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Working Paper Series

From European Central Bank
60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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20182171: A methodology for automised outlier detection in high-dimensional datasets: an application to euro area banks' supervisory data Downloads
Matteo Farnè and Angelos Vouldis
20182170: Monetary policy and household inequality Downloads
Miguel Ampudia Fraile, Dimitris Georgarakos, Jiri Slacalek, Oreste Tristani, Philip Vermeulen and Giovanni L. Violante
20182169: Benefits and costs of liquidity regulation Downloads
Marie Hoerova, Caterina Mendicino, Kalin Nikolov, Glenn Schepens and Skander Van den Heuvel
20182168: The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle Downloads
Georgi Krustev
20182167: Financial frictions, international capital flows and welfare Downloads
Filippo Taddei
20182166: Credit shocks, employment protection, and growth: firm-level evidence from Spain Downloads
Luc Laeven, Peter McAdam and Alexander Popov
20182165: Proposal on ELBE and LGD in-default: tackling capital requirements after the financial crisis Downloads
Marta Ramos González, Antonio Partal Ureña and Pilar Gómez Fernández-Aguado
20182164: I will survive. Pricing strategies of financially distressed firms Downloads
Ioana A. Duca, José M. Montero, Marianna Riggi and Roberta Zizza
20182163: Missing the wealthy in the HFCS: micro problems with macro implications Downloads
Robin Chakraborty and Sofie Waltl
20182162: Foreign-law bonds: can they reduce sovereign borrowing costs? Downloads
Marcos Chamon, Julian Schumacher and Christoph Trebesch
20182161: Are asset price data informative about news shocks? A DSGE perspective Downloads
Nikolay Iskrev
20182160: Cross-country linkages and spill-overs in early warning models for financial crises Downloads
Jan Hannes Lang
20182159: Nominal wage rigidity in the EU countries before and after the Great Recession: evidence from the WDN surveys Downloads
Eva Branten, Ana Lamo and Tairi Rõõm
20182158: Non-base wage components as a source of wage adaptability to shocks: evidence from European firms, 2010–2013 Downloads
Jan Babecký, Clémence Berson, Ludmila Fadejeva, Ana Lamo, Petra Marotzke, Fernando Martins and Paweł Strzelecki
20182157: Wealth effects in the euro area Downloads
Cinzia Guerrieri and Caterina Mendicino
20182156: Designing QE in a fiscally sound monetary union Downloads
Tilman Bletzinger and Leopold von Thadden
20182155: Coordinating monetary and financial regulatory policies Downloads
Alejandro Van der Ghote
20182154: Learning about fiscal multipliers during the European sovereign debt crisis: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment Downloads
Lucyna Gόrnicka, Christophe Kamps, Gerrit Koester and Nadine Leiner-Killinger
20182153: What are the main obstacles to hiring after recessions in Europe? Downloads
Simon Savsek
20182152: Sticky expectations and consumption dynamics Downloads
Christopher Carroll, Edmund Crawley, Jiri Slacalek, Kiichi Tokuoka and Matthew White
20182151: Exchange rate forecasting on a napkin Downloads
Michał Rubaszek and Michele Ca' Zorzi
20182150: Asset pricing and the propagation of financial shocks Downloads
Ivan Jaccard
20182149: From carry trades to curvy trades Downloads
Ferdinand Dreher, Johannes Gräb and Thomas Kostka
20182148: Private and public risk sharing in the euro area Downloads
Jacopo Cimadomo, Oana Furtuna and Massimo Giuliodori
20182147: The evolving impact of global, region-specific and country-specific uncertainty Downloads
Haroon Mumtaz and Alberto Musso
20182146: Politics, banks, and sub-sovereign debt: unholy trinity or divine coincidence? Downloads
Michael Koetter and Alexander Popov
20182145: Who benefits from the corporate QE? A regression discontinuity design approach Downloads
Nordine Abidi and Ixart Miquel-Flores
20182144: Countercyclical capital regulation in a small open economy DSGE model Downloads
Matija Lozej, Luca Onorante and Ansgar Rannenberg
20182143: The post-crisis TFP growth slowdown in CEE countries: exploring the role of Global Value Chains Downloads
Francesco Chiacchio, Katerina Gradeva and Paloma Lopez-Garcia
20182142: On the optimal labor income share Downloads
Jakub Growiec, PeterMcAdam and Jakub Mućk
20182141: Consumption volatility risk and the inversion of the yield curve Downloads
Adriana Grasso and Filippo Natoli
20182140: Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions Downloads
Peter McAdam and Anders Warne
20182139: Monetary policy and cross-border interbank market fragmentation: lessons from the crisis Downloads
Tobias Sebastian Blattner and Jonathan Swarbrick
20182138: Detrending and financial cycle facts across G7 countries: mind a spurious medium term! Downloads
Yves Schüler
20182137: A minimal moral hazard central stabilisation capacity for the EMU based on world trade Downloads
Roel Beetsma, Simone Cima and Jacopo Cimadomo
20182136: Dealing with endogeneity in threshold models using copulas: an illustration to the foreign trade multiplier Downloads
Dimitris Christopoulos, Peter McAdam and Elias Tzavalis
20182135: Sovereign defaults in court Downloads
Julian Schumacher, Christoph Trebesch and Henrik Enderlein
20182134: Spillovers in space and time: where spatial econometrics and Global VAR models meet Downloads
J.Paul Elhorst, Marco Gross and Eugen Tereanu
20182133: Deconstructing monetary policy surprises: the role of information shocks Downloads
Marek Jarociński and Peter Karadi
20182132: Priors for the long run Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Giorgio Primiceri
20182131: Predicting risk premia in short-term interest rates and exchange rates Downloads
Johannes Gräb and Thomas Kostka
20182130: Cross-border banking in the EU since the crisis: what is driving the great retrenchment? Downloads
Lorenz Emter, Martin Schmitz and Marcel Tirpák
20182129: Tight money - tight credit: coordination failure in the conduct of monetary and financial policies Downloads
Julio Carrillo, Enrique Mendoza, Victoria Nuguer and Jessica Roldán-Peña
20182128: Time-consistent monetary policy, terms of trade manipulation and welfare in open economies Downloads
Sebastian Schmidt
20182127: Labour tax reforms, cross-country coordination and the monetary policy stance in the euro area: a structural model-based approach Downloads
Pascal Jacquinot, Matija Lozej and Massimiliano Pisani
20182126: Credit constraints, firm investment and growth: evidence from survey data Downloads
Miguel García-Posada Gómez
20182125: Portfolio rebalancing and the transmission of large-scale asset programmes: evidence from the euro area Downloads
Ugo Albertazzi, Bo Becker and Miguel Boucinha
20182124: Credit shocks and the European labour market Downloads
Katalin Bodnár, Ludmila Fadejeva, Marco Hoeberichts, Mario Izquierdo, Christophe Jadeau and Eliana Viviano
20182123: Macroprudential regulation in the European Union in 1995-2014: introducing a new data set on policy actions of a macroprudential nature Downloads
Katarzyna Budnik and Johannes Kleibl
20182122: How do firms adjust to rises in the minimum wage? Survey evidence from Central and Eastern Europe Downloads
Katalin Bodnár, Ludmila Fadejeva, Stefania Iordache, Liina Malk, Desislava Paskaleva, Jurga Pesliakaite, Nataša Todorović Jemec, Peter Tóth and Robert Wyszynski
20182121: Agent-based model of system-wide implications of funding risk Downloads
Grzegorz Halaj
20172120: Capital and liquidity buffers and the resilience of the banking system in the euro area Downloads
Katarzyna Budnik and Paul Bochmann
20172119: Macroeconomic implications of oil price fluctuations: a regime-switching framework for the euro area Downloads
Fédéric Holm-Hadulla and Kirstin Hubrich
20172118: Indebtedness in the EU: a drag or a catalyst for growth? Downloads
Alina Mika and Tina Zumer
20172117: The employment consequences of SMEs’ credit constraints in the wake of the Great Recession Downloads
David Cornille, Francois Rycx and Ilan Tojerow
20172116: The portfolio of euro area fund investors and ECB monetary policy announcements Downloads
Johannes Bubeck, Maurizio Michael Habib and Simone Manganelli
20172115: Evidence on finance and economic growth Downloads
Alexander Popov
20172114: The risk premium channel and long-term growth Downloads
Malte D. Schumacher and Dawid Żochowski
20172113: Liquidity provision as a monetary policy tool: the ECB’s non-standard measures after the financial crisis Downloads
Dominic Quint and Oreste Tristani
20172112: Common factors of commodity prices Downloads
Simona Delle Chiaie, Laurent Ferrara and Domenico Giannone
20172111: Structural reform waves and economic growth Downloads
Pasquale Marco Marrazzo and Alessio Terzi
20172110: A structural model to study the bail-out process in a bank and its macro-prudential policy implications Downloads
Ricardo Correia, Tomasz Dubiel-Teleszynski and Francisco Javier Población García
20172109: The international bank lending channel of unconventional monetary policy Downloads
Johannes Gräb and Dawid Żochowski
20172108: Real exchange rate misalignments in the euro area Downloads
Michael Fidora, Claire Giordano and Martin Schmitz
20172107: On collateral: implications for financial stability and monetary policy Downloads
Stefano Corradin, Florian Heider and Marie Hoerova
20172106: Dissecting long-term Bund yields in the run-up to the ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme Downloads
Wolfgang Lemke and Thomas Werner
20172105: Monetary policy and bank profitability in a low interest rate environment Downloads
Carlo Altavilla, Miguel Boucinha and Jose-Luis Peydro
20172104: Do we want these two to tango? On zombie firms and stressed banks in Europe Downloads
Manuela Storz, Michael Koetter, Ralph Setzer and Andreas Westphal
20172103: Asymmetric wage adjustment and employment in European firms Downloads
Petra Marotzke, Robert Anderton, Ana Bairrao, Clémence Berson and Peter Tóth
20172102: Price rigidities and the granular origins of aggregate fluctuations Downloads
Ernesto Pasten, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
20172101: Corporate debt and investment: a firm analysis for stressed euro area countries Downloads
Stefan Gebauer, Ralph Setzer and Andreas Westphal
20172100: More than a feeling: confidence, uncertainty and macroeconomic fluctuations Downloads
Laura Nowzohour and Livio Stracca
20172099: Household spending out of a tax rebate: Italian “€80 tax bonus” Downloads
Andrea Neri, Concetta Rondinelli and Filippo Scoccianti
20172098: Do negative interest rates make banks less safe? Downloads
Federico Calogero Nucera, Andre Lucas, Julia Schaumburg and Bernd Schwaab
20172097: Firm heterogeneity and aggregate business services exports: micro evidence from Belgium, France, Germany and Spain Downloads
Andrea Ariu, Elena Biewen, Sven Blank, Guillaume Gaulier, María Jesus González, Philipp Meinen, Daniel Mirza, Cesar Martin Machuca and Patry Tello
20172096: Home, safe home: cross-country monitoring framework for vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector Downloads
Elias Bengtsson, Magdalena Grothe and Etienne Lepers
20172095: Spillovers from the ECB's non-standard monetary policy measures on south-eastern Europe Downloads
Isabella Moder
20172094: Subsidising car purchases in the euro area: any spill-over on production? Downloads
Joan Paredes
20172093: Why should the world care? Analysis, mechanisms and spillovers of the destination based border adjusted tax Downloads
Ursel Baumann, Alistair Dieppe and Allan Gloe Dizioli
20172092: Sources of the small firm financing premium: evidence from euro area banks Downloads
Sarah Holton and Fergal McCann
20172091: The political economy of fiscal transparency and independent fiscal councils Downloads
Roel Beetsma, Xavier Debrun and Randolph Sloof
20172090: What drives export market shares? It depends! An empirical analysis using Bayesian Model Averaging Downloads
Chiara Osbat, Konstantins Benkovskis, Benjamin Bluhm, Elena Bobeica and Stefan Zeugner
20172089: Multiple lending, credit lines and financial contagion Downloads
Giuseppe Cappelletti and Paolo Emilio Mistrulli
20172088: On secular stagnation and low interest rates: demography matters Downloads
Giuseppe Ferrero, Marco Gross and Stefano Neri
20172087: Housing and the tax system: how large are the distortions in the euro area? Downloads
Serena Fatica and Doris Prammer
20172086: Credit market competition and the gender gap: evidence from local labor markets Downloads
Alexander Popov and Sonia Zaharia
20172085: Between hawks and doves: measuring central bank communication Downloads
Ellen Tobback, Stefano Nardelli and David Martens
20172084: Bank business models at zero interest rates Downloads
Andre Lucas, Julia Schaumburg and Bernd Schwaab
20172083: Active labour market policies and short-time work arrangements: evidence from a survey of Luxembourg firms Downloads
Konstantinos Efstathiou, Thomas Mathä, Cindy Veiga and Ladislav Wintr
20172082: Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks Downloads
Georgios Georgiadis and Martina Jančoková
20172081: Destabilizing effects of bank overleveraging on real activity - an analysis based on a threshold MCS-GVAR Downloads
Marco Gross, Jerome Henry and Willi Semmler
20172080: Communication of monetary policy in unconventional times Downloads
Günter Coenen, Michael Ehrmann, Gaetano Gaballo, Peter Hoffmann, Anton Nakov, Stefano Nardelli, Eric Persson and Georg Strasser
20172079: The leverage ratio, risk-taking and bank stability Downloads
Jonathan Acosta Smith, Michael Grill and Jan Hannes Lang
20172078: When do countries implement structural reforms? Downloads
António Dias Da Silva, Audrey Givone and David Sondermann
20172077: Estimating the impact of shocks to bank capital in the euro area Downloads
Derrick Kanngiesser, Reiner Martin, Laurent Maurin and Diego Moccero
20172076: Structural asymmetries and financial imbalances in the eurozone Downloads
Ivan Jaccard and Frank Smets
20172075: The macroeconomic impact of the ECB's expanded asset purchase programme (APP) Downloads
Luca Gambetti and Alberto Musso
20172074: Reducing large net foreign liabilities Downloads
Michael Fidora, Martin Schmitz and Céline Tcheng
20172073: House prices and monetary policy in the euro area: evidence from structural VARs Downloads
Andrea Nocera and Moreno Roma
20172072: Monetary-fiscal interactions and the euro area's malaise Downloads
Marek Jarociński and Bartosz Maćkowiak
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