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Working Paper Series

From European Central Bank
60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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20111368: Output growth and fluctuation: the role of financial openness Downloads
Alexander Popov
20111367: Cyclical fluctuations in the Mediterranean basin Downloads
Fabio Canova and Matteo Ciccarelli
20111366: Stock market firm-level information and real economic activity Downloads
Filippo di Mauro, Fabio Fornari and Dario Mannucci
20111365: Understanding and forecasting aggregate and disaggregate price dynamics Downloads
Colin Bermingham and Antonello D'Agostino
20111364: Capital flows, push versus pull factors and the global financial crisis Downloads
Marcel Fratzscher
20111363: Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information Downloads
Kirstin Hubrich, Andres Gonzalez and Timo Teräsvirta
20111362: Securitization and lending standards: evidence from the wholesale loan market Downloads
Steven Ongena, Alper Kara and David Marques-Ibanez
20111361: Identifying the effects of government spending shocks with and without expected reversal: an approach based on U.S. real-time data Downloads
Jacopo Cimadomo, Sebastian Hauptmeier and Sergio Sola
20111360: How flexible are real wages in EU countries? A panel investigation Downloads
Frigyes Ferdinand Heinz and Desislava Rusinova
20111359: Does bargaining matter in the small firm's matching model? Downloads
l’Haridon, Olivier, Franck Malherbet and Sebastien Perez-Duarte
20111358: Determinants of credit-less recoveries Downloads
Martin Bijsterbosch and Tatjana Dahlhaus
20111357: Assessing the sensitivity of inflation to economic activity Downloads
Alistair Dieppe, Eva Ortega, Antonello D'Agostino, Tohmas Karlsson, Konstantins Benkovskis, Michele Caivano, Samuel Hurtado and Tímea Várnai
20111356: The role of oil prices in the euro area economy since the 1970s Downloads
Elke Hahn and Ricardo Mestre
20111355: Household's portfolio structure in Germany - analysis of financial accounts data 1959-2009 Downloads
Fred Ramb and Michael Scharnagl
20111354: Saudi Aramco and the oil market Downloads
Anton Nakov and Galo Nuño Barrau
20111353: Exchange rate anchoring - Is there still a de facto US dollar standard? Downloads
Thierry Bracke and Irina Bunda
20111352: Systemic risk and financial development in a monetary model Downloads
Philippe Moutot
20111351: Potential output in DSGE models Downloads
Igor Vetlov, Massimiliano Pisani, Tibor Hlédik, Magnus Jonsson and Henrik Kucsera
20111350: The optimal width of the central bank standing facilities corridor and banks' day-to-day liquidity management Downloads
Ulrich Bindseil and Juliusz Jabłecki
20111349: Consumer confidence as a predictor of consumption spending: evidence for the United States and the euro area Downloads
Stephane Dees and Pedro Brinca
20111348: Theoretical notes on bubbles and the current crisis Downloads
Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura
20111347: Sovereign credit ratings and financial markets linkages: application to European data Downloads
Antonio Afonso, Pedro Gomes and Davide Furceri
20111346: Do financial investors destabilize the oil price? Downloads
Marco Lombardi and Ine Van Robays
20111345: Systemic risk-taking: amplification effects, externalities, and regulatory responses Downloads
Anton Korinek
20111344: Have euro area and EU economic governance worked? Just the facts Downloads
Livio Stracca and Demosthenes Ioannou
20111343: The predictive content of sectoral stock prices: a US-euro area comparison Downloads
Magnus Andersson, Antonello D'Agostino, Gabe de Bondt and Moreno Roma
20111342: Fiscal data revisions in Europe Downloads
Javier Pérez, Francisco de Castro Fernández and Marta Rodríguez-Vives
20111341: Exact likelihood computation for nonlinear DSGE models with heteroskedastic innovations Downloads
Oreste Tristani and Gianni Amisano
20111340: How wages respond to shocks: asymmetry in the speed of adjustment Downloads
Aurelijus Dabusinskas and Tairi Rõõm
20111339: The stock market reaction to the 2005 non-tradable share reform in China Downloads
Andrea Beltratti, Bernardo Bortolotti and Marianna Caccavaio
20111338: Financial frictions and optimal monetary policy in an open economy Downloads
Giovanni Lombardo and Marcin Kolasa
20111337: Who invests in home equity to exempt wealth from bankruptcy? Downloads
Reint Gropp, Stefano Corradin, Harry Huizinga and Luc Laeven
20111336: A monetary policy strategy in good and bad times: lessons from the recent past Downloads
Frank Smets, Oreste Tristani, Roberto Motto, Massimo Rostagno and Stephan Fahr
20111335: The bank lending channel: lessons from the crisis Downloads
Leonardo Gambacorta and David Marques-Ibanez
20111334: On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting Downloads
Kirstin Hubrich, Massimiliano Marcellino and Guenter Beck
20111333: Distributional dynamics under smoothly state-dependent pricing Downloads
James Costain and Anton Nakov
20111332: Central bank communication on financial stability Downloads
Michael Ehrmann, Marcel Fratzscher and Benjamin Born
20111331: Business cycle dynamics under rational inattention Downloads
Bartosz Maćkowiak and Mirko Wiederholt
20111330: Financial remoteness and the net external position Downloads
Martin Schmitz
20111329: Securitization, bank lending and credit quality: the case of Spain Downloads
David Marques-Ibanez, Santiago Carbó-Valverde and Francisco Rodríguez Fernández
20111328: The effectiveness of monetary policy in steering money market rates during the recent financial crisis Downloads
Tobias Linzert and Puriya Abbassi
20111327: Systemic risk diagnostics: coincident indicators and early warning signals Downloads
Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
20111326: Welfare costs of inflation and the circulation of US currency abroad Downloads
Alessandro Calza and Andrea Zaghini
20111325: Wage structure effects of international trade: evidence from a small open economy Downloads
Philip Du Caju, Francois Rycx and Ilan Tojerow
20111324: Nowcasting inflation using high frequency data Downloads
Michele Modugno
20111323: Structural reforms and macroeconomic performance in the euro area countries: a model-based assessment Downloads
Matthias Mohr, Pascal Jacquinot, Massimiliano Pisani and Sandra Gomes
20111322: Business cycle synchronisation: disentangling trade and financial linkages Downloads
Stephane Dees and Nico Zorell
20111321: Macroeconomic implications of downward wage rigidities Downloads
Stephan Fahr and Mirko Abbritti
20111320: What lies beneath? A time-varying FAVAR model for the UK transmission mechanism Downloads
Haroon Mumtaz, Pawel Zabczyk and Colin Ellis
20111319: Fiscal developments and financial stress: a threshold VAR analysis Downloads
Antonio Afonso, Michal Slavík and Jaromir Baxa
20111318: Using the global dimension to identify shocks with sign restrictions Downloads
Michael Fidora and Alexander Chudik
20111317: Financial imbalances and financial fragility Downloads
Frédéric Boissay
20111316: The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area: NMCM - with boundedly rational learning expectations Downloads
Alpo Willman, Alistair Dieppe, Alberto Gonzalez Pandiella and Stephen Hall
20111315: The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area: NMCM - simulated with rational expectations Downloads
Alpo Willman, Alistair Dieppe and Alberto Gonzalez Pandiella
20111314: Price and wage setting in Portugal: learning by asking Downloads
Fernando Martins
20111313: News and policy foresight in a macro-finance model of the US Downloads
Cristian Badarinza and Emil Margaritov
20111312: A structural model of central bank operations and bank intermediation Downloads
Ulrich Bindseil and Juliusz Jabłecki
20111311: Macro-financial vulnerabilities and future financial stress: assessing systemic risks and predicting systemic events Downloads
Tuomas A. Peltonen and Marco Lo Duca
20111310: Is China climbing up the quality ladder? Estimating cross country differences in product quality using Eurostat's COMEXT trade database Downloads
Gabor Pula and Daniel Santabárbara
20111309: Skills and wage inequality in Greece: evidence from matched employer-employee data, 1995-2002 Downloads
Rebekka Christopoulou and Theodora Kosma
20111308: Myopic governments and welfare-enhancing debt limits Downloads
Malte Rieth
20111307: The response of labour taxation to changes in government debt Downloads
Nadine Leiner-Killinger, Michal Slavík and Fédéric Holm-Hadulla
20111306: Why are some prices stickier than others? Firm-data evidence on price adjustment lags Downloads
Carlos Marques, Daniel Dias, João Santos Silva and Fernando Martins
20111305: Choosing between time and state dependence: micro evidence on firms' price-reviewing strategies Downloads
Carlos Marques, Daniel Dias and Fernando Martins
20111304: Subprime consumer credit demand: evidence from a lender's pricing experiment Downloads
Gyongyi Loranth, Sule Alan and Ruxandra Dumitrescu
20111303: Behavioural characteristics and financial distress Downloads
Yvonne McCarthy
20111302: The immigrant/native wealth gap in Germany, Italy and Luxembourg Downloads
Thomas Mathä, Alessandro Porpiglia and Eva Sierminska
20111301: Wealth mobility and dynamics over entire individual working life cycles Downloads
Stefan Hochguertel and Henry Ohlsson
20111300: Inheritances and the distribution of wealth or whatever happened to the great inheritance boom? Downloads
Edward Wolff and Maury Gittleman
20111299: Who lost the most? Financial literacy, cognitive abilities, and the financial crisis Downloads
Tabea Bucher-Koenen and Michael Ziegelmeyer
20111298: Check in the mail or more in the paycheck: does the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus depend on how it is delivered? Downloads
Claudia Sahm, Matthew Shapiro and Joel Slemrod
20111297: Consumption and initial mortgage conditions: evidence from survey data Downloads
Giacomo Masier and Ernesto Villanueva
20111296: Financial advice and stock market participation Downloads
Dimitris Georgarakos and Roman Inderst
20111295: Which households use banks? Evidence from the transition economies Downloads
Thorsten Beck and Martin Brown
20111294: The normalized CES production function: theory and empirics Downloads
Rainer Klump, Peter McAdam and Alpo Willman
20111293: Financing obstacles among euro area firms: Who suffers the most? Downloads
Annalisa Ferrando and Nicolas Griesshaber
20111292: Does the euro make a difference? Spatio-temporal transmission of global shocks to real effective exchange rates in an infinite VAR Downloads
Alexander Chudik, Matthieu Bussiere and Arnaud Mehl
20111291: Liquidity requirements and payment delays - participant type dependent preferences Downloads
Christian Schulz
20111290: Non-standard monetary policy measures and monetary developments Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza, Huw Pill and Lucrezia Reichlin
20111289: Bayesian prior elicitation in DSGE models: macro- vs micro-priors Downloads
Marco Lombardi and Giulio Nicoletti
20111288: Getting beyond carry trade: what makes a safe haven currency? Downloads
Maurizio Michael Habib and Livio Stracca
20111287: Are universal banks better underwriters? Evidence from the last days of the Glass-Steagall Act Downloads
Dario Focarelli, David Marques-Ibanez and Alberto Pozzolo
20111286: Corporate bond spreads and real activity in the euro area - Least Angle Regression forecasting and the probability of the recession Downloads
Marco Gross
20111285: Identifying the global transmission of the 2007-09 financial crisis in a GVAR Model Downloads
Marcel Fratzscher and Alexander Chudik
20111284: Euro area labour markets: different reaction to shocks? Downloads
Beatrice Pierluigi, Jan Bruha and Roberta Serafini
20101283: How large are housing and financial wealth effects? A new approach Downloads
Christopher Carroll, Jiri Slacalek and Misuzu Otsuka
20101282: The minimum liquidity deficit and the maturity structure of central banks' open market operations: lessons from the financial crisis Downloads
Jens Eisenschmidt and Cornelia Holthausen
20101281: A quantitative mirror on the Euribor market using implied probability density functions Downloads
Rupert de Vincent-Humphreys and Josep Maria Puigvert Gutiérrez
20101280: Can we prevent boom-bust cycles during euro area accession? Downloads
Marcin Kolasa, Michal Brzoza-Brzezina and Pascal Jacquinot
20101279: Openness and optimal monetary policy Downloads
Giovanni Lombardo and Federico Ravenna
20101278: Shocking stuff: technology, hours, and factor substitution Downloads
Cristiano Cantore, Miguel Leon-Ledesma, Peter McAdam and Alpo Willman
20101277: Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average? Downloads
Geoff Kenny, Veronique Genre, Aidan Meyler and Allan Timmermann
20101276: Level, slope, curvature of the sovereign yield curve, and fiscal behaviour Downloads
Manuel Martins and Antonio Afonso
20101275: Nowcasting Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Lucrezia Reichlin and Marta Banbura
20101274: Firms' reactions to the crisis and their consequences for the labour market. Results of a company survey conducted in Austria Downloads
Claudia Kwapil
20101273: Interest rate effects of demographic changes in a New-Keynesian life-cycle framework Downloads
Engin Kara and Leopold von Thadden
20101272: The impact of public guarantees on bank risk taking: evidence from a natural experiment Downloads
Reint Gropp, Christian Gruendl and Andre Guettler
20101271: An analysis of euro area sovereign CDS and their relation with government bonds Downloads
Martin Scheicher and Alessandro Fontana
20101270: Inflation risk premia in the US and the euro area Downloads
Oreste Tristani and Peter Hördahl
20101269: Downward wage rigidity and automatic wage indexation: evidence from monthly micro wage data Downloads
Patrick Lünnemann and Ladislav Wintr
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