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Working Paper Series

From European Central Bank
60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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20182198: Stigma? What stigma? A contribution to the debate on financial market effects of IMF lending Downloads
Beatrice Scheubel, Andrea Tafuro and Benjamin Vonessen
20182197: Does a big bazooka matter? Central bank balance-sheet policies and exchange rates Downloads
Luca Dedola, Georgios Georgiadis, Johannes Gräb and Arnaud Mehl
20182196: Inflation expectations, consumption and the lower bound: micro evidence from a large euro area survey Downloads
Ioana A. Duca, Geoff Kenny and Andreas Reuter
20182195: Government debt and banking fragility: the spreading of strategic uncertainty Downloads
Kalin Nikolov and Russell Cooper
20182194: Semi-structural credit gap estimation Downloads
Jan Hannes Lang and Peter Welz
20182193: Bank to sovereign risk spillovers across borders: evidence from the ECB’s Comprehensive Assessment Downloads
Johannes Breckenfelder and Bernd Schwaab
20182192: Speed limit policy and liquidity traps Downloads
Taisuke Nakata, Sebastian Schmidt and Paul Yoo
20182191: Variation margins, fire sales, and information-constrained optimality Downloads
Bruno Biais, Florian Heider and Marie Hoerova
20182190: How does monetary policy affect income and wealth inequality? Evidence from quantitative easing in the euro area Downloads
Michele Lenza and Jiri Slacalek
20182189: Insolvency frameworks and private debt: an empirical investigation Downloads
Agostino Consolo, Federica Malfa and Beatrice Pierluigi
20182188: Selecting models with judgment Downloads
Simone Manganelli
20182187: Is the top tail of the wealth distribution the missing link between the Household Finance and Consumption Survey and national accounts? Downloads
Robin Chakraborty, Ilja Kristian Kavonius, Sebastien Perez-Duarte and Philip Vermeulen
20182186: Interest rate spreads and forward guidance Downloads
Christian Bredemeier, Christoph Kaufmann and Andreas Schabert
20182185: Beyond spreads: measuring sovereign market stress in the euro area Downloads
Carlos Garcia-de-Andoain and Manfred Kremer
20182184: Trust and the household-bank relationship Downloads
Miguel Ampudia and Spyros Palligkinis
20182183: (Un)conventional policy and the effective lower bound Downloads
Fiorella De Fiore and Oreste Tristani
20182182: A framework for early-warning modeling with an application to banks Downloads
Jan Hannes Lang, Tuomas A. Peltonen and Peter Sarlin
20182181: A structural model to assess the impact of bank capitalization changes conditional on a bail-in versus bail-out regime Downloads
Marco Gross, Tomasz Dubiel-Teleszynski and Francisco Javier Población García
20182180: The role of factor substitution and technical progress in China's great expansion Downloads
Ana-Simona Manu, Peter McAdam and Alpo Willman
20182179: The global effects of global risk and uncertainty Downloads
Dario Bonciani and Martino Ricci
20182178: Revenue- versus spending-based consolidation plans: the role of follow-up Downloads
Roel Beetsma, Oana Furtuna and Massimo Giuliodori
20182177: Managing the sovereign-bank nexus Downloads
Giovanni Dell'ariccia, Caio Ferreira, Nigel Jenkinson, Luc Laeven, Alberto Martin, Camelia Minoiu and Alexander Popov
20182176: Who bears interest rate risk? Downloads
Peter Hoffmann, Sam Langfield, Federico Pierobon and Guillaume Vuillemey
20182175: ALICE: A new inflation monitoring tool Downloads
Elke Hahn, Zivile Zekaite and Gabe de Bondt
20182174: Stochastic discounting and the transmission of money supply shocks Downloads
Ivan Jaccard
20182173: Life below zero: bank lending under negative policy rates Downloads
Florian Heider, Farzad Saidi and Glenn Schepens
20182172: International spillovers of quantitative easing Downloads
Marcin Kolasa and Grzegorz Wesołowski
20182171: A methodology for automised outlier detection in high-dimensional datasets: an application to euro area banks' supervisory data Downloads
Matteo Farnè and Angelos Vouldis
20182170: Monetary policy and household inequality Downloads
Miguel Ampudia Fraile, Dimitris Georgarakos, Jiri Slacalek, Oreste Tristani, Philip Vermeulen and Giovanni L. Violante
20182169: Benefits and costs of liquidity regulation Downloads
Marie Hoerova, Caterina Mendicino, Kalin Nikolov, Glenn Schepens and Skander Van den Heuvel
20182168: The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle Downloads
Georgi Krustev
20182167: Financial frictions, international capital flows and welfare Downloads
Filippo Taddei
20182166: Credit shocks, employment protection, and growth: firm-level evidence from Spain Downloads
Luc Laeven, Peter McAdam and Alexander Popov
20182165: Proposal on ELBE and LGD in-default: tackling capital requirements after the financial crisis Downloads
Marta Ramos González, Antonio Partal Ureña and Pilar Gómez Fernández-Aguado
20182164: I will survive. Pricing strategies of financially distressed firms Downloads
Ioana A. Duca, José M. Montero, Marianna Riggi and Roberta Zizza
20182163: Missing the wealthy in the HFCS: micro problems with macro implications Downloads
Robin Chakraborty and Sofie Waltl
20182162: Foreign-law bonds: can they reduce sovereign borrowing costs? Downloads
Marcos Chamon, Julian Schumacher and Christoph Trebesch
20182161: Are asset price data informative about news shocks? A DSGE perspective Downloads
Nikolay Iskrev
20182160: Cross-country linkages and spill-overs in early warning models for financial crises Downloads
Jan Hannes Lang
20182159: Nominal wage rigidity in the EU countries before and after the Great Recession: evidence from the WDN surveys Downloads
Eva Branten, Ana Lamo and Tairi Rõõm
20182158: Non-base wage components as a source of wage adaptability to shocks: evidence from European firms, 2010–2013 Downloads
Jan Babecký, Clémence Berson, Ludmila Fadejeva, Ana Lamo, Petra Marotzke, Fernando Martins and Paweł Strzelecki
20182157: Wealth effects in the euro area Downloads
Cinzia Guerrieri and Caterina Mendicino
20182156: Designing QE in a fiscally sound monetary union Downloads
Tilman Bletzinger and Leopold von Thadden
20182155: Coordinating monetary and financial regulatory policies Downloads
Alejandro Van der Ghote
20182154: Learning about fiscal multipliers during the European sovereign debt crisis: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment Downloads
Lucyna Gόrnicka, Christophe Kamps, Gerrit Koester and Nadine Leiner-Killinger
20182153: What are the main obstacles to hiring after recessions in Europe? Downloads
Simon Savsek
20182152: Sticky expectations and consumption dynamics Downloads
Christopher Carroll, Edmund Crawley, Jiri Slacalek, Kiichi Tokuoka and Matthew White
20182151: Exchange rate forecasting on a napkin Downloads
Michał Rubaszek and Michele Ca' Zorzi
20182150: Asset pricing and the propagation of financial shocks Downloads
Ivan Jaccard
20182149: From carry trades to curvy trades Downloads
Ferdinand Dreher, Johannes Gräb and Thomas Kostka
20182148: Private and public risk sharing in the euro area Downloads
Jacopo Cimadomo, Oana Furtuna and Massimo Giuliodori
20182147: The evolving impact of global, region-specific and country-specific uncertainty Downloads
Haroon Mumtaz and Alberto Musso
20182146: Politics, banks, and sub-sovereign debt: unholy trinity or divine coincidence? Downloads
Michael Koetter and Alexander Popov
20182145: Who benefits from the corporate QE? A regression discontinuity design approach Downloads
Nordine Abidi and Ixart Miquel-Flores
20182144: Countercyclical capital regulation in a small open economy DSGE model Downloads
Matija Lozej, Luca Onorante and Ansgar Rannenberg
20182143: The post-crisis TFP growth slowdown in CEE countries: exploring the role of Global Value Chains Downloads
Francesco Chiacchio, Katerina Gradeva and Paloma Lopez-Garcia
20182142: On the optimal labor income share Downloads
Jakub Growiec, PeterMcAdam and Jakub Mućk
20182141: Consumption volatility risk and the inversion of the yield curve Downloads
Adriana Grasso and Filippo Natoli
20182140: Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions Downloads
Peter McAdam and Anders Warne
20182139: Monetary policy and cross-border interbank market fragmentation: lessons from the crisis Downloads
Tobias Sebastian Blattner and Jonathan Swarbrick
20182138: Detrending and financial cycle facts across G7 countries: mind a spurious medium term! Downloads
Yves Schüler
20182137: A minimal moral hazard central stabilisation capacity for the EMU based on world trade Downloads
Roel Beetsma, Simone Cima and Jacopo Cimadomo
20182136: Dealing with endogeneity in threshold models using copulas: an illustration to the foreign trade multiplier Downloads
Dimitris Christopoulos, Peter McAdam and Elias Tzavalis
20182135: Sovereign defaults in court Downloads
Julian Schumacher, Christoph Trebesch and Henrik Enderlein
20182134: Spillovers in space and time: where spatial econometrics and Global VAR models meet Downloads
J.Paul Elhorst, Marco Gross and Eugen Tereanu
20182133: Deconstructing monetary policy surprises: the role of information shocks Downloads
Marek Jarociński and Peter Karadi
20182132: Priors for the long run Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Giorgio Primiceri
20182131: Predicting risk premia in short-term interest rates and exchange rates Downloads
Johannes Gräb and Thomas Kostka
20182130: Cross-border banking in the EU since the crisis: what is driving the great retrenchment? Downloads
Lorenz Emter, Martin Schmitz and Marcel Tirpák
20182129: Tight money - tight credit: coordination failure in the conduct of monetary and financial policies Downloads
Julio Carrillo, Enrique Mendoza, Victoria Nuguer and Jessica Roldán-Peña
20182128: Time-consistent monetary policy, terms of trade manipulation and welfare in open economies Downloads
Sebastian Schmidt
20182127: Labour tax reforms, cross-country coordination and the monetary policy stance in the euro area: a structural model-based approach Downloads
Pascal Jacquinot, Matija Lozej and Massimiliano Pisani
20182126: Credit constraints, firm investment and growth: evidence from survey data Downloads
Miguel García-Posada Gómez
20182125: Portfolio rebalancing and the transmission of large-scale asset programmes: evidence from the euro area Downloads
Ugo Albertazzi, Bo Becker and Miguel Boucinha
20182124: Credit shocks and the European labour market Downloads
Katalin Bodnár, Ludmila Fadejeva, Marco Hoeberichts, Mario Izquierdo, Christophe Jadeau and Eliana Viviano
20182123: Macroprudential regulation in the European Union in 1995-2014: introducing a new data set on policy actions of a macroprudential nature Downloads
Katarzyna Budnik and Johannes Kleibl
20182122: How do firms adjust to rises in the minimum wage? Survey evidence from Central and Eastern Europe Downloads
Katalin Bodnár, Ludmila Fadejeva, Stefania Iordache, Liina Malk, Desislava Paskaleva, Jurga Pesliakaite, Nataša Todorović Jemec, Peter Tóth and Robert Wyszynski
20182121: Agent-based model of system-wide implications of funding risk Downloads
Grzegorz Halaj
20172120: Capital and liquidity buffers and the resilience of the banking system in the euro area Downloads
Katarzyna Budnik and Paul Bochmann
20172119: Macroeconomic implications of oil price fluctuations: a regime-switching framework for the euro area Downloads
Fédéric Holm-Hadulla and Kirstin Hubrich
20172118: Indebtedness in the EU: a drag or a catalyst for growth? Downloads
Alina Mika and Tina Zumer
20172117: The employment consequences of SMEs’ credit constraints in the wake of the Great Recession Downloads
David Cornille, Francois Rycx and Ilan Tojerow
20172116: The portfolio of euro area fund investors and ECB monetary policy announcements Downloads
Johannes Bubeck, Maurizio Michael Habib and Simone Manganelli
20172115: Evidence on finance and economic growth Downloads
Alexander Popov
20172114: The risk premium channel and long-term growth Downloads
Malte D. Schumacher and Dawid Żochowski
20172113: Liquidity provision as a monetary policy tool: the ECB’s non-standard measures after the financial crisis Downloads
Dominic Quint and Oreste Tristani
20172112: Common factors of commodity prices Downloads
Simona Delle Chiaie, Laurent Ferrara and Domenico Giannone
20172111: Structural reform waves and economic growth Downloads
Pasquale Marco Marrazzo and Alessio Terzi
20172110: A structural model to study the bail-out process in a bank and its macro-prudential policy implications Downloads
Ricardo Correia, Tomasz Dubiel-Teleszynski and Francisco Javier Población García
20172109: The international bank lending channel of unconventional monetary policy Downloads
Johannes Gräb and Dawid Żochowski
20172108: Real exchange rate misalignments in the euro area Downloads
Michael Fidora, Claire Giordano and Martin Schmitz
20172107: On collateral: implications for financial stability and monetary policy Downloads
Stefano Corradin, Florian Heider and Marie Hoerova
20172106: Dissecting long-term Bund yields in the run-up to the ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme Downloads
Wolfgang Lemke and Thomas Werner
20172105: Monetary policy and bank profitability in a low interest rate environment Downloads
Carlo Altavilla, Miguel Boucinha and Jose-Luis Peydro
20172104: Do we want these two to tango? On zombie firms and stressed banks in Europe Downloads
Manuela Storz, Michael Koetter, Ralph Setzer and Andreas Westphal
20172103: Asymmetric wage adjustment and employment in European firms Downloads
Petra Marotzke, Robert Anderton, Ana Bairrao, Clémence Berson and Peter Tóth
20172102: Price rigidities and the granular origins of aggregate fluctuations Downloads
Ernesto Pasten, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
20172101: Corporate debt and investment: a firm analysis for stressed euro area countries Downloads
Stefan Gebauer, Ralph Setzer and Andreas Westphal
20172100: More than a feeling: confidence, uncertainty and macroeconomic fluctuations Downloads
Laura Nowzohour and Livio Stracca
20172099: Household spending out of a tax rebate: Italian “€80 tax bonus” Downloads
Andrea Neri, Concetta Rondinelli and Filippo Scoccianti
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