann and Steven Ongena
2007785: Aggregating Phillips curves Downloads
Jean Imbs, Eric Jondeau and Florian Pelgrin
2007784: Understanding the dynamics of labor shares and inflation Downloads
Karl Whelan and Martina Lawless
2007783: The cyclicality of effective wages within employer-employee matches: evidence from German panel data Downloads
Silke Anger
2007782: Panel data estimates of the production function and product and labor market imperfections Downloads
Sabien Dobbelaere and Jacques Mairesse
2007781: Wage inequality in Spain: recent developments Downloads
Mario Izquierdo and Aitor Lacuesta
2007780: Dynamics and monetary policy in a fair wage model of the business cycle Downloads
Raf Wouters, Grégory de Walque and David de la Croix
2007779: On-the-job search and the cyclical dynamics of the labor market Downloads
Michael Krause and Thomas A. Lubik
2007778: Employment protection legislation and wages Downloads
Marco Leonardi and Giovanni Pica
2007777: Downward nominal wage rigidity in the OECD Downloads
Steinar Holden and Fredrik Wulfsberg
2007776: Insights gained from conversations with labor market decision makers Downloads
Truman F. Bewley
2007775: The dynamic behaviour of budget components and output Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Peter Claeys
2007774: Shocks, structures or monetary policies? The euro area and US after 2001 Downloads
Lawrence Christiano, Roberto Motto and Massimo Rostagno
2007773: Exchange rate volatility and growth in small open economies at the EMU periphery Downloads
Gunther Schnabl
2007772: Can adjustment costs explain the variability and counter-cyclicality of the labour share at the firm and aggregate level? Downloads
Philip Vermeulen
2007771: Policy rate decisions and unbiased parameter estimation in typical monetary policy rules Downloads
Jiri Podpiera
2007770: Welfare implications of Calvo vs. Rotemberg pricing assumptions Downloads
David Vestin and Giovanni Lombardo
2007769: The "Great Moderation" in the United Kingdom Downloads
Luca Benati
2007768: A new approach to measuring competition in the loan markets of the euro area Downloads
Adrian Rixtel, Christoffer Kok, Michiel Van Leuvensteijn and Jacob Bikker
2007767: Explaining monetary policy in press conferences Downloads
Michael Ehrmann and Marcel Fratzscher
2007766: How and when do markets tip? Lessons from the Battle of the Bund Downloads
Estelle Cantillon and Pai-Ling Yin
2007765: Sequential optimization, front-loaded information, and U.S. consumption Downloads
Alpo Willman
2007764: Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge Downloads
Athanasios Orphanides and John Williams
2007763: Short- and long-run tax elasticities: the case of the Netherlands Downloads
Guido Wolswijk
2007762: Patterns of current account adjustment: insights from past experience Downloads
Bernardina Algieri and Thierry Bracke
2007761: External imbalances and the US current account: how supply-side changes affect an exchange rate adjustment Downloads
Christian Thimann, Michael Fidora and Philipp Engler
2007760: Modelling intra- and extra-area trade substitution and exchange rate pass-through in the euro area Downloads
Alistair Dieppe and Thomas Warmedinger
2007759: Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules Downloads
Paul Levine, Joseph Pearlman and Richard Pierse
2007758: Red tape and delayed entry Downloads
Elias Papaioannou and Antonio Ciccone
2007757: The cyclicality of consumption, wages and employment of the public sector in the euro area Downloads
Ana Lamo, Ludger Schuknecht and Javier Pérez
2007756: Maintaining low inflation: money, interest rates, and policy stance Downloads
Samuel Reynard
2007755: Durable goods and their effect on household saving ratios in the euro area Downloads
Jukka Jalava and Ilja Kristian Kavonius
2007754: Euro area inflation persistence in an estimated nonlinear DSGE model Downloads
Oreste Tristani and Gianni Amisano
2007753: Trade credit defaults and liquidity provision by firms Downloads
Reint Gropp and Frédéric Boissay
2007752: Econometric analyses with backdated data: unified Germany and the euro area Downloads
Elena Angelini and Massimiliano Marcellino
2007751: A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP Downloads
Gerhard Rünstler and Marta Banbura
2007750: Long run macroeconomic relations in the global economy Downloads
Stephane Dees, Mohammad Pesaran, Vanessa Smith and Sean Holly
2007749: Excess money growth and inflation dynamics Downloads
Barbara Roffia and Andrea Zaghini
2007748: Financial dollarization: the role of banks and interest rates Downloads
Oscar Calvo-Gonzalez, Henrique Basso and Marius Jurgilas
2007747: Tax reform and labour-market performance in the euro area: a simulation-based analysis using the New Area-Wide Model Downloads
Peter McAdam, Roland Straub and Günter Coenen
2007746: U.S. evolving macroeconomic dynamics: a structural investigation Downloads
Luca Benati and Haroon Mumtaz
2007745: Market discipline, financial integration and fiscal rules: what drives spreads in the euro area government bond market? Downloads
Simone Manganelli and Guido Wolswijk
2007744: International financial linkages of Latin American banks: the effects of political risk and deposit dollarisation Downloads
Francisco Ramon-Ballester and Torsten Wezel
2007743: Credit market and macroeconomic volatility Downloads
Caterina Mendicino
2007742: The Eurosystem, the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan: similarities and differences Downloads
Dieter Gerdesmeier, Francesco Mongelli and Barbara Roffia
2007741: Sectoral money demand models for the euro area based on a common set of determinants Downloads
Julian von Landesberger
2007740: Transition economy convergence in a two-country model: implications for monetary integration Downloads
Jan Bruha and Jiri Podpiera
2007739: Exchange rate pass-through in emerging markets Downloads
Michele Ca' Zorzi, Elke Hahn and Marcelo Sánchez
2007738: Commodity prices, money and inflation Downloads
Frank Browne and David Cronin
2007737: Structural balances and revenue windfalls: the role of asset prices revisited Downloads
Richard Morris and Ludger Schuknecht
2007736: Transaction costs and informational cascades in financial markets: Theory and experimental evidence Downloads
Marco Cipriani and Antonio Guarino
2007735: Market based compensation, price informativeness and short-term trading Downloads
Riccardo Calcagno and Florian Heider
2007734: Inflation risk premia in the term structure of interest rates Downloads
Peter Hördahl and Oreste Tristani
2007733: Mortgage interest rate dispersion in the euro area Downloads
Christoffer Kok and Jung-Duk Lichtenberger
2007732: Liquidity shocks and asset price boom/bust cycles Downloads
Carsten Detken and Ramón Adalid
2007731: International trade, technological shocks and spillovers in the labour market: A GVAR analysis of the US manufacturing sector Downloads
Paul Hiebert and Isabel Vansteenkiste
2007730: What drives business cycles and international trade in emerging market economies? Downloads
Marcelo Sánchez
2007729: Fast micro and slow macro: can aggregation explain the persistence of inflation? Downloads
Benoit Mojon, Filippo Altissimo and Paolo Zaffaroni
2007728: Price changes in Finland: some evidence from micro CPI data Downloads
Samu Kurri
2007727: Price setting in the euro area: some stylised facts from individual producer price data Downloads
Philip Vermeulen, Daniel Dias, Maarten Dossche, Erwan Gautier, Ignacio Hernando, Roberto Sabbatini and Harald Stahl
2007726: Using intraday data to gauge financial market responses to Fed and ECB monetary policy decisions Downloads
Magnus Andersson
2007725: Inflation Forecasts, monetary policy and unemployment dynamics: evidence from the US and the euro area Downloads
Matteo Ciccarelli and Carlo Altavilla
2007724: The transmission of emerging market shocks to global equity markets Downloads
Christian Thimann, Marcel Fratzscher and Lucía Cuadro Sáez
2007723: Asset allocation by penalized least squares Downloads
Simone Manganelli
2007722: Shocks and frictions in US business cycles: a Bayesian DSGE approach Downloads
Frank Smets and Raf Wouters
2007721: Are survey-based inflation expections in the euro area informative? Downloads
Ricardo Mestre
2007720: Real price and wage rigidities in a model with matching frictions Downloads
Keith Kuester
2007719: US imbalances: the role of technology and policy Downloads
Rudolfs Bems, Luca Dedola and Frank Smets
2007718: Drift and breaks in labor productivity Downloads
Luca Benati
2007717: Discretion rather than rules? When is discretionary policy-making better than the timeless perspective? Downloads
Stephan Sauer
2007716: Adjusting to the euro Downloads
Gabriel Fagan and Gaspar, Ví­tor
2007715: Emerging Asia's growth and integration: how autonomous are business cycles? Downloads
Rasmus Rüffer, Marcelo Sánchez and Jian-Guang Shen
2007714: The dynamics of bank spreads and financial structure Downloads
Reint Gropp, Christoffer Kok and Jung-Duk Lichtenberger
2007713: Balance of payment crises in emerging markets: how early were the “early” warning signals? Downloads
Matthieu Bussiere
2007712: Opening the black box: structural factor models with large cross-sections Downloads
Mario Forni, Domenico Giannone, Marco Lippi and Lucrezia Reichlin
2007711: What “hides” behind sovereign debt ratings? Downloads
Antonio Afonso, Pedro Gomes and Philipp Rother
2007710: Pricing of settlement link services and mergers of central securities depositories Downloads
Jens Tapking
2007709: Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment Downloads
Peter McAdam, Paul Levine and Joseph Pearlman
2007708: Regional housing market spillovers in the US: lessons from regional divergences in a common monetary policy setting Downloads
Isabel Vansteenkiste
2007707: Ramsey monetary policy with labour market frictions Downloads
Ester Faia
2006706: What drives investors' behaviour in different FX market segments? A VAR-based return decomposition analysis Downloads
Olli Castrén, Chiara Osbat and Matthias Sydow
2006705: What does a technology shock do? A VAR analysis with model-based sign restrictions Downloads
Luca Dedola and Stefano Neri
2006704: Are money and consumption additively separable in the euro area? A non-parametric approach Downloads
Barry Jones and Livio Stracca
2006703: Comovements in volatility in the euro money market Downloads
Nuno Cassola and Claudio Morana
2006702: Comparing financial systems: a structural analysis Downloads
Sylvain Champonnois
2006701: Is there a single frontier in a single European banking market? Downloads
J. Bos and Heiko Schmiedel
2006700: Forecasting using a large number of predictors: Is Bayesian regression a valid alternative to principal components? Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Lucrezia Reichlin and Christine De Mol
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